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Rachel Reeves announces £40bn tax increase in UK Budget

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Rachel Reeves announces £40bn tax increase in UK Budget

UK chancellor Rachel Reeves has announced a £40bn tax increase, the biggest in a generation, with business bearing the brunt of a Budget she said would fix Britain’s “broken” public finances and public services.

Extra borrowing averaging £28bn a year over the parliament unsettled investors on Wednesday, pushing government borrowing costs — which had already risen sharply ahead of the budget — to a five-month high.

The decision to increase tax, spending and borrowing is a big gamble for Reeves, the first woman to hold the position of chancellor in the 800-year history of the post.

The massive tax rise, which will fund a big increase in spending on the NHS and schools, will take Britain’s tax burden to a record high. It was accompanied by a planned £100bn rise in capital spending — funded by the extra borrowing — over the parliament.

“These choices aren’t easy but they’re responsible,” Reeves told the House of Commons, to ecstatic cheering from Labour MPs. Conservative leader Rishi Sunak said she had “broken promise after promise”.

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Most of the tax increase will come from a £25bn rise in national insurance paid by employers, which will go up by 1.2 percentage points to 15 per cent from April. The level at which employers start paying NI for workers will drop from £9,100 to £5,000.

Business groups have warned that increasing NI for employers may force some companies to dismiss staff or close at a time when wages and other labour costs are also increasing.

About £9bn a year will be raised from higher taxes on groups including people who benefit from the “non-dom” scheme for wealthy foreigners’ overseas income, as well as private schools, energy companies and private equity chiefs.

As part of its move to abolish the non-dom regime, the government said it would end the use of offshore trusts to shelter assets from UK inheritance tax, ignoring warnings that such a move could spark an exodus of rich people from the UK.

The chancellor added that, instead of the scheme, the UK would introduce a new “internationally competitive” residence programme.

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Reeves announced an immediate increase in capital gains tax, with the lower rate rising from 10 per cent to 18 per cent, and the higher rate from 20 per cent to 24 per cent. She also said increases in inheritance tax — notably applying it to pensions — would yield £2bn a year.

In a move closely watched by private equity executives, she said Labour would increase the capital gains rates on carried interest to 32 per cent from April, up from 28 per cent.

While the change fell short of taxing carried interest in line with the top rate of income tax of 45 per cent, advisers warned that by suggesting there was a “compelling case” for further reforms of carried interest, Reeves had left the door open to further tax hikes.

In a boost to people at the other end of the income spectrum, the chancellor confirmed that the UK’s national living wage would rise by 6.7 per cent to £12.21 from next April, with a bigger increase for the youngest workers.

UK government bonds initially welcomed Reeves’ remarks, but began to sell off after the Treasury published figures showing debt sales will rise to £300bn in the current fiscal year, up from the previous estimate of £278bn and above investors’ expectations.

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The 10-year gilt yield climbed to 4.37 per cent from a low of 4.21 per cent during Reeves’ speech.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was trading down 0.6 per cent, while the more domestically focused mid-cap FTSE 250 was up 0.3 per cent, boosted by a rally in energy companies’ shares.

In a reference to the disastrous impact on bond markets from Liz Truss’s 2022 “mini” Budget, Vivek Paul, UK chief investment strategist at BlackRock, said pre-Budget briefings had “broadly had the desired effect on markets for now, with the reaction in gilt yields a far cry from the 2022 episode”.

The chancellor said the Budget would stabilise the public finances, patch up crumbling public services such as the NHS and pave the way for higher growth.

In total, she increased taxes by £41.1bn a year by the end of the forecast period in 2029/30 with spending — including capital investment — increasing by £74.1bn in the same year, leaving Reeves with a funding gap of £32.9bn.

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The independent Office for Budget Responsibility said the overall effect of Reeves’ Budget decisions would be to “push up CPI inflation by around half a percentage point at their peak”.

It added that real disposable income per person, a measure of living standards, will be 1.25 per cent lower by the start of 2029 than was forecast in March.

Reeves’ tax rise, one of the biggest in a Budget as a share of national income, outstripped the increases of her predecessors Rishi Sunak in 2022, George Osborne in 2010 and Gordon Brown in 2002.

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Tax as a share of GDP was forecast by the OBR to rise from 36.4 per cent this year to a historic high of 38.2 per cent in 2029/30.

Reeves announced a £6.7bn increase in capital investment in education, a 19 per cent increase in real terms on this year.

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She also promised a £22.6bn rise in the “day to day” health budget over two years, and a £3.1bn increase in the NHS capital budget, in what she described as the largest real-terms increase since 2010, outside of the Covid-19 pandemic.

But she said that she would not prolong a freeze on thresholds for personal income tax and national insurance beyond the 2028 date planned by the last government.

The chancellor maintained the UK’s long-standing freeze on fuel duty, but increased taxes on corporate jet use.

Pledging that the UK would not return to austerity, she said departmental day-to-day spending would grow by 1.5 per cent in real terms from next year, compared with the previously planned 1 per cent, in what remains a tight expenditure settlement.

Capital spending expenditure will grow by 1.7 per cent in real terms.

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In a combative Budget speech, Reeves said the previous Conservative government “hid the reality of their public spending plans” from the electorate and the OBR, the independent forecaster.

“Never again will we allow a government to play fast and loose with the public finances,” she told parliament. But Sunak said the OBR made no mention of the £22bn “black hole” that Reeves claimed to have discovered.

Reeves confirmed that the government’s new investment rule would define debt as “public sector net financial liabilities”, in a move that will increase scope for borrowing. She added that under the government’s new rules, net financial debt will fall in the third year of every forecast.

The OBR predicted the chancellor’s Budget would put her on track to meet her revised debt rule two years ahead of schedule, leaving her with £15.7bn room for manoeuvre.

Debt as measured under the previous rubric — underlying public sector net debt — is still set to increase throughout the parliament until the end of the decade.

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In forecasts accompanying the Budget, the OBR said that real UK GDP growth would be 1.1 per cent this year, 2 per cent in 2025, 1.8 per cent in 2026 and at 1.5 per cent to 1.6 per cent for the rest of the decade.

Additional reporting by Ian Smith and Harriet Agnew

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Top Drug Regulator Is Fired From the F.D.A.

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Top Drug Regulator Is Fired From the F.D.A.

Dr. Tracy Beth Hoeg, the Food and Drug Administration’s top drug regulator, said she was fired from the agency Friday after she declined to resign.

She said she did not know who had ordered her firing or why, nor whether Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. knew of her fate. The Department of Health and Human Services did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The departure reflected the upheaval at the F.D.A., days after the resignation of Dr. Marty Makary, the agency commissioner. Dr. Makary had become a lightning rod for critics of the agency’s decisions to reject applications for rare disease drugs and to delay a report meant to supply damaging evidence about the abortion drug mifepristone. He also spent months before his departure pushing back on the White House’s requests for him to approve more flavored vapes, the reason he ultimately cited for leaving.

Dr. Hoeg’s hiring had startled public health leaders who were familiar with her track record as a vaccine skeptic, and she played a leading role in some of the agency’s most divisive efforts during her tenure. She worked on a report that purportedly linked the deaths of children and young adults to Covid vaccines, a dossier the agency has not released publicly. She was also the co-author of a document describing Mr. Kennedy’s decision to pare the recommendations for 17 childhood vaccines down to 11.

But in an interview on Friday, Dr. Hoeg said she “stuck with the science.”

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“I am incredibly proud of the work we were doing,” Dr. Hoeg said, adding, “I’m glad that we didn’t give in to any pressures to approve drugs when it wasn’t appropriate.”

As the director of the agency’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, she was a political appointee in a role that had been previously occupied by career officials. An epidemiologist who was trained in the United States and Denmark, she worked on efforts to analyze drug safety and on a panel to discuss the use of serotonin reuptake inhibitors, the most widely prescribed class of antidepressants, during pregnancy. She also worked on efforts to reduce animal testing and was the agency’s liaison to an influential vaccine committee.

She made sure that her teams approved drugs only when the risk-benefit balance was favorable, she said.

The firing worsens the leadership vacuum at the F.D.A. and other agencies, with temporary leaders filling the role of commissioner, food chief and the head of the biologics center, which oversees vaccines and gene therapies. The roles of surgeon general and director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are also unfilled.

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Supreme Court is death knell for Virginia’s Democratic-friendly congressional maps

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Supreme Court is death knell for Virginia’s Democratic-friendly congressional maps

The U.S. Supreme Court

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The U.S. Supreme Court refused Friday to allow Virginia to use a new congressional map that favored Democrats in all but one of the state’s U.S. House seats. The map was a key part of Democrats’ effort to counter the Republican redistricting wave set off by President Trump.

The new map was drawn by Democrats and approved by Virginia voters in an April referendum. But on May 8, the Supreme Court of Virginia in a 4-to-3 vote declared the referendum, and by extension the new map, null and void because lawmakers failed to follow the proper procedures to get the issue on the ballot, violating the state constitution.

Virginia Democrats and the state’s attorney general then appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, seeking to put into effect the map approved by the voters, which yields four more likely Democratic congressional seats. In their emergency application, they argued the Virginia Supreme Court was “deeply mistaken” in its decision on “critical issues of federal law with profound practical importance to the Nation.” Further, they asserted the decision “overrode the will of the people” by ordering Virginia to “conduct its election with the congressional districts that the people rejected.”

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Republican legislators countered that it would be improper for the U.S. Supreme Court to wade into a purely state law controversy — especially since the Democrats had not raised any federal claims in the lower court.

Ultimately, the U.S. Supreme Court sided with Republicans without explanation leaving in place the state court ruling that voided the Democratic-friendly maps.

The court’s decision not to intervene was its latest in emergency requests for intervention on redistricting issues. In December, the high court OK’d Texas using a gerrymandered map that could help the GOP win five more seats in the U.S. House. In February, the court allowed California to use a voter-approved, Democratic-friendly map, adopted to offset Texas’s map. Then in March, the U.S. Supreme Court blocked the redrawing of a New York map expected to flip a Republican congressional district Democratic.

And perhaps most importantly, in April, the high court ruled that a Louisiana congressional map was a racial gerrymander and must be redrawn. That decision immediately set off a flurry of redistricting efforts, particularly in the South, where Republican legislators immediately began redrawing congressional maps to eliminate long established majority Black and Hispanic districts.

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Explosion at Lumber Mill in Searsmont, Maine, Draws Large Emergency Response

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Explosion at Lumber Mill in Searsmont, Maine, Draws Large Emergency Response

An explosion and fire drew a large emergency response on Friday to a lumber mill in the Midcoast region of Maine, officials said.

The State Police and fire marshal’s investigators responded to Robbins Lumber in Searsmont, about 72 miles northeast of Portland, said Shannon Moss, a spokeswoman for the Maine Department of Public Safety.

Mike Larrivee, the director of the Waldo County Regional Communications Center, said the number of victims was unknown, cautioning that “the information we’re getting from the scene is very vague.”

“We’ve sent every resource in the county to that area, plus surrounding counties,” he said.

Footage from the scene shared by WABI-TV showed flames burning through the roof of a large structure as heavy, dark smoke billowed skyward.

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The Associated Press reported that at least five people were injured, and that county officials were considering the incident a “mass casualty event.”

Catherine Robbins-Halsted, an owner and vice president at Robbins Lumber, told reporters at the scene that all of the company’s employees had been accounted for.

Gov. Janet T. Mills of Maine said on social media that she had been briefed on the situation and urged people to avoid the area.

“I ask Maine people to join me in keeping all those affected in their thoughts,” she said.

Representative Jared Golden, Democrat of Maine, said on social media that he was aware of the fire and explosion.

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“As my team and I seek out more information, I am praying for the safety and well-being of first responders and everyone else on-site,” he said.

This is a developing story. Check back for updates.

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