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Vulnerable Americans are stuck in a Medicare-Medicaid maze. Is a fix in sight?

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Vulnerable Americans are stuck in a Medicare-Medicaid maze. Is a fix in sight?

People who qualify for both Medicare and Medicaid face maddening challenges accessing health care. The government spends $500 billion on this care, yet patients often can’t get what they need.

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People who qualify for both Medicare and Medicaid face maddening challenges accessing health care. The government spends $500 billion on this care, yet patients often can’t get what they need.

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On Thursday, a bipartisan group of six U.S. Senators will unveil a bill aimed at helping millions of Americans trapped in a special kind of health insurance hell. These people, who are among the country’s sickest and poorest patients, are covered by two government health insurance programs — Medicare and Medicaid — yet still struggle to get the care they need.

Their struggles persist despite Medicare and Medicaid combining to spend nearly half a trillion dollars a year — almost $40,000 per person on average — on these patients, who are sometimes called “duals” or “the dually eligible.”

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“If you can come up with a set of solutions that can save the taxpayer money and make a patient’s life better, by golly you’ve found a sweet spot,” the bill’s lead author, Sen. Bill Cassidy, R-Louisiana, said in an interview with Tradeoffs.

The bill, known as the DUALS Act of 2024, targets what many experts see as the fundamental source of this system’s inefficiency and ineffectiveness: its fragmentation. It will be introduced later today at a press conference by Democratic Senators Tom Carper, Mark Warner and Bob Menendez and Republicans Bill Cassidy and John Cornyn. Sen. Tim Scott, Republican of South Carolina, is also a co-sponsor of the bill.

Right now, to access vital services, most of the 12 million ‘duals’ are forced to deal with two different insurance plans and decipher two sets of confusing, sometimes conflicting rules. Medicare covers more urgent medical needs like surgeries while Medicaid pays for longer-term services like regular home visits from an aide. This bill aims to remove the patient from the middle of that maze.

The legislation mandates states to offer people at least one single, seamless insurance plan option that manages all of their medical, behavioral and long-term care — combining the Medicaid and Medicare sides of their benefits. Lawmakers hope the move makes care better and more cost-effective.

Senators promise relief to patients stuck in the middle of a $500 billion mess

People qualify as “dually eligible” because of their low incomes and by either having a long-term disability, being over 65 or all three. Any delay to receiving care can take a toll. Bronx resident Saleema Render-Hornsby experienced that firsthand in 2022.

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The 34-year-old has spina bifida — a spinal cord issue that limits her use of her lower legs — and her trusty wheelchair nicknamed “the Cadillac” broke down in the middle of a New York City street. Medicare and Medicaid tossed her request for a new chair around like a hot potato.

“I shouldn’t be stuck in the middle,” Render-Hornsby said. “Why do I have to keep repeating what I need until I’m blue in the face?”

After multiple appeals and her mother buying a temporary chair that caused Render-Hornsby back aches, nerve pain and pressure sores, Render-Hornsby got her chair.

It took 20 months.

Bill’s impact in doubt

Today, just north of 1 million duals are enrolled in a plan that’s as seamless as the kind outlined in this legislation. The bill requires states to pick a plan from a list of options that would be approved by the federal government.

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Industry groups, consumer advocates and academic experts applaud the bill’s authors for lighting a federal fire under states to solve this annual half-a-trillion-dollar problem. However, many question if it would achieve the bill sponsors’ twin goals of saving taxpayer money and improving patient health.

The legislation is silent on many key technical details like how much health insurance plans would be paid to run these new seamless plans or how plan quality would be measured, they point out.

“We have the opportunity to be transformational and to hold health plans accountable,” said Amber Christ, managing director of health advocacy for the nonprofit Justice in Aging. “I don’t see this legislation really moving the needle.”

One major barrier to the bill’s success is that states lack a proven formula to build a super seamless plan. Twelve states have participated in a pilot program created by the Affordable Care Act to test different approaches, but the results over the last decade have been disappointing.

“There are some exceptions, but we have not seen consistent success across states in terms of lowering health care spending or improving outcomes,” said Alice Burns, associate director at the health research organization KFF.

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A murky marketplace makes better plans hard to find

Perhaps the sharpest critiques are aimed at the bill’s failure to clean up the insurance marketplace for duals.

“This legislation adds one more thing to an already confusing landscape,” said Allison Rizer, executive vice president at ATI Advisory, a research and consulting firm. “It does not do away with any existing programs.”

Some dually eligible people today have as many as 100 local plans to choose from, according to Rizer, who says the thicket of options needs thinning out.

Private insurance companies have flocked to this market over the last decade, lured by higher payment rates and other regulatory changes. The industry now offers nearly 900 different insurance plans nationwide designed specifically for the dually eligible.

That’s on top of thousands of standard plans available to all Medicare beneficiaries. Almost all of these plans provide little help coordinating people’s Medicare and Medicaid benefits.

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“This is what’s broken with health care,” said Hong Truong who helped her mother enroll in a private Medicare plan designed specifically for dually eligible people. Her mom, who lives in San Jose, Calif., suffers from severe kidney disease.

She still had to deal with two different insurers and neither offered help when Truong needed to find her mom an in-home caregiver who spoke Chinese or Vietnamese — languages that Truong does not speak. She relied instead on relatives to act as recruiters.

The poorly coordinated coverage also left Truong to her own devices when her mom’s transportation service repeatedly failed to pick her up from her dialysis appointments. Truong ended up orchestrating drivers via the ride-sharing app Lyft and paying out of her own pocket.

“Everyone just referred me to somebody else,” Truong said. “It was all so frustrating.”

Aggressive marketing by insurers and brokers only further muddies this marketplace. A survey by the Commonwealth Fund found that, compared to wealthier Medicare beneficiaries, those with low incomes were nearly twice as likely to report being misled by advertisements and feeling pressured by a broker to switch plans.

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Rather than clearing out some of the clutter, this legislation instead proposes shepherding people into these new, more seamless plans by automatically enrolling them (with a chance to opt out.) That tactic has done poorly in some states. Instead, their seamless plans have seen low enrollment, and some patients have experienced disruptions in their care.

Cassidy’s bill faces an uphill climb

Sen. Cassidy acknowledges that his bill faces slim odds of passing this session. But he believes this population’s half-a-trillion dollar price tag and the country’s rapidly aging demographics make this problem too big to ignore for much longer.

At a minimum, he believes this bill will help Congress “get comfortable” with this wonky issue and predicts they’ll ultimately feel compelled to act. One sign of progress: Senate aides said they expect a hearing on the topic to happen later this year.

If momentum eventually builds then Rizer says lawmakers will face a difficult question about how to make the most of a rare opportunity to help an overlooked population and rein in federal spending.

“Do you go big?” Rizer asked, “Or do you settle for something that’s going to kick the can another 10 to 15 years down the road?”

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Absent major changes to the bill introduced today, Rizer said, the latter is far more likely.

This story comes from the health policy podcast Tradeoffs. Dan Gorenstein is Tradeoffs’ executive editor, and Leslie Walker is a senior reporter/producer for the show, where a version of this story first appeared. Tradeoffs’ weekly newsletter brings more health policy reporting to your inbox.

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Satellite images show Iran school strike hit more buildings than earlier reported

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Satellite images show Iran school strike hit more buildings than earlier reported

The bombing of an Iranian elementary school that killed some 165 people, many of them schoolgirls, included more targets near the school than has been initially reported, a review of commercial satellite imagery by NPR has found.

The images suggest that the school was hit on Saturday as part of a precision airstrike on a neighboring Iranian military complex — and that it may have been struck as a result of outdated targeting information.

The new images come from the company Planet and are of the city of Minab, located in southeastern Iran. They show that a health clinic and other buildings near the school were also struck. Three independent experts confirmed NPR’s analysis of the additional strike points.

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The strike points “look like pretty clean detonation centroids,” said Corey Scher, a postdoctoral researcher at the Conflict Ecology laboratory at Oregon State University.

“These certainly appear like detonation sites,” agreed Scher’s colleague, Oregon State associate professor Jamon Van Den Hoek.

Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at Middlebury College who specializes in satellite imagery, said the imagery was consistent with a precision airstrike.

The images show “very precise targeting,” Lewis told NPR. “Almost all the buildings [in the compound] are hit.”

A satellite image of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard compound taken on March 4.

A satellite image of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard compound taken on March 4, several days after an airstrike destroyed a school on the edge of the compound. The image reveals that half a dozen other buildings in addition to the school were struck.

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Iranian state media said 165 people died in the bombing, which struck a girls’ school. The school was located within less than 100 yards of the perimeter of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard naval base, according to satellite images and publicly available information. The clinic was also located within the base perimeter, although both facilities had been walled off from the base.

Israel has denied involvement. “We are not aware at the moment of any IDF operation in that area,” Israel Defense Forces spokesperson Nadav Shoshani told NPR on Monday. “I don’t know who’s responsible for the bombing.”

At a press conference Wednesday morning, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that the U.S. is looking into what happened at the school. “All I know, all I can say, is that we’re investigating that,” Hegseth said. “We, of course, never target civilian targets.”

Given Minab’s location in the southeastern part of Iran, Lewis believes it’s more likely the U.S. would have conducted the strike than Israel. As one gets farther south and east in Iran, “a strike is much more likely to be a U.S. strike than an Israeli strike because of the type of munitions and the geographic location,” he said.

Esmail Baghaei, the spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry, called the strike “deliberate” and said that the U.S. and Israel bombed the school in part to tie up Iranian forces in the region with rescue efforts. “To call the attack on the girls school merely a ‘war crime’ does not capture the sheer evil and depravity of such a crime,” he said.

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But Lewis said it’s more likely that the strike was the result of an error. Satellite images show that the school and clinic buildings were both once part of the base. The school was separated from the base by a wall between 2013 and 2016. The clinic was walled off between 2022 and 2024.

Lewis believes it’s possible American military planners had not updated their target sets.

“There are thousands of targets across Iran, and so there will be teams in the United States and Israel that are responsible for tracking those targets and updating them,” he said. “It’s possible that the target didn’t get updated.”

The Pentagon did not immediately respond to NPR’s request for additional information about the strike.

NPR’s Arezou Rezvani and NPR’s RAD team contributed to this report.

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Mojtaba Khamenei, son of former supreme leader, tipped to become Iran’s next head of state

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Mojtaba Khamenei, son of former supreme leader, tipped to become Iran’s next head of state

Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of the assassinated Ali Khamenei, is being heavily tipped to succeed his father as supreme leader of Iran, which would pitch a hardliner into the task of steering the Islamic republic through the most turbulent period in its 48-year history and offer a powerful signal that, for now, it has no intention of changing course.

No official confirmation has been given and the announcement may be delayed until after the funeral of Ali Khamenei, which was on Wednesday postponed.

His son is believed to have been the choice of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the Israeli defence minister, Gideon Saar, has warned he will be assassinated.

Ayatollah Seyed Khatani, a member of the Assembly of Experts, the body that chooses the new supreme leader, said the assembly was close to selecting a leader.

Rigid in his anti-western views, Mojtaba Khamenei is not the candidate Donald Trump would have wanted. Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, said on Tuesday that Iran was run by “religious fanatic lunatics” – and Khamenei’s appointment is hardly likely to dispel that opinion.

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‘They were going to attack first’: Trump gives update on Iran – video

The choice of supreme leader is made by the 88-strong Assembly of Experts, who in this case are picking from a field of six possible candidates. His election would be a powerful if unsurprising symbol that the government is not looking to find an accommodation with America.

Trump has said the worst-case scenario would be if Khamenei’s successor was “as bad as the previous person”.

There has been speculation for more than a decade that he would be his father’s successor, which grew when Ebrahim Raisi, the elected president and favourite of Khamenei, was killed in a helicopter crash.

Mojtaba Khamenei was born in 1969 and studied theology after graduating from high school. At the age of 17, he went to serve in the Iran-Iraq war, but it was not until the late 1990s that he came to be recognised as a public figure in his own right.

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After the landslide defeat of Khamenei’s preferred candidate, Ali Akbar Nategh Nuri, in the 1997 presidential election, where he won only 25% of the final vote, various conservative Iranian groups realised the need to make changes to their structures and Mojtaba Khamenei was central to that project.

He was also seen as instrumental by reformists in suppressing the protests in 2009 that came after allegations the presidential election had been rigged, with his name chanted in the streets as one of those responsible. Mostafa Tajzadeh, a senior member of Iran’s reformist parties who was imprisoned after the vote, alleged that his and his wife, Fakhr al-Sadat Mohtashamipour’s, legal case was under the direct supervision of Mojtaba Khamenei.

In 2022 he was given the title of ayatollah – essential to his promotion. By then he was a regular figure by his father’s side at political meetings, as well as playing an influential role in the Islamic Republic’s Broadcasting Corporation, the government’s official media outlet often criticised for churning out dull political propaganda that many Iranians reject in favour of overseas satellite channels. He has also played a central role in the administration of his father’s substantial financial empire.

His closest political allies are Ahmad Vahidi, the newly appointed IRGC commander; Hossein Taeb, a former head of the IRGC’s intelligence organisation; and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the current speaker of the parliament.

His rumoured appointment and its hereditary nature has long been resisted by reformists. The former prime minister Mir Hossein Mousavi, referring to the long history of rumours about Mojtaba Khamenei succeeding his father as leader, wrote in 2022: “News of this conspiracy have been heard for 13 years. If they are not truly pursuing it, why don’t they deny such an intention once and for all?”

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The Assembly of Experts, in response, denounced “meaninglessness of doubts” and said the assembly would select only “the most qualified and the most suitable”.

Israel on Tuesday struck the building in the Iranian city of Qom, one of Shia Islam’s main seats of power, where the assembly was scheduled, but the building was empty, according to IRGC-affiliated media.

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Video: Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

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Video: Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

new video loaded: Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

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Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem repeatedly refused to apologize for suggesting that Alex Pretti and Renee Good, two U.S. citizens shot and killed by agents, were domestic terrorists.

What we’ve seen is a disaster under your leadership, Ms. Noem. A disaster. What we’ve seen is innocent people getting detained that turn out are American citizens. I could talk about the culture that’s been created here. After the killings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti, when I spoke to Alex’s parents, they told me that you calling him a domestic terrorist — this was directly from them — the day after he was killed, a nurse in our V.A., Alex — one of the most hurtful things they could ever imagine was said by you about their son. Do you have anything you want to say to Alex Pretti’s parents? Ma’am, I did not call him a domestic terrorist. I said It appeared to be an incident of — I think the parents saw it for what it was. In a hearing — recent hearing before the HSGAC committee, C.B.P. and ICE officials testified under oath that their agencies did not inform you that Pretti was a domestic terrorist — during that hearing, stated during that hearing, I was getting reports from the ground, from agents at the scene, and I would say that it was a chaotic scene. How did you think that calling them domestic terrorists at that scene was somehow going to calm the situation? The fact that you can’t admit to a mistake, which looks like under investigation, it’s going to prove that Ms. Good and Mr. Pretti probably should not have been shot in the face and in the back. Law enforcement needs to learn from that. You don’t protect them by not looking after the facts.

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Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem repeatedly refused to apologize for suggesting that Alex Pretti and Renee Good, two U.S. citizens shot and killed by agents, were domestic terrorists.

By Christina Kelso and Jackeline Luna

March 3, 2026

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