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Can Mikie Sherrill, the DEM New Jersey Candidate for Governor, Win Without Black and Latino Voters?

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Can Mikie Sherrill, the DEM New Jersey Candidate for Governor, Win Without Black and Latino Voters?


Why the Real Power in NJ Might Be Ras Baraka and the Voters Democrats Take for Granted
 

The Numbers Don’t Lie—But They Do Warn

In the unfolding drama of New Jersey’s 2025 gubernatorial race, the spotlight is not only on Rep. Mikie Sherrill’s center-left candidacy but increasingly on the pivotal role of Newark Mayor Ras Baraka and the mobilization of Black and Latino voters. While Sherrill cruised to victory in the Democratic primary—carrying 15 of 21 counties, largely with support from 71% of white women voters and earning a 14-point lead—the numbers reveal a more complicated picture. Urban, diverse constituencies remain less fully engaged with Sherrill’s campaign, and Ras Baraka may hold the key to unlocking their full political potential.

Baraka finished second in the Democratic primary among six candidates, securing 20.5% of the vote. He didn’t just perform well—he dominated key urban centers, winning Essex County by six points and Union County by nine, thanks to deep support from Black and Latino voters. In their shared home turf of Essex County, Baraka, the mayor of Newark, captured approximately 40% of the vote, outpacing Sherrill, who hails from nearby Montclair and garnered just 33%. The message is clear: while Sherrill’s base of white, suburban moderates carried her through the primary, it is far from enough to guarantee victory in the general election. Without full-throated support from the very voters Baraka mobilized—Black and Latino communities in New Jersey’s urban core—Sherrill’s path to the governor’s mansion remains precarious. The stakes couldn’t be higher: Failing to unite the Democratic coalition risks handing the state to Trump-backed Jack Ciattarelli and signaling a broader unraveling ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Baraka’s Base: The Sleeping Giant of New Jersey Politics

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Baraka and his supporters know the numbers—and they know the people. Even without a primary win, their commitment has only grown stronger. They’re building power from the ground up, driven by a clear mission: to reimagine New Jersey through a multiracial, working-class coalition that puts communities first and pushes back hard against the rising tide of MAGA politics.

Black residents comprise approximately 13% to 15.5% of New Jersey’s population, or roughly 1.2 to 1.4 million people. That’s not a marginal constituency; it’s a vital one that must be energized and turned out. An estimated 800,000 to 900,000 Black voters are registered in New Jersey, and the state ranked fifth nationally for Black voter registration in the 2020 presidential election—evidence of strong political engagement. Among Black Democrats, 63% hold a favorable view of Mayor Ras Baraka, with no other candidate coming close to breaking 20%. They are unlikely to vote Republican, but the real question is: will they show up in massive numbers if Baraka’s name is not on the ballot?

Trump’s Shadow Over Jersey: MAGA’s New Battlefield

Jack Ciattarelli, now officially endorsed by Donald Trump, has fully embraced a hard-right platform, including Trump’s restrictive immigration policies. His campaign has become a test of MAGA’s staying power in a traditionally blue-leaning state. While New Jersey has consistently voted Democratic in national elections, it has a history of electing Republican governors—and the GOP has been making quiet but steady gains, especially among working-class and Latino voters. Trump is eyeing New Jersey as a potential upset, betting on Ciattarelli to flip the state red in an off-year election. The real concern is that Democrats could fumble the moment so badly that Republicans pull off a win—even in deep-blue New Jersey.

The Union Flip: Pipeline Promises and Political Betrayals

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Fueling Ciattarelli’s momentum is the controversial endorsement from IUOE Local 825, a powerful union of engineers with a large Irish membership. Once a backer of Sherrill’s congressional runs and Phil Murphy’s re-election, the union now claims Sherrill’s clean energy agenda threatens jobs, specifically her support for solar power and shift away from gas pipelines.

Solar Doesn’t Stall Jobs—But It Does Threaten Power

Union business manager Greg Lalevee argues that the Democratic energy agenda is stalling infrastructure work and hurting union workers. But that argument falls flat. Solar and renewable energy projects also require skilled engineers. The union’s endorsement of Ciattarelli—and alignment with Trump’s immigration policies—suggests deeper cultural and political motivations. Despite this, on June 17th, Sherrill secured the endorsement of the New Jersey AFL-CIO, which represents over 1 million union members and their families. The New Jersey AFL-CIO’s membership is majority white, but with strong representation from Black and Hispanic workers, and a nearly even gender split that has recently tilted toward men.

Baraka’s Leverage: Lieutenant Governor or Kingmaker?

This shifting political landscape makes one thing crystal clear: Sherrill must reunite the Democratic base—especially Black and Latino voters, whose enthusiasm during the primary was noticeably subdued. While Mayor Baraka hasn’t officially endorsed her yet, his influence is undeniable, and his grassroots credibility is unmatched.

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According to a senior advisor, Sherrill and Baraka are in active discussions about offering him a lieutenant governor slot—or another prominent, policy-shaping role. Initially, Baraka dismissed interest in the position, but he is now reconsidering, provided the role comes with real authority and a platform to champion progressive priorities. For many in the movement, his presence would not just secure a broader coalition—it would signal that the voices of working people, communities of color, and grassroots organizers are central to shaping New Jersey’s future, not sidelined. Sherrill has until July 28 to select a running mate. Her choice will be more than symbolic—it will reflect whether the Democratic Party is willing to embrace multiracial, working-class leadership in a moment when the stakes for the 2026 midterms couldn’t be higher.

If Baraka joins the ticket—or throws his full support behind Sherrill—he could dramatically shift the political landscape. With current polling showing Sherrill at 45% and Ciattarelli at 42%, the race remains within the margin of error. But that’s just the topline—regional support will vary widely. In a contest this close, the margin is razor thin, and turnout among Black and Latino voters could be the decisive factor. Their mobilization could mean the difference between victory and defeat. And it won’t just be a win for New Jersey Democrats—this race is a high-stakes preview of what’s to come in the 2026 midterms. If Democrats can’t turn out their base here, in a blue-leaning state with a well-known moderate candidate, it could signal deeper vulnerabilities across the national map.

Latino Voters Are Not a Lock—They’re a Wild Card

Democrats in New Jersey are still reeling from the GOP’s significant gains among Latino voters. Between 2020 and 2024, Trump’s support among Latinos in the state surged from 28% to 43%—a dramatic shift that flipped several heavily Latino towns that had long been Democratic strongholds. In the upcoming election, the stakes could not be higher.

Latino voters—who comprise approximately 21.6% of New Jersey’s population—are the largest and most rapidly growing demographic in the state. The community includes Puerto Ricans (about 30%), Dominicans, South Americans, and Mexicans. Roughly 57% of New Jersey’s Latino population is native-born, while the rest is evenly split between naturalized and non-citizen foreign-born residents.

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Latino voter registration rates historically trail those of white and Black voters, but they remain substantial, estimated between 700,000 and 800,000 registered Latino voters. This makes them a crucial and growing voting bloc. Although the Latina Civic PAC endorsed Mikie Sherrill in the primary, among Latino Democrats, Ras Baraka holds a notable edge, with a 40% favorability rating.

These are not guaranteed voters—they are persuadable. In the upcoming election, the stakes could not be higher. Democrats cannot afford to assume Latino loyalty; they must actively earn it.

Coalition or Collapse? The Party’s Future Runs Through Newark

This race is more than a state contest. It’s a preview of the 2026 midterms. Can Democrats still build multiracial coalitions that win statewide races? Can they energize progressive voters while retaining the support of suburban moderates?

Sherrill’s broad appeal is an asset—but it’s not enough. She must excite and engage the voters who carried Barack Obama and other Democrats to victory: Black and Latino communities who are often taken for granted.

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If Baraka joins the ticket, or even mobilizes his base with a full-throated endorsement, he could be the deciding factor. The path to victory runs through Newark, Paterson, Elizabeth, and Camden—not just Montclair and Morristown.

Final Word: Power, Unity, and the Fight Ahead

This is a moment for values, vision, and unity. The Democratic Party’s ability to defeat MAGA extremism—and remain relevant in a shifting America—depends on whether it truly represents the diversity of its coalition.

In a previous diary, I wrote about the enthusiastic support white women must give to Democratic candidates. In this diary, the question shifts: Sherrill, the white woman—will she offer the Black man, Ras Baraka, the lieutenant governorship? And will he, in turn, give his enthusiastic support without some meaningful political role in return?

Baraka holds the influence. Sherrill holds the opportunity.

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Legendary NJ Fourth of July lobster catch created record that will never be broken

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Legendary NJ Fourth of July lobster catch created record that will never be broken



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While you’re sitting around the grill this July 4 holiday, raise a glass to William Sharp, who caught the mother of all New Jersey lobsters on this day in 2003.

He was diving on the sunken remains of the Almirante, an old banana boat that everyone knows as the “flour wreck,” which is a story unto itself. The 378-foot freighter belonged to the United Fruit Co. and was steaming from New York City to Colon, Panama, with a full cargo hold.

At 2 a.m., Sept. 6, 1918, a Navy tanker slammed into the ship in rough seas and heavy fog off the South Jersey coast. The Almirante went down in four minutes; five of its 105 crewmembers and passengers didn’t make it out and its entire cargo load was lost. For days after the wreck, a white frothy foam washed up onto the shore, leading people to falsely believe the ship was carrying flour to the banana plantations. Its manifold said it was carrying produce.

As if that’s not enough, during a submarine patrol in July 1942 in the early days of World War II, a blimp spotted the shape of the wreck from the air and reported it as a possible German U-boat. A Coast Guard cutter dropped five depth charges on the wreck, blowing it to pieces. It now lays in scattered pieces of steel in 70 feet of water, nine miles outside Absecon Inlet.  

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It was under one of those twisted, steel plates that Sharp, a retired Navy shipyard worker, had his standoff with what would turn out to be a New Jersey state record lobster.

“It’s so confusing down there. You can only see 15 feet, 30 feet in front of you on a good day,” said Sharp, who’s 71 today and living where he always has, on a lagoon in the Mystic Islands section of Little Egg Harbor, or “the end of the world,” as he puts it.

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Sharp spotted the lobster in its hiding spot with a flashlight. But he was out of air. So he cut the rope to his dive reel, and tied it off at the lobster’s location. He then followed his anchor rope back to his boat called Kitchen Table, aptly named because that’s where his friends all sat around in the winter, planning their dives and fishing trips.

Forty minutes later and with a fresh tank of air, Sharp went back down, following the line on his dive reel. The lobster was still there. He turned the light off, because a bright light can spook the crustacean. Then he reached in with his hand and grabbed hold of the giant lobster, trying not to get pinched by one of its massive claws.

“The lobster will stand up in defense and just get itself stuck in there,” Sharp said. “You have to dig the sand out from under it.”

With the water cloudy with floating sand particles, Sharp won his tug of water and surfaced with the biggest lobster ever caught by a diver in New Jersey waters since the state started keeping records.

The lobster weighed 15 pounds, 3 ounces; it’s carapace, or body, measured 7½ inches. The state’s Fish & Wildlife sent a marine scientist to Scott’s Bait & Tackle, where the lobster was certified, to investigate. A month later, Sharp’s find was anointed king of the lobsters.

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Ok, maybe not king of all the lobsters, but his catch became the official state record lobster landed by a recreational fisherman or diver. The record may never be broken either. New Jersey’s Fish & Wildlife retired the lobster category because lobsters that size are illegal to catch recreationally these days. The carapace can’t be bigger than 5¼ inches.

While Sharp’s 15 pounder is the biggest ever recorded by the state for a diver, American lobsters can get bigger, though it’s not common. The largest American lobster was 44 pounds and captured off Nova Scotia in 1977. There is also a Maine legend of a 51.5-pound lobster caught in 1926, but the mount was lost after it got smashed during transportation.

There are New Jersey divers too, that have claimed bigger lobsters, but they just never got them certified. Retired diver Mike Schwartz of Millville said the late Tom Conley caught a 20.4-pound lobster on the wreck Morand, which he said is 30 miles in the ocean from Cape May.

The year was 2001. Schwartz and Conley were diving off of the late Capt. Sam Still’s boat Samar III. Schwartz, who is 77 today, said it never dawned on them to certify the lobster for a record.

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“We caught so many big lobsters back then, I don’t think we even thought about records,” Schwartz said.

As far as the fate of the Sharp’s lobster goes, he ate it. But it was too big to cook all at once. It took him and a friend a week to finish it off.

“I didn’t have a pot big enough. I had to eat it one claw at a time. I saved the parts,” Sharp said.

He had the lobster’s carapace, head and claws mounted. He keeps it on shelf with other nautical items. It’s red color long faded out, the lobster mount is now beige.

When Jersey Shore native Dan Radel is not reporting the news, you can find him in a college classroom where he is a history professor. Reach him @danielradelapp; 732-643-4072; dradel@gannettnj.com.

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Air conditioning fails at Delaney Hall as heat wave leaves detainees struggling to breathe • The Jersey Vindicator

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Air conditioning fails at Delaney Hall as heat wave leaves detainees struggling to breathe • The Jersey Vindicator


Advocates say temperatures became unbearable inside one housing unit as the region’s heat wave intensified.

Detainees at Newark’s Delaney Hall have told activists that the air conditioning has failed in part of the controversial immigrant detention center, leaving some people sleeping naked and struggling to breathe as a scorching heat wave descends on the region.

Sally Pillay, an advocate with Eyes on ICE who regularly speaks to detainees and their families, told The Jersey Vindicator Thursday afternoon that some of the roughly 150 detainees housed in Unit 4 began calling their families early July 2 to complain that they couldn’t breathe or sleep because of the high temperatures.

It’s not the first time this has happened. Pillay said the cooling system had been on the fritz all week before finally failing sometime Wednesday.

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But conditions have gotten far more dangerous as air temperatures soared past 100 degrees.

“There’s no ventilation or circulation,” she said of the unit. “It’s extremely hot, and it’s humid … it’s unbearable. They’re sleeping with no clothes on, and they feel fatigued.”

Activists said they reached out to the city of Newark but did not hear back.

A spokesperson for GEO Group, the private prison firm that runs the 1,000-bed facility on Doremus Avenue, did not respond to requests for comment Thursday.

But a spokesperson for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement told The Jersey Vindicator in an email Thursday evening, July 2, that the agency has added portable air conditioning units and access to ice water while it oversees repairs. Activists disputed the claims Thursday night and said that AC units and ice water have not been provided yet.

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“The rapid response to this incident demonstrates ICE’s commitment to uphold the highest detention standards, following all applicable health and safety guidelines,” the spokesperson wrote.

Meanwhile, members of New Jersey’s congressional delegation have also gotten involved.

In a social media post, U.S. Rep. Rob Menendez, a Union County Democrat who has visited Delaney Hall many times, wrote that his office will “continue to press ICE to ensure that this matter is addressed with the urgency required during this extreme heat wave and will do so until air conditioning is restored.”

Pillay said the situation has been worsened by poor drinking water, which detainees have long said tastes metallic and “off.” It seems to have gotten even worse lately, she added.

“Apparently, it’s discolored, yellow, and dirty, like it’s not being filtered,” she said. “And it tastes very bad.”

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That means detainees enduring misery-inducing heat must also choke down water they otherwise wouldn’t drink.

Kathy O’Leary, the coordinator of Pax Christi New Jersey, said the imposing fortress near the mouth of Newark Bay has had HVAC issues almost since it opened in May 2025.

Several dorms remained frigid over the winter, she said, but the heat blasted through another unit to the point where “everybody was roasting.”

But the summer heat has taken it to another level.

“This is not a new thing,” Pillay added. “Definitely not.”

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The air conditioning failure is another in a long list of complaints voiced by detainees, their families, and immigration activists about Delaney Hall, which they say forces undocumented immigrants swept up in the Trump administration’s immigration raids to live in squalor.

About 300 detainees launched a hunger and labor strike in May to draw attention to their plight and convince Gov. Mikie Sherrill to meet with them. The strike drew national attention, and protesters flocked to the area for weeks of demonstrations that often turned violent.

When asked why she believes GEO Group didn’t fix the air conditioning earlier, Pillay said bluntly that it’s a for-profit entity that “always wants to cut corners.”

“They wait for an issue to get so big that we have to complain,” she said. “They want to house people in this facility, but they cannot fix the infrastructure. We have seen so many issues in this facility.”

“It’s very sad, it’s shocking, and it’s appalling that this is the way we’re treating human beings,” she continued. “And GEO, which is making millions and millions of dollars, doesn’t care about the human beings being warehoused in this facility.”

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Steve Janoski is a multi-award-winning journalist whose work has appeared in the New York Post, USA Today, the Associated Press, The Bergen Record and the Asbury Park Press. His reporting has exposed corruption, government malfeasance and police misconduct



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Independence Day surprise: New Jersey’s costly new data broker law | IAPP

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Independence Day surprise: New Jersey’s costly new data broker law  | IAPP


The risks and costs of being a data broker in the United States just went up — again. On 30 June 2026, Gov. Mikie Sherrill, D-N.J., signed A 5328 into law, making New Jersey the seventh state to enact a data broker law, and the second this year, following Connecticut. The bill was introduced and signed over the course of a few days, as New Jersey’s Legislature sprinted toward an end-of-fiscal-year budget deadline.

This is not a simple copy-paste of any other state. The most notable divergence is its breadth. It creates requirements not only for data brokers, but also for data collectors, entities that have a direct relationship with individuals but sell their personal data to data brokers.

Its greatest impact comes from the creation of a tiered — and costly — structure for annual registration fees, requiring the largest data brokers and data collectors to pay a USD1.5 million annual registration fee. Although the minimum fee, payable for selling the personal data of any number of New Jersey consumers, is not the highest in the country, the second tier is higher than any other state, and kicks in at 100,000 consumers. Data brokers and data collectors also face significant fines for failing to register or update their registration information.

Further, the law prohibits the sale of sensitive data both through the data broker provisions and by amending New Jersey’s consumer data privacy law. Violations of that prohibition carry a severe USD50,000-per-record fine.

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The law takes effect immediately, except for the requirement that the New Jersey Division of Consumer Affairs create a registry, which takes effect 270 days after enactment, on 27 March 2027.

Data brokers and their suppliers



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