Politics
What’s Russia’s military strategy in Ukraine?
After 5 days of fierce combating, Russian forces escalated assaults on Ukrainian cities Tuesday, bombarding residence and authorities buildings, the primary TV tower in Kyiv, the close by Babyn Yar Holocaust memorial and the primary sq. within the second largest metropolis, Khakiv. A convoy of lots of of Russian tanks was heading to affix the combating in Kyiv, the capital.
“In Chechnya and Syria, Russia used indiscriminate terror bombing. Nothing tactical about it. It’s about scaring folks and getting them on the street in order that they change into refugees and any person else’s downside,” mentioned retired Air Pressure Gen. Philip Breedlove, who was NATO’s supreme allied commander in Europe from 2013 to 2016. “… That is the ugly reality: It’s going to final till Mr. Putin accomplishes his targets or the Russian folks rise as much as cease him.”
Within the coming days, Breedlove expects Russia to bombard Ukraine’s main cities and ports.
Navy specialists say Russian President Vladi- mir Putin underestimated Ukrainian resistance. Now, dealing with the prospect of protracted floor battles, logistical provide challenges and waning troop and home morale, they are saying Putin is prone to unleash much more firepower.
What was Russia’s army technique when it invaded Ukraine?
It seems Putin anticipated Russian forces to enter Ukraine by way of pleasant, separatist areas within the Donbas and Russian-held Crimea, then rapidly take the capital.
“The plan was to go in and seize the low-hanging fruit in Donbas, within the east, then increase, linking Donbas to the Crimea and launch a pincer motion on Kyiv,” mentioned Evelyn Farkas, former deputy assistant secretary of Protection accountable for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia beneath President Obama.
“The plan on paper appeared good, however in execution it turned out to be surprisingly inept,” Farkas mentioned.
Logistical issues surfaced nearly instantly. Navy vehicles might be seen working out of fuel or breaking down.
“They despatched their forces out with out sufficient provides alongside what the army calls a ‘lengthy line of operation,’” Farkas mentioned. “… The availability situation goes to proceed to plague them — clearly they don’t have a deal with on their logistics.
Breedlove, the previous prime commander of the North Atlantic Treaty Group, famous that when Russia invaded, many of the Ukrainian military was guarding separatist areas within the southeast — Donetsk and Luhansk. These forces are mounted and may’t shift north and south as Russia assaults.
On Tuesday, Russian forces seized management of a number of strategic areas alongside the coast.
“Now Russia holds all of the ports of Ukraine and it’s primarily a landlocked nation,” Breedlove mentioned.
Has Russian troops’ morale suffered?
“We’ve seen movies of Russian prisoners who say they don’t know what they had been despatched to do, that they weren’t advised they had been being despatched to Ukraine or why,” Farkas mentioned. “The Russian army has a number of issues.”
She mentioned it’s unclear what’s occurring to the our bodies of Russian troopers who’re killed in motion, and that would affect morale within the area and again dwelling. There have been reviews that fallen Russian troopers are being cremated.
“Ukrainians are taking footage of these our bodies and placing them on [the messaging app] Telegram and saying, ‘Is that this your son?’” she mentioned.
Farkas has seen reviews of Ukrainians providing financial rewards to Russian troopers who give up, together with the promise that they won’t be branded battle criminals. Ukrainian Protection Minister Oleksii Reznikov, in a Fb submit, has supplied 5 million rubles, about $48,000, to those that do.
All of those elements may injury Russia’s capacity to combat a protracted battle, Farkas mentioned:
“That’s their vulnerability.”
Why hasn’t Russia overpowered Ukraine’s smaller, less-equipped army?
Russia is a nuclear energy and modernized its army in recent times, however its focus has been nonprecision weapons, Farkas mentioned.
“That’s why you might be seeing these outdated automobiles going into Ukraine. They nonetheless have one decrepit air service. They did a selective modernization,” she mentioned.
What Putin was attempting to do was develop these very deadly fashionable weapons, she mentioned, to “ship political indicators.”
“They don’t seem to be utilizing precision weapons from what I’m seeing,” Farkas mentioned of Russian forces in Ukraine.
As an alternative, Russians have cluster-bombed civilian areas, a transfer that has outraged and galvanized Ukrainian volunteers.
“Sure, they’ve firepower, however they use that firepower at their peril,” Farkas mentioned of the Russians.
Is the Ukrainian army response shocking?
“On the one hand I’m not stunned, as a result of for eight years we have now been coaching and equipping them,” Farkas mentioned. “You see the Ukrainian army doing what they had been skilled to do: They’re hitting the tanks with the Javelins” — antitank missiles — and “capturing down Stinger” missiles.
“What’s shocking is the esprit de corps,” she mentioned.
Farkas likened the surge of army volunteers to Finnish and French resistance throughout World Warfare II.
“That’s how deterrence works. That’s the way you get a bully to again down,” she mentioned. “… Generally defiance will be extra highly effective than the largest weapons.”
Melinda Haring, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Middle, mentioned Putin clearly underestimated his opponents.
“He assumed Ukraine would fall in a matter of days,” she mentioned, noting Moscow’s technique of attacking, then pausing as an alternative of staging waves of offensives. “That speaks to the extent of preparedness.”
“We Western analysts and perhaps even the Western governments overestimated the Russian army and underestimated the Ukrainian forces,” Haring mentioned. “The Ukrainian army deserves nice credit score and so do its volunteers, however the Russians haven’t actually rolled in but.”
When Russian forces headed for Kyiv, she mentioned, they introduced empty paddy wagon-style automobiles armed with nothing bigger than AK-47s.
“They thought they had been going to roll into Kyiv, arrest the Ukrainian elite and ship them again to Moscow,” she mentioned. “They had been destroyed.”
Ukraine’s native Territorial Protection Forces gained expertise through the Soviet period and the final eight years combating Russia in jap separatist areas.
“They’re skilled, they know their dwelling terrain, and that is existential for them,” Haring mentioned.
So what’s the Russian army’s subsequent transfer?
Clearly, Russian forces are altering their strategy, Haring mentioned.
“This line of tanks that we’ve all been taking a look at that’s very near Kyiv: Why hasn’t it made any advances within the final 24 hours? It seems to be just like the Russians are working out of gasoline and perhaps rethinking their technique,” she mentioned.
“Even when they take Kyiv, they’re not going to have the ability to maintain it.”
With a view to maintain the town of three million, Russian forces should advance by way of a warren of slim streets. “Resistance goes to be fierce,” Haring mentioned.
However Tuesday’s bombings present Putin’s willingness to keep away from bloody avenue fights through the use of scorched-earth techniques as an alternative, she mentioned.
Haring famous that through the Chechen wars within the Nineties, Russian forces laid waste to the capital, Grozny. Some estimate that as much as 100,000 civilians had been killed.
“I hate to say it,” Haring mentioned, “however the worst is but to come back” in Ukraine.
Liam Collins, a retired U.S. Military colonel and founding director of the Trendy Warfare Institute at West Level, agreed that the battle “is probably going going to escalate” with Russian forces staging extra multiple-launch rocket assaults.
“They aren’t as exact, they haven’t invested in these applied sciences, as a result of they simply don’t care about collateral injury,” mentioned Collins, who helped practice Ukraine’s army with Gen. John Abizaid from 2016 to 2018.
Collins wasn’t positive whether or not to count on Russians to raze Ukrainian cities or encompass them.
“But when they get right into a metropolis, it’s going to be a brutal combat with all these [Ukrainian] volunteers. City warfare is at all times brutal,” he mentioned. “You want lots of of hundreds of forces if you happen to actually need to personal that metropolis. Cities absorb troops.”
Breedlove mentioned forces had been headed south from Belarus on Tuesday to chop off Ukrainian forces on the Polish border.
“It’s going to be extraordinarily laborious for refugees to get out,” he mentioned.
The retired basic famous there have been allegations Tuesday that Russia had violated the Geneva Conference by deploying banned weapons: cluster bombs and a gasoline air explosive known as a “vacuum bomb.”
“There are footage of them shifting into Ukraine, so we all know the Russians have them,” he mentioned, though it was unclear whether or not they had been used.
Politics
San Francisco Gets a New Mayor and an Emergency Plan for the Fentanyl Scourge
Within minutes on Wednesday morning, San Francisco got a new mayor — and a new plan for an emergency declaration intended to combat the fentanyl scourge that has killed thousands of people in the city over the past five years and has turned some neighborhoods into sidewalk drug markets.
Daniel Lurie, a Democrat, was sworn into office outside the gold-domed City Hall and began to detail his campaign promises about fighting the city’s drug crisis, which has claimed more lives in the city since 2020 than have Covid-19, car crashes and homicides combined. Mr. Lurie said that he had told his police and sheriff’s departments to redirect their personnel — moving from a temporary, sporadic effort to break up drug markets to a permanent, 24/7 operation.
He vowed that by this spring, police officers would have somewhere new to take people picked up for using drugs or for acting erratically in public — not just a jail or a hospital emergency room. A crisis center in the Tenderloin neighborhood will be staffed with health workers who can guide those who need treatment.
“Widespread drug dealing, public drug use and constantly seeing people in crisis has robbed us of our sense of decency and security,” Mr. Lurie said from an outdoor stage under sunny blue skies. “I refuse to believe that this is who we are.”
His declaration of a fentanyl emergency, which he promised after winning the hotly contested mayor’s race in November, consists of a package of ordinances that will speed its way to the Board of Supervisors, akin to a City Council, on Tuesday for what is expected to be swift approval.
The declaration would streamline the hiring of new city workers and the building of homeless and drug treatment facilities. A new ordinance will also allow the city to accept private donations to help fund Mr. Lurie’s promised 1,500 new shelter beds within six months.
Mr. Lurie, an heir to the Levi Strauss fortune and the founder of an antipoverty nonprofit, said that fixing the city’s drug problems would be the only way to ensure that San Francisco itself makes a full recovery. Doing so, he argued, would be central to luring back office workers to downtown, tourists to hotels and small business owners to vacant shops.
“Recovery is possible, but it needs to be more than a possibility in San Francisco,” he said. “It must be our mission.”
Many of the proposals are familiar, and the packed crowd at the inauguration was full of former mayors and other city officials who were unable to make similar ideas a reality. Not in a city with a police department that city leaders say needs hundreds more officers; with a notorious bureaucracy that bogs down many city projects; and with lowered tax revenue that translates to a budget deficit approaching $1 billion over the next two years.
And then there is Mr. Lurie’s total lack of experience in government. The job of mayor is his first elected position.
Still, there was an aura of hope, as a who’s who of San Francisco filled the plaza. Paul Pelosi walked slowly to his seat with the help of a purple cane, more than two years after being bludgeoned with a hammer by an intruder looking for his wife, Nancy Pelosi, the former House speaker.
California’s first lady, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, was there, too, though her husband, Gov. Gavin Newsom, could not attend because of the wildfires ravaging Los Angeles.
Mr. Lurie, who will accept only a $1 annual salary, owns a $15.5 million vacation home in Malibu, a beach town west of Los Angeles that suffered extensive damage in the fires. When he was asked Wednesday morning whether his home was still standing, a consultant whisked him away. His wife, Becca Prowda, an aide to Governor Newsom, said the couple did not yet know the home’s fate.
Mr. Lurie’s mother, the billionaire Mimi Haas, who donated $1 million to her son’s campaign and knocked on voters’ doors on his behalf, said she was “very excited” and confident he would turn the city around. She married the late Peter Haas, Levi’s longtime chief executive, when Mr. Lurie was a child.
Golden State Warriors Coach Steve Kerr addressed the crowd, comparing Mr. Lurie to a coach who can succeed only with the help of top-notch players.
“We have been through an awful lot in recent years, and our city has taken some hits, but we are bouncing back,” Mr. Kerr told the crowd. “Just like the Warriors, we have to bring our individual talents to the table with the idea of making the whole better.”
If Mr. Lurie is the coach, it is not clear who will be City Hall’s Steph Curry. Mr. Lurie has so far hired mostly outsiders from the business world to help him run the mayor’s office. On Wednesday, he said that in terms of department heads, “you all will see a lot of change.”
Politics
Trump details strategy to get necessary votes with one-bill approach to border, taxes
President-elect Trump pointed to a strategic benefit of the one-bill approach to budget reconciliation that he’s said he prefers during a closed-door meeting with Republican senators on Wednesday evening at the Capitol.
By combining legislation relating to both the southern border crisis and taxes into one reconciliation bill, Trump suggested that one issue could potentially force some lawmakers to make a difficult decision. For example, if a Republican doesn’t support a piece of the tax component, they would also have to vote against the border provisions because they are in one measure.
SENATE DEMS TO JOIN REPUBLICANS TO ADVANCE ANTI-ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION BILL NAMED AFTER LAKEN RILEY
With portions of Trump’s 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expiring this year, the party is looking to act quickly. But the tax debate in 2025 is expected to be more divided among Republicans than that regarding the border. In particular, there is some disagreement in the party on state and local tax (SALT) deductions, which can benefit some states more than others and have been hit by some Republicans as inefficient.
“If somebody, for example, in the House is balking because there’s not SALT in the tax agreement or some other provision they want, if that also means they’d be holding out and voting against the border, it might make it harder for them to do so,” Sen. John Hoeven, R-N.D., told Fox News Digital. “That’s a very valid point.”
While SALT was not posed as an example of this by Trump himself, it was mentioned by a GOP senator in a side conversation among other attendees as they went over the advantages of a one-bill approach, Hoeven said.
BORDER STATE DEMOCRAT RUBEN GALLEGO BACKS GOP’S LAKEN RILEY ACT AHEAD OF SENATE VOTE
A source familiar told Fox News that Republicans are preparing to go with Trump’s one-bill preference, but they are also keeping the potential for two bills, one on the border and another to address taxes, in their back pocket in the case of any significant obstacles.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Trump that if one bill is what he wanted, that is what they are going to try first, the source said.
A number of senators have their own preferences for two separate reconciliation bills instead, and some made their cases to Trump during the meeting. However, the conference is set to move forward with Trump’s one-bill approach.
RFK JR. TO MEET WITH SLEW OF DEMS INCLUDING ELIZABETH WARREN, BERNIE SANDERS
Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal came up during the discussion following Trump’s remarks about each. Trump has recently said he wants U.S. to take back control of critical trade medium the Panama Canal, while also expressing interest in making Greenland and Canada part of the U.S.
Sources familiar told Fox News that Trump brought these up himself during the meeting, telling senators at one point that these countries “were screwing with” the U.S.
TRUMP, GOP SENATORS TO HUDDLE AT CAPITOL, WEIGH STRATEGY ON BUDGET, TAXES AND BORDER
Several GOP senators took the opportunity to tell Trump that his comments on Canada were “transformative,” the sources said.
The senators believe his approach to Canada is already managing to change the country’s “behavior” and could have even contributed to the recent resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the sources added.
Politics
Daniel Lurie inaugurated as San Francisco's new mayor: 'This is where our comeback begins'
SAN FRANCISCO — Four hours before he took the oath of office Wednesday to become San Francisco’s 46th mayor, Daniel Lurie started his day walking through the bleak confines of the Tenderloin district with the city police chief and passing out coffee to people at a homeless community center.
It was a deliberately symbolic move by Lurie, a nonprofit executive and heir to the Levi Strauss family fortune, who won office in November largely by appealing to disillusioned voters weary of the public drug use, brazen retail theft and sprawling homelessness that during the pandemic became commonplace in the Tenderloin and spilled into the downtown financial district.
In his inaugural speech shortly before noon in front of San Francisco City Hall, Lurie pledged to crack down on the street anarchy that has plagued some areas of the city in recent years, feeding a “doom loop” scenario endorsed by conservative pundits.
“This is where our comeback begins,” Lurie said to a crowd of thousands that included his wife, Becca Prowda, daughter Taya, 13, and son Sawyer, 10, along with outgoing Mayor London Breed and a host of local and statewide political figures.
“I’m asking all of you, every single one of you, to join me in reclaiming our place as the greatest city in the world with a new era of accountability, service and change,” Lurie said.
Lurie, a moderate Democrat who had never held elected office, entered the mayoral race as an underdog against Breed and three other City Hall veterans. In an election seen as a referendum on the city’s post-pandemic struggles with homelessness and street crime, Lurie pitched himself as a change agent who could lead San Francisco into an era of recovery.
His campaign gained momentum as he promised to end open-air drug markets and arrest fentanyl dealers, push homeless people into drug and mental health treatment and reinvigorate a downtown economy drained by the exodus of tech workers after COVID-19 shutdowns made remote work an easy option.
Lurie was able to spread his message broadly by drawing on personal wealth. He funneled nearly $9 million of his own money into his campaign, while his mother, Miriam Haas, widow of deceased Levi’s executive and heir Peter Haas, contributed an additional $1 million to an independent expenditure committee backing his election.
Lurie’s inaugural speech, though light on policy details, offered a glimpse into how he planned to accomplish the bold goals he laid out on the campaign trail.
“San Francisco has long been known for its values of tolerance and inclusion, but nothing about those values instructs us to allow nearly 8,000 people to experience homelessness in our city,” he said. “Widespread drug-dealing, public drug use and constantly seeing people in crisis has robbed us of our sense of decency and security.”
At the top of his to-do list: introducing a package of ordinances declaring a fentanyl state of emergency. Lurie said he would ask the Board of Supervisors, an 11-member body that acts as the legislative branch for the city and county, to quickly approve the ordinances, directed at curbing use of the deadly opioid and allowing the city to “bypass the bureaucratic hurdles standing in the way of tackling this crisis.”
The board gained five new members in the November election, a turnover expected to bring a more moderate tone to a board that for years was seen as ultra-liberal and often tussled with Breed — also a moderate — over tough-on-crime policy proposals.
Lurie said he would work to embed more behavioral health specialists in first-responder units to address the overlapping crises of homelessness, addiction and untreated mental illness, and announced plans to open a 24/7 center as an alternative to jail for police to bring people in need of treatment and other services.
He also said he wants to expand a city program that provides funding and assistance for bus tickets and other transportation to send homeless people who aren’t from San Francisco back to their home communities.
And in the face of a projected $876-million budget deficit, Lurie promised “zero cuts” to sworn police officers, 911 operators, EMTs, firefighters and nurses on the front lines of public health emergencies.
San Francisco Police Chief Bill Scott said he was encouraged by Lurie’s plans and his recognition of the need for “around-the-clock resources” not just for police, but also for city workers across departments working to solve San Francisco’s public safety and health challenges.
“The Police Department is 24/7 … but a lot of the departments that we rely upon to help solve some of these problems aren’t 24/7,” he said. “It’s not all about enforcement. It’s not all about policing.”
Scott said he would like to see Lurie continue recent efforts by Breed’s administration to more aggressively clear sprawling tent encampments that have fanned out across the city, as well as public health efforts credited for a sharp decline in drug overdose deaths in the city last year.
The chief medical examiner’s office recorded 586 fatal overdoses in San Francisco in the first 11 months of 2024 — a nearly 23% decrease, or 174 fewer deaths, compared with the first 11 months of 2023. San Francisco public health experts attributed the decline to the widespread availability of naloxone, a medication that can rapidly reverse the effects of opioid overdoses, as well as more emphasis on prescribing buprenorphine and methadone, medications that treat opioid addiction long-term.
On Tuesday, Breed’s last full day in office, her administration noted that crime rates had also fallen in 2024, with reports of car break-ins dropping 54%, property crime down 31% and violent crime down 14%.
Though San Francisco’s struggles have made national headlines in recent years, particularly in right-wing media promoted by President-elect Donald Trump, Lurie largely left national politics out of his messaging, nodding only once during his speech to the “great sense of fear and loss about the state of our country right now.”
“San Francisco must be a city where every individual feels safe, valued and empowered,” he said. “That means standing firm against discrimination and fighting for the dignity of all communities, no matter what comes our way.”
Lurie said the city is showing progress and maintained that “hope is alive and well in San Francisco.” But he warned that “lasting change doesn’t happen overnight.”
Still, “if we are consistent, if we have vision, if we aren’t afraid to make tough decisions,” he said, “San Francisco will rise to new heights.”
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