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Rain, storms expected in Tampa Bay area as potential tropical disturbance moves over Florida

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Rain, storms expected in Tampa Bay area as potential tropical disturbance moves over Florida


Heavy rain and storms are expected across the Tampa Bay area this week as an area of low pressure moves over Florida.

FOX 13 meteorologists say the wet pattern will last at least two or three days with elevated rain chances each day.

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Monday forecast

FOX 13 Meteorologist Dave Osterberg says rounds of rain already began early Monday and more are expected during the afternoon and evening, with deep tropical moisture bringing a slight risk of excessive rain.

Heavy rain and storms are expected during the afternoon and evening hours on Monday, meteorologists say.

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Locally heavy rain and minor flooding could occur, according to Osterberg.

There's a chance of locally heavy rain and minor flooding on Monday, meteorologists say.

There’s a chance of locally heavy rain and minor flooding on Monday, meteorologists say.

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It will be a similar setup through midweek, as well, with some areas possibly getting several inches of rain over the next seven days.

Several inches of rain could be possible over the next week, meteorologists say.

Several inches of rain could be possible over the next week, meteorologists say.

“No individual day over the next two or three days will be a washout,” Osterberg said. “But every day, we have a chance of some heavy rain.”

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Will there be development in the tropics?

The National Hurricane Center is giving the area of low pressure a 30% chance of development in the next seven days.

The National Hurricane Center is giving an area of low pressure a 30% chance of development in the next seven days.

The National Hurricane Center is giving an area of low pressure a 30% chance of development in the next seven days.

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Osterberg says it will not develop over Florida as it likely moves due west. Once it moves into the Gulf, though, conditions are more favorable for development.

“As it’s developing, it’s also going to be moving away from our state,” Osterberg said. “So Southeast Louisiana might have to contend with a tropical depression or a tropical storm by the end of the week.”

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In the Bay Area, rain chances will slowly decrease from 70% Monday-Wednesday to 40% by this weekend.

Rain chances will slowly drop later this week into this weekend, meteorologists say.

Rain chances will slowly drop later this week into this weekend, meteorologists say.

The Source: This story was written with information from FOX 13 meteorologists.

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Florida High School Boys Basketball 2026 Playoff Brackets, Schedule (FHSAA) – March 2, 2026

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Florida High School Boys Basketball 2026 Playoff Brackets, Schedule (FHSAA) – March 2, 2026


GRAY REID

Gray Reid has spent most of his career in basketball and sports media. He began as a student manager for the Nevada men’s basketball team, then went on to coach overseas in China and later joined the LC State men’s basketball program as a graduate assistant. After coaching, Gray joined SBLive Sports as a videographer and video editor, eventually moving into his current role as Regional Marketing Director.



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South Florida reacts: Mixed emotions after U.S. and Israeli strikes kill Iran’s Supreme Leader

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South Florida reacts: Mixed emotions after U.S. and Israeli strikes kill Iran’s Supreme Leader


As tensions escalate overseas, locals in South Florida express a complex mix of concern, hope, and fear—especially for loved ones in Israel and Iran. Community leaders and families share their perspectives on uncertainty, security, and what the future holds.



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This Week in South Florida Full Episode: March 1, 2026

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This Week in South Florida Full Episode: March 1, 2026


This Week in South Florida Full Episode: March 1, 2026

PEMBROKE PARK, Fla. — On the latest episode of “This Week in South Florida” host Janine Stanwood welcomes President and CEO of the Jewish Federation of Broward County Audra Berg, Secretary General of the Assembly of the Cuban Resistance Orlando Gutierrez-Boronat, Division Director of Flood Control and Water Supply Planning for the South Florida Water Management District Carolina Maran, State Rep. Juan Carlos Porras and State Rep. Kevin Chambliss.

The full episode can be seen at the top of this page.

Copyright 2026 by WPLG Local10.com – All rights reserved.

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Janine Stanwood

Janine Stanwood is a Emmy award-winning reporter and anchor. She joined Local 10 News in February 2004 as an assignment editor.



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