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NASCAR at Atlanta odds, predictions, start time: Proven model relays surprising 2024 Ambetter Health 400 picks

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NASCAR at Atlanta odds, predictions, start time: Proven model relays surprising 2024 Ambetter Health 400 picks


Despite starting on the pole at Daytona, Joey Logano finished in 32nd place. However, that hasn’t stopped sportsbooks being high on him this week at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Logano is the 9-1 favorite in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 odds, followed by Denny Hamlin at 19-2. Despite a rough Daytona, Logano’s position atop the 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds is understandable since he won this race last year, but Hamlin’s is a bit more surprising. In fact, it’s been 15 starts since he won at Atlanta and doesn’t have a top-five finish at the track over his last five races there.

The Ambetter Health 400 2024 will begin at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. William Byron won the Daytona 500 and as a two-time Atlanta winner, he’s likely to attract plenty of 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta bets at 12-1 odds. Brad Keselowski also has two victories at this track and is 10-1 in this week’s NASCAR odds. Before scouring the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Ambetter Health 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.  

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure’s model was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson’s wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two of the playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. 

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All told, the model has nailed a whopping 15 winners since 2021 and nine last year alone. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard.

Top 2024 Ambetter Health 400 predictions

For the 2024 Ambetter Health 400, we can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he’s a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Along with Byron and Keselowski, Busch is the only other active driver with multiple NASCAR at Atlanta victories. He placed in the top 10 in both Atlanta races last year and has seven top 10s over his last nine trips to the track. For his career, his average finish (13.6) at this circuit is fourth-best among all drivers.

No active driver has led for more laps (558) at Atlanta than Busch, who also leads his contemporaries in top 5s (13) and top 10s (19) at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Busch finished 12th at Daytona last week but has a history of bouncing back in a huge way after The Great American Race. Last year, he finished 19th at Daytona to open the season before then winning the second race of the year at Fontana. It’s a different location this time around, but Busch has proven his ability in Atlanta and should factor into your 2024 Ambetter Health 400 bets.

Another massive shocker: Joey Logano, the Vegas favorite, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup. Despite winning the pole and leading 45 laps last week at Daytona, Logano was involved in the big crash late and wound up with a disappointing 32nd-place finish in the 2024 Daytona 500.

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Now he’ll head back to Atlanta as the defending champion of the Ambetter Health 400 but that was his only win of the season in 2023. Logano finished 17th in the summer race in Atlanta and his 12th-place finish in the NASCAR standings was his worst since missing the playoffs entirely in 2017. He’s now finished outside the top 10 in six of his last nine Cup starts. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2024 NASCAR Atlanta odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Ambetter Health 400 2024, and which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard, all from the model that has called 15 winners since 2021.

2024 Ambetter Health 400 odds, drivers, lineup

See full NASCAR at Atlanta picks at SportsLine

Joey Logano 9-1
Denny Hamlin 19-2
Brad Keselowski 10-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Christopher Bell 10-1
Kyle Larson 12-1
William Byron 12-1
Chase Elliott 12-1
Kyle Busch 14-1
Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
Bubba Wallace 18-1
Tyler Reddick 20-1
Ross Chastain 20-1
Erik Jones 22-1
Chris Buescher 22-1
Ty Gibbs 25-1
Austin Cindric 28-1
Alex Bowman 28-1
Michael McDowell 33-1
Daniel Suarez 35-1
Corey Lajoie 40-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 40-1
Austin Dillon 45-1
Chase Briscoe 50-1
Noah Gragson 60-1
Ryan Preece 65-1
John Hunter Nemechek 65-1
Josh Berry 75-1
Todd Gilliland 75-1
Carson Hocevar 75-1
Harrison Burton 100-1
Daniel Hemric 100-1
Zane Smith 100-1
Justin Haley 100-1
Josh Williams 150-1
Kaz Grala 250-1
BJ McLeod 500-1

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Atlanta, GA

Falcons-Buccaneers on ‘Thursday Night Football’: What We Learned from Atlanta’s 29-28 win

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Falcons-Buccaneers on ‘Thursday Night Football’: What We Learned from Atlanta’s 29-28 win


FULL BOX SCORE

  1. Falcons pull off shocking upset in spite of countless mistakes. The Carolina Panthers might have to add the Falcons to their Christmas card list. Trailing by 14 points with less than 10 minutes remaining, the Falcons engineered two touchdown drives and — after the Bucs failed to shut the door — drove 45 yards to kick the game-winning field goal as time expired. Kirk Cousins overcame a final-drive fumble that was ruled simultaneous possession, keeping the ball with Atlanta. Cousins threw for 134 yards in the fourth quarter alone, keeping his mastery of the Bucs’ defense alive from last season, when he gutted them for 785 yards and eight TDs. Cousins threw for 373 yards and three TD passes on Thursday, all to Kyle Pitts, and showed he still has a little magic left. The way they played for most of the game, the Falcons had absolutely no business winning this contest — only their second victory since Week 6 — but somehow found a way. 
  2. Just a crushing loss for the stumbling Bucs. Leading by two scores early in the fourth quarter, the Bucs appeared to be putting the Falcons away and making them pay for their countless mistakes throughout the game. But Tampa Bay’s defense allowed the Falcons to drive twice for touchdowns, with Baker Mayfield’s interception an absolute killer with just over eight minutes left. Even though the Falcons missed two two-point tries, Atlanta stopped Mayfield and the Bucs’ offense with just under two minutes left and drove 45 yards to set up Zane Gonzalez‘ game-winning kick. This loss (the Bucs’ sixth in seven games since the bye) helped push the Panthers into first place heading into Sunday’s matchup at the Saints, and it suddenly puts the Bucs in real danger of missing the postseason for the first time since the 2019 season. Not even Mike Evans‘ impressive return to the field could spur the Buccaneers enough. The division will still come down to the Bucs’ two matchups with Carolina, but with the way they’re playing, you have to say the Panthers have the edge now.
  3. Pitts made money with career-best game. One of the more intriguing 2026 free agents is helping his cause to get paid in the offseason, and Thursday was his best game yet. Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts registered career highs in receptions (11), receiving yards (166) and touchdowns (three), lifting the Falcons to the stunning win. Pitts had two of his three scores in the first half, helping Atlanta take a 14-13 lead into the break, and his 7-yard TD catch — with his keister barely touching in the end zone before his elbow hit out — with 3:34 left cut the Bucs’ lead to two points. Atlanta faced a third-and-28 on the final drive, but Pitts’ 14-yard catch at least made the fourth down manageable, with David Sills (who dropped a would-be TD earlier) snagging a 21-yarder on fourth-and-14 to put the Falcons in business. But the story on the night was Pitts, who was shredding the Bucs even after they issued extra defensive attention his way. The 25-year-old hasn’t produced as expected — he had one TD coming into the game — but has been on a recent hot streak and could parlay that into a big March payday.
  4. Pass protection let the Bucs down. Baker Mayfield has to take responsibility for his un-pressured interception in the fourth quarter, but he was under fire for most of the night Thursday. Mayfield was sacked five times, and that number would have been higher had it not been for Atlanta penalties wiping other sacks out. The Bucs’ interior OL trio of Mike Jordan, Dan Feeney and Graham Barton really struggled to handle the Falcons’ rush inside all night, creating some muddy pockets on a field that looked pretty chewed up to begin with. All of that disrupted the timing of the Bucs’ offense, even with Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan back in the lineup — the first time all season they had a full complement of wide receivers. Evans, McMillan, Emeka Egbuka and Chris Godwin all made big plays, but the Bucs failed to stick with the run game and Mayfield’s late pick cut deeply. 
  5. Falcons won in spite of record penalty night. It’s incredible to think how the Falcons won this game in spite of repeatedly shooting themselves in the feet. It would almost be easier to list the plays on which the Falcons were not flagged Thursday night. They finished with 19 accepted penalties — a Falcons record and the most in an NFL game this season — including 13 flags through the first 37-plus minutes. They had two sacks of Baker Mayfield erased on defensive holds by A.J. Terrell. A hold wiped out a 30-yard Bijan Robinson run. Dee Alford’s illegal contact call on a third-and-13 incompletion kept a drive alive, setting up a Bucs TD. Cousins also was flagged for intentional grounding, knocking the Falcons out of field-goal range. Throw in David Sills’ dropped bomb, Robinson’s fumble at the Atlanta 25-yard line (his second in as many games) and two missed two-pointers, and it’s hard to figure out how the Falcons were victorious. Darnell Mooney also fumbled inside the red zone, and yet Atlanta came away with it — in spite of three orange jerseys swarming around the loose ball. The Falcons tempted fate, but somehow the football gods were on their side Thursday. 

Next Gen Stats Insight for Falcons-Buccaneers (via NFL Pro): The Falcons’ win probability was as low as 4.8% with 13:29 left in the fourth quarter (trailing, 28-14) in their 29-28 comeback win over the Buccaneers.

NFL Research: Falcons edge James Pearce Jr. now has the franchise rookie record for most sacks in a season with eight.



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Atlanta, GA

Braves reportedly sign Robert Suarez to three-year, $45 million deal

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Braves reportedly sign Robert Suarez to three-year,  million deal


The Braves were involved in a few rumors but nothing turned concrete. Maybe that’ll be the case in the near future? We’ll see what happens.

Well, less than 24 hours later, the Atlanta Braves have made two big free agency signings. They brought Mike Yastrzemski into the fold on a two-year deal and now they’ve apparently got the man that they were linked to earlier this week. There were multiple reporters saying that the Braves were interested in Robert Suarez and as it turns out, there was something to that rumor because Suarez is now a member of the Atlanta Braves.

Jeff Passan of ESPN is reporting that the Braves and Suarez have agreed to a three-year, $45 million contract.

The Braves were searching for a high-end reliever to pair with Raisel Iglesias after they brought him back on a one-year deal earlier this offseason and they’ve pulled it off with this deal. Although Suarez is heading into his Age-35 season, he’s coming off of the best season of his career where he finished with an ERA of 2.97 (73 ERA-), a FIP of 2.88 (71 FIP-), a career-low walk rate of 5.9 percent and a solid strikeout rate of nearly 28 percent. The Braves clearly feel that he can keep on providing that type of production and it’ll certainly be exciting to see him light up the radar gun with that elite heater of his that sits at nearly 99 miles per hour.

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The All-Star hurler will now join a bullpen that suddenly looks pretty tough to deal with at the end of ballgames. Atlanta was in search of improving their bullpen and they’ve done just that with the addition of Suarez. While the Braves could still use a starting pitcher, they’ve definitely done a solid job of improving their roster here in the offseason and it’ll be very interesting to see what’s next for improving the squad going forward.

UPDATE [1:05 p.m. ET]: The Braves have officially announced the signing and also announced that they designated Ryan Rolison for assignment in order to make room for Suarez on the roster, so there’s that.



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Man found dead inside southwest Atlanta apartment | what we know

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Man found dead inside southwest Atlanta apartment | what we know


Atlanta police investigate the fatal shooting of a 38-year-old man at The Manor III apartments on Arthur Langford Junior Place in southwest Atlanta on December 10, 2025. (FOX 5)

A 38-year-old man was found shot to death Wednesday evening at an apartment complex on Arthur Langford Junior Place.

What we know:

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Atlanta police said officers were called to The Manor III apartments located at 262 Arthur Langford Junior Place SW around 7:31 p.m. on a report of shots fired. When they arrived, they found the man unresponsive with multiple gunshot wounds. Medical personnel pronounced him dead at the scene.

Homicide investigators spent the night collecting ballistic evidence, reviewing video and working with security at the complex. Detectives said the property has been cooperative and has provided footage that investigators are reviewing.

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What they’re saying:

A police spokesperson at the scene said detectives are still working to determine whether the shooter acted alone or whether multiple suspects were involved. “Unfortunately, the male was pronounced deceased from multiple gunshot wounds,” the spokesperson said. “We are still early in the investigation trying to gather information and speak with witnesses.”

What we don’t know:

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When asked about a potential motive, detectives said it was too soon to know.

What you can do:

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Anyone with information is asked to contact Crime Stoppers or reach out directly to the homicide unit.

The Source: The Atlanta Police Department provided the details for this article.

AtlantaNewsCrime and Public Safety
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