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Russia using Belarus as a launch point for many air operations in Ukraine, NATO says

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Russia using Belarus as a launch point for many air operations in Ukraine, NATO says

CNN accompanied NATO’s Flying Squadron 2 on one such surveillance mission on Thursday. Inside two hours of taking off at 8 a.m. CET, the radar on board the NATO AWACS airplane — brief for Airborne Warning and Management System — picked up a few dozen Russian-made planes idling in Belarus simply north of the Chernobyl nuclear energy plant, NATO tactical director Denis Guillaume informed CNN.

The “overwhelming majority” of the Russian-made fighter jets that NATO forces have seen getting into Ukrainian airspace since Russia’s invasion started have originated in Belarus, the NATO mission’s technical director informed CNN on board Thursday’s flight. On one significantly “energetic” day final week, NATO forces noticed about 20 Russian jets heading to Kyiv from Belarus, he stated. The army plane taking off from Belarus and getting into Ukrainian airspace have been in help of Russian army operations in Ukraine, the NATO airmen informed CNN.

Among the many main questions looming over the warfare has been whether or not Belarusian forces have instantly entered the battle to help Russia. However the NATO troops stated they might not reply that — Belarus and Russia use the identical Soviet-era MiG-29s, they stated, so it’s troublesome to say in actual time who is definitely working them. Ukrainian pilots additionally use the MiG-29s, they famous, so it’s equally unclear how contested Ukraine’s airspace has develop into.

Nonetheless, some indicators are apparent, they are saying. For instance, the jets flying into Ukraine from Russian-allied Belarus are clearly not Ukrainian.

The AWACS airplane on which CNN flew Thursday is among the few army property owned by NATO itself, moderately than donated by a member nation, and the fleet of 14 AWACS planes collectively conduct practically two dozen missions per week, spying greater than 400 kilometers east to make sure that no unfriendly plane are headed towards NATO’s airspace.

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The missions are routine however have develop into significantly “intense” since Russia invaded Ukraine, one of many co-pilots informed CNN. NATO has stepped up its protection of the jap flank members during the last a number of weeks, and Thursday’s surveillance flight was significantly lengthy, requiring a midair refueling.

Because the AWACS flew its mission on Thursday, a Russian spy airplane circled over Belarus doing related surveillance in the other way, the airmen identified. That has develop into typical, as has recognizing Russian fighter jets — principally MiG-29s — performing defensive workouts close by.

The Russians have additionally taken to making an attempt to jam the NATO airplane’s radar, an annoying however inevitable incidence given how seen the enormous spy airplane is.

“It isn’t a secret we’re right here, and we do not need it to be a secret,” stated the NATO technical director.

One query the airmen decidedly refused to reply was whether or not the intelligence they collect, which is ostensibly to be used solely by members of the NATO alliance, is being supplied to Kyiv.

“I can’t reply that query,” Guillaume stated firmly.

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“The one factor I can let you know proper now could be that we, as NATO allies, are sharing the information with NATO international locations,” the NATO technical director echoed.

What the NATO member international locations do with that intelligence, nonetheless, is at their discretion, the NATO technical director hinted.

The warning displays NATO’s fraught place because the warfare drags on: As a corporation, it continues to underline that it’s not an energetic participant within the battle and that it’s offering no direct help to Ukraine in order to not danger scary additional Russian aggression that some worry may even embrace an assault on NATO territory.

However its member states, together with the US and UK, have overtly touted their intelligence and army contributions to Ukraine, which have been clearly geared toward blunting the Russian army’s advances.

The NATO surveillance airplane is able to extra than simply intelligence-gathering, although, and might name in tactical operations if wanted. For Thursday’s mission, for instance, the airplane was controlling fighter plane on the Polish-Belarusian border “in case there’s a menace to NATO territory,” Guillaume stated.

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Any motion, although, “must be consistent with the foundations of engagement,” he added. “We’re nonetheless in a peacetime posture.”

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia has carried out a Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system, leaving more than half a million people without heating, water and electricity. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the attack, the 13th large-scale assault of 2024 on the country’s grid, was “deliberate” and not a coincidence. “What could be more inhuman?” he wrote on X.

About 50 of the 70 missiles fired in the attack were intercepted, along with a “significant” portion of the more than 100 attack drones deployed, he added.

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This year Ukrainians marked Christmas Day on December 25 for the second time, after switching to the western Gregorian calendar last year. The decision to stop celebrating Christmas on January 7 in line with the Orthodox calendar was made by Kyiv to break with Russian influence.

Oleh Syniehubov, governor of Ukraine’s eastern Kharkiv region, told Ukraine’s national television news that the attack had left more than 500,000 people without heating, water and electricity.

Temperatures across Ukraine are around freezing point.

Heating supplies were also cut in some areas of Ukraine’s Ivano-Frankivsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, in the west and south of the country. 

Ukraine’s energy grid operator, Ukrenergo, urged consumers to limit consumption by not switching on multiple appliances at once, adding that the system was still recovering from the previous Russian attack on December 13.

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Ukraine’s largest private energy company, DTEK, said that its power stations had been damaged and one of its long-term employees killed.

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andriy Sybiha, said on X that the attack reflects Russian President Vladimir Putin’s response to “those who spoke about illusionary ‘Christmas ceasefire’”.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said last week that Zelenskyy had rejected his proposal for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange on the January 7 Orthodox Christmas.

Ukraine denied that such a proposal was ever on the table, asking Hungary to “refrain from manipulations” regarding the war. On Friday, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s foreign ministry, described it as “PR, a move” by Orbán.

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

An American Airlines agent talks to a customer at O’Hare International Airport in Chicago, Ill., last week. On Tuesday, the airline issued a national halt to flights.

Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images


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Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images

American Airlines passengers across the U.S. endured a sudden disruption of service on Christmas Eve, as a “technical issue” forced the airline to request a nationwide ground stop of its operations.

“The ground stop has now been lifted,” the Federal Aviation Administration told NPR shortly after 8 a.m. ET.

On Facebook and X, passengers shared stories of boarding planes early on Christmas Eve — only to be left waiting on the tarmac. In some cases, they described being told the flight would return to its gate so everyone onboard could deplane.

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The ground stop lasted for about one hour, according to the airline.

 “We sincerely apologize to our customers for the inconvenience this morning,” the airline said.

In a statement sent to NPR, American says the widespread delays were caused by a “vendor technology issue” affecting systems that are needed for a flight to be “released” — one of the final key steps before a plane takes off from an airport.

Early circumstances around Tuesday’s outage seemed ominous, reminding travelers of a nightmare scenario that played out two years ago when computer problems fueled a meltdown for Southwest Airlines as it tried to cope with bad weather during the holidays.

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Southwest stranded millions of travelers — and was later ordered to pay a $140 million civil penalty.

Aviation industry veterans like George Hamlin, a consultant, notes that Southwest took the brunt of the blame for the meltdown — but, he adds, “now we’re finding out that it’s a larger, more endemic problem than that.”

Delayed American Airlines passengers who posted to social media Tuesday said pilots blamed the slowdown on a computer system that aims to ensure an optimal center of gravity by balancing planes’ cargo weight and other factors.

Winter weather also threatens to snarl Christmas Eve travel, including storms along the East and West Coasts of the U.S.

The FAA’s operations page shows nearly a dozen airports were deicing planes Tuesday morning, including at Philadelphia International, and Dulles International and Reagan National outside Washington, D.C.

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If you’re flying, the FAA recommends checking your airline’s flight status updates for potential delays. As of 9 a.m. ET, the FlightAware website’s “Misery Map” showed some 544 flights had been delayed and five canceled since 6 a.m. Nearly 120 of those delays were at Charlotte, N.C.’s, airport.

Nearly 12.7 million passengers are expected to fly on American Airlines this winter holiday season, comprising more than 118,000 flights, according to the airline. The most-traveled days in that span are both Fridays, ahead of and just after Christmas.

NPR’s Joel Rose contributed reporting.

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity funds cashed out just half the value of investments they typically sell in 2024, the third consecutive year payouts to investors have fallen short because of a deal drought.

Buyout houses typically sell down 20 per cent of their investments in any given year, but industry executives forecast that cash payouts for the year would be about half that figure.

Cambridge Associates, a leading adviser to large institutions on their private equity investments, estimated that funds had fallen about $400bn short in payments to their investors over the past three years compared with historical averages.

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The data underline the increasing pressure on firms to find ways to return cash to investors, including by exiting more investments in the year ahead.

Firms have struggled to strike deals at attractive prices since early 2022, when rising interest rates caused financing costs to soar and corporate valuations to fall.

Dealmakers and their advisers expect that merger and acquisition activity will accelerate in 2025, potentially helping the industry work through what consultancy Bain & Co. has called a “towering backlog” of $3tn in ageing deals that must be sold in the years ahead.

Several large public offerings this year including food transport giant Lineage Logistics, aviation equipment specialist Standard Aero and dermatology group Galderma have provided private equity executives with confidence to take companies public, while Donald Trump’s election has added to Wall Street exuberance.

But Andrea Auerbach, global head of private investments at Cambridge Associates, cautioned that the industry’s issues could take years to work through.

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“There is an expectation that the wheels of the exit market will start to turn. But it doesn’t end in one year, it will take a couple of years,” Auerbach said.

Private equity firms have used novel tactics to return cash to investors while holdings have proved difficult to sell.

They have made increasing use of so-called continuation funds — where one fund sells a stake in one or more portfolio companies to another fund to another fund the firm manages — to engineer exits.

Jefferies forecasts that there will be $58bn of continuation fund deals in 2024, representing a record 14 per cent of all private equity exits. Such funds made up just 5 per cent of all exits in the boom year of 2021, Jefferies found.

But some private equity investors are sceptical that the industry will be able to sell assets at prices close to funds’ current valuations.

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“You have a huge amount of capital that has been invested on assumptions that are no longer valid,” a large industry investor told the Financial Times.

They warned that a record $1tn-plus in buyouts were struck in 2021, just before interest rates rose, and many deals are carried on firms’ books at overly optimistic valuations.

Goldman Sachs recently noted in a report that private equity asset sales, which had historically been done at a premium of at least 10 per cent to funds’ internal valuations, have in recent years been made at discounts of 10-15 per cent.

“[Private] equity in general is still over-marked, which is leading to this situation where assets are still stuck,” said Michael Brandmeyer of Goldman Sachs Asset Management in the report.

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