Politics
Column: As bad as the war in Ukraine is now, it’s likely to get worse
Final week, Russian President Vladimir Putin spent 90 minutes on the cellphone with French President Emmanuel Macron, who requested him to declare a ceasefire in Ukraine.
Not , Putin replied.
“He refuses to cease his assaults,” Macron wrote on Twitter after the decision.
A French official mentioned Putin appeared decided “to take management of all of Ukraine.”
“The worst is but to return,” the official added.
Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is in its second week. Some Russian items are mired in mud, however the offensive is escalating total.
Because the invasion has escalated, so, too, have financial sanctions imposed by the U.S. and its allies. And, like Ukraine’s armed forces, the sanctions have had extra punch than anticipated. The Russian ruble has plunged in worth, and atypical Russians have scrambled to ATMs to attempt to get their cash out of endangered banks.
However the two escalations are removed from equal.
The sanctions have clearly broken Russia’s financial system, however there’s no signal that they’ve affected Putin’s calculus.
Extra Russian items have moved into Ukraine. Russian missile and artillery strikes on civilian neighborhoods have stepped up. Ukraine’s three largest cities — together with Kyiv, the capital — are at risk of falling.
Ukraine’s defenders are combating courageously, however they’re slowly shedding floor.
“Sanctions could affect Russian resolution making down the highway,” mentioned Richard N. Haass, president of the nonpartisan Council on International Relations. “However they received’t cease the siege of Kyiv.”
The Russian president has waged struggle in opposition to cities earlier than and has been rewarded with success.
Putin got here to energy in 1999 largely by waging a savage struggle in opposition to separatists in Russia’s principally Muslim republic of Chechnya. The ensuing marketing campaign killed tens of hundreds of civilians.
The lesson for Putin: Ruthless navy motion works.
“Each time you suppose, ‘No, he wouldn’t, would he?’ Properly, sure, he would,” Fiona Hill, a former White Home skilled on Russia, mentioned in an interview with Politico.
Putin’s intentions towards Ukraine ought to have come as no shock. He has publicly demanded since 2007 that the nation be returned to some type of Russian management. The CIA warned that he may invade Ukraine as early as 2008, Hill famous. (She was a CIA intelligence analyst on the time.)
“If he can, he’s going to take the entire nation,” she mentioned.
Putin could not wish to occupy all of Ukraine’s territory, she added, however he could wish to divide it into “a fractured, shattered Ukraine.”
And he could also be keen to combat for a very long time. His struggle in Chechnya lasted virtually 10 years.
The Western response is aimed toward elevating Putin’s prices till he — or Russia’s navy brass, its oligarchs and the Russian public — resolve that their losses from the struggle outweigh any advantages. That, too, might take a very long time.
“Putin has proven little interest in a negotiated consequence that’s throughout the ZIP Code of actuality,” Haass instructed me. “That would change, however provided that three issues happen: if his navy suffers excessive battlefield prices, if the sanctions start to precise an actual financial value and if common unrest grows.
“Our coverage should be aimed toward bringing about these three situations.”
Sanctions hawks argue that along with punishing Putin within the close to time period, the measures serve a separate long-term U.S. curiosity by weakening Russia economically and militarily.
“Sanctions will worsen Russia’s place in its long-run competitors with western international locations,” Edward Fishman, a former State Division skilled now at Columbia College, instructed me. “Now we have zero curiosity in enhancing Russian energy.”
He predicted that the sanctions would keep in place “so long as Putin is in energy, if not longer,” in “a long-term struggle of attrition.”
However an authentic objective of those sanctions was to influence Moscow to vary course. To perform that, america wants to supply Russians the prospect of no less than some sanctions aid in the event that they withdraw their forces.
That form of supply isn’t more likely to change Putin’s thoughts, but it surely might assist enhance stress on him from his navy and his oligarchs, in addition to the Russian public.
“I can think about placing out — with the Ukrainians taking part — some definition of a negotiated consequence that might produce some sanctions aid,” Haass mentioned. “However we’re not there but.”
President Biden, for one, isn’t there but. His spokeswoman, Jen Psaki, mentioned final week that sanctions aid isn’t on the desk.
“We’re in the course of an invasion, so I don’t suppose now’s the second the place we’re giving anyone that form of an offramp,” she mentioned.
Translation: For now, either side are nonetheless escalating.
That French official was in all probability proper. The worst is but to return.
Politics
Democrat Tammy Baldwin details recipe for running in a swing state after victory in Trump-won Wisconsin
Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., successfully won re-election in Wisconsin all while President-elect Donald Trump simultaneously flipped the state back to red in the presidential election.
As to how she did it, the Democrat attributes much of her win to her “72-county strategy.” Baldwin made sure during her campaign to traverse the entire state, venturing far from the two large blue enclaves of Milwaukee and Dane counties.
“I think showing up matters, listening matters,” she said in an interview with Fox News Digital. “And so I go, and I really listen and get to know the challenges and aspirations of people all over the state, rural areas, suburban areas, urban areas.”
Baldwin won by a few tens of thousands of votes in the state, clinching victory by roughly the same margin as Trump.
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According to her campaign, she did more than 250 events in Wisconsin in 2024 alone. She also hosted several targeted tours during her campaign, including her Dairyland Tour and her Rural Leaders for Tammy Tour.
Further, Baldwin’s campaign microtargeted rural communities to deliver content regarding her agricultural work.
But her rigorous travel is not the only thing that sealed the deal for her. The senator acknowledged that people can go everywhere, but they also need to effectively engage voters in each place they travel to.
One thing she noted is that she’s “had years to earn the trust of Wisconsin voters,” referencing the short few months that the campaign of Vice President Kamala Harris had to turn out voters for her in the state.
Baldwin also said she convenes roundtables and forums on relevant issues while she travels in Wisconsin.
“So I’ve done that on, say, the fentanyl and opioid epidemic, bringing together first responders, public health officials, concerned community members to talk about what does the epidemic look like in this community, in this area of the state? What resources do you need? What are your biggest worries?”
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She also held events geared toward agricultural issues, she noted.
Baldwin notably credits, in part, her work on agricultural issues with her re-election win. In early October, Baldwin earned the endorsement of the Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation Board of Directors, which was a significant achievement for a Democrat in a statewide election.
“They cited a number of different measures that I either championed or actually got into law,” she said.
The senator pointed to her Dairy Business Innovation Act, which provides small grants to various dairy producers and processors.
“I went this past spring to a particular farm that had received one of these grants, and they had also invited several other farmers and processors who had received grants to show me what they were able to do with these grants in order to grow their business and improve their bottom line,” she said.
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The Wisconsin Democrat also pointed to the large manufacturing sector in her state and attributed her push for “buy America” rules in pieces of legislation as helping her win some of those voters.
On whether her campaign is a model for other Democrats, specifically those in swing states, she said, “I think it is something that would be helpful to many public officials.”
Baldwin added that she realized the need to travel Wisconsin to this extent during her first Senate campaign: “I had been in the House of Representatives representing, as you know, seven counties in [the] south-central part of the state. I had to learn Wisconsin as I was running.”
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“And so traveling to do that learning was extremely important, being exposed to, you know, the timber industry and the north woods. We didn’t have a big timber industry in the south-central part of the state.”
The Midwestern senator also said this was the first time she heard from Wisconsinites that elected officials hadn’t been spending much time in certain parts of the state.
“One thing I will say that I hear from constituents when I show up is just like, ‘I don’t remember the last time we had a U.S. senator visit our community, and especially not a Democrat,’” she said.
“It’s like, you know, the timber industry folks saying, ‘I don’t think we’ve ever had a senator pay so much attention to us,’” she added.
Politics
Graphic details revealed in Monterey sexual assault claim against Pete Hegseth, Trump Cabinet pick
A woman told Monterey police that Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Defense secretary, took her phone, blocked her from leaving his hotel room and sexually assaulted her, according to a newly released police report.
On Wednesday evening, the Monterey Police Department released a 22-page report revealing graphic details in the 2017 assault claim filed against Hegseth, which did not result in any charges. The report reveals two starkly different narratives about what unfolded during a sexual encounter in his hotel room while the two were attending a Republican women’s conference in the city in October 2017.
The woman, who is referred to as Jane Doe in the report, claimed that she repeatedly told Hegseth “no” during the alleged assault, and that he ejaculated on her stomach and told her to “clean it up” — an incident she said left her with nightmares, according to the report.
Hegseth told police that the pair had consensual intercourse and that he made multiple attempts to ensure she was comfortable during the encounter, according to the report.
His attorney has said that he entered a confidential settlement agreement with his sexual assault accuser for an undisclosed sum.
Hegseth has denied any wrongdoing since the accusation was revealed last week, and the Trump transition has continued to publicly support his nomination.
The recently released report brings more questions to what was already gearing up to be a controversial confirmation process for Hegseth’s nomination as U.S. secretary of Defense. Hegseth, 44, is a veteran of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and has been a Fox News host since 2017 and a contributor since 2014.
Hegseth was a keynote speaker at the 2017 Republican women’s conference hosted at the Hyatt Regency Monterey Hotel and Spa.
According to the police report, both Doe and Hegseth told officers that the two of them went with a group to the hotel bar after Hegseth’s speech and an after-party hosted in a hotel suite.
Doe told police that she informed Hegseth she was uncomfortable when he touched her knee at the bar and declined his offer to return to his hotel room. The woman also reported that she observed Hegseth acting inappropriately toward woman at the conference, rubbing them on their legs and giving off a “creeper” vibe, according to the report.
The report contains conflicting information over how intoxicated each of them were. Doe had difficulty remembering some of the nights events and, during a sexual assault exam, later told a nurse that shes believed something might have been slipped into her drink, according to the report.
Doe remembered trying to leave Hegseth’s hotel room and being physically blocked from doing so. She also recalled Hegseth wearing dog tags, ejaculating on her stomach and telling her to “clean it up.” And she remembered saying “no” a lot, according to the report.
Hegseth recalled a very different sequence of events.
He told police that Doe led him to his hotel room, where things progressed between the two of them, according to the report. He told police there was “always” conversation and “always” consensual contact between himself and Doe.
Hegseth recalled Doe displaying early signs of regret following the incident and that she said she would tell her husband she fell asleep on a couch in another hotel room, according to the report.
Four days after the encounter, on Oct. 12, Doe went to a hospital to request a sexual assault forensic exam and brought with her the clothes she was wearing during the alleged assault.
Doe reported experiencing memory loss and nightmares in the aftermath of the sexual encounter, according to the report. An associate of hers also told officers that she had very little energy and would burst into tears out of the blue after the incident, according to the report.
Hegseth is a graduate of Princeton University, and has a graduate degree from Harvard University. He was decorated with two Bronze Stars and a Combat Infantryman Badge for his military service. He left the military after President Biden was elected, saying he’d been ordered to stand down from guard duty at the inauguration after top brass dubbed him an extremist and “white nationalist.”
Politics
Trump-district House Democrat loses Alaska seat to political scion
Conservative Republican Nick Begich will win a tight race for Alaska’s lone seat in the House of Representatives, according to the Associated Press.
Begich defeated his main rival, Rep. Mary Peltola, D-Alaska, the first Native Alaskan in Congress, and one of only five House Democrats currently representing a district won by President-elect Trump in 2020.
The win widens the Republican majority in the House to 219 and 213 for Democrats.
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The GOP candidate is no stranger to politics, having been born into a prominent political family in Alaska – made up of mostly Democrats.
His grandfather, Nick Begich, Sr., was an Alaska congressman, before mysteriously disappearing on a flight and being pronounced dead in 1972. His uncle, Mark Begich, was a U.S. senator for Alaska from 2009 to 2015.
The other two hopefuls in the race were Alaska Independence Party candidate John Wayne Howe and Democratic candidate Eric Hafner.
Alaska is one of only two states to use ranked-choice voting in federal elections, something that benefited Peltola in 2022, when Begich and former Gov. Sarah Palin knocked each other out of the running by splitting the Republican vote.
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Republicans took a lesson from that defeat, however, and instead, coalesced around Begich earlier in the race.
Alaska has just one House seat given its modest population compared to more densely packed states. It is also one of only two states to use ranked-choice voting in its federal elections.
Peltola won her seat in a special election following the sudden death of longtime Rep. Don Young, R-Alaska, in 2022.
Young’s daughters and several former staffers endorsed Peltola for re-election in the November race later that year.
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The moderate Democrat has been known to break from her party on certain climate and energy issues, among others.
Begich’s victory is a much-needed win for House Republicans who have fought tooth-and-nail to retain and even expand their majority.
He was added to the House GOP campaign arm’s “Young Guns” list in August of this year, giving him access to National Republican Congressional Committee resources, support, and advisement.
Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.
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