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No, Google’s AI is not sentient

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No, Google’s AI is not sentient
In response to an eye-opening story within the Washington Put up on Saturday, one Google engineer stated that after a whole bunch of interactions with a innovative, unreleased AI system known as LaMDA, he believed this system had achieved a degree of consciousness.

In interviews and public statements, many within the AI neighborhood pushed again on the engineer’s claims, whereas some identified that his story highlights how the expertise can lead individuals to assign human attributes to it. However the perception that Google’s AI could possibly be sentient arguably highlights each our fears and expectations for what this expertise can do.

LaMDA, which stands for “Language Mannequin for Dialog Functions,” is one in every of a number of large-scale AI techniques that has been skilled on giant swaths of textual content from the web and might reply to written prompts. They’re tasked, primarily, with discovering patterns and predicting what phrase or phrases ought to come subsequent. Such techniques have grow to be more and more good at answering questions and writing in methods that may appear convincingly human — and Google itself offered LaMDA final Might in a weblog submit as one that may “have interaction in a free-flowing manner a couple of seemingly limitless variety of matters.” However outcomes may also be wacky, bizarre, disturbing, and susceptible to rambling.

The engineer, Blake Lemoine, reportedly informed the Washington Put up that he shared proof with Google that LaMDA was sentient, however the firm did not agree. In an announcement, Google stated Monday that its workforce, which incorporates ethicists and technologists, “reviewed Blake’s considerations per our AI Ideas and have knowledgeable him that the proof doesn’t assist his claims.”

On June 6, Lemoine posted on Medium that Google put him on paid administrative depart “in connection to an investigation of AI ethics considerations I used to be elevating throughout the firm” and that he could also be fired “quickly.” (He talked about the expertise of Margaret Mitchell, who had been a frontrunner of Google’s Moral AI workforce till Google fired her in early 2021 following her outspokenness relating to the late 2020 exit of then-co-leader Timnit Gebru. Gebru was ousted after inner scuffles, together with one associated to a analysis paper the corporate’s AI management informed her to retract from consideration for presentation at a convention, or take away her identify from.)

A Google spokesperson confirmed that Lemoine stays on administrative depart. In response to The Washington Put up, he was positioned on depart for violating the corporate’s confidentiality coverage.

Lemoine was not accessible for touch upon Monday.

The continued emergence of highly effective computing applications skilled on huge troves knowledge has additionally given rise to considerations over the ethics governing the event and use of such expertise. And generally developments are seen via the lens of what might come, fairly than what’s presently attainable.

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Responses from these within the AI neighborhood to Lemoine’s expertise ricocheted round social media over the weekend, they usually usually arrived on the identical conclusion: Google’s AI is nowhere near consciousness. Abeba Birhane, a senior fellow in reliable AI at Mozilla, tweeted on Sunday, “we’ve entered a brand new period of ‘this neural internet is aware’ and this time it will drain a lot vitality to refute.”
Gary Marcus, founder and CEO of Geometric Intelligence, which was bought to Uber, and creator of books together with “Rebooting AI: Constructing Synthetic Intelligence We Can Belief,” known as the concept of LaMDA as sentient “nonsense on stilts” in a tweet. He rapidly wrote a weblog submit mentioning that each one such AI techniques do is match patterns by pulling from huge databases of language.

In an interview Monday with CNN Enterprise, Marcus stated one of the best ways to consider techniques corresponding to LaMDA is sort of a “glorified model” of the auto-complete software program it’s possible you’ll use to foretell the following phrase in a textual content message. For those who kind “I am actually hungry so I need to go to a,” it’d recommend “restaurant” as the following phrase. However that is a prediction made utilizing statistics.

“No one ought to suppose auto-complete, even on steroids, is aware,” he stated.

In an interview, Gebru, who’s the founder and government director of the Distributed AI Analysis Institute, or DAIR, stated Lemoine is a sufferer of quite a few corporations making claims that aware AI or synthetic normal intelligence — an concept that refers to AI that may carry out human-like duties and work together with us in significant methods — aren’t distant.
Google offered a professor $60,000, but he turned it down. Here's why
As an illustration, she famous, Ilya Sutskever, a co-founder and chief scientist of OpenAI, tweeted in February that “it could be that at this time’s giant neural networks are barely aware.” And final week, Google Analysis vp and fellow Blaise Aguera y Arcas wrote in a chunk for the Economist that when he began utilizing LaMDA final yr, “I more and more felt like I used to be speaking to one thing clever.” (That piece now contains an editor’s observe mentioning that Lemoine has since “reportedly been positioned on depart after claiming in an interview with the Washington Put up that LaMDA, Google’s chatbot, had grow to be ‘sentient.’”)

“What’s occurring is there’s simply such a race to make use of extra knowledge, extra compute, to say you have created this normal factor that is all figuring out, solutions all of your questions or no matter, and that is the drum you have been enjoying,” Gebru stated. “So how are you stunned when this individual is taking it to the intense?”

In its assertion, Google identified that LaMDA has undergone 11 “distinct AI ideas evaluations,” in addition to “rigorous analysis and testing” associated to high quality, security, and the flexibility to provide you with statements which are fact-based. “In fact, some within the broader AI neighborhood are contemplating the long-term risk of sentient or normal AI, but it surely does not make sense to take action by anthropomorphizing at this time’s conversational fashions, which aren’t sentient,” the corporate stated.

“Tons of of researchers and engineers have conversed with LaMDA and we aren’t conscious of anybody else making the wide-ranging assertions, or anthropomorphizing LaMDA, the way in which Blake has,” Google stated.

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia has carried out a Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system, leaving more than half a million people without heating, water and electricity. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the attack, the 13th large-scale assault of 2024 on the country’s grid, was “deliberate” and not a coincidence. “What could be more inhuman?” he wrote on X.

About 50 of the 70 missiles fired in the attack were intercepted, along with a “significant” portion of the more than 100 attack drones deployed, he added.

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This year Ukrainians marked Christmas Day on December 25 for the second time, after switching to the western Gregorian calendar last year. The decision to stop celebrating Christmas on January 7 in line with the Orthodox calendar was made by Kyiv to break with Russian influence.

Oleh Syniehubov, governor of Ukraine’s eastern Kharkiv region, told Ukraine’s national television news that the attack had left more than 500,000 people without heating, water and electricity.

Temperatures across Ukraine are around freezing point.

Heating supplies were also cut in some areas of Ukraine’s Ivano-Frankivsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, in the west and south of the country. 

Ukraine’s energy grid operator, Ukrenergo, urged consumers to limit consumption by not switching on multiple appliances at once, adding that the system was still recovering from the previous Russian attack on December 13.

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Ukraine’s largest private energy company, DTEK, said that its power stations had been damaged and one of its long-term employees killed.

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andriy Sybiha, said on X that the attack reflects Russian President Vladimir Putin’s response to “those who spoke about illusionary ‘Christmas ceasefire’”.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said last week that Zelenskyy had rejected his proposal for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange on the January 7 Orthodox Christmas.

Ukraine denied that such a proposal was ever on the table, asking Hungary to “refrain from manipulations” regarding the war. On Friday, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s foreign ministry, described it as “PR, a move” by Orbán.

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

An American Airlines agent talks to a customer at O’Hare International Airport in Chicago, Ill., last week. On Tuesday, the airline issued a national halt to flights.

Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images


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Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images

American Airlines passengers across the U.S. endured a sudden disruption of service on Christmas Eve, as a “technical issue” forced the airline to request a nationwide ground stop of its operations.

“The ground stop has now been lifted,” the Federal Aviation Administration told NPR shortly after 8 a.m. ET.

On Facebook and X, passengers shared stories of boarding planes early on Christmas Eve — only to be left waiting on the tarmac. In some cases, they described being told the flight would return to its gate so everyone onboard could deplane.

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The ground stop lasted for about one hour, according to the airline.

 “We sincerely apologize to our customers for the inconvenience this morning,” the airline said.

In a statement sent to NPR, American says the widespread delays were caused by a “vendor technology issue” affecting systems that are needed for a flight to be “released” — one of the final key steps before a plane takes off from an airport.

Early circumstances around Tuesday’s outage seemed ominous, reminding travelers of a nightmare scenario that played out two years ago when computer problems fueled a meltdown for Southwest Airlines as it tried to cope with bad weather during the holidays.

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Southwest stranded millions of travelers — and was later ordered to pay a $140 million civil penalty.

Aviation industry veterans like George Hamlin, a consultant, notes that Southwest took the brunt of the blame for the meltdown — but, he adds, “now we’re finding out that it’s a larger, more endemic problem than that.”

Delayed American Airlines passengers who posted to social media Tuesday said pilots blamed the slowdown on a computer system that aims to ensure an optimal center of gravity by balancing planes’ cargo weight and other factors.

Winter weather also threatens to snarl Christmas Eve travel, including storms along the East and West Coasts of the U.S.

The FAA’s operations page shows nearly a dozen airports were deicing planes Tuesday morning, including at Philadelphia International, and Dulles International and Reagan National outside Washington, D.C.

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If you’re flying, the FAA recommends checking your airline’s flight status updates for potential delays. As of 9 a.m. ET, the FlightAware website’s “Misery Map” showed some 544 flights had been delayed and five canceled since 6 a.m. Nearly 120 of those delays were at Charlotte, N.C.’s, airport.

Nearly 12.7 million passengers are expected to fly on American Airlines this winter holiday season, comprising more than 118,000 flights, according to the airline. The most-traveled days in that span are both Fridays, ahead of and just after Christmas.

NPR’s Joel Rose contributed reporting.

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity funds cashed out just half the value of investments they typically sell in 2024, the third consecutive year payouts to investors have fallen short because of a deal drought.

Buyout houses typically sell down 20 per cent of their investments in any given year, but industry executives forecast that cash payouts for the year would be about half that figure.

Cambridge Associates, a leading adviser to large institutions on their private equity investments, estimated that funds had fallen about $400bn short in payments to their investors over the past three years compared with historical averages.

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The data underline the increasing pressure on firms to find ways to return cash to investors, including by exiting more investments in the year ahead.

Firms have struggled to strike deals at attractive prices since early 2022, when rising interest rates caused financing costs to soar and corporate valuations to fall.

Dealmakers and their advisers expect that merger and acquisition activity will accelerate in 2025, potentially helping the industry work through what consultancy Bain & Co. has called a “towering backlog” of $3tn in ageing deals that must be sold in the years ahead.

Several large public offerings this year including food transport giant Lineage Logistics, aviation equipment specialist Standard Aero and dermatology group Galderma have provided private equity executives with confidence to take companies public, while Donald Trump’s election has added to Wall Street exuberance.

But Andrea Auerbach, global head of private investments at Cambridge Associates, cautioned that the industry’s issues could take years to work through.

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“There is an expectation that the wheels of the exit market will start to turn. But it doesn’t end in one year, it will take a couple of years,” Auerbach said.

Private equity firms have used novel tactics to return cash to investors while holdings have proved difficult to sell.

They have made increasing use of so-called continuation funds — where one fund sells a stake in one or more portfolio companies to another fund to another fund the firm manages — to engineer exits.

Jefferies forecasts that there will be $58bn of continuation fund deals in 2024, representing a record 14 per cent of all private equity exits. Such funds made up just 5 per cent of all exits in the boom year of 2021, Jefferies found.

But some private equity investors are sceptical that the industry will be able to sell assets at prices close to funds’ current valuations.

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“You have a huge amount of capital that has been invested on assumptions that are no longer valid,” a large industry investor told the Financial Times.

They warned that a record $1tn-plus in buyouts were struck in 2021, just before interest rates rose, and many deals are carried on firms’ books at overly optimistic valuations.

Goldman Sachs recently noted in a report that private equity asset sales, which had historically been done at a premium of at least 10 per cent to funds’ internal valuations, have in recent years been made at discounts of 10-15 per cent.

“[Private] equity in general is still over-marked, which is leading to this situation where assets are still stuck,” said Michael Brandmeyer of Goldman Sachs Asset Management in the report.

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