After an inspiring begin to the season after 11 video games (8-3), Miami buckled over a difficult three-game highway journey (0-3 vs. 49ers, Chargers, and Payments). Final week, Tua Tagovailoa threw three expensive interceptions within the second half vs. the Packers, placing them on the recent seat for a postseason berth in the event that they lose to New England. Tagovailoa is 4-0 in his profession in opposition to the Patriots whereas by no means dropping to the Jets in three begins. If the Dolphins come up brief in opposition to New England and beat New York, they’ll want Buffalo to defeat the Patriots in Week 18.

The Patriots come off two devastating losses, leaving New England followers clamoring for teaching and quarterback adjustments. Their franchise has been the very best within the NFL because the flip of the century. Sadly, Patriots followers do not see that success within the league can activate a dime with a mediocre quarterback and a downgrade within the teaching employees. New England controls their playoff future by defeating Miami and Buffalo. The Patriots are 1-4 over the previous 5 matchups.

The Dolphins depend on their two stud large receivers (Tyreek Hill – 113/1,632/7 and Jaylen Waddle – 67/1,260/8) whereas being up and down working the ball (330/1,438/12). Miami’s protection allowed 114 factors over their previous 4 matchups (28.5 per recreation), with quarterbacks tossing eight touchdowns. The Dolphins performed higher vs. the run in 4 of their previous 5 matchups (2.6, 3.6, 3.6, and three.2 yards per rush). Miami has 19 sacks over the past six weeks.

New England’s protection regressed in 4 of their previous 5 video games (33, 24, 30, and 22 factors allowed) whereas dropping the time of possession in every contest (36:17, 38:08, 33:31, 33:16, and 36:48 minutes). This bend, don’t break model works vs. weaker opponents. The Patriots’ protection helped its trigger by scoring 5 instances with one punt return for a landing. The underside line with their offense is the shortage of explosive gamers with up-and-down play by their offensive line (25 sacks of their 5 worst video games). As well as, New England ends too many drives with area objectives or turnovers.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds

Moneyline: Dolphins (+120) | Patriots (-143)
Unfold: MIA +2.5 (-110) | NE -2.5 (-110)
Whole: 42.5 – Over: (-110) | Underneath: (-110)
Sport Data: Sunday, January 1st, 2023 | 1:00 p.m. ET | CBS

Dolphins Straight-Up File: 8-7
Dolphins Towards The Unfold File: 7-8

Patriots Straight-Up File: 7-8
Patriots Towards The Unfold File: 7-7-1

Wager on Dolphins-Patriots at SI Sportsbook

Odds and Betting Insights

New England is 2-6 when receiving factors this 12 months, together with 4 straight losses as an underdog. They’re 3-4 at dwelling straight up and in opposition to the unfold. The whole landed on the underneath in six of their previous eight matchups, with 4 consecutive wins on the underneath at dwelling. The Patriots misplaced 20-7 in Miami in Week 1. The underneath has are available 5 straight video games for New England after an outright loss of their earlier contest.

There’s been early line motion because it was introduced that Tagovailoa was in concussion protocol. The road flipped to creating the Pats favorites after opening as 1.5-point underdogs.

The climate forecast is between 48 and 58 on Sunday in Foxborough, with an inexpensive probability of rain. This forecast ought to be thought of a win for Dolphin followers.

The Patriots lack chemistry this season whereas making too many out-of-character turnovers and errors late in video games. For New England to win, their protection should paved the way with a stellar efficiency, highlighted by their move rush (50 sacks). Tagovailoa hasn’t performed properly over the previous month (competitors price – 52.6), with six touchdowns and 5 interceptions. I count on Invoice Belichick to discover a option to maintain the Patriots’ playoff hopes alive for a minimum of yet another week. 

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