Politics
Column: As bad as the war in Ukraine is now, it’s likely to get worse
Final week, Russian President Vladimir Putin spent 90 minutes on the cellphone with French President Emmanuel Macron, who requested him to declare a ceasefire in Ukraine.
Not , Putin replied.
“He refuses to cease his assaults,” Macron wrote on Twitter after the decision.
A French official mentioned Putin appeared decided “to take management of all of Ukraine.”
“The worst is but to return,” the official added.
Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is in its second week. Some Russian items are mired in mud, however the offensive is escalating total.
Because the invasion has escalated, so, too, have financial sanctions imposed by the U.S. and its allies. And, like Ukraine’s armed forces, the sanctions have had extra punch than anticipated. The Russian ruble has plunged in worth, and atypical Russians have scrambled to ATMs to attempt to get their cash out of endangered banks.
However the two escalations are removed from equal.
The sanctions have clearly broken Russia’s financial system, however there’s no signal that they’ve affected Putin’s calculus.
Extra Russian items have moved into Ukraine. Russian missile and artillery strikes on civilian neighborhoods have stepped up. Ukraine’s three largest cities — together with Kyiv, the capital — are at risk of falling.
Ukraine’s defenders are combating courageously, however they’re slowly shedding floor.
“Sanctions could affect Russian resolution making down the highway,” mentioned Richard N. Haass, president of the nonpartisan Council on International Relations. “However they received’t cease the siege of Kyiv.”
The Russian president has waged struggle in opposition to cities earlier than and has been rewarded with success.
Putin got here to energy in 1999 largely by waging a savage struggle in opposition to separatists in Russia’s principally Muslim republic of Chechnya. The ensuing marketing campaign killed tens of hundreds of civilians.
The lesson for Putin: Ruthless navy motion works.
“Each time you suppose, ‘No, he wouldn’t, would he?’ Properly, sure, he would,” Fiona Hill, a former White Home skilled on Russia, mentioned in an interview with Politico.
Putin’s intentions towards Ukraine ought to have come as no shock. He has publicly demanded since 2007 that the nation be returned to some type of Russian management. The CIA warned that he may invade Ukraine as early as 2008, Hill famous. (She was a CIA intelligence analyst on the time.)
“If he can, he’s going to take the entire nation,” she mentioned.
Putin could not wish to occupy all of Ukraine’s territory, she added, however he could wish to divide it into “a fractured, shattered Ukraine.”
And he could also be keen to combat for a very long time. His struggle in Chechnya lasted virtually 10 years.
The Western response is aimed toward elevating Putin’s prices till he — or Russia’s navy brass, its oligarchs and the Russian public — resolve that their losses from the struggle outweigh any advantages. That, too, might take a very long time.
“Putin has proven little interest in a negotiated consequence that’s throughout the ZIP Code of actuality,” Haass instructed me. “That would change, however provided that three issues happen: if his navy suffers excessive battlefield prices, if the sanctions start to precise an actual financial value and if common unrest grows.
“Our coverage should be aimed toward bringing about these three situations.”
Sanctions hawks argue that along with punishing Putin within the close to time period, the measures serve a separate long-term U.S. curiosity by weakening Russia economically and militarily.
“Sanctions will worsen Russia’s place in its long-run competitors with western international locations,” Edward Fishman, a former State Division skilled now at Columbia College, instructed me. “Now we have zero curiosity in enhancing Russian energy.”
He predicted that the sanctions would keep in place “so long as Putin is in energy, if not longer,” in “a long-term struggle of attrition.”
However an authentic objective of those sanctions was to influence Moscow to vary course. To perform that, america wants to supply Russians the prospect of no less than some sanctions aid in the event that they withdraw their forces.
That form of supply isn’t more likely to change Putin’s thoughts, but it surely might assist enhance stress on him from his navy and his oligarchs, in addition to the Russian public.
“I can think about placing out — with the Ukrainians taking part — some definition of a negotiated consequence that might produce some sanctions aid,” Haass mentioned. “However we’re not there but.”
President Biden, for one, isn’t there but. His spokeswoman, Jen Psaki, mentioned final week that sanctions aid isn’t on the desk.
“We’re in the course of an invasion, so I don’t suppose now’s the second the place we’re giving anyone that form of an offramp,” she mentioned.
Translation: For now, either side are nonetheless escalating.
That French official was in all probability proper. The worst is but to return.
Politics
Disasters like Helene and Milton test leaders. Trump fails every time
In 2019, residents of Alabama were unnecessarily alarmed after then-President Trump incorrectly said Hurricane Dorian was headed their way. However, instead of acknowledging he made a mistake, Trump questioned the National Weather Service and showed Americans a falsified weather map — which is against the law.
Opinion Columnist
LZ Granderson
LZ Granderson writes about culture, politics, sports and navigating life in America.
Today the former president is spewing lies about relief efforts and federal resources at a time when those affected by Hurricanes Helene and Milton need guidance and aid. State and local Republicans have asked him to stop, because apparently misinformation mucks up rescue and relief efforts. Of course, Trump doesn’t care so long as his lies also muck up the election.
What can I say? Same Trump, different year.
After he intentionally played down the threat of COVID-19 in those initial months of 2020, Trump said he purposefully misled the public to prevent panic. As a result, we were ill-prepared as a country. Our hospitals became quickly overrun, with people dying in school gyms and bodies held in refrigerated trucks as morgues overflowed.
The pandemic began with him lying to us about the severity of the virus. Four years later, and once again Trump’s instinct as a leader during a national crisis is to lie to the American people and complain about “The View.”
Elections have consequences. The first Trump term added $8.4 trillion to the national debt and forced rape victims to give birth after the overturning of Roe vs. Wade by Trump justices. If you flip through Project 2025, the plan conservatives put together to reshape the federal government under a second Trump administration, you’ll see that Round 2 would be much worse.
Trump would even make natural disasters worse.
The 2025 blueprint calls for chopping up and selling off large chunks of the federal government’s agency devoted to gathering data about weather — the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That’s where the National Hurricane Center is housed. The expert who suggested that Trump scrap this agency for parts, Thomas F. Gilman, was a lifer in the automobile industry before joining Trump’s Commerce Department in 2019, the same year Trump redrew the route of a hurricane with a Sharpie.
Project 2025 sets out to replace tens of thousands of experienced civil servants who have relevant expertise with political appointees who are first loyal to Trump — people like Gilman. If you’re still wondering how bad that could be, consider that while the nation was bracing for Hurricane Milton — on the heels of Hurricane Helene — one of Trump’s allies, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), used her platform to tell Americans “they” control the weather.
She didn’t say who “they” are, how “they” are doing it or what House Republicans would do to stop … “they.” It sounds nonsensical because it is. But do not conflate nonsensical with inconsequential. Elections have consequences.
Greene might believe 9/11 was a hoax, but Republicans who know better placed her on the Homeland Security Committee to appease Trump. The committee’s official website states that it was formed “in 2002 in the aftermath of September 11, 2001,” and yet GOP leadership put a denier on the panel to appease someone who they know is lying about hurricane relief efforts right now. Loyalty to Trump is the only currency that matters to some of these people. Not expertise, not traditional conservative values, not integrity.
That’s how the party of Lincoln has sadly become the party that responds to national emergencies by scapegoating others: claiming “they” control the weather; “they” are eating pets; “they” are paid actors rather than traumatized survivors of a school shooting. To this day, House Speaker Mike Johnson refuses to say who won the 2020 election. Instead when reporters ask, he accuses them of hurling “gotcha questions” at him, which may be good for his relationship with Trump but doesn’t help the country in any way.
All of which brings me here: For more than 50 years, since Richard M. Nixon faced off against John F. Kennedy, televised debates have been a benchmark in presidential politics. With Trump at the center of attention, the first Republican primary debate of 2016 gave Fox the most-watched nonsports event in cable history. The second debate also brought high ratings. Trump didn’t start skipping debates in the primary until Fox News announced it would be using video of previous appearances to hold candidates accountable for their words.
That’s why he and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), oppose fact-checking during debates and interviews. Accountability is why Trump avoided debating Ambassador Nikki Haley during the 2024 primary. It’s why he got into a fight with journalists at a news conference this past summer. It’s why he’s afraid to debate Vice President Kamala Harris again.
When a businessman is accustomed to escaping consequences for his misdeeds by filing for bankruptcy as often as Trump has, I can see why he’d be uncomfortable with being held accountable.
However, a president or candidate doesn’t get to avoid accountability any more than the country can escape the consequences of an election. Trump’s lies in office did damage. His lies today are hurting people who need help. And no one should be surprised: In every crisis, Trump has shown himself to be a liar, not a leader.
@LZGranderson
Politics
Video: Vance Refuses to Acknowledge That Trump Lost the 2020 Election
“In the debate, you were asked to clarify if you believe Trump lost the 2020 election. Do you believe he lost the 2020 election?” “I think that Donald Trump and I have both raised a number of issues with the 2020 election, but we’re focused on the future. I think there’s an obsession here with focusing on 2020. I’m much more worried about what happened after 2020, which is a wide-open border, groceries that are unaffordable. And look—” “Senator, yes or no? Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” “Let me ask you a question. Is it OK that big technology companies censored the Hunter Biden laptop story, which independent analysis have said cost Donald Trump millions of votes?” “Senator Vance, I’m going to ask you again, did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” “Did big technology companies censor a story that independent studies have suggested would have cost Trump millions of votes? I think that’s the question.” “Senator Vance, I’m going to ask you again. Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” “And I’ve answered your question with another question. You answer my question and I’ll answer yours.” “I have asked this question repeatedly. It is something that is very important for the American people to know. There is no proof, legal or otherwise, that Donald Trump did not lose the 2020 election.” “You’re repeating a slogan rather than engaging with what I’m saying, which is that when our own technology firms engage in industrial scale censorship, by the way, backed up by the federal government, in a way that independent studies suggest affect the votes, I’m worried about Americans who feel like there were problems in 2020. I’m not worried about this slogan that people throw, ‘Well, every court case went this way.’ I’m talking about something very discrete: a problem of censorship in this country that I do think affected things in 2020, and more importantly, that led to Kamala Harris’s governance, which has screwed this country up in a big way.” “Senator, would you have certified the election in 2020, yes or no?” “I’ve said that I would have voted against certification because of the concern that I just raised. I think that when you have technology companies—” “The answer is no.” “When you have technology companies censoring Americans at a mass scale in a way that, again, independent studies have suggested affect the vote, I think that it’s right to protest against that, to criticize that. And that’s a totally reasonable thing.” “So the answer is no. And the last question, will you support the election results this time and commit to a peaceful transfer of power?” “Well, first of all, of course we commit to a peaceful transfer of power. We are going to have a peaceful transfer of power. I, of course, believe that peaceful transfer of power is going to make Donald Trump the next president of the United States. But if there are problems, of course, in the same way that Democrats protested in 2004 and Donald Trump raised issues in 2020, we’re going to make sure that this election counts, that every legal ballot is counted. We’ve filed almost 100 lawsuits at the R.N.C. to try to ensure that every legal ballot has counted. I think you would maybe criticize that. We see that as an important effort to ensure election integrity, but certainly we’re going to respect the results in 2024. And I feel very confident they’re going to make Donald Trump the next president.
Politics
Hunter Biden legal saga is ‘real war’ that 'preoccupied' outgoing president, new Woodward book claims
President Joe Biden’s decision to exit the presidential race in July was motivated in no small part by the high-profile struggles that plagued his son, Hunter Biden, in the final years of his first term — leaving him with a “crushing” sense of guilt that those close to the outgoing president say plagued him more than the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
In his new book, “War,” famed Watergate reporter Bob Woodward offers readers an intimate look inside both the Trump and Biden presidencies at some of their most vulnerable moments; offering a rare, split-screen view into the thinking of two very different leaders as they stared down some of the biggest foreign policy challenges and security risks in modern memory.
Fox News obtained an early copy of the book ahead of its release next week.
Woodward’s book captures the more intimate moments of both presidencies, as well. For Biden, this includes the aftermath of his disastrous performance at the first presidential debate in June — watched by an estimated 51 million people — and the torrent of pressure it unleashed within the Democratic Party for Biden to exit the race.
Among party leaders and donors, it crystallized long-held fears that Biden, 81, was no longer fit to hold his own in a second match-up against Donald Trump. Their panic was matched only by their sense of urgency and the ticking clock they had to select a suitable nominee.
BIDEN WON’T PARDON HUNTER, WHITE HOUSE REAFFIRMS, BUT CRITICS AREN’T SO SURE
As Woodward reports, Biden struggled mightily to accept that consensus — first, by attempting to brush off his catastrophic performance as a bad night and an event he could recover from in the months ahead. The tsunami of pressure on him to drop out only got stronger.
In fact, according to Woodward, Biden was leaning in the direction of staying in the race on July 4, when he met with Secretary of State Antony Blinken for a private lunch. Blinken, who had shown up to the lunch prepared for a difficult conversation, told Woodward that Biden still believed he could win a second term as president — a title he had chased all his life and finally achieved.
In his telling, among the factors ultimately driving his decision to bow out was the scrutiny and legal troubles surrounding his son Hunter.
The toll his son’s troubles had taken was apparent when the two met, Woodward reports. Blinken, in his telling, spoke frankly to Biden about dropping out. “I don’t want to see your legacy jeopardized,” he said.
’60 MINUTES’ DEFENDS HANDLING OF HUNTER BIDEN LAPTOP COVERAGE AS IT HITS TRUMP FOR SKIPPING INTERVIEW
Sensing little headway, Blinken then tried a different approach. “Do you really want to be doing this for the next four years?” he asked.
Biden’s first term included overseeing the U.S. recovery from a global pandemic, the first war on European soil since World War II, and the start of Israel’s wars in Gaza and Lebanon. Each day was charged with turmoil and lasting consequence. And yet, those close to Biden say it was his younger son, Hunter Biden, whose struggles seemed to weigh most heavily on the president.
Hunter’s troubles are described in the book as Biden’s “real war”: a constant source of preoccupation for the president, who was constantly fighting against his fatherly instincts to protect his son, his “beautiful boy,” as he called him — and to reconcile the deep sense of guilt he felt, in knowing his presidency had been a driving factor behind much of the scrutiny surrounding his son.
POLITICAL STORM: ON TRUMP ‘ONSLAUGHT OF LIES,’ BIDEN URGES FORMER PRESIDENT TO ‘GET A LIFE, MAN’
For Biden, this knowledge left him “heartbroken” and affected him more than the major crises playing out abroad in Europe and the Middle East, sources told Woodward. These things took the president “off an even keel,” preoccupied him and taken “a lot out of him” in recent years.
In describing the president’s inner turmoil to Woodward, Blinken himself teared up, thinking of his own relationships with two young children.
Biden, Blinken explained, “desperately” wanted to pull Hunter “out of the abyss” — to reel him in, to protect him — but his attempts and best efforts had failed.
The book does not detail the extent to which Hunter’s legal woes and investigations were directly involved in the president’s decision to step down, which was likely the result of myriad factors, internal party pressures, and deeply personal considerations. The White House did not respond to Fox News’s request for comment on the matter.
The book offers an unflinching look at one of the president’s most emotionally difficult struggles, one which staying in the race would have ultimately exacerbated.
“War” will be out on bookstore shelves October 15.
Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.
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