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How the Nation Swung Back to Trump in 2024

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How the Nation Swung Back to Trump in 2024

Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state, shifted red in 2016, blue in 2020 and back to red in 2024.

How the shifts are calculated: In 2020, Joseph R. Biden, Jr., won Pennsylvania by 1.2 percentage points. In 2024, Mr. Trump won the state by 1.9 points, as of Wednesday evening. The gap between those margins is the shift, which in this case is 3.1 points in favor of Republicans.

Other swing states

The four other swing states that have been called so far also moved to the right, sealing Mr. Trump’s second presidential win. In Georgia, Mr. Trump reversed two consecutive blue shifts.

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Cities and suburbs

While Mr. Trump lost to Kamala Harris in many swing state cities and suburbs, he did so by a smaller margin than he lost to now-President Biden in 2020. In all but one example shown below, two blue shifts in 2016 and 2020 were followed by a red shift in 2024.

Rural-urban divide

Around the country, in counties where nearly all votes are in, the trend was similar. Support for Mr. Trump continued to increase in rural counties, while Ms. Harris lost ground in cities and suburbs.

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Race and ethnicity

Mr. Trump made significant inroads with Latino voters in 2020. In this election, he continued to grow his margins in counties with large populations of Hispanic residents. There were also shifts to the right in counties with large populations of Black and Native American residents.

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Educational attainment

Mr. Trump’s margins widened over the past three elections in counties with large populations of residents without college degrees. But in this election, he also gained ground in counties with a high share of college graduates.

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Economic types

In 2024, Mr. Trump’s support in farming counties continued to grow. He also reversed Democratic gains in mining and manufacturing counties.

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Age

Mr. Trump has generally been more popular with older voters, but his electoral performance improved across other age groups.

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Across the country

In all 34 states where at least 95 percent of votes were in as of Wednesday evening, the vote margin for Mr. Trump had increased, even in places that historically favored Democrats.

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Amazon ordered to let workers vote on unionizing — for the 3rd time

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Amazon ordered to let workers vote on unionizing — for the 3rd time

Amazon warehouse workers in Bessemer, Ala., have voted twice on whether to unionize, but the results remained too close to call since 2022.

Patrick Fallon/AFP via Getty


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Patrick Fallon/AFP via Getty

Amazon workers at a warehouse in Alabama should get a third opportunity to vote on unionizing, a federal labor judge has ruled.

The vote is not expected any time soon, however, as the legal process drags on.

The warehouse in Bessemer made history as the site of the very first union election by Amazon workers, in 2021. But the outcome was not historic: workers voted against unionizing.

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U.S. labor officials later ruled that Amazon improperly influenced the vote, and workers voted a second time in 2022. The outcome remained too close to call for years, with hundreds of ballots challenged by either Amazon or the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union as the two accused each other of breaking labor laws.

For months, in a tiny courtroom in Birmingham, an administrative law judge at the National Labor Relations Board heard testimony about the 2022 election from workers, Amazon managers and officials from the agency itself.

The labor board’s own investigators painted a picture of an aggressive and illegal anti-union campaign by the company. The union asked for another do-over of the vote. The company challenged how the government ran the last vote and reiterated that workers “made their voices heard” as they rejected the union in the original election.

That original vote against unionizing was set aside by federal labor officials because they ruled that Amazon improperly influenced the election, particularly by placing a mailbox for ballots in an Amazon-branded tent in a surveilled parking lot.

Now Judge Michael Silverstein is ordering a third election, finding that Amazon illegally confiscated union materials from the break room, among other violations. But Silverstein also moved to dismiss several allegations of unfair labor practices by Amazon.

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Amazon says it plans to appeal the ruling.

“This decision is wrong on the facts and the law,” Spokesperson Mary Kate Paradis said in a statement. She criticized the labor board and the union for “trying to force a third vote instead of accepting the facts and the will of our team members.”

The union also is challenging parts of the order, which means there will be more legal reviews before a new election can be set.

“We reject [the judge’s] decision not to provide any of the significant and meaningful remedies which we requested and would be required for a free and fair election,” RWDSU President Stuart Appelbaum said in a statement. “There is no reason to expect a different result in a third election – unless there are additional remedies. Otherwise, Amazon will continue repeating its past behavior and the Board will continue ordering new elections.”

Separately, Amazon continues to legally challenge the historic 2022 union victory at a facility in Staten Island, N.Y. That election formed the first — and so far only — unionized Amazon warehouse in the country, but the company still refuses to begin bargaining with some 5,500 unionized workers.

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The upstart union that prevailed in New York — the independent Amazon Labor Union, saw its finances and organization deteriorate over the two-year standoff with Amazon. In June, it voted to affiliate with the well-established International Brotherhood Teamsters.

Editor’s note: Amazon is among NPR’s recent financial supporters.

Stephan Bisaha of the Gulf States Newsroom contributed to this report.

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Harris delivers concession speech after losing to Trump

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Harris delivers concession speech after losing to Trump

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Vice President Kamala Harris gave a concession speech at Howard University in Washington after losing the election to Donald Trump. Harris said she had congratulated Trump on his victory and said the country must engage in a peaceful transition of power. Harris rode a wave of Democratic enthusiasm, but two-thirds of voters said the country was headed in the wrong direction. NBC News’ Gabe Gutierrez reports.

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How Ballot Measures Will Change Abortion Access

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How Ballot Measures Will Change Abortion Access

How abortion rights measures fared

Abortion rights found support at the ballot box in seven states on Tuesday, expanding access in already legal states and lifting bans in two others.

But support for abortion rights fell short in three contests. Proposed rights measures failed in Florida, Nebraska and South Dakota — and in Nebraska, an opposing measure to restrict abortion won — meaning bans and restrictions will remain in place.

Abortion will become broadly legal again in Arizona and Missouri, and existing protections will be strengthened in at least four other states.

How abortion laws will change

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*Note: In Nevada, a winning measure to protect abortion until viability must pass again in the next general election before it can be added to the state’s Constitution.

In Florida, more than 57 percent of voters supported a measure to enshrine abortion rights in the state’s Constitution, but it failed because the state requires a supermajority of 60 percent for ballot measures to pass. Florida had been a critical access point for abortion patients across the South before a six-week ban took effect in May.

Nebraska voters faced dueling abortion ballot measures, and misleading ad campaigns may have caused confusion. A measure that will amend the state’s Constitution to restrict abortions after the first trimester, enshrining current law, won a majority of votes, while a measure to protect abortion rights fell just short at 49 percent.

South Dakota will continue to have one of the strictest bans in the country.

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Before the election, 21 states banned abortion or placed gestational limits on the procedure. The winning rights measure in Missouri is the first to undo a full ban — one of the strictest in the nation and one of the first enacted after the United States Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022.

Arizona’s 15-week ban will also become void in the coming weeks.

Where ballot measures will lift abortion bans

Five states with bans had abortion on the ballot. Two flipped to legalize the procedure.

In Arizona, Missouri and Montana, the winning measures will recreate the standard set by Roe v. Wade, which protected abortion until “viability” — the point at which a fetus could survive outside the uterus, or around 24 weeks of pregnancy.

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New constitutional amendments will expand protections for abortion in Colorado, Maryland and New York, where the procedure was already broadly legal. Colorado’s measure also repealed an earlier law prohibiting the use of public funds to pay for abortions.

In Nevada, a winning measure to protect abortion until viability must pass again in the next general election before it can be added to the state’s Constitution.

Abortion ballot measures since Roe v. Wade was overturned

Results as of 11:30 a.m. Eastern, Nov. 6.

Arizona Nov. 5, 2024

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Right to abortion until fetal viability

Colorado Nov. 5, 2024

Right to abortion and public funding

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Maryland Nov. 5, 2024

Right to reproductive freedom

Missouri Nov. 5, 2024

Right to abortion until fetal viability

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Montana Nov. 5, 2024

Right to abortion until fetal viability

Nebraska Nov. 5, 2024

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Ban on abortion after the first trimester

Nevada Nov. 5, 2024

Right to abortion until fetal viability

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New York Nov. 5, 2024

Equal rights including protection from pregnancy discrimination

Florida Nov. 5, 2024

Right to abortion until fetal viability

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Nebraska Nov. 5, 2024

Right to abortion until fetal viability

South Dakota Nov. 5, 2024

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Right to abortion in the first trimester

Ohio Nov. 7, 2023

Right to reproductive freedom

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Vermont Nov. 8, 2022

Right to reproductive freedom

California Nov. 8, 2022

Right to reproductive freedom

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Michigan Nov. 8, 2022

Right to reproductive freedom

Montana Nov. 8, 2022

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Medical care requirements for “infants born alive”

Kentucky Nov. 8, 2022

Remove abortion rights protections

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Kansas Aug. 2, 2022

Remove abortion rights protections

The 2024 election broke a ballot measure winning streak for abortion rights advocates. Voters in seven states, including Republican-led ones, had previously sided with abortion rights in every contest since the Supreme Court overturned Roe in 2022.

Advocates for abortion rights caution that opportunities to protect those rights through ballot measures may be dwindling. Most remaining states with abortion bans do not allow citizen-initiated measures to be placed on the ballot, and their Republican leaders are unlikely to put the issue to voters.

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And while former President Donald J. Trump has most recently said he would leave abortion laws to the states if re-elected, abortion rights organizations are bracing for federal action on abortion under his presidency.

“Donald Trump’s election as president of the United States is a deadly threat to reproductive rights,” said Nancy Northup, the president of the Center for Reproductive Rights. “We have many states that protect abortion rights, and if a federal ban passes they will lose that ability to protect their residents’ access.”

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