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AccuWeather predicting 1-3 tropical storms in November. Florida residents should be prepared

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AccuWeather predicting 1-3 tropical storms in November. Florida residents should be prepared



Threat for additional storms could extend into December

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AccuWeather is predicting high ocean temperatures could mean up to three tropical storms could form in November.

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And then the news grows worse for Florida and the East Coast of the United States, which are still recovering from Hurricanes Debby, Helene and Milton.

Florida and the East Coast are the most likely to be impacted, AccuWeather forecasters said.

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The threat for additional storms could even extend into December, even though the official end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.

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The next named storms of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be Patty, Rafael and Sara.

November could bring 1-3 tropical storms

“We’ve been saying since March that the end of this year’s hurricane season could be quite active,” said AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva.

“We’re expecting a late-season surge in the month of November with another one to three named storms possible in the Atlantic basin.” 

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DaSilva also said there’s a potential for tropical trouble extending into early December.

“We may even see a tropical storm in December this year. It doesn’t happen very often, but the very warm sea surface temperatures could make it possible this year.”

Climate Prediction Center issues ‘Global Tropics Hazards Outlook’ for November

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting up to a 40% chance of tropical development in the Caribbean between Oct. 30 and Nov. 5, and dropping to less than 20% for a tropical depression or greater in strength developing in the same area between Nov. 6 through Nov. 12.

Preliminary predictions for Nov. 13-19 call for less than 20% for a tropical depression or greater in strength developing in the Caribbean.

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A “robust” Madden-Julian Oscillation brings the “potential for tropical cyclone development over the Eastern Pacific and Caribbean Sea during the week 1-2 period,” the Climate Prediction Center announced Oct. 28.

Why so many tropical storms this late in the season?

Extremely warm water temperatures, which have helped storms to develop throughout the season, are continuing to help tropical cyclones to form.

“Ocean temperatures continue to run above the historical average across the Caribbean and most of the Atlantic Ocean. There are also pockets of warmer water in the Gulf of Mexico,” AccuWeather said.

Another factor is the lack of wind shear. Without wind shear, a tropical storm can develop and strengthen.

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“In addition to providing extra heat energy to fuel rapid intensification of tropical storms and hurricanes, those warm waters may also lengthen the hurricane season beyond what has been typically the norm over the past century,” said Brett Anderson, AccuWeather senior meteorologist and climate expert.

“An earlier start and a later end to the hurricane season may very well be what our near future holds.” 

Florida, US East Coast at risk from November tropical storms

AccuWeather meteorologists said there is virtually no risk of direct impacts in November to the western Gulf of Mexico along the Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama coastline.

“The western and central Gulf of Mexico coastline likely will not see any direct impacts for the rest of this hurricane season.”

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The news isn’t as good for Florida.

“We are concerned that areas, the entire state of Florida even up into the Carolinas, could be at risk of seeing another tropical impact this season,” DaSilva said.

Could Florida see a hurricane in early November?

“We’re becoming more confident that the next named storm in the Atlantic basin could form within the next week,” said AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno.

“There is a large area of high-pressure building across the northeast that has sent a stalled front southward. That sets off a chain reaction that begins with showers and thunderstorms in the southern Caribbean.” 

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“It wouldn’t shock me if we’re dealing with a hurricane potentially at one point early in November here,” DaSilva said, pointing to a system in the western Caribbean.

➤ Tropical storm? Hurricane?! It’s possible in early November. What Florida residents should know

Tropics watch, Oct. 29: National Hurricane Center gives system in Caribbean 40% chance of developing. Florida impact?

The National Hurricane Center has given the system a 40 percent chance of development over the next seven days and are predicting it could become a tropical depression late this week or over the weekend.

AccuWeather has been predicting the system is likely to become a named storm in early November, although there’s a few different scenarios on where it could go.

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A few of those scenarios could affect Florida, possibly sometime between Nov. 7-10.

  • Northly track: “If a storm develops, it could move across Cuba or Hispaniola and move out into the open Atlantic, but we do have to watch for the possibility of eventual impacts to Florida. The area of high pressure could potentially block a storm from heading out to sea and essentially force the storm to turn west toward Florida,” DaSilva said.
  • Western track: If the area of high pressure starts to weaken, it could allow the storm to turn to the north, with the possibility of an impact to South Florida.

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.

Countdown clock: When will hurricane season end?

What’s next? 

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site’s app to ensure you’re always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. 



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‘Living and working in Florida is like being in a toxic relationship,’ but the Northeast shows jarring differences, real estate founder says | Fortune

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‘Living and working in Florida is like being in a toxic relationship,’ but the Northeast shows jarring differences, real estate founder says | Fortune


In a candid interview, top real estate agent and founder of SYKES Properties, Erin Sykes, got real about the state of the Florida real estate market. “Living and working in Florida is like being in a toxic relationship,” she said at the ResiDay conference in an interview with ResiClub editor Meghan Malas.

Now, Skykes, whose firm showcases multimillion-dollar deals in both Florida and the Northeast, said she’s watching two Americas diverge in real time. In the Northeast, she’s seeing bidding wars have returned in commuter suburbs like Monmouth County, N.J., and mid-Long Island, where buyers still fight for an acre and an elite school district. In Florida, by contrast, she described a market in withdrawal, nursing a hangover after a flurry of activity. “Just a couple years ago, we were being love-bombed and told how great we were,” she said, citing Florida’s burgeoning status as “Wall Street South,” a new finance hub. Now, things are “flat” or even heading downward.

Home prices in Florida have fallen 5.4% year-over-year, dragged down by a glut of aging condos facing six-figure special assessments and post-Surfside safety mandates. Single-family homes, meanwhile, remain relatively resilient, she noted. She characterized the Sunshine State’s housing scene as a cycle of boom, bust, and burnout. She’s always fueled by the belief that somehow, the next round will be different.

“Now we’re being told, ‘Oh, you’re too expensive,’ and kind of being discarded,” Sykes said. “You know, the conversation changes by the day, really.”

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Noting that Florida has always been a boom-or-bust state, she said she sees signs of moderation rather than collapse. “Rather than being the boom up here and the bust way down here like we saw in 2008 and 2009, the waves are becoming flatter,” she said. While there may be a pullback in prices, “really, a 5% pullback is nothing when your house has appreciated 25%.”

For Florida, Sykes argued, even a flat market signals stability after years of breakneck appreciation—especially in Palm Beach, where home values have jumped as much as 200% in the past few years.

The challenge of dual market personalities

Sykes described jarring regional differences. In Florida as an agent, you’re “just trying to really push and pull and drag deals together, you’re getting discounts of 5%, 10%, 20% off list price,” but then in the Northeast you find yourself going into a bidding war. “It’s like having a multiple personality disorder.”

That volatility, she noted, reflects a broader split between regions that overheated during the pandemic and those returning to normal. The migration wave that sent high earners south may have turbocharged Florida’s boom but also exposed its fragility. Now, Sykes said, agents and homeowners alike are navigating two competing realities: the Northeast’s cautious recovery and the Southeast’s cooling after years of mania.

She also outlined a bifurcation within the Florida housing market: while single-family homes remain robust thanks to demand for space among incoming families, condos face mounting challenges. That’s difficult because they are “really what has been driving down the Florida market,” and they are facing new challenges from special assessments, strengthened structural regulations, and fallout from incidents like the Surfside collapse. Pre-selling of new-construction condos continues apace, she said, with West Palm Beach alone seeing many significant developments underway.​

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Sykes described a bifurcation between single-family homes and condos in Florida, since its exploding population is full of people who left Manhattan or Chicago and “wanted their own space.” She said single-family homes are doing well, and then “We’re seeing condos bifurcated, and then within that bifurcation of condos, a secondary bifurcation.”

“Florida,” she concluded, “you have to always take with a grain of salt.”



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Smoke starting to appear between Florida and USC’s Lincoln Riley

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Smoke starting to appear between Florida and USC’s Lincoln Riley


The Florida Gators coaching search could take a wild turn in November.

More News: Brian Kelly Made His Intentions Clear in Obtained LSU Firing Email

The Gators fired head coach Billy Napier on Oct. 19 after starting the season 3-4. Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin appears to be the top candidate for Florida, but it’s unclear if Kiffin has any intentions of leaving the Rebels amid a No. 6 spot in the first College Football Playoff ranking.

On Wednesday, Josh Pate set off a firestorm of speculation about USC head coach Lincoln Riley. During Wednesday’s episode of “Bussin With The Boys” podcast, Pate suggested Riley could be on the move.

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“Let’s just keep an eye on Lincoln Riley at USC,” Pate said.

More News: LSU Linked to Ultimate Anti-Brian Kelly Candidate

Keith Niebuhr of On3 invited more speculation on Riley’s future with the Trojans. He put Riley on the hot board of candidates for the Gators.

Niebuhr reported that there isn’t “much chatter” about Riley and Florida (implying that there is some), but that more smoke about the USC head coach is likely to come.

“Because things look wide open (at least on the surface) after Kiffin, it’s worth adding Riley’s name to this list even though there has not yet been much chatter about him and the Gators,” Niebuhr wrote. “There has been some chatter, though unverified, that Riley might be interested in working back in his home state of Texas.

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“It’s not yet known on our part if UF has any interest.”

Riley would not owe USC any money if he wanted a fresh start with a new program before his 10-year, $110 million contract is up at the end of the 2031 season.

Riley is 32-16 during his four seasons with the Trojans. Southern Cal is 6-2 this season before playing at home on Saturday against Northwestern.

Riley has not been able to replicate the same success at USC that he had at Oklahoma, when he went 55-10 in five seasons and won four Big 12 championships and made three CFP appearances.

Riley could figure he has a better chance of returning to the CFP with Florida than staying the course at USC.

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For more on the NCAA, head to Newsweek Sports.



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High school football playoff brackets released; see where Central Florida schools are

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High school football playoff brackets released; see where Central Florida schools are


High school football playoff brackets were revealed Thursday, and more than 40 high schools across Central Florida have a shot at a state title. Games start next Friday night, Nov. 14.

DeLand (7A), Edgewater (5A), Jones (4A), and Bishop Moore (3A) earned No. 1 seeds in the respective classes.

Class 1A will be decided on Monday, after the FHSAA granted a temporary injunction to allow The First Academy to play in the playoffs. The school was banned from this year’s playoffs after the FHSAA ruled the school violated recruiting rules and allowed players to practice with the team before they were enrolled.

Below is a breakdown of each bracket where Central Florida schools are playing, which are underlined. Rankings are respective to each region:

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Class 7A, Region 1

No. 8 Creekside at No. 1 DeLand

No. 5 Winter Park at No. 4 Boone

No. 7 Hagerty at No. 2 Lake Mary

No. 6 Seminole at No. 3 Spruce Creek

Class 7A, Region 2

No. 8 Ridge Community at No. 1 Venice

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No. 5 Plant City at No. 4 West Orange

No. 7 Winter Haven at No. 2 Riverview Sarasota

No. 6 Ocoee at No. 3 Sumner

Class 7A, Region 3

No. 8 East Ridge at No. 1 Vero Beach

No. 5 Lake Nona at No. 4 St. Cloud

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No. 7 Dr. Phillips at No. 2 Jupiter

Class 6A, Region 1

No. 8 Oviedo at No. 1 Buchholz

No. 6 Evans at No. 3 Pace

Class 6A, Region 2

No. 8 Melbourne at No. 1 Armwood

No. 5 Riverview at No. 4 Viera

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No. 7 Plant at No. 2 South Lake

No. 6 Durant at No. 3 Osceola

Class 5A, Region 1

No. 7 Middleburg at No. 2 Mainland

Class 5A, Region 2

No. 8 Lake Gibson at No. 1 Edgewater

No. 7 Wesley Chapel at No. 2 Lakeland

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No. 6 Winter Springs at No. 3 Gaither

Class 5A, Region 4

No. 8 Heritage at No. 1 St. Thomas Aquinas

Class 4A, Region 2

No. 8 Deltona at No. 1 Jones

No. 5 Vanguard at No. 4 Auburndale

No. 7 Rockledge at No. 2 Zephyrhills

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No. 6 New Smyrna Beach at No. 3 Lake Wales

Class 3A, Region 2

No. 8 Hernando at No. 1 Bishop Moore

No. 5 South Sumter at No. 4 Eastside

No. 7 Tavares at No. 2 Eau Gallie

No. 6 Titusville at No. 3 Merritt Island

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Class 3A, Region 3

No. 8 Mulberry at No. 1 Booker

Class 2A, Region 2

No. 5 Berkley Prep at No. 4 The Villages Charter

No. 6 Newberry at No. 3 Cocoa

Class 1A, Region 1

No. 8 Trinity Catholic at No. 1 University Christian

Class 1A, Region 2

Region bracket delayed due to The First Academy injunction

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