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How the Nation Swung Back to Trump in 2024

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How the Nation Swung Back to Trump in 2024

Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state, shifted red in 2016, blue in 2020 and back to red in 2024.

How the shifts are calculated: In 2020, Joseph R. Biden, Jr., won Pennsylvania by 1.2 percentage points. In 2024, Mr. Trump won the state by 1.9 points, as of Wednesday evening. The gap between those margins is the shift, which in this case is 3.1 points in favor of Republicans.

Other swing states

The four other swing states that have been called so far also moved to the right, sealing Mr. Trump’s second presidential win. In Georgia, Mr. Trump reversed two consecutive blue shifts.

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Cities and suburbs

While Mr. Trump lost to Kamala Harris in many swing state cities and suburbs, he did so by a smaller margin than he lost to now-President Biden in 2020. In all but one example shown below, two blue shifts in 2016 and 2020 were followed by a red shift in 2024.

Rural-urban divide

Around the country, in counties where nearly all votes are in, the trend was similar. Support for Mr. Trump continued to increase in rural counties, while Ms. Harris lost ground in cities and suburbs.

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Race and ethnicity

Mr. Trump made significant inroads with Latino voters in 2020. In this election, he continued to grow his margins in counties with large populations of Hispanic residents. There were also shifts to the right in counties with large populations of Black and Native American residents.

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Educational attainment

Mr. Trump’s margins widened over the past three elections in counties with large populations of residents without college degrees. But in this election, he also gained ground in counties with a high share of college graduates.

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Economic types

In 2024, Mr. Trump’s support in farming counties continued to grow. He also reversed Democratic gains in mining and manufacturing counties.

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Age

Mr. Trump has generally been more popular with older voters, but his electoral performance improved across other age groups.

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Across the country

In all 34 states where at least 95 percent of votes were in as of Wednesday evening, the vote margin for Mr. Trump had increased, even in places that historically favored Democrats.

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Inside Trump’s Touring Exhibition of American Heroes

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Inside Trump’s Touring Exhibition of American Heroes

Video by Zack Wittman for The New York Times

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The museums, designed by conservative nonprofits and Trump appointees, tell the story of early America, from colonization to revolution. The one exhibition looking beyond the early years is the “Wall of American Heroes.” It is a list of 51 people, chosen to illustrate 250 years of American history.

A White House spokesman said they were “individuals who shaped this nation’s history, culture and spirit across generations.”

The people pictured on this national honor roll — and the people left out — help illustrate what this administration sees as the highlights of American history.

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Amid the administration’s efforts to reshape the nation’s relationship with its past, Trump appointees heavily weighted the list toward a single era of American history — and a few specific kinds of hero.

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MOUNT RUSHMORE, 1927

1936-1937

1933-1934

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1939

MOUNT RUSHMORE, 2025

Some of those featured are American icons who would be on just about anyone’s list of the country’s heroes. Many are already honored with monuments, holidays or their faces on coins.

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Photo cards show Harriet Tubman, Martin Luther King Jr., the Wright Brothers, Susan B. Anthony, Clara Barton and Sacagawea.

But nine of the 51 people fit one surprising mold: They were all in show business in the 1960s.

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Photo cards show John Wayne, Jimmy Stewart, Johnny Cash, Frank Sinatra, Aretha Franklin, Walt Disney, Irving Berlin, Elvis Presley and Louis Armstrong.

The list also focuses on just one of America’s wars. All four people shown in military uniform served in World War II.

Photo cards show George S. Patton, Louis Zamperini, Audie Murphy and Grace Hopper.

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All four religious leaders on the wall are Christian.

The wall also features some of the wealthiest people of their time.

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Cards show Steve Jobs, John D. Rockefeller, Andrew Carnegie and Henry Ford.

Tens of millions of people have immigrated to America in the past 250 years. But the “Wall of American Heroes” includes only four immigrants, all white men born in the 19th century.

Photo cards show Irving Berlin, Alexander Graham Bell, Andrew Carnegie and Albert Einstein.

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The center of the display includes a long quotation by President Trump.

A wall featuring 51 photographs of people, with the space in the middle dedicated to a quotation from President Trump.

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The other exhibitions in the Freedom Trucks were crafted by a pair of conservative nonprofits, PragerU and Hillsdale College. But the “Wall of American Heroes” was created by Freedom 250, a nonprofit effort whose leaders were chosen by President Trump and that was created to lead the planning of celebrations of the nation’s 250th birthday, overshadowing a bipartisan congressional commission.

A spokeswoman for Freedom 250 said Mr. Trump was not directly involved in the selection of those featured.

But the list clearly tracks Mr. Trump’s own lifetime and the heroes of the conservative political movement.

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In May, a Freedom Truck stopped at the Villages Public Library in Wildwood, Fla. Zack Wittman for The New York Times

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The wall’s tilt toward heroes of the baby boomer generation, for instance, extends beyond Hollywood stars and musicians. Of the four religious leaders on the list, two — Archbishop Fulton Sheen and the Rev. Billy Graham — also appeared on TV regularly in the 1950s and 1960s. The only painter on the list is Norman Rockwell, known for his idealized depictions of American life in that period.

By contrast, there is only a handful of figures from the first decades of American independence.

“That’s a disservice, if your intention is to present the last 250 years,” said Sarah Weicksel, the executive director of the American Historical Association. “Because all of the people on this list are building on the work and struggles and progress that was made by the people in the 150 years prior.”

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The “Wall of American Heroes” was inspired by a similar display in a traveling museum created by the State of Virginia. But Virginia’s display celebrates little-known historical figures.

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Virginia’s display of heroes highlights little-known figures. Jason Andrew for The New York Times

Mr. Trump’s, by and large, celebrates people who are already well-known — and, often, people who were famous in their own time. For example, it praises P.T. Barnum, a circus impresario who used hoaxes and freak shows to draw crowds. The wall calls him an “icon of American sensationalism.”

The spokeswoman for Freedom 250 said that many of the names on the wall were drawn from a list of 250 people that Mr. Trump wants to include in a “Garden of American Heroes” in Washington.

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The spokeswoman declined to say what criteria were used to narrow down the list.

The only president whose name appears on the wall — not on the list of heroes, but alongside his quotation — is Mr. Trump himself.

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Explore the Wall of Heroes

Navigate the display by dragging from side to side.

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Zack Wittman for The New York Times

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GOP Rep. Tom Kean, missing from Congress for months, set to return on June 30

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GOP Rep. Tom Kean, missing from Congress for months, set to return on June 30

Washington — Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. of New Jersey will return to Congress on June 30, his spokesperson said, after being away since March in an unexplained absence that has confounded Capitol Hill.

“Congressman Kean is eager to return to in person work on June 30 and resume a full schedule,” Kean’s spokesperson, Harrison Neely, told CBS News on Thursday. The New Jersey Globe first reported on his return date. 

Kean’s whereabouts since he last voted on March 5 have not been disclosed. When he first made a statement about the absence in late April, the New Jersey Republican said he was addressing a “personal medical issue.” 

Kean said earlier this month that he would return to Washington within a matter of weeks, at which point he would provide more details about his health.

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“Right now I am focused on my recovery and under the advice of healthcare professionals, I will transition from virtual work to in person work within a matter of weeks. At that time I will be completely transparent as to the nature of my medical condition,” Kean said in a June 2 statement released by his campaign.

The statement came hours before polls closed in New Jersey’s GOP primary for his seat, in which he ran unopposed. 

He has missed more than 130 votes during his absence.

House Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters earlier this month that he had recently spoken with Kean. Johnson said he was aware of the health issue, but would not disclose the details. 

“What he’s dealing with is not very common and not a big thing,” Johnson said.

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Video: Obama Presidential Center Opens in Chicago

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Video: Obama Presidential Center Opens in Chicago

new video loaded: Obama Presidential Center Opens in Chicago

The grand opening for the Obama Presidential Center is on Thursday. Several celebrities and four living presidents, excluding President Trump, are expected to attend.

By Shawn Paik

June 18, 2026

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