Connect with us

News

What happened to China’s former leader Hu Jintao? | CNN

Published

on

What happened to China’s former leader Hu Jintao? | CNN



CNN
 — 

It’s a second that for a lot of observers has come to outline strongman chief Xi Jinping’s tightening grip on China: his visibly frail predecessor, Hu Jintao, being escorted out of a key Communist Occasion assembly throughout a five-yearly management reshuffle – apparently at Xi’s behest.

Photos of two males ushering the 79-year-old from his seat and towards the exit have been beamed the world over because the celebration’s Nationwide Congress got here to an in depth Saturday, resulting in days of hypothesis over whether or not Hu was the sufferer of a intentionally public energy play.

This week, these rumors have solely grown – regardless of a declare by Chinese language state media on Twitter that Hu left on account of ill-health – and the intrigue is more likely to develop additional nonetheless with the discharge of footage exhibiting the 90 seconds main as much as his sudden elimination.

The footage, launched by Singapore broadcaster CNA on Tuesday, reveals a sequence of high-level exchanges between senior celebration leaders, by which Hu is repeatedly prevented from taking a look at official paperwork in entrance of him.

Advertisement

It reveals Li Zhanshu, the celebration’s outgoing number-three official, who’s sitting subsequent to Hu on the entrance desk on stage, take the paperwork from Hu’s hand and place them beneath a pink folder. When Hu then reaches for the paperwork, Li pulls them away.

Xi, who’s sat on Hu’s different aspect, glances on the exchanges and summons a senior aide to whom he speaks briefly. Moments later, a second aide hurries over, receives an instruction from Xi, then speaks to an apparently nonplussed Hu.

As per the footage that circulated on Saturday, Hu – who seems reluctant to depart – is then lifted from his chair, taken by the arm and escorted out.

Not one of the footage – both that launched on Saturday or Tuesday – has been broadcast in China. Neither has the incident been reported in Chinese language language media, or mentioned on Chinese language social media, the place conversations round senior leaders are extremely restricted.

Advertisement

Late on Saturday evening, China’s official Xinhua information company tweeted in English that Hu “insisted on attending” the closing ceremony regardless of his poor well being and was escorted out after feeling unwell. Nonetheless, inside China, the place Twitter is blocked, the incident was not talked about.

On Weibo, censors even restricted the search outcomes for obscure key phrases corresponding to “escorted away” or “leaving the assembly,” in an obvious effort to stop customers from making veiled references to the incident, based on Eric Liu, a censorship analyst with China Digital Instances.

Tuesday’s footage has fueled fervent hypothesis about what was within the doc and why Hu was not allowed to see it – and left observers divided over what sparked his exit.

Some keep it was possible on account of Hu’s poor well being or psychological state – after retiring in 2013, he has been seen in public wanting more and more frail. Others recommend it might be a deliberate energy play by Xi to point out his unequalled authority.

Former Chinese leader Hu Jintao is taken by the arm and escorted out.

Like many unexplained episodes within the black field of elite Chinese language politics, the true motive behind Hu’s surprising departure might by no means be recognized. However consultants say the symbolism – unintended or in any other case – is difficult to overlook: Having eradicated any vestige of affect from celebration elders or rival factions, Xi has ushered in a brand new period of one-man rule surrounded by solely staunch loyalists.

Advertisement

In the meantime, gone with Hu are the numerous hallmarks that had outlined his decade in energy throughout which he presided over a interval of double-digit financial development and comparative openness.

Hu additionally relinquished each his celebration and army posts when he retired in 2012 after two phrases in energy – incomes him reward from Xi for “his broad thoughts and noble character.”

Whereas Hu was by no means as highly effective as Xi is now – owing partially to the mannequin of collective management and the balancing affect of a number of celebration factions and elders, together with his predecessor Jiang Zemin – he was related to a faction linked to the Communist Youth League, a as soon as highly effective grouping whose affect has diminished significantly throughout Xi’s rule.

Steve Tsang, director of the SOAS China Institute on the College of London, mentioned the newest footage suggests Hu’s dramatic exit was possible not deliberate.

“For no matter causes, Xi ordered Hu to be escorted out when he should have thought that Hu may not behave precisely as Xi would have wished,” he mentioned.

Advertisement

The brand new video has been interpreted by some as an indication of Hu’s supposed displeasure with the result of the Congress, which noticed Xi consolidate his energy by stacking the brand new management workforce along with his loyal allies and proteges.

Premier Li Keqiang and Wang Yang, head of China’s prime advisory physique, each retired from the celebration’s supreme Politburo Standing Committee, regardless of being one 12 months under the unofficial retirement age of 68. Each Li and Wang are seen as nearer to Hu’s sphere of affect.

In an much more shocking revelation on Sunday, Vice Premier Hu Chunhua, one other protege of the elder Hu (the 2 aren’t associated), was dropped from the brand new 24-member Politburo. As soon as seen as a rising star being groomed for the highest management, Hu Chunhua’s political future has dimmed beneath Xi.

However Wen-Ti Sung, a political scientist on the Australian Nationwide College, mentioned a deliberate public purge on the closing of the congress was unlikely, given the celebration’s emphasis on unity.

“The Chinese language Communist Occasion prizes the picture of unity and management, and extra so than ever throughout the Xi period,” mentioned Sung.

Advertisement

If Xi had wished to purge Hu to stop the previous chief from elevating objections in public, he would have executed so earlier than overseas press have been allowed into the auditorium, Sung mentioned.

“A high-profile purge of Hu at a vital juncture just like the twentieth Occasion Congress reveals the presence of dissent, and the notion that Xi is a minimum of ‘challengeable,’” he mentioned. “Neither is nice for Xi’s picture of invincibility.”

Many observers have been additionally struck by the obvious coldness of the opposite leaders on the stage. Few confirmed any concern for Hu, and plenty of averted wanting in his path.

“There’s no empathy,” mentioned Alfred Wu, an affiliate professor on the Lee Kuan Yew Faculty of Public Coverage on the Nationwide College of Singapore.

To rise by way of the celebration, officers have discovered to cover their private feelings and traits, Wu mentioned, “They simply attempt to be like a machine within the celebration equipment.”

Advertisement

On his manner out, Hu patted the shoulder of his protege, Premier Li, who nodded and turned briefly to observe him stroll away. Subsequent to Li, Wang sat upright and stared straight forward, seemingly frozen in movement.

Former Chinese leader Hu Jintao pats the shoulder of his protege, Premier Li Keqiang.

Additional down the sting of the stage, Hu Chunhua didn’t even solid a look towards the celebration elder as he handed by. As a substitute, he appeared straight forward with a notable frown and arms folded throughout his chest.

However even when the actual motive for the elder Hu’s departure by no means turns into clear, the incident has however despatched an unequivocal message about Xi’s absolute maintain on energy, analysts say.

Hu’s undignified exit confirmed that “Xi had lowered the as soon as highly effective (Communist) Youth League faction to insignificance,” mentioned Tsang on the College of London.

“With no successor in sight, and the earlier chief humiliated, Xi had projected to the celebration that…nobody within the celebration ought to look over his shoulder for one more chief, be him the long run or the previous chief,” Tsang mentioned.

Advertisement

“Now there is just one chief in China.”

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

News

Mapping the Damage From the Palisades Fire

Published

on

Mapping the Damage From the Palisades Fire

More than 5,000 structures have been destroyed by the Palisades fire, California officials said on Thursday. An analysis of satellite images by Microsoft offered a glimpse of the devastation in one section of Pacific Palisades, a wealthy neighborhood between Malibu and Santa Monica.

Source: Microsoft AI For Good Lab analysis of satellite imagery from Planet Labs using building footprints from Overture Maps Foundation and Microsoft

Note: Fire perimeter as of Jan. 8 at 1:17 p.m. Pacific time. Satellite imagery taken Jan. 8 at 2:21 p.m. Pacific time.

By The New York Times

Advertisement

In this one area alone, there appeared to be more than 2,000 buildings that were damaged or destroyed, according to the analysis.

The results of the analysis are estimates, and they are limited by the presence of wildfire smoke partially obscuring satellites.

As firefighters continued on Thursday to battle the Palisades and major wildfires burning across the Los Angeles area, the full scope of the damage remained unclear. But officials said the Palisades and the Eaton fire, burning to the east near Pasadena, were likely among the most devastating fires in the state’s recorded history. Officials suggested that 5,000 buildings may have also burned because of the Eaton fire.

The Palisades fire began on Tuesday and quickly grew. By Thursday, it had charred more than 20,000 acres, and remained out of control.

Source: Cal Fire By The New York Times

Advertisement

Aerial photographs of Pacific Palisades showed that the fire leveled whole swaths of the neighborhood near the Palisades Village shopping mall, north of Sunset Boulevard.

Source: photograph by Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press

By The New York Times

Widespread damage was also visible in this section of the Pacific Palisades south of Sunset Boulevard, bordered by the Pacific Coast Highway to the south. Only a few houses appeared to be standing amid the destruction.

Advertisement

Source: photograph by Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press

By The New York Times

Across the city, the Eaton fire continued to burn uncontrollably as well. It encompassed more than 13,000 acres by Thursday evening, forcing nearby residents to evacuate.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

News

Falling Chinese bond yields signal concern with deflation

Published

on

Falling Chinese bond yields signal concern with deflation

China’s government bond market has opened 2025 with a clear warning for policymakers: without more determined stimulus, investors expect deflationary pressures to become even more entrenched in the world’s second-largest economy.

China’s 10-year bond yield, a benchmark for economic growth and inflation expectations, fell to a record low of less than 1.6 per cent during trading last week and has since hovered close to that level.

Crucially, the whole yield curve has shifted downwards rather than steepening, suggesting investors are alarmed about the long-term outlook and not just anticipating short-term cuts to interest rates.

“For the long-term [bonds], yields have been trending down and I think that’s more about longer-term growth expectations and inflation expectations becoming more pessimistic. And I think that trend is likely to continue,” said Hui Shan, chief China economist at Goldman Sachs. 

Falling yields offer a stark contrast to volatile and rising yields in Europe and the US. For Beijing, the fall represents an ignominious start to the year after policymakers in September launched a stimulus drive designed to revive the Chinese economy’s animal spirits.

Advertisement

But data released on Thursday showed consumer prices remained close to flat in December, eking out growth of just 0.1 per cent on a year earlier, while factory prices declined 2.3 per cent, remaining in deflationary territory for more than two years.

Some content could not load. Check your internet connection or browser settings.

China’s central bank last year unveiled policies to stimulate investment by institutions in equity markets and announced for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis that it was adopting a “moderately loose” monetary policy. 

On Friday, it announced a “shortage of supply” meant it would pause its programme that has seen it purchase a net Rmb1tn of government bonds on the open market.

An important Communist party meeting on the economy in December, presided over by President Xi Jinping, emphasised consumption for the first time over other previously more important strategic priorities such as building high-tech industries.

Advertisement

The change of emphasis reflects concern over household sentiment weakened by a three-year property crisis that has left the economy more dependent on a manufacturing and export boom for growth. Investors worry this run of strong exports will slow abruptly after US president-elect Donald Trump takes office on January 20 with promises to levy up to 60 per cent tariffs on Chinese goods.

Citi economists estimated in a research note that a 15 percentage point increase in US tariffs would reduce China’s exports by 6 per cent, knocking a percentage point off GDP growth. Growth in China was estimated to be 5 per cent last year.

Line chart of Government bond yields (%) showing China's yield curve has shifted downwards at all maturities

More insidious than the slower growth, however, are the deflationary pressures in China’s economy, said analysts. The Citi economists noted that the final quarter of last year was expected to be the seventh in a row in which the GDP deflator, a broad measure of price changes, was negative.

“This is unprecedented for China, with a similar episode only in 1998-99,” they said, pointing out that only Japan, parts of Europe and some commodity producers had experienced such an extended period of deflation.

Chinese regulators are aware of the parallels with Japan on deflation, said Robert Gilhooly, senior emerging markets economist at Abrdn, but “they don’t seem to act like it, and one thing that contributed to the Japan example was going small with piecemeal easing”.

Goldman’s Shan said the central bank had promised to ease monetary policy this year, but just as important would be a large increase in China’s fiscal deficit at the central and local government levels.

Advertisement
Line chart of CN10YT bid yield (%) showing China's 10-year yields have fallen sharply in recent months

How that deficit is spent will also be important. Channelling it directly to low-income households, for example, might have a higher “multiplier effect” than giving it to other sectors, such as to banks for recapitalisation, she said.

Frederic Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC, said another reason government bond yields were at record lows was that the economy was awash with liquidity. High household savings and low demand for corporate and individual loans have left banks flush with cash that is finding its way into bond markets.

“It’s a little bit of a liquidity trap in the sense that there is money, it is available, it can be borrowed cheaply, but there’s just no demand for that,” said Neumann. “Monetary easing at the margin is becoming less and less of an effective driver of economic growth.”

Without a strong fiscal spending package, the deflationary cycle might continue, with interest rates dropping, wages and investment falling and consumers deferring purchases while they wait for prices to fall further.

“Some investors have lost a little bit of patience here in the past week,” he said, referring to the rush into bonds. “It’s still likely we’re going to get more stimulus coming through. But after all the fits and starts of the past couple of years, investors really want to see concrete numbers.”

Some economists warned that the slide in Chinese bond yields could have further to fall. Analysts at Standard Chartered said the 10-year yield could fall another 0.2 percentage points to 1.4 per cent by the end of 2025, especially if the market has to absorb higher net central government bond issuance for stimulus purposes.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

News

Mondale and Ford’s eulogies written for Carter read by sons at funeral

Published

on

Mondale and Ford’s eulogies written for Carter read by sons at funeral

Former President Jimmy Carter’s state funeral was a somber time of remembrance, but also a celebration of a century of life, well-lived.

Funeral held for Jimmy Carter

Advertisement

Carter memorialized:

Former President Jimmy Carter’s state funeral was held on Thursday at the Washington National Cathedral.

Several speakers memorialized the 39th President who died in Dec. 2024 at age 100., including President Joe Biden.

Advertisement

Minnesota ties remembered as Carter’s VP’s words read during service

Advertisement

Eulogy deliver by son:

The words of Carter’s Vice President, Minnesotan Walter Mondale, were read by his son, Ted Mondale. Walter Mondale passed away in 2021.

“My father wrote this in 2015. He edited it a couple of times since then, but here we go,” said Ted. “I was surprised when then-candidate Gov. Carter asked me to join him as his running mate in 1976. He amazed me then as he has every year since.”

Advertisement

In the eulogy he left, he spoke about the Carter he knew as a selfless man of integrity and the how the two were bonded by the same faith.

“While we had only four years in the White House, he achieved so much in that time. It stood as a marker for Americans dedicated to justice and decency,” said Ted. “I was also a small-town kid who grew up in a Methodist church where my dad was the preacher, and our faith was core to me as Carter’s faith was core to him.”

Advertisement

Ford’s son speaks:

Former President Gerald Ford had also left a eulogy before he passed away in 2006. His son, Steve Ford, delivered the remarks.

He described a friendship that transcended politics.

Advertisement

“It was because of our shared values that Jimmy and I respected each other as adversaries, even before we cherished one another as dear friends,” said Steve.

And his written words remembered a man whose legacy remains timeless.

Advertisement

“A man whose life was lived to the fullest, with a faith demonstrated in countless good works, with a mission richly fulfilled, and a soul rewarded with everlasting life,” said Steve.

Final resting place::

Carter will be laid to rest in his hometown of Plains, Georgia.

Advertisement

Jimmy CarterPoliticsMinnesotaWashington, D.C.
Continue Reading

Trending