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Mississippi St vs. Auburn Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-14-2023

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The Auburn Tigers (13-3, 3-1) will host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-4, 1-3) in a SEC showdown Saturday evening. The Tigers are rated No. 19 within the BPI in response to the School Basketball Energy Index, and Mississippi State is forty sixth.

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Auburn goes for third straight win

Auburn is No. 16 in response to KenPom, which has them because the third highest-rated group within the SEC behind Alabama and Arkansas. The Tigers are fifteenth in adjusted defensive effectivity and 52nd on offense. Auburn opened up the season with eight straight wins, together with victories over Northwestern and Colgate, earlier than dropping video games towards Memphis and USC over a 3 sport stretch. The Tigers haven’t made shedding a behavior, as they They’ve gained 4 of their final 5 video games and two in a row after beating Ole Miss 82-73 on Tuesday.

The Tigers are balanced with 5’11 guard Wendell Inexperienced Jr. main the group with 13.4 ppg, 3.8 assists and 1.4 steals per sport. Inexperienced Jr. scored a season-high 23 factors in Tuesday’s win over Ole Miss, making all 11 of his free-throw makes an attempt. Johni Broome leads the group with 8.9 rebounds and a couple of.7 blocks and is second with 13.3 ppg. Broome has 19 factors and 11 rebounds towards Ole Miss.

Impolite awakening within the SEC

The Bulldogs gained their first 11 video games of the season earlier than shedding to Drake (58-52) on December 20.  Because the loss to Drake, Mississippi State has additionally misplaced three of their first 4 video games within the SEC, most just lately falling to Georgia 58-50 on Wednesday.

 

Mississippi State is fiftieth in response to KenPom, which is seventh amongst SEC groups. The Bulldogs offense is 178th, however the protection is eighth in adjusted effectivity. 6’11 senior Tolu Smith leads the group with 13.6 ppg, and seven.6 rebounds. Smith did harm towards non-conference opponents this season, however in 4 SEC video games he’s placing up simply 7.8 ppg and 4.5 rebounds.  Smith completed with fist 5 factors and 3-11 taking pictures from the charity stripe towards Georgia, dropping his general free-throw share right down to 52.6%.

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Mississippi State is simply 1-6 ATS of their final seven video games and 1-4 straight up of their final 5. The three Mississippi State losses within the SEC this season (Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia) have all been by at the very least eight factors. Alabama is coming off again to again wins by 13 and 9 factors the place they put up 72 factors on Arkansas and 9 towards Ole Miss. Each groups defend tremendously, however the Auburn offense shall be an excessive amount of for the Bulldogs to maintain up with.

Prediction: Auburn -7

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As little as this whole is, it’s nonetheless not low sufficient. Mississippi State is fifth within the nation permitting 56.8 ppg, top-10 in adjusted defensive effectivity, and 326th in adjusted tempo. On offense, the Bulldogs are within the both-50 in factors scored, discipline objective, three-point, and free-throw share. No shock that the over/beneath is 4-12 in Mississippi State video games. Auburn is within the backside half of the nation in discipline objective and free-throw share and simply 346th in three-point share. Though the offensive numbers are great, Auburn within the prime 40 within the fewest factors allowed, discipline and three-point share allowed. Take the beneath.

Prediction: Underneath 126.5

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Written By
David Delano , “David Delano”

David Delano is a Bowling Inexperienced State College graduate with a ardour for sports activities, touring, and music. David likes to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and can also be an enormous fan of boxing and observe and discipline. Over time, David has worn a number of hats within the sports activities world, from being behind the digicam to writing, filming, modifying, scouting, and training, together with servicing his shoppers as a sports activities handicapper.  He’s additionally an professional sports activities bettor. We’re glad to have David on our Winners & Whiners group, and we advocate that you just comply with together with him day-after-day. 

Comply with on Twitter @GetSportsStrong

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Playing for Mississippi State not an option for Arizona State back Kyson ‘Sipp’ Brown

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Playing for Mississippi State not an option for Arizona State back Kyson ‘Sipp’ Brown


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Sophomore running back Kyson Brown is one of the faster players on the Arizona State football team. But Brown seems to have a little more pep in his step this week. Why? Well, the Sun Devils (1-0) are set to take on Mississippi State (1-0) at 7:30 p.m. on Saturday at Mountain America Stadium.

Sure an SEC opponent is enough to get any athlete fired up. But the 6-foot, 200-pounder hails from Tupelo, Mississippi, which is where he got his nickname, Sipp. Tupelo is 67 miles north of the Mississippi State campus in Starkville that Sipp has visited a handful of times.

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“I have family, growing up they were all Mississipp State fans and some Ole Miss fans,” he said. “Some of my family are debating whether they want to cheer for me or not. It’s going to be good. A lot of hometown friends. Got a couple guys I went to high school with there. It’s going to be good seeing those guys and hopefully, we compete at a good level and get the W.”

Brown, a mechanical engineering major, is enrolled in ASU’s Barret honors program, He emerged as one of the team’s most improved players. He saw some time on special teams as a true freshman in 2023 and has set himself up for a bigger role, although the ASU backfield has a lot of depth.

In the last week’s 48-7 win over Wyoming, Brown pitched in with six rushing attempts for 25 yards and two receptions for 73 yards. His 68-yard touchdown reception was the longest play from scrimmage that ASU had on the night.

“It felt amazing just to get back in the end zone again,” Brown said. “You come out of high school, you know I’m used to being in the end zone every game, all the time. That play, I knew — once I made the first guy miss — I knew I wasn’t going to let anybody catch me.”

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Brown lived in Mississippi until moving to Lancaster, Texas, outside of Dallas, after his sophomore year of high school. He sat out junior year after the transfer. As a senior he averaged 9.5 yards per carry, finishing with 707 yards and 11 touchdowns on 74 carries while adding 14 receptions for 168 yards and two touchdowns.

Sitting out his junior year hurt his recruiting, but he still had notable offers from Purdue, Missouri and Houston. The balance of his options were lower-profile schools. Mississippi State didn’t offer.

He is happy with the end result. A place on the ASU football roster. In the offseason, he worked on his agility, flexibility and catching the ball, which was evident in his recent scoring play.

“We all have the big-play potential,” he said of his fellow running backs. “I feel my role is to make plays, wherever they put me be able to perform.”

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Report shows Mississippi Legislature retirement reforms this year aren’t effective. See why

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Report shows Mississippi Legislature retirement reforms this year aren’t effective. See why



Lawmakers, PERS director agree they must work together in the future

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State lawmakers will need to readdress concerns about the Public Employment Retirement System of Mississippi in 2025 if it is to remain viable long term, according to a July study.

Legislative actions in the 2024 Session to reduce public employer contribution rate hikes and increase state funding are not enough to address billions in unfunded future benefits to retirees, according to a report released by the Legislature’s third-party watchdog group, the Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review Committee.

Projections show the state’s retirement plan being less than 50% fully funded by 2047 and having $25 billion in liabilities. According to several municipal leaders who spoke to the Clarion Ledger earlier this year, the legislative move from lawmakers in the past session should save public employers from cutting positions and raising taxes to keep and hire more public employees.

“Change in approach for increasing the employer contribution rate, in addition to the one-time funds transfer, reduces the plan’s projected future funded ratio from 65.5% to 49.9%,” the report reads. “…The PERS plan is currently expected to be at a lower-funded level in the future than it currently is today.”

PERS Executive Director Ray Higgins told the Clarion Ledger he wasn’t surprised by the report’s findings.

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“The PEER analysis seems to be an accurate report and generally reconciles with our information,” Higgins said. “Also, the legislative action from last session appears to be a short-term solution.”

While the report does not list out any specific recommendations for lawmakers this coming year, it says continued work will be necessary to fix the retirement system that has 118,000 retirees receiving benefits and 147,000 active members paying into the system.

In 2023, the PERS governing board, made up of mostly elected members, as advised by financial actuaries who watch over the state’s retirement plan, passed a rate increase on public employers, such as cities, counties and school districts from 17.40% to 19.90% that was to take effect July 1. The rate would have continued to increase to 22.4% by 2027.

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In the 2024 Session, the Legislature passed two bills. Senate 3231, prohibits the PERS Board’s plan to gradually increase the employer contribution rate and replaces it with a plan to increase to 19.90% over the next five years in 0.5% annual increases. SB 3231 also takes the board’s only regulatory power to increase rates and puts it in the hands of the Legislature.

SB 2468 enacts a one-time transfer of $110 million of capital expense funds into the PERS trust.

More on PERS bill MS Legislature passes bill restricting state retirement board’s authority

Lt. Gov. Delbert Hosemann’s Deputy Chief of Staff Leah Rupp Smith told the Clarion Ledger efforts Hosemann helped push forward that resulted in those bills’ passage led to a potentially more stable retirement system.

“To avoid this calamity while developing a future solution, the Legislature adopted a less-aggressive employer increase,” Smith wrote via email. “We are now informed the plan has a projected future funding ratio of 65.5% as of 2047, as compared to 48.6% projected one year ago.”

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Republican House Speaker Jason White’s Communications Director Taylor Spillman did not reply to several emails requesting White’s comments on the report.

What are the big problems?

Higgins previously said the ratio of retirees to active members has seen a reverse trend since 2013, when there were 93,000 retirees and 162,000 active members. This increases the unfunded liability of the system as fewer people take jobs in government, reducing active members and more people retire, increasing the funding obligation of PERS.

The other issue lies with projections for the retirement plan’s future if state lawmakers decide not to take action in the years to come.

“While the ($110 million) funding for the first year is comparable, each year in the future could potentially see a greater deviation in expected employer contribution revenues for the PERS plan,” the report reads. “This deviation does not immediately constitute a problem for the PERS plan; however, careful evaluation of the plan’s future liabilities and funding needs will be necessary to ensure the sustainability of the PERS plan.”

Are there any solutions?

Higgins and Smith both said future work on PERS is still a top priority.

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Higgins specifically mentioned a new retirement benefits package that could be offered to new public sector employees, which the PERS board has called tier 5.

“The Board has previously recommended a tier 5 for new employees to help better sustain PERS in the future and is currently considering what may be included or resubmitted in next year’s legislative package,” Higgins said.

Read about new Medicaid program Mississippi Medicaid prenatal care access program still awaiting federal approval. Why?

Earlier this year, Hosemann told the Clarion Ledger he wanted to see evidence that a new tier of benefits could help maintain the retirement system long term. Smith did not confirm whether Hosemann’s office is currently studying that idea in the legislative off season, but she did say the Legislature is looking at several ideas.

“The Legislature is exploring any option for a more viable plan,” Smith said. “The Lt. Governor continues to be committed to fulfilling current employee and retiree benefits, including the cost-of-living adjustment for these individuals.”

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Grant McLaughlin covers state government for the Clarion Ledger. He can be reached at gmclaughlin@gannett.com or 972-571-2335.



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Mississippi votes conservative. Are we going to see more conservative policies?

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Mississippi votes conservative. Are we going to see more conservative policies?


Waiting for my suitcase in the arrivals hall at Jackson airport the other evening, it occurred to me that the luggage carrousel was a pretty good metaphor for Mississippi politics.

Like suitcases on a carrousel, many leaders simply sit on the conveyor belt of state politics, waiting their turn to get moved along to the next role.

Too often leaders are carried along by time and process, rarely offering any vision as to what our state should do differently.  That explains why Mississippi conservatives have achieved less in 12 years than Arkansas, Louisiana and Alabama have accomplished in the past 12 months. Louisiana did not even have a Republican governor this time last year, yet they’ve already passed universal school choice.

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Things could be about to change if House Speaker Jason White has his way.  This week, White announced that he will be hosting a Tax Policy Summit on Sept. 24 to take a deep dive into the prospects for tax reform. 

My friend, Grover Norquist, will be speaking, as will Gov Reeves, as well as leading conservative figures from the state Legislature.

Having a conversation in public matters because in the past the leadership in our state Senate has done what it can to head off tax cuts. Bringing the facts of what can and cannot be done into the open makes it far harder for anyone to keep finding new excuses to oppose actual conservative policy. 

Sunshine is the best disinfectant against the putrid politics of backroom deals. We have seen far too many backroom maneuvers used to kill off good conservative policy in this state.  Back in 2022, Mississippi passed a law to cut the state income tax to a flat 4 percent. This $525 million tax cut, driven forward by Speaker Philip Gunn and Gov Reeves, benefited 1.2 million taxpayers and their families. But we must not forget how some in the Senate fought against it — not in the open, of course. 

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Weak Senate leadership has a history of opposing conservative proposals in our state. Seldom do they have the courage to come out and explicitly kill off conservative measures. Instead, they do it on the sly.  The Senate leadership maneuvered to stop anti-DEI legislation in 2024. I don’t recall anyone coming out and explaining why they opposed anti-DEI law. They just killed it in committee with a nudge and wink. 

For three years in a row, the Senate leadership has killed off attempts to restore the ballot initiative. Again, those against resorting the ballot lack the courage to say they are against it. They killed that, too, on the sly. 

Rep Rob Roberson’s excellent school funding reform bill, perhaps the only big strategic achievement of this year’s session, passed despite attempts to scupper it by some in the Senate. (Part of the backroom deal to get the bill passed was to change its name. It really was that petty.) When the Senate leadership wants to oppose an authentically conservative policy, they follow a now familiar pattern. 

A reason is cited as to why what is being proposed can’t be done. School choice, we were once told, would be unconstitutional. An anti-DEI law, it was implied, was unnecessary because there was no DEI on campus.

Once that excuse is shown to be nonsense (there is no constitutional bar to school choice, DEI is rampant on campus), another excuse is promptly conjured up. And on it goes.

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Each time the Senate leadership opposes conservative policy this way, I wonder what their alternatives are. The answer is that most of the time there are none. It is pretty low grade to oppose ideas simply because they are not your own.  Eventually, of course, a suitcase that sits on the carousel for too long ends up in lost luggage.

As a direct consequence of the 2022 Reeves-Gunn tax cuts, Mississippi is now starting to see a flood of inward investment into the state.  

Every time you hear about a new factory opening up in our state, remember who and what helped make it happen. I am very optimistic that this tax summit could see further progress to make our state more competitive. 

Douglas Carswell is the president and CEO of the Mississippi Center for Public Policy.



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