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Opinion: What Putin forgot when he invaded Ukraine | CNN

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Opinion: What Putin forgot when he invaded Ukraine | CNN

Editor’s Word: Signal as much as get this weekly column as a e-newsletter. We’re wanting again on the strongest, smartest opinion takes of the week from CNN and different shops.



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When Nazi Germany attacked the Soviet Union on June 22, 1941, dictator Joseph Stalin was too shocked to talk in public for practically two weeks.

On July 3, he lastly gave a radio speech, attempting to reassure his nation — already struggling critical battlefield losses to the German blitzkrieg — with the phrases, “Historical past exhibits that there aren’t any invincible armies.”

Germany’s “Operation Barbarossa” concerned greater than 3 million troops, about 3,000 tanks and a couple of,500 plane — one of many largest invasion forces in historical past. Anticipating to overcome Moscow inside weeks, Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler thought the Soviet regime would shortly disintegrate. Over the following 4 years although, Hitler’s armies proved to be something however invincible.

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One 12 months in the past, Stalin’s inheritor within the Kremlin, Russian President Vladimir Putin, launched a military — one which he doubtless thought was invincible — into Ukraine, aiming to shortly decapitate its management and seize Kyiv. His hopes have been pissed off by Ukraine’s spirited protection underneath President Volodymyr Zelensky, and the 2 nations proceed to be locked in a savage battle.

Opposite to what most individuals anticipated earlier than the conflict, it’s a stalemate, noticed retired US Common David Petraeus, in a Q&A with CNN Nationwide Safety Analyst Peter Bergen. So how does the Russian chief look a 12 months after his choice?

“Putin has earned a failing grade so far,” mentioned Petraeus, who commanded the US wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. “Let’s recall that the primary and most essential activity of a strategic chief is to ‘get the massive concepts proper’ — that’s, to get the general technique and elementary choices proper. Putin clearly has failed abysmally in that activity, leading to a conflict that has made him and his nation a pariah, set again the Russian economic system by a decade or extra (dropping a lot of Russia’s finest and brightest, and prompting over 1,200 western corporations to go away Russia or cut back operations there), achieved catastrophic injury to the Russian navy and its status and put his legacy in critical jeopardy.”

Nonetheless, it will be a mistake to underestimate Russia, Petraeus famous, citing a maxim usually attributed, maybe wrongly, to Stalin: “Amount has a high quality of its personal.”

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Throughout World Warfare II, the Soviet Union’s skill to name on huge reserves and maintain huge casualties, regardless of having inferior tanks and planes, helped it to defeat Germany.

At the moment, Russia’s inhabitants is greater than 3 times the dimensions of Ukraine’s and it could possibly afford to ship extra troopers into the struggle. However in Ukraine’s case there’s an intangible issue. “Ukrainians know what they’re combating for,” Petraeus famous, “whereas it’s not clear that the identical is true of lots of the Russian troopers, a disproportionate variety of whom are from ethnic and sectarian minorities within the Russian Federation.”

Diliara Didenko headshot

On February 23, 2022, Diliara Didenko, went to mattress in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, “pondering that I’d have fun my husband’s birthday the following day. Our life was getting higher. My husband was operating his personal enterprise. Our daughter had began faculty and made pals there. We have been fortunate to have organized assist companies and located a particular wants nursery for our son. I lastly had time to work. I felt completely satisfied.”

She had no inkling that the outbreak of conflict would drive her to restart her life within the Czech Republic inside 22 days.

“Fully exhausted, crushed and scared, we needed to brace ourselves and are available to phrases with our pressured displacement. I shall be ceaselessly grateful to all those that helped us come to Prague and alter to a brand new life in a international land.” Didenko’s is one story among the many tens of tens of millions of lives displaced, disrupted or lower quick by the conflict.

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For extra:

Frida Ghitis: Break up the Xi Jinping-Vladimir Putin partnership

Cristian Gherasim: Moldova isn’t on the entrance web page, however it may very well be in Putin’s crosshairs

Rising up close to Michigan State College’s campus “was the stuff of childhood desires,” recalled CNN Opinion’s Kirsi Goldynia. On quiet summer season evenings, she would “sit outdoors the MSU Dairy Retailer licking an ice cream cone … I used to be protected on this neighborhood the place we appeared out for each other. I had area to run and play, to develop and picture and study.”

“Since shifting away from residence, these childhood recollections have moored me to the place the place I grew up, the place life felt easy and the world felt form,” she noticed. “On Monday evening, when information broke that there was an energetic shooter on Michigan State’s campus, I clung to these recollections.”

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Goldynia’s mom was amongst these locked down for hours when a shooter killed three individuals and injured 5 extra. The information alarmed these on campus and rippled out to the large alumni community of MSU, which has about 50,000 present college students.

“I take into consideration the phrases Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer spoke on Tuesday morning — ‘Our Spartan neighborhood is reeling right this moment’ — and I ponder if the ‘reeling’ ever ends and, if it does, what comes afterward,” Goldynia wrote.

Within the Detroit Free Press, Jemele Hill, who graduated from MSU, wrote, “What occurred … is a reminder that the regularity of those acts is bringing violence even nearer to all of us. A few of the college students whom Individuals noticed struggling to course of what occurred had already lived via one other mass taking pictures — in Oxford, or Newtown, Conn. Most of the college students who fled sure buildings on campus the evening of the taking pictures have been simply following the protocols they’d been taught previous to coming to Michigan State, as a result of educating youngsters and younger adults how to not be killed in mass shootings is now a staple of America’s egregious routine.”

For extra on weapons:

Jens Ludwig and Chico Tillmon: There’s no security internet to catch the younger males at highest danger of gun violence

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01 opinion column 0218

Now there’s multiple. For months, former President Donald Trump was the one candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. This week, Nikki Haley, the previous South Carolina governor and US ambassador to the UN, entered the fray, saying, “We’re greater than prepared for a brand new technology to guide us into the longer term.”

As SE Cupp famous, Haley referred to as for going past the “light names of the previous” and argued for time period limits for members of Congress and “obligatory psychological competency exams for politicians over 75 years outdated.” Trump is 76 and President Joe Biden is 80.

However the actual query, in Cupp’s view, is that this: “Will Haley additionally deliver substantively totally different views that enchantment to youthful generations?”

“Will she break with the election denialism, grievance politics, white nationalism and conspiracy theories that Trumpism allowed?” And, Cupp added, the place will Haley stand on immigration, gun management, local weather change, abortion and different points that significantly resonate with youthful voters?

For extra:

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Gavin Smith: Nikki Haley is a superb 2024 GOP candidate

Issac Bailey: Nikki Haley is a poor 2024 GOP candidate

A report Thursday from a particular grand jury in Georgia supplied a recent refutation of Trump’s already discredited declare of large fraud within the 2020 election. As Jill Filipovic identified, the jurors, who doubtless included some Trump voters, “have been requested to evaluate whether or not it’s doable {that a} former president and his allies had leveraged an assault on American democracy, or whether or not that president was telling the reality when he mentioned the election was stolen.”

In a unanimous conclusion, “they discovered that, opposite to the previous president’s claims, there was no proof of widespread fraud undermining the outcomes of the election, and that a minimum of some legal prices ought to be introduced.”

“If common individuals chosen for a particular grand jury can full this activity with honesty and integrity, certainly it’s not asking an excessive amount of for Republican officeholders to strategy their roles with related gravity: To declare that the election was free and truthful, and to ask that those that could have damaged the legislation or lied be held accountable,” wrote Filipovic.

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A court docket submitting the identical day within the libel lawsuit introduced by Dominion Voting Methods towards Fox Information revealed extra damning info. Writing in CNN’s Dependable Sources e-newsletter, Oliver Darcy noticed, “Regardless of what the right-wing speak channel peddled to its tens of millions of loyal viewers within the fast aftermath of the 2020 election, behind the scenes its most outstanding stars and highest-ranking executives privately trashed claims of election fraud.”

01 ohio toxic train derailment explainer

The derailment that left 20 vehicles of hazardous supplies within the village of East Palestine, Ohio, greater than two weeks in the past continues to be an enormous concern for residents searching for solutions.

Judith A. Lennington, a manufacturing unit employee turned e book writer and a longtime resident, noticed the consequences of the catastrophe from her farm three miles away.

“The cloud that went up within the sky was like nothing I’ve ever seen in my life,” she instructed CNN Opinion’s Stephanie Griffith. “It appeared like an enormous black cloud with a twister coming down from it. It was simply terrible. After the accident, we put quilts over the doorways and over the home windows, sealed the cracks and simply stayed inside.”

“I can nonetheless scent it outdoors. Fortunately the fumes should not robust right here — the wind blows within the different route — however I can, nonetheless, if I am going from the home to the storage, I can really feel my eyes burning. And I lose my voice after some time…”

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“So I don’t know what’s going to occur. Is it protected to let your youngsters exit and stroll in that grass? Is it protected to let your pets go to the lavatory on the grass after which come again in your home? In case your water is protected, what about these ponds the place the practice wreck is?”

The newly elected Sen. John Fetterman checked himself into Walter Reed Nationwide Navy Medical Heart Thursday for remedy of “scientific despair,” his chief of workers introduced. Fetterman, recovering from a stroke throughout his marketing campaign final 12 months, deserves credit score for searching for assist and being open about it, wrote psychologist Peggy Drexler.

“We’re proper to need to know concerning the well being points dealing with our leaders and the steps they’re taking to get the assistance they want, however it’s essential to do not forget that tens of millions of Individuals battle despair and lead extremely productive, profitable lives. … We’re dwelling in powerful occasions, and nearly everyone hurts; if our leaders are supposed to signify us, how can we presumably fault them for being, in truth, similar to us?”

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The episode of the Chinese language balloon was adopted by a good stranger one: US fighter jets shot down three extra objects of so-far unknown origin over the US and Canada. President Biden spoke concerning the shootdowns for the primary time on Thursday, saying that there was no indication the final three have been related to the balloon from China, which US officers mentioned was supposed for surveillance.

In January, as Peter Bergen famous, the US intelligence neighborhood reported that “the variety of UFO sightings considerably elevated between March 2021 and August 2022, throughout which period 247 new sightings have been reported, principally by US Navy and Air Pressure pilots and personnel. That’s nearly double the 144 UFO sightings reported within the 17-year interval between 2004 to 2021.” May the spate of unexplained plane have any relation to those that have been shot down?

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“Congress ought to convene hearings to unravel this,” Bergen wrote. “The general public has a proper to grasp why objects are flying round in American airspace that the Pentagon and the US intelligence neighborhood can’t establish.”

For extra:

Julian Zelizer: Biden’s ‘no apologies’ speech ought to silence his critics.

03 opinion column 0218
01b stalin's daughter

Svetlana was Joseph Stalin’s “beloved daughter,” Rosemary Sullivan wrote. “Stalin referred to as her his little hostess, little fly, little sparrow. She was the one one who may cease his rages towards her mom by wrapping her arms round his Cossack boots.”

However when a significantly older Soviet filmmaker wooed the 16-year-old Svetlana, her father’s response was fierce: he despatched him to the Gulag for 10 years. “This was when Svetlana started to grasp who her father was. Her standing as beloved was conditional.”

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Her story has new resonance now that North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un seems to be “grooming his daughter to hold on his dynasty. North Korea simply launched a brand new postage stamp carrying images of the dictator and his ‘beloved daughter’ standing collectively watching the test-firing of the Hwasong-17 intercontinental ballistic missile,” Sullivan famous.

“Will she, like Svetlana, inherit her father’s will however reject his murderous legacy? Or will she show a well-trained apprentice and presumably turn into extra harmful than her father?”

Vermeer Exhibition DV

The very last thing Euny Hong anticipated to be doing was panicking about getting tickets to an artwork exhibit. However then she learn what she referred to as the “sadistic” headline a “sadistic” pal posted on Fb:

“There’ll by no means be a Vermeer exhibit as nice as this one.”

“In the complete world, there are solely 35 identified work by the Seventeenth-century Dutch grasp, whose legendary use of texture and lightweight, significantly within the portrayal of ladies of their on a regular basis lives, positions him among the many best painters of all time,” Hong wrote. The much-anticipated exhibit at Amsterdam’s Rijksmuseum options “28 of his works, together with ‘Woman with a Pearl Earring,’ which, by the way in which, is barely on show via March.”

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“It was the phrases ‘there’ll by no means be’ that despatched me right into a frenzy of obsessively refreshing the museum’s internet web page like a lab rat pushing a heroin lever. The positioning alternated between crashing and displaying a message that they have been ‘quickly’ suspending ticket gross sales. And right here I assumed my lack of Taylor Swift fandom would save me from such indignities!”

Glad ending: Hong landed the tickets.

05 opinion column 0218

Sophia A. Nelson: Who will take care of the caregivers?

Pratika Katiyar: I’m a GenZ pupil journalist. We gained’t be silenced

Jill FIlipovic: A violent assault with canine feces raises questions all ladies confront

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Raed Al Saleh: It was one of many world’s deadliest catastrophes. The place was the UN?

Gene Seymour: The Tremendous Bowl’s finest advert additionally holds one of the best recommendation

Heather Ann Thompson: A college’s sinister transfer is sadly a part of a well-known story

Dean Obeidallah: The GOP can’t ignore the blockbuster report on Trump, Kushner and Saudi funds

Peter Svarzbein: The US southern border is just not a risk –— it’s a chance

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Khalil Gibran Muhammad and Erica Licht: Ron DeSantis’s newest salvo towards range

AND…

01b MLB pitch clock

Baseball could also be thought of America’s “nationwide pastime,” however the MLB has been dropping followers for years to faster-paced sports activities leagues just like the NBA and NFL. So when spring coaching video games start later this week, there shall be one revolutionary change: a time clock to drive pitchers to spend much less time between throws.

“For greater than 150 years, the dearth of a clock on the sphere has distinguished baseball from different main US crew sports activities, and a few baseball purists are positive to object to including one,” wrote Frederic J. Frommer.

There’s a precedent of kinds. Within the early Fifties, curiosity in skilled basketball was declining, prompting the league to introduce a shot clock. “The affect was fast: common crew scoring per sport elevated from 79 factors to 93. That determine rose to 106 by 1958, and never coincidentally, attendance soared by 40%.”

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“Individuals don’t come to video games to observe guys stand round and do nothing — whether or not it’s on a basketball court docket or a baseball diamond,” Frommer noticed. “A clock gained’t have the identical dramatic impact on baseball that it had on the NBA. However for Individuals with limitless leisure choices and restricted time, it is going to assist entice followers with extra thrilling (and quicker) baseball video games than we’ve seen in years.”

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Hawksmoor restaurant chain up for sale

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Hawksmoor restaurant chain up for sale

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Hawksmoor has been put up for sale in a deal that could value the restaurant chain at about £100mn, according to two people familiar with the matter, as it seeks to grow its international footprint.

Investment bank Stephens, which has been hired to run a sales process, has started speaking to potential buyers, the people said. Graphite Capital has owned 51 per cent of Hawksmoor since 2013.

Hawksmoor chief executive and co-founder Will Beckett and another co-founder Huw Gott, who own a minority stake, will retain their shareholding to continue to lead the company, one of the people added.

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Graphite Capital said it did not comment on “market rumour” and Stephens declined to comment.

Hawksmoor did not comment on whether it was up for sale but Beckett said in a statement: “We’ve got a great relationship with Graphite, and together we are getting to know the US investment community in more depth. As that continues, an opportunity may emerge that we wish to explore together.”

Meanwhile, Rare Restaurants, the owner of rival steakhouse Gaucho, is also exploring a sale of the business having appointed Clearwater M&A advisers, two people familiar with the matter said. One person said Rare was yet to start the process, as it was not under financial pressure. Rare Restaurants and Clearwater declined to comment.

London-based Hawksmoor’s sales process comes as the chain, which operates 13 locations, including 10 in the UK, continues expanding abroad having opened in Chicago last week.

It follows Hawksmoor’s debut US site in New York in 2021 and the launch of another venue in Dublin last year.

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The company, which opened its first outlet in 2006 in east London as a place to buy better-quality steak, said last week that sales were expected to top £100mn this year with “consistent like-for-like growth”.

One person close to the company said underlying profits for the 12 months to the end of June were above £10mn, and that it aimed to expand further in the US.

In 2021, Hawksmoor shelved plans for a flotation amid uncertainty in the hospitality industry caused by Covid lockdowns, shortages of labour and supply chain disruption. The chain had been working with Berenberg private bank on the plans.

Despite surging inflation and the cost of living crisis, the UK hospitality industry has witnessed several large deals. Last year, Apollo acquired Wagamama-owner The Restaurant Group for £506mn, while Japanese group Zensho acquired Yo! Sushi owner Snowfox Group for £490mn.

Earlier this year, London-based Equistone Partners sold its stake in catering company CH&CO to the world’s largest catering group Compass in a £475mn deal.

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The exploration of a sale for Hawksmoor comes as private equity groups face pressure to sell some of their record $3tn in unsold assets in order to return cash to their backers.

Global takeovers in the first half of the year climbed 22 per cent by value thanks to a rebound in big deals, but the total number of mergers and acquisitions fell to a four-year low because of a slowdown in smaller transactions.

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Robert Towne, Oscar-winning writer of 'Chinatown,' dies at 89

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Robert Towne, Oscar-winning writer of 'Chinatown,' dies at 89

Screenwriter Robert Towne poses at The Regency Hotel in New York on March 7, 2006.

Jim Cooper/AP


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NEW YORK — Robert Towne, the Oscar-winning screenplay writer of Shampoo, The Last Detail and other films, whose script for Chinatown became a model of the art form and helped define the jaded allure of his native Los Angeles, has died. He was 89.

Towne died Monday surrounded by family at his home in Los Angeles, said publicist Carri McClure. She declined to comment on any cause of death.

In an industry which gave birth to rueful jokes about the writer’s status, Towne for a time held prestige comparable to the actors and directors he worked with. Through his friendships with two of the biggest stars of the 1960s and ’70s, Warren Beatty and Jack Nicholson, he wrote or co-wrote some of the signature films of an era when artists held an unusual level of creative control.

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The rare “auteur” among screen writers, Towne managed to bring a highly personal and influential vision of Los Angeles onto the screen.

“It’s a city that’s so illusory,” Towne told The Associated Press in a 2006 interview. “It’s the westernmost west of America. It’s a sort of place of last resort. It’s a place where, in a word, people go to make their dreams come true. And they’re forever disappointed.”

Recognizable around Hollywood for his high forehead and full beard, Towne won an Academy Award for Chinatown and was nominated three other times, for The Last Detail, Shampoo and Greystoke. In 1997, he received a lifetime achievement award from the Writers Guild of America.

“His life, like the characters he created, was incisive, iconoclastic and entirely (original),” said Shampoo actor Lee Grant on X.

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Towne’s success came after a long stretch of working in television, including The Man from U.N.C.L.E and The Lloyd Bridges Show, and on low-budget movies for “B” producer Roger Corman. In a classic show business story, he owed his breakthrough in part to his psychiatrist, through whom he met Beatty, a fellow patient. As Beatty worked on Bonnie and Clyde, he brought in Towne for revisions of the Robert Benton-David Newman script and had him on the set while the movie was filmed in Texas.

Towne’s contributions were uncredited for Bonnie and Clyde, the landmark crime film released in 1967, and for years he was a favorite ghost writer. He helped out on The Godfather, The Parallax View and Heaven Can Wait among others, and referred to himself as a “relief pitcher who could come in for an inning, not pitch the whole game.”

But Towne was credited by name for Nicholson’s macho The Last Detail and Beatty’s sex comedy Shampoo and was immortalized by Chinatown, the 1974 thriller set during the Great Depression.

Chinatown was directed by Roman Polanski and starred Nicholson as J.J. “Jake” Gittes, a private detective asked to follow the husband of Evelyn Mulwray (played by Faye Dunaway). The husband is chief engineer of the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power and Gittes finds himself caught in a chaotic spiral of corruption and violence, embodied by Evelyn’s ruthless father, Noah Cross (John Huston).

Influenced by the fiction of Raymond Chandler, Towne resurrected the menace and mood of a classic Los Angeles film noir, but cast Gittes’ labyrinthine odyssey across a grander and more insidious portrait of Southern California. Clues accumulate into a timeless detective tale, and lead helplessly to tragedy, summed up by the one of the most repeated lines in movie history, words of grim fatalism a devastated Gittes receives from his partner Lawrence Walsh (Joe Mantell): “Forget it, Jake, it’s Chinatown.”

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Towne’s script has been a staple of film writing classes ever since, although it also serves as a lesson in how movies often get made and in the risks of crediting any film to a single viewpoint. He would acknowledge working closely with Polanski as they revised and tightened the story and arguing fiercely with the director over the film’s despairing ending — an ending Polanski pushed for and Towne later agreed was the right choice. (No one has officially been credited for writing “Forget it, Jake, it’s Chinatown”).

But the concept began with Towne, who had turned down the chance to adapt The Great Gatsby for the screen so he could work on Chinatown, partly inspired by a book published in 1946, Carey McWilliams’ Southern California: An Island on the Land.

“In it was a chapter called ‘Water, water, water,’ which was a revelation to me. And I thought, ‘Why not do a picture about a crime that’s right out in front of everybody?,’ ” he told The Hollywood Reporter in 2009.

“Instead of a jewel-encrusted falcon, make it something as prevalent as water faucets, and make a conspiracy out of that. And after reading about what they were doing, dumping water and starving the farmers out of their land, I realized the visual and dramatic possibilities were enormous.”

The back story of Chinatown has itself become a kind of detective story, explored in producer Robert Evans’ memoir, The Kid Stays in the Picture; in Peter Biskind’s East Riders, Raging Bulls, a history of 1960s-1970s Hollywood, and in Sam Wasson’s The Big Goodbye, dedicated entirely to Chinatown. In The Big Goodbye, published in 2020, Wasson alleged that Towne was helped extensively by a ghost writer — former college roommate Edward Taylor. According to The Big Goodbye, for which Towne declined to be interviewed, Taylor did not ask for credit on the film because his “friendship with Robert” mattered more.

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Wasson also wrote that the movie’s famous closing line originated with a vice cop who had told Towne that crimes in Chinatown were seldom prosecuted.

“Robert Towne once said that Chinatown is a state of mind,” Wasson wrote. “Not just a place on the map in Los Angeles, but a condition of total awareness almost indistinguishable from blindness. Dreaming you’re in paradise and waking up in the dark — that’s Chinatown. Thinking you’ve got it figured out and realizing you’re dead — that’s Chinatown.”

The studios assumed more power after the mid-1970s and Towne’s standing declined. His own efforts at directing, including Personal Best and Tequila Sunrise, had mixed results. The Two Jakes, the long-awaited sequel to Chinatown, was a commercial and critical disappointment when released in 1990 and led to a temporary estrangement between Towne and Nicholson.

Towne’s greatest regret, he said in the 2006 AP interview, was how Greystoke turned out. Towne wrote the adaptation of Edgar Rice Burroughs’ novel Tarzan of the Apes and wanted to direct it. But production troubles on Personal Best bled into his hopes for Greystoke. Hugh Hudson, instead, directed the 1984 film. And while Greystoke received three Oscar nominations, including for Towne’s script, he was unhappy with the result. Towne took the name of his dog, P.H. Vazak, for his screenwriting credit, making Vazak an unlikely Oscar nominee.

Around the same time, he agreed to work on a movie far removed from the art-house aspirations of the ’70s, the Don Simpson-Jerry Bruckheimer production Days of Thunder, starring Tom Cruise as a race car driver and Robert Duvall as his crew chief. The 1990 movie was famously over budget and mostly panned, although its admirers include Quentin Tarantino and countless racing fans. And Towne’s script popularized an expression used by Duvall after Cruise complains another car slammed him: “He didn’t slam into you, he didn’t bump you, he didn’t nudge you. He rubbed you.

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“And rubbin,’ son, is racin.’”

Towne later worked with Cruise on The Firm and the first two Mission: Impossible movies. His most recent film was Ask the Dust, a Los Angeles story he wrote and directed that came out in 2006. Towne was married twice, the second time to Luisa Gaule, and had two children. His brother, Roger Towne, also wrote screenplays, his credits including The Natural.

Towne was born Robert Bertram Schwartz in Los Angeles and moved to San Pedro after his father’s business, a dress shop, closed down because of the Great Depression. (His father changed the family name to Towne). He had always loved to write and was inspired to work in movies by the proximity of the Warner Bros. Theater and from reading the critic James Agee. For a time, Towne worked on a tuna boat and would speak often of its impact.

“I’ve identified fishing with writing in my mind to the extent that each script is like a trip that you’re taking — and you are fishing,” he told the Writers Guild Association in 2013. “Sometimes they both involve an act of faith. … Sometimes it’s sheer faith alone that sustains you, because you think, ‘God damn it, nothing — not a bite today. Nothing is happening.’ “

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Analysis | In private, Democrats panic. For the Biden campaign, everything is fine.

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Analysis | In private, Democrats panic. For the Biden campaign, everything is fine.

Democrats were panicking. Donors were despondent. And some elected officials were privately questioning whether their leader should step aside.

But in President Biden’s cosseted bubble over the past five days, his 90-minute debate stage meltdown Thursday night against former president Donald Trump was merely a “bad night,” with aides quickly retreating to what they hoped was a fail-safe mantra: But Trump is worse!

Campaign officials touted their record fundraising on debate day. White House officials promised that Biden would bounce back at his upcoming North Carolina rally. And Jen O’Malley Dillon, the campaign chair, told nervous donors at the Ritz-Carlton in Atlanta on Friday that “nothing fundamentally changed in the race.”

By Tuesday, however, the business-as-usual calm the Biden team sought to impose had backfired, with some Democrats complaining of being gaslit.

Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-Tex.) became the first Democratic member of Congress to defect, calling for Biden to drop out of the race, and other Democrats publicly urged Biden to more seriously address his fitness for the job. Rep. James E. Clyburn (D-S.C.) opened the door to a post-Biden election, saying on MSNBC that he would support Vice President Harris were Biden to step aside.

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The public developments represented a striking contrast from the four days after Biden’s halting 2024 debate debut, when his inner circle and campaign team publicly emitted a steady stream of denialism and don’t-believe-your-lying-eyes happy talk, arguing that the 81-year-old president — noticeably slower and physically aged than four years ago — is still the best candidate to defeat Trump in November.

“Joe isn’t just the right person for the job,” first lady Jill Biden said at a fundraiser Saturday in East Hampton, N.Y. “He’s the only person for the job.”

Officials said his post-debate swing re-energized donors and voters, pointing to his $38 million fundraising haul in the days after and his packed rally in Raleigh. They also noted Biden’s top aides made a flurry of private calls to top elected Democrats and donors, to stave off defections and reiterate that Biden had no plans to exit the race.

“We’ve always said this was going to be a close race and a tough campaign, and we’re working incredibly hard to earn every single vote, and taking nothing for granted,” Lauren Hitt, a spokeswoman for the campaign, said in a statement.

But during the four-state swing after the debate — during which he inaugurated a visitor center at the Stonewall National Monument and attended three fundraisers — Biden’s traveling entourage operated with a breezy, nothing-to-see-here attitude, as if pantomiming a thriving campaign not in the midst of an existential crisis.

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A top aide to the first lady danced as Diana Ross blared on the tarmac in Raleigh, , N.C. in the wee hours of Friday. Mike Donilon, a longtime confidant to the president and chief strategist of his campaign, eschewed a suit for casual summer wear: seersucker short-sleeve, button-down shirt and suede, horsebit loafers. And aides scoffed at reporters when they asked the president whether he planned to drop out.

Two of Biden’s granddaughters joined him for the final day of the swing, before they reunited with the rest of the Biden clan ahead of a scheduled family photo shoot with Annie Leibovitz at Camp David — a tableau that, as party leaders privately fretted about a second Trump term ushering in the end of American democracy, had echoes of Nero fiddling while Rome burned.

But as Democratic strategists, elected officials and liberal pundits publicly and privately called for — at the very least — a serious discussion about whether Biden should step aside, he and his campaign instead offered business-as-usual spin.

“It’s a familiar story: Following Thursday night’s debate, the Beltway class is counting Joe Biden out,” Dillon wrote in an email blasted out Saturday evening. “The data in the battleground states, though, tells a different story.”

But a sentence about polling later in Dillon’s memo belied her studied nonchalance, seeming to acknowledge that Biden might very well drop in the polls as voters continue to process Biden’s debate stage performance: “If we do see changes in polling in the coming weeks, it will not be the first time that overblown media narratives have driven temporary dips in the polls,” she wrote.

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Shortly after Dillon’s memo, deputy campaign manager Rob Flaherty also sent out an email full of “helpful” responses to help calm nervous Democrats.

“If you’re like me, you’re getting lots of texts or calls from folks about the state of the race after Thursday. Maybe it was your panicked aunt, your MAGA uncle, or some self-important Podcasters,” Flaherty wrote, before offering such suggested talking points as “the long-term impact of debates is overstated anyway” and “90 minutes does not negate 3-½ years of results.”

The Biden operation appears to think it has no choice but to proceed as if his meandering debate performance — his voice was frail, his thoughts were garbled, and he failed to meaningfully fact check Trump — was merely an aberration.

To even entertain the criticism ricocheting around their party would be to tacitly acknowledge what many Democratic voters have long feared and what some officials and strategists have long whispered: That Biden is too old to run for a second term, and that he should have kept his promise to serve as a “bridge” to the next generation and bowed out in time for a vigorous Democratic primary.

Now, however, Biden’s team finds itself taking what Democratic critics point to as hubris and selfishness and repackaging it as resilience.

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Inside Biden’s inner circle, the latest round of criticism — particularly from editorial boards and pundits — is being dismissed as the standard underestimation of Biden’s ability. Aides have been quick to remind anxious allies and donors of when Democrats said Biden needed to drop out of the Democratic primary in 2020 after losing badly in Iowa and New Hampshire before going on to win the nomination and defeat Trump. And they have also noted that Biden, who has suffered great personal tragedy, has weathered much tougher times and will bounce back.

As evidence, they pointed to his boisterous rally in Raleigh the day after the debate — where an adoring crowd of more than 2,000 people cheered for him and Biden delivered a fierce defense of his ability to serve as president.

“I don’t speak as smoothly as I used to. I don’t debate as well as I used to. But I know what I do know: I know how to tell the truth,” Biden said. “I know right from wrong. And I know how to do this job. I know how to get things done.”

The Biden campaign is also trying to stay focused on their original theory of the case — that this election needs to be a referendum on the former president, not the sitting one.

During the debate itself, for instance, almost three-quarters of Biden’s social media posts mentioned Trump, while other left-wing political influencers posted more frequently about how old Biden appeared and critiqued his performance, according to a Washington Post analysis of social media posts, podcasts and other public statements.

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In the days after the debate, the trend continued. More than half of Biden’s social media posts about the debate focused on Trump and his performance, while only a few addressed Biden’s own age.

The Biden strategy of happy talk, however, comes with risks, making the president and his team seem out of touch with reality.

Hilary Rosen, a longtime Democratic strategist, said she thinks the Biden operation “would have been better off sticking with honesty.”

“You can’t tell people they didn’t see what they saw,” Rosen said. ” To try to turn this around and try to make it be everybody else’s fault — it’s not only offensive, it just isn’t going to fly.”

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