Vice President Kamala Harris holds a 5-point lead over Donald Trump in a Pennsylvania congressional district he carried four years earlier, according to a poll.

Pennsylvania, roughly evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans, is among the most important battlegrounds of the presidential race. It has flipped between Democrats and Republicans in the past few elections, and Harris and Trump are essentially tied there.

Political experts view it as a must-win state for Harris, as her easiest path to 270 Electoral College votes may be sweeping the Rust Belt swing states. Polls point to a close race in the Keystone State, with FiveThirtyEight’s polling aggregate showing her up only 0.4 points over the former president.

A new survey from Susquehanna Polling & Research showed Harris with a slight lead in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, a traditionally Republican-leaning district, the polling company said Wednesday on X (formerly Twitter).

The poll showed Harris up in the district by 5 points (46 percent to 41 percent).

The district covers Harrisburg and its suburbs, as well as York. The Harrisburg area has shifted toward Democrats in recent years, with the party making gains in more suburban areas. But it still went for Trump by 4 percentage points in 2020 (51 percent to 47 percent), according to data from Daily Kos.

Susquehanna CEO James Lee told Newsweek that Democrats typically do well in Harrisburg but Harris is also pulling stronger numbers in suburban Cumberland and rural York, which may be concerning for Trump.

“The fact that Harris is even this competitive in the district is certainly something that would raise alarm bells for the Trump campaign,” he said.

Trump is likely to still win the region, known as South Central Pennsylvania, but a weaker performance in the 10th district could be a “drag” on his state numbers, Lee said. The district is a must-win for Trump, as his numbers in Allegheny County, home to Pittsburgh, and the Philadelphia suburbs aren’t likely to make up for a loss in the 10th congressional District.

GOP Representative Scott Perry, a former chair of the House Freedom Caucus, represents the district. He is facing a challenge from Democrat Janelle Stelson. The Cook Political Report classifies the race as “Leans Republican,” meaning it is considered competitive but Perry has an advantage.

The poll had Stelson, a former local news anchor, leading Perry by 9 points.

“If this seat flips to the Democrats, you’re talking about the potential for this to be quite consequential in terms of the U.S. Congress,” Lee said, as only a handful of GOP-held seats need to flip to Democrats for control of the House to change.

Kush Desai, the Trump campaign’s spokesperson for Pennsylvania, told Newsweek on Wednesday that “pollsters, the media and ‘intellectuals’ have repeatedly failed to grasp the depth and breadth of support for President Donald J. Trump from the American people.”

Desai added: “The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania is going to prove itself, once again, to be Trump country in November.”

Jacob Rubashkin, the deputy editor for the newsletter Inside Elections, wrote on X that the poll may be an “outlier.”

“This would be an outlier even among the Democratic polling we’ve seen in the district — not a bad thing, outliers should happen and they’re useful data points — but important context,” he wrote.

Newsweek reached out by email to the Harris campaign for comment.

The poll surveyed 300 voters in the district from October 4 to 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points.

Susquehanna is seen as a reliable Pennsylvania pollster, with its polls pointing to a close race and being only a few points off in 2016 and 2020.

In 2020, its final poll showed Trump leading President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania by about a single percentage point (49 percent to 48 percent). Biden ultimately won the state by just over a single point (50 percent to 48.8 percent).

In 2016, its final poll showed Hillary Clinton with a 2-point lead (45 percent to 43 percent). Trump ultimately won Pennsylvania by less than a single point (48.2 percent to 47.5 percent).

WASHINGTON (AP) — Donald Trump is holding rallies on Wednesday in pivotal Pennsylvania while Vice President Kamala Harris prepares for another visit to the West — even as Hurricane Milton menaces Florida and threatens to overshadow presidential campaigning.

Trump, the former president and current Republican nominee, has events scheduled in Scranton — birthplace of President Joe Biden — and in Reading, where he is expected to talk about the economy and immigration in a city that is two-thirds Hispanic.

The hurricane caused Trump to put off a virtual event Tuesday night focused on health care and postpone a Univision town hall in Miami.

Harris plans her own Univision town hall Thursday in Las Vegas before returning to Arizona in what will be her second visit to both states in less than two weeks. Before flying to Nevada, she will virtually attend a briefing on the storm and the federal response that Biden is receiving Wednesday at the White House.

Biden already postponed a trip scheduled this week to Germany and Angola, saying, “I just don’t’ think I can be out of the country at this time.”

Milton is approaching just days after Hurricane Helene killed more than 220 people in six Southeastern states and left behind a swath of destruction that federal, state and local authorities are trying to alleviate even as they now brace for the next storm.

Harris spent Tuesday in New York taping interviews on ABC’s “The View,” with radio personality Howard Stern and on “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert.” During her interview on “The View” and later amid her taping with Colbert, Harris failed to name major ways her future administration would be substantially different from Biden’s.

“There is not a thing that comes to mind,” Harris said on “The View.”

Trump reacted on his social media platform, posting that Harris said “she would have done nothing different” than Biden whom he called “the WORST PRESIDENT IN THE HISTORY OF THE UNITED STATES.”

Harris had her own sharp words for her opponent. Reacting to reports in Bob Woodward ’s new book, “War” that Trump, while president, secretly sent COVID-19 test kits to Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2020, when they were hard to find in the United States, she said incuriously, “You remember what those days were like?”

“You remember how many people did not have tests and were trying to scramble to get them?,” Harris asked during the taping with Colbert. “Remember how rare it was to have them?”

She said of Trump, “And this man is giving COVID test kits to Vladimir Putin. Think about what this means,” before adding, “He thinks Vladimir Putin is his friend. What about the American people? They should be your first friends.”

Trump denied the reporting. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that the U.S. sent test kits. which he referred to as “testers,” but denied that the exchange occurred in secret.

“There were no secret shipments. The pandemic was starting back then,” Peskov said in a message on Wednesday. “Many countries were exchanging equipment. We sent ventilators. Testers came from America.”

A Pennsylvania teenager remains hospitalized four days after he collapsed during a game. Carter Mason suffered a “severe helmet hit” during a Rochester High School football game on Oct. 4.

The student’s family shared an update via a GoFundMe page which was created to help his mother pay medical bills. “After a severe helmet hit on the field, he made it to the sideline and collapsed. He has not regained consciousness and has a brain bleed,” Carter’s aunt Sandra Friend wrote on Saturday.

Friend later provided an encouraging update saying Mason was “breathing on his own,” and doctors “removed the intubation.” She also noted that medical personnel “topped the sedation” and “the teenager was “briefly opening his eyes.”

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“We’re just taking it day-by-day,” Carter’s uncle Dean Friend said in a video update on Sunday from the teenager’s bedside.

“Carter’s making some good progress,” Sandra Friend added. “He is responding to some commands, he is saying words when he gets up, and he can sit up a little bit. We are hopeful that things are going to go well.”

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Carter’s mother Terri said Friday’s collision resulted in “multiple, multiple concussions.”

Rochester running back Carter Mason (8) looks to evade Ethan Davis’ (4) dive during the Rams Week 0 matchup against OLSH Friday night at Rochester Stadium.

News station WPXI reported that Carter was receiving treatment at UPMC Children’s Hospital in Pittsburgh. Carter’s teammates assisted him as he walked to the sideline following the hit. Terri told the outlet that Carter lost consciousness shortly after he was hit in the fourth quarter.

She recalled the thoughts that went through her mind during the frightening moment. “My reaction was to get my daughter and just hurry up and get here as fast as I could,” Carter’s mother told WPXI. “I was so scared.”

Carter Mason collapsed after he suffered a “severe helmet hit” during a high school football game in Pennsylvania.

Carter was reportedly wearing a Guardian Cap at the time of the hard hit. 

The protective padded caps were introduced with the goal of reducing the risk of head injuries when contact occurs between football players on any given play. The caps are designed to be able to absorb an estimated 10% of the force of a hit, according to research compiled by the NFL.

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The Rochester Area School District released a statement saying Carter was in everyone’s thoughts.

“The Rochester Area School District, including families, students and staff send their thoughts and prayers to the student, his family, our coaches and team, along with the Rochester school community,” the school district said in a statement shared on social media.

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