Uncommon Knowledge
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The ongoing insurance crisis in Florida, fueled by the exodus of major insurers and the increased risk of extreme weather events, could trigger a downturn in the state’s real estate market, experts told Newsweek.
Homeowners in the Sunshine State currently pay the highest insurance premiums in the country. Floridians pay private insurers an average premium of about $6,000 a year, according to the latest data from the Insurance Information Institute, or Triple I, according to Barron’s and CNN Business, compared to the national average of $1,700.
Few people can self-ensure against the loss of their homes, and banks require an insurance policy to protect their collateral and provide a mortgage for a house.
The increasingly unaffordable cost of home insurance risks leaving residents uncovered, and thus unable to get a mortgage should they want to buy a new home, which could escalate to a statewide decline in the real estate sector.
“If you don’t have an insurance policy, it’s basically impossible to take out a mortgage,” Benjamin Keys, an economist and a professor of real estate and finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, told Newsweek.
“And given the important role that financing plays in the housing market, without a functioning insurance market you don’t have a functioning mortgage market, you don’t have a functioning housing market.”
Because of the higher risk posed by climate change, which scientists expect will increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather events in vulnerable states like Florida, “there are more people living in harm’s way, the severity of the disaster is more extreme and the cost of repairs has gone up,” Keys said. “A number of years with large storms and large claims has put some private insurers out of business and led others to simply leave the state.
“Insurers have also been really concerned that a portion of their elevated claims is due to fraud. And they were successful in pressuring the state Legislature to pass sweeping reform that makes it much more insurer-friendly on the fraud front. But in spite of these changes going through, insurers have not returned to Florida on any large scale.”
Between 2022 and 2023, more than a dozen private insurers left Florida, including Farmers Insurance, leaving many residents with a lack of options to insure their homes and considering “going bare,” going without any coverage on their properties.
According to Keys, “the private market for homeowner insurance has failed” in Florida.
“There’s a large gap in the market of homeowners who would like to have affordable policies from private insurers but are unable to find them and have to turn to a state-run entity called Citizen Property Insurance,” he said.
There are currently an estimated 1.3 million homeowners in the Sunshine State insured by Citizen Property, according to Keys.
Chicago-based real estate investor Sean O’Dowd thinks that the impact of the ongoing insurance crisis in Florida on the state’s real estate market depends on whether you believe the insurance premiums increases of the past couple of years are a blip or a trend.
“In my opinion, I strongly believe it’s a trend,” O’Dowd, who runs a real estate fund buying single-family homes in highly elite school districts and then renting the homes on 3-plus-year leases, told Newsweek.
“I’m an institutional SFR [single-family rental], I’ve spent a lot of time with the biggest institutional SFR players and they have given us explicit warning to stay away from Florida, and that if we buy portfolios in Florida, they won’t buy from us because they’re so negative on Florida in the long run, which is scary.”
CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images
That’s why O’Dowd believes that the current insurance crisis is going to have a “significant negative impact” on the Florida real estate market.
“There’s not a single lender out there that I’m aware of that will give you a mortgage without proof of insurance,” he said.
“The problem is, if you have an insurance payment that’s just as much as the principal and interest payment for the mortgage, if you’ve got an insurance payment that’s five hundred bucks a month, you get to a situation where a homebuyer—especially a first-time homebuyer that doesn’t have a lot of capital to put down for the down payment—has such a weedy monthly payment with this huge insurance premium that they cannot afford to buy a house.”
This is a situation that’s going to “flush a ton of buyers, especially first-time homebuyers and retirees on fixed income, completely out of the market,” O’Dowd said. The impact on the real market then is that homeowners would need to cut prices in order to sell, pulling down the market.
Homebuyers will be hurt by the crisis as much as homeowners, according to O’Dowd.
“Everything that I’ve been told and I’ve been seeing is insurance rates continue to rise, that makes the monthly payment substantially higher, that makes affordability a lot worse, that pushes down prices—with the one caveat of what happens with retirees who frequently buy in cash,” he said.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
The Florida Lottery offers several draw games for those hoping to win one of the available jackpots.
Here’s a look at the winning numbers for games played on Saturday, April 11, 2026.
06-47-49-53-60, Powerball: 06, Power Play: 2
Check Powerball payouts and previous drawings here.
01-04-22-36-48, Powerball: 17
03-06-09-20-29-35
Check Florida Lotto payouts and previous drawings here.
07-29-36-39-42-50
Check Lotto Double Play payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 22-25-27-31-34
Evening: 10-12-16-17-26
Check Fantasy 5 payouts and previous drawings here.
Morning: 02
Matinee: 04
Afternoon: 01
Evening: 08
Late Night: 14
Check Cash Pop payouts and previous drawings here.
Powerball, Mega Millions jackpots: What to know in case you win
Here’s what to know in case you win the Powerball or Mega Millions jackpot.
Just the FAQs, USA TODAY
Midday: 1-4, FB: 9
Evening: 6-2, FB: 1
Check Pick 2 payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 9-3-6, FB: 9
Evening: 0-5-3, FB: 1
Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 2-6-8-9, FB: 9
Evening: 3-0-2-7, FB: 1
Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 2-5-4-2-9, FB: 9
Evening: 2-3-5-3-4, FB: 1
Check Pick 5 payouts and previous drawings here.
Tickets can be purchased in person at any authorized retailer throughout Florida, including gas stations, convenience stores and grocery stores. To find a retailer near you, go to Find Florida Lottery Retailers.
Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results
You also can claim your winnings by mail if the prize is $250,000 or less. Mail your ticket to the Florida Lottery with the required documentation.
If you’re a winner, Florida law mandates the following information is public record:
This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Florida digital producer. You can send feedback using this form.
The Florida Lottery offers several draw games for those hoping to win one of the available jackpots.
Here’s a look at the winning numbers for games played on Friday, April 10, 2026.
03-18-36-42-49, Mega Ball: 06
Check Mega Millions payouts and previous drawings here.
13-18-21-28-35-38
Check Jackpot Triple Play payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 11-16-27-31-35
Evening: 12-13-14-19-24
Check Fantasy 5 payouts and previous drawings here.
Morning: 12
Matinee: 04
Afternoon: 02
Evening: 03
Late Night: 05
Check Cash Pop payouts and previous drawings here.
Powerball, Mega Millions jackpots: What to know in case you win
Here’s what to know in case you win the Powerball or Mega Millions jackpot.
Just the FAQs, USA TODAY
Midday: 7-8, FB: 0
Evening: 1-6, FB: 7
Check Pick 2 payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 8-0-6, FB: 0
Evening: 5-1-8, FB: 7
Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 6-7-1-2, FB: 0
Evening: 4-3-9-0, FB: 7
Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.
Midday: 7-5-1-2-1, FB: 0
Evening: 1-7-9-4-3, FB: 7
Check Pick 5 payouts and previous drawings here.
Tickets can be purchased in person at any authorized retailer throughout Florida, including gas stations, convenience stores and grocery stores. To find a retailer near you, go to Find Florida Lottery Retailers.
Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results
You also can claim your winnings by mail if the prize is $250,000 or less. Mail your ticket to the Florida Lottery with the required documentation.
If you’re a winner, Florida law mandates the following information is public record:
This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Florida digital producer. You can send feedback using this form.
Twenty checks were recorded paid to “Farmer and Irwin,” but Martin County Sheriff’s investigators reported the $85,410 in payments actually went to Alexandra Gonzalez and were used for personal expenses, including travel and retail purchases.
The details are in court records supporting the April 9 arrest of Gonzalez, 46, who is accused of embezzling nearly $200,000 in total from The Dune of Hutchinson Island Condominium Association and the Whitemarsh Reserve Homeowners Association.
Gonzalez, identified as a community association manager who worked for a property management company, was held April 10 in the Martin County jail on 124 charges with more than $1.2 million bond, records show.
Sheriff’s officials in February began investigating after association representatives reported the suspected fraudulent or theft activity, which at Dune of Hutchinson Island occurred beginning in October 2025 and at Whitmarsh Reserve started in February 2025, according to statements in records.
In the Dune of Hutchinson Island case, the owner of the property management company that employed Gonzalez told sheriff’s officials that Gonzalez “exploited the system by creating and altering vendor profiles, specifically a vendor identified as ‘Farmer and Irwin,’ to conceal fraudulent transactions,” according to records.
Checks — 20 in total representing $85,410 — recorded as payments to Farmer and Irwin corresponded to checks issued to Gonzalez, according to statements in records. The checks had a forged signature of a Dune of Hutchinson Island association vice president.
Meanwhile, in the Whitemarsh Reserve case, investigators found 39 checks totaling $111,980 fraudulently issued to Gonzalez. Investigators found Gonzalez “issued fraudulent checks payable to herself, and made corresponding false entries in the association’s accounting system to conceal those transactions…,” records show.
Investigators reported records showed the money was used for personal expenses, including travel, cosmetic and medical procedures and retail purchases.
In speaking with investigators, Gonzalez expressed regret and said she’d be willing to repay the amounts “to avoid legal consequences.”
Gonzalez ultimately reported going through financial challenges during the time when the checks were issued.
“When asked if her financial situation was the reason she issued checks to herself, Gonzalez admitted that it was,” records show.
Will Greenlee is a breaking news reporter for TCPalm. Follow Will on X @OffTheBeatTweet or reach him by phone at 772-267-7926. E-mail him at will.greenlee@tcpalm.com.
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