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Poorer voters flocked to Trump and other data points from the election

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Poorer voters flocked to Trump and other data points from the election

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Donald Trump’s win gave Republicans their highest share of the popular vote in two decades — and revealed big shifts in the US electorate, from the Democratic party’s reliance on wealthier, college-educated voters to the power of issues like immigration.

Low turnout by Democrats also hurt Kamala Harris’s chances while support from traditional left-leaning voting groups, such as Hispanic and Black voters, fell.

The results also show that poorer and less-educated voters now think Republicans best represent them — a reversal from 12 years ago, when Democrat Barack Obama was president.

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After a deep-dive into the data, here are five takeaways.

Democratic support depends on high-income voters

Economic realignment has been under way for some time, but hastened in this election. The Democratic party now appears to be the party of high-income voters, not those with low incomes.

For the first time in decades, Democrats received more support from Americans in the top third of the income bracket than from poorer groups, according to an FT analysis of voter surveys.

In contrast to 2020, the majority of lower-income households or those earning less than $50,000 a year voted for Trump this election. Conversely, those making over $100,000 voted for Harris, according to exit polls.

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At the same time, Trump enjoyed enduring support from voters without a college degree, with nearly two-thirds voting for the former president, according to exit polling in ten states by NBC News.

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Immigration probably pushed voters to Trump

A poll by Gallup before the election found that US voters saw immigration as the most important problem facing the country, with 55 per cent saying that it was a “critical threat” to the US.

The results from Tuesday show just how damaging the issue was for Harris, who was blamed by Trump for the record high number of border crossings during the Biden administration.

Some of the areas that swung furthest to the former president were on the US south-western border, including Hidalgo and Zapata counties in Texas and Santa Cruz County in Arizona.

In Texas, Trump managed to flip four counties on the US-Mexico border that had voted for Democratic presidential candidates since the 1970s.

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Trump captured the suburbs and cities became less Democratic

Joe Biden’s victory over Trump in 2020 owed much to the big Democratic turnout in swing-state suburbs, including a blue wave in the majority-white suburbs of Pennsylvania and Georgia, as well as both majority-white and majority-Latino areas in Phoenix and Tucson, Arizona.

But on Tuesday, Trump captured more votes than Harris everywhere outside large cities, including suburban areas. In large urban areas, Democrats lost more than 1mn votes compared to 2020, according to an FT analysis of the results.

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The rural-urban divide has increasingly become an entrenched dimension of US politics, but this election saw a sharp drop in Democratic support in large cities, while rural areas continued to become more red.

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Hispanic-majority areas swung to Trump

Days before the election, comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s disparaging remarks about Puerto Rico at a Trump rally cast doubt on the Republican candidate’s ability to win over Latino voters.

But the results showed that Latinos, as well as other non-white voters, are increasingly drawn to Trump. The shift could have lasting implications given Latinos are among the fastest-growing ethnic groups in the US.

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Even in liberal enclaves like Philadelphia, the most populous city in the swing state of Pennsylvania, voters swung towards Trump in majority-Hispanic areas, even while Harris won those precincts overall, according to an FT analysis of municipal data.

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In Texas, some of the largest swings towards Trump also came from majority-Hispanic counties, including Starr County on the US-Mexico border, which has a Hispanic population of over 96 per cent.

Trump even managed to flip Florida’s most populous county, the majority-Hispanic Miami-Dade County, for the first time since 1988.

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Low turnout among Democrats accentuated the swing towards Trump

Not all of the swing towards Trump across the country was attributable to an increase in support for the Republican.

While New York swung to Trump by 12 points in 2024, fewer than 190,000 additional people voted for him than in 2020. But 800,000 fewer people voted for Harris than Biden in the state. Illinois and Ohio followed a similar trend.

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Of the swing states, only in Pennsylvania did Democrats lose more votes than Trump gained. In Wisconsin, Georgia and North Carolina, the party increased their vote count — albeit only by 300 in the North Carolina.

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Harris’s turnout effort did bear some fruit, with current estimates showing that the proportion of the voting-eligible population who voted increased in all but two of the swing states.

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Additional reporting by Radhika Rukmangadhan in New York and Alan Smith in London

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Russian and Syrian warplanes seek to blunt rebel advance from Aleppo

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Russian and Syrian warplanes seek to blunt rebel advance from Aleppo

Russian and Syrian warplanes have intensified attacks on rebels who over-ran most of Aleppo, Syria’s second city, in a lightning assault that poses the biggest challenge in years to Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

Air raids struck the rebel-held city of Idlib for a second day on Sunday, while opposition media and war monitors said Russian and Syrian jets had also launched attacks near Aleppo University Hospital.

Thousands of rebels, led by Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, entered Aleppo city, which has a population of 2mn, on Friday. Images circulating on opposition-linked social media this weekend showed them raising their flag over the city’s citadel and posing in its airport.

The rebels, who launched their assault only on Wednesday, said their fighters had advanced in multiple directions from their stronghold in Idlib province in north-western Syria, although their progress seemed to have slowed by Sunday.

HTS rebels attempted to press on to the major regime-held city of Hama, south of Aleppo, and claimed they had seized at least four towns in Hama province. The Syrian army has denied this. Rebels also said they captured the strategic town of Sheikh Najjar.

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In his first public comments since the start of the offensive, Assad said Syria would continue to “defend its stability and its territorial integrity in the face of terrorists and their supporters”, in remarks carried by state news agency Sana.

The comments came during a call with Emirati leader Mohammed bin Zayed, an Assad ally, who “emphasised the UAE’s solidarity with Syria and its support in combating terrorism”.

Later, Assad vowed to defeat the insurgents in a phone call with the acting leader of the breakaway Georgian region of Abkhazia, Badra Ganba, saying “terrorism only understands the language of force”.

It was not clear whether Assad had returned to Syria following a visit to Moscow earlier this week.

The Syrian army denied that the rebels had secured Aleppo, but later said it was redeploying its forces as it prepared to launch a counterattack supported by Russian air strikes and strengthen its defensive lines after days of fierce fighting. Dozens of Syrian army soldiers were killed by rebel forces, the defence ministry said.

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Social media videos showed rebel fighters driving through the streets of Aleppo, pulling down and kicking statues of Assad family members and celebrating by honking horns and firing their weapons. Videos also showed them freeing captives from Aleppo prisons.

Hundreds of civilians fled the city and its suburbs and headed for regime- or Kurdish-controlled areas, fearing a repeat of the gruelling 2016 battle that devastated their city. Those who remained in Aleppo were placed under night-time curfew by the HTS, residents told the Financial Times, adding that the streets were mostly empty on Sunday.

Assad faces increasing domestic and external pressures in a country shattered by a civil war that erupted after a 2011 popular uprising. He was able to quash the original rebellion with military backing from Russia, Iran and Iran-backed groups, including Hizbollah, the Lebanese militant movement.

Despite regaining control over two-thirds of the country, years of conflict and a deep economic crisis have left much of Syria in ruins.

The fighting had largely subsided in recent years, with the surviving rebel groups pushed into northern and north-western areas close to the Turkish border.

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But over the past year, Israel has intensified air strikes on Iran-affiliated targets in Syria as it launched an offensive against Hizbollah in Lebanon, severely weakening groups that had played a vital role in keeping Assad in power.

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HTS’s ability to move deeper into Syria is a major embarrassment for Assad, underscoring the regime’s weakness. The offensive appeared to have been planned for years, and comes at a time when Assad’s allies are preoccupied with their own conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.

HTS leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani said his fighters would not rest “until we reach the heart of Damascus”, in old video footage that was republished by social media networks linked to the group this weekend.

Russian warplanes bombed rebel positions in a bid to stem their advance. Russia’s defence ministry was quoted by state news agencies as saying the country’s forces had killed “at least 300 militants by missile strikes . . . on command posts, warehouses and artillery positions”.

Russian military blog Rybar, known to be close to the defence ministry, said it understood that Major General Sergei Kisel, the top commander of Russia’s forces in Syria, had been removed from his post.

He was earlier removed from his position commanding Russia’s 1st tank army in Ukraine shortly after the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, after the supposedly elite force suffered heavy defeats in the first weeks of the war.

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The Rybar channel also said Russian troops were forced to evacuate the Kuweires air base in the Aleppo area as the rebels advanced. The Syrian air base was regularly used by Russian forces.

Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov has discussed the situation in Syria with Hakan Fidan, his Turkish counterpart. Lavrov also spoke to Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi, who is expected to visit Damascus on Sunday and Ankara on Monday, as the main powers involved in Syria began a flurry of diplomacy.

Araghchi on Sunday reaffirmed Iran’s unwavering support for Assad, accusing radical Islamist factions of aligning with the interests of the US and Israel. “We will witness their defeat,” he said.

Iranian state media reported that opposition forces in Aleppo seized Iran’s consulate on Saturday, tearing down and destroying images of Iranian political and military leaders.

The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces, which are supported by the US in the fight against Isis and control swaths of Syria’s north-east, announced a general mobilisation on Sunday. They called on people to join in the defence against the rebel offensive, which they say was “orchestrated” by Turkey — their longtime foe.  

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Additional reporting by Najmeh Bozorgmehr in Tehran

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Trump names loyalist Kash Patel to serve as FBI director

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Trump names loyalist Kash Patel to serve as FBI director
Trump names loyalist Kash Patel to serve as FBI director – CBS New York

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President-elect Donald Trump named loyalist Kash Patel to serve as FBI director and replace Christopher Wray. CBS News New York’s Wendy Gillette reports.

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Trump picks hardline ‘deep state’ critic Kash Patel as new FBI head

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Trump picks hardline ‘deep state’ critic Kash Patel as new FBI head

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President-elect Donald Trump has said he will appoint Kash Patel, a loyalist and hardline critic of the “deep state”, to lead the FBI, signalling he will seek to remove Christopher Wray as head of the agency. 

Patel, who advised the secretary of defence under Trump’s previous administration, has suggested carving out the FBI’s intelligence-gathering function and purging its ranks of employees who do not support Trump. He has also mused about retribution against Trump’s critics.

“I am proud to announce that Kashyap ‘Kash’ Patel will serve as the next Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation,” Trump wrote on his social media website, Truth Social, on Saturday night.

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“Kash is a brilliant lawyer, investigator, and ‘America First’ fighter who has spent his career exposing corruption, defending Justice, and protecting the American People.”

“This FBI will end the growing crime epidemic in America, dismantle the migrant criminal gangs, and stop the evil scourge of human and drug trafficking across the Border,” Trump added. 

A longtime Trump loyalist, Patel has also worked as a federal prosecutor and public defender, but does not have as broad a law enforcement experience as many FBI directors. 

He has railed against an alleged “two tier system of justice” he has claimed is “the deep state’s weapon of choice”. The federal criminal case that accused Trump of mishandling classified documents was “the best definition” of such a system, Patel told rightwing podcaster Shawn Ryan earlier this year.

The DoJ is seeking to drop the case, which was dismissed by a federal judge, due to an internal policy that bars prosecution of a sitting president.

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In a podcast hosted by Trump ally Stephen Bannon late last year, Patel vowed to investigate and “come after” journalists who “lied” and “helped Joe Biden rig presidential elections.”

“Whether it’s criminally or civilly, we’ll figure that out,” Patel told Bannon. 

In his book Government Gangsters, Patel outlined a list of “top reforms to defeat the deep state” — the supposed permanent government of left-leaning bureaucrats that Trump and his allies believe worked against his first administration.

“The FBI’s footprint has gotten so freaking big, and the biggest problem the FBI has had has come out of its intel shops,” Patel told Ryan. “I’d break that component out of it”.

Patel also vowed to “shut down” the FBI’s historic headquarters in Washington “on day one and reopen it the next day as a museum of the ‘deep state’”.

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He would also “take the 7000 employees that work in that building and send them across America to chase down criminals,” Patel said. “Go be cops, you’re cops”.

Before joining the administration during Trump’s first term, Patel worked as a staff member for the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence under Republican congressman Devin Nunes, helping run the committee’s investigation into Russia’s interference in the 2016 campaign.

Trump’s effort to place Patel at the head of the US’s premier law enforcement agency will require Senate confirmation.

Trump appointed sitting FBI director Christoper Wray in 2017, and his term does not expire until 2027. Trump has been openly critical of Wray, particularly after law enforcement officials searched his residence in search of classified documents.

A spokesperson for the FBI said that Wray’s “focus remains on the men and women of the FBI, the people we do the work with, and the people we do the work for.”

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“Every day, the men and women of the FBI continue to work to protect Americans from a growing array of threats,” the spokesperson added.

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