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Georgia vs. Mississippi State score prediction by expert college football model

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Georgia vs. Mississippi State score prediction by expert college football model


SEC football returns between the hedges this weekend as No. 5 Georgia welcomes conference rival Mississippi State in college football’s Week 7 action on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert model that picks winners.

Georgia rebounded from its loss at Alabama two weeks ago by defeating rival Auburn at home, moving to 4-1 overall and a 1-1 mark in SEC play, and is a big favorite heading into this matchup against Jeff Lebby’s team.

Mississippi State fell to 0-2 in SEC games after losses against Texas and Florida and sits 110th nationally in scoring defense, allowing nearly 32 points per game, while posting the 90th ranked rushing offense and the 84th scoring attack in the nation.

What do the analytics suggest for this SEC matchup?

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For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview for how Georgia and Mississippi State compare in this Week 7 college football game.

As expected, the simulations are siding strongly with the home team in this game.

SP+ predicts that Georgia will defeat Mississippi State by a projected score of 43 to 13 and will win the game by an expected 30.1 point margin.

The model gives Georgia a near universal 97 percent chance of outright victory in the game.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 154-141-3 against the spread with a 52.2 win percentage.

Georgia is a 33.5 point favorite against Mississippi State, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 53.5 points for the game (Over -115, Under -105).

And it set the moneyline odds for Georgia at -20000 and for Mississippi State at +4000 to win outright.

If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …

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Bettors are almost evenly divided on how to interpret the game, according to the latest spread consensus picks.

A slight majority of bets — 51 percent — suggest that Georgia will win the game and cover the big spread in the process.

The other 49 percent of wagers expect Mississippi State will keep the game within the line.

Other analytical models also predictably side with Georgia against Mississippi State this week.

That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

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Georgia is projected to win outright in the overwhelming 95.1 percent of the FPI computer’s most recent simulations of the game.

That leaves Mississippi State as the expected winner in the remaining 4.9 percent of sims.

Georgia is projected to be 26.9 points better than Mississippi State on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

Georgia is second among SEC teams with a 74.9 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff and will win 9.2 games this season, according to the FPI’s metrics.

That model gives Mississippi State a win total projection of 2.8 games and a 0.4 percent chance to play in a bowl game this year.

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When: Sat., Oct. 12
Time: 4:15 p.m. ET | 3:15 p.m. CT
TV: SEC Network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks



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Mississippi

Celtic Fest Mississippi

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Celtic Fest Mississippi


JACKSON, Miss. (WLBT) – Today was the start of the 34th year of the Celtic Fest. It is the second year that the fest has started with Demo Day.

Demo Day was from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m. It is now open to everyone and not just those with children. It is a day set aside for observing and learning what different things the fest has to offer.

Suezen Brown, Director of Celtic Fest Mississippi, said that there are different demonstration stations set up around the fest.

“There’s Scottish dance going on, there’s Irish dance, Mississippi Forge Council is here with blacksmithing demos,” said Brown. “On our main stage we’ve got introduction to Irish and Scottish instruments – multiple instruments – happening right at the moment.”

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The Mississippi Forge Council was a popular demonstration booth. The booth had items for sell that blacksmiths made themselves. They also actively made items behind the booth, so that attendees could observe and learn.

Lon Wimberley, President of Mississippi Forge Council, said their motto is “By teaching we learn.”

“Once a month we get together and do demonstrations and teach one another and try to pass our craft on to others.”

Don’t worry if you missed Demo Day because the fest started today at 4 p.m. and has many things to experience. Some of these things include the Highland Games Competitions, traditional musicians, Irish and Scottish dancing, ax throwing, booths, and more. So, if you want to attend, you can buy tickets online or at the door.

The fest will continue throughout the weekend until Sunday evening.

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Jordan Hall status revealed on Georgia vs. Mississippi State Friday injury report

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Jordan Hall status revealed on Georgia vs. Mississippi State Friday injury report


The final injury report has been released for Mississippi State vs. No. 5 Georgia on Saturday.

A dozen players have had a designation over the past two days on the first two reports for the matchup. None of the statuses for those names changed either from Wednesday to Thursday.

For Georgia, Smael Mondon and Tate Ratledge were still listed as out. They also had a pair that were questionable in Jordan Hall and Jared Wilson.

For Mississippi State, all seven of their names were out for this game in Athens. That included Blake Shapen along with three offensive weapons and three other players on the defensive side of the ball.

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Here’s how the final report for these two teams looks ahead of kickoff between the hedges tomorrow:

Friday Injury Report for Mississippi State vs. Georgia

Georgia

Mississippi State

Georgia will be setting themselves up in this game for the next month of the season. They’re a favorite of nearly five scores tomorrow in Athens. From there, the ‘Dawgs will play four games against top conference competition, including three away from home. That stretch includes at Texas, their rivalry game against Florida, at Ole Miss, and then Tennessee.

Mississippi State, though, is just looking for any kind of win for their year. After winning their opener, they’ve lost each of their last four to Arizona State, Toledo, Florida, and Texas by an average margin of 17.5 points. Now, over their final seven, they’ll come out of their first bye week to play Georgia before meeting five other quality teams in the league in Texas A&M and Arkansas before closing with at Tennessee, Missouri, and at Ole Miss.

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Georgia Football vs Mississippi State Score Predictions

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Georgia Football vs Mississippi State Score Predictions


As the Georgia/Mississippi State game inches closer, here is how the Dawgs Daily crew members believe the game will unfold.

The Georgia Bulldogs are set to host the Mississippi State Bulldogs this Saturday as they continue their SEC gauntlet through the 2024 season. This will be the first meeting between the two programs since Georgia’s national championship season in 2022.

With preparations for this exciting matchup nearly wrapped up, here is how our Dawgs Daily crew believes that game will unfold.

Jonathan Williams: Georgia 41, Mississippi State 7

If there were ever a time for Georgia’s offense to really get things going it would be this weekend. Mississippi State has struggled to keep teams out of the red zone this season and teams are converting those red zone attempts into touchdowns at a high rate. Another factor going into this game is that Mississippi State’s offense runs at a very high tempo while also not being very effecient. That means their defense gets put onto the field a lot and is put into some tough situations. I expect Georgia to cruise this weekend and bring a lot of momentum into next week when they get ready for Texas.

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Brooks Austin: Georgia 42, Mississippi State 10

There are way too many statistics and way too much film through five games to think this game shouldn’t be handle properly by Georgia. Mississippi State is dead last in the conference in explosive plays allowed, they are dead last in sacks, they are dead last in rushing yards allowed per game. Georgia is in need of a hot start and a confidence-boosting game and with the way Mississippi allows leads to be gained quickly, this is the one to circle. Mississippi State been down at points this season 35 to 3 vs Toledo, 28 to 7 to Florida, and 28 to 6 to Texas. Georgia should handle this one, and handle it early.

Christian Kirby II: Georgia 45, Mississippi State 9

While extremely efficient, Georgia hasn’t been explosive on offense up to this point in the season. However, although Mississippi State is an SEC opponent, they will probably not have much success keeping the Dawgs’ offense at bay. Look for Georgia to have an extremely efficient day on offense, even if they don’t have numerous explosives.

How to Watch Georgia vs Mississippi State

Georgia Bulldogs 2024 TV Broadcast Schedule

Other Georgia News:

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You can follow us for future coverage by clicking “Follow” on the top right-hand corner of the page. Also, be sure to like us on Facebook @BulldogMaven & follow us on Twitter at@DawgsDaily





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