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China has expressed some openness to providing military and financial aid to Russia, US cable suggests

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China has expressed some openness to providing military and financial aid to Russia, US cable suggests

It’s not but clear whether or not China intends to supply Russia with that help, US officers conversant in the intelligence inform CNN. However throughout an intense, seven-hour assembly in Rome, a high aide to President Joe Biden warned his Chinese language counterpart of “potential implications and penalties” for China ought to help for Russia be forthcoming, a senior administration official stated.

The collection of occasions underscored the rising concern amongst American officers on the budding partnership between Moscow and Beijing as Biden works to isolate and punish Russia for its aggression in Ukraine. Whereas officers have stated the Chinese language President was alarmed at what has taken place since Russia invaded, there may be little to point China is ready to chop off its help solely.

That leaves open a troubling chance for American officers — that China could assist extend a bloody battle that’s more and more killing civilians, whereas additionally cementing an authoritarian alliance in direct competitors with america.

In a diplomatic cable, the US relayed to its allies in Europe and Asia that China had conveyed a willingness to help Russia, which has requested for navy help. The cable didn’t state definitively that help had been offered. One official additionally stated the US warned within the cable that China would doubtless deny it was keen to supply help.

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Among the many help Russia requested was pre-packaged, non-perishable navy meals kits, identified within the US as “meal, ready-to-eat,” or MREs, in keeping with two sources conversant in the matter. The request underscores the fundamental logistical challenges that navy analysts and officers say have stymied Russian progress in Ukraine — and raises questions concerning the elementary readiness of the Russian navy.

Ahead-deployed items have routinely outstripped their provide convoys and open supply reviews have proven Russian troops breaking into grocery shops seeking meals because the invasion has progressed. One of many sources recommended that meals may be a request that China can be keen to satisfy, as a result of it stops wanting deadly help that might be seen as deeply provocative by the west.

The Chinese language Communist Social gathering management will not be all in settlement relating to how to answer Russia’s request for help, stated one of many sources. Two officers stated that China’s need to keep away from financial penalties could restrict its urge for food to assist Russia. Officers individually informed CNN that Chinese language President Xi Jinping has been unnerved by how the warfare in Ukraine has reinvigorated the NATO alliance.

“There’s actual concern by some that their involvement may harm financial relationships with the West, on which China depends,” stated one of many sources.

Officers are additionally monitoring whether or not China supplies some financial and diplomatic aid for Russia in different kinds, like abstention votes on the United Nations.

In Rome, US nationwide safety adviser Jake Sullivan and a US delegation who met with high Chinese language diplomat Yang Jiechi “raised instantly and really clearly” issues about Chinese language “help to Russia within the wake of the invasion, and the implications that any such help would have for” China’s relationship with the US and companions around the globe, State Division spokesperson Ned Value stated.

“That features allies and companions in Europe and the Indo-Pacific,” Value stated at a State Division briefing Monday.

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Issues over China’s potential involvement within the warfare got here as bombardments intensified in Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, and Russia’s navy marketing campaign moved westward. Nonetheless, there remained indicators that Russia’s armed forces are being hampered by Ukrainian fighters, underscoring Russia’s want for out of doors help.

Ukrainian forces have “successfully struck Russian logistics and sustainment capabilities” within the warfare, a senior US protection official informed reporters on Monday. And the US doesn’t consider Russia’s missile strikes on a Ukrainian navy coaching middle in western Ukraine will have an effect on American efforts to supply weapons shipments to that nation’s navy.

Biden, who’s working to rally worldwide help for Ukraine, may journey to Europe quickly to additional seek the advice of with allies there, individuals conversant in the plans stated, although as of Monday no journey had been finalized. His administration can be contemplating expediting the resettlement of Ukrainian refugees with US ties. The US President could face elevated strain to help displaced Ukrainians quickly — the nation’s President, Volodomyr Zelensky, plans to nearly handle a joint session of Congress on Wednesday.

US watching how China responds to Russian invasion of Ukraine

Heading into the assembly, US officers stated they anticipated Yang to painting China as a impartial accomplice keen to assist facilitate talks between the 2 sides aimed toward bringing an finish to hostilities. China has ramped up its diplomatic efforts up to now days, together with in a name final week between Xi and the leaders of France and Germany meant to sign a willingness to undertake a extra proactive function within the disaster.

The US has seen these efforts considerably skeptically, given China’s latest closeness with Russia. And over the weekend, US officers stated that they had info that Russia had requested China for navy help, together with drones, as its invasion advances extra slowly than the Kremlin had anticipated. Each the Chinese language and Russian governments publicly denied that the request had been made.

Sullivan informed CNN on Sunday that China offering Russia with help is a “concern.”

“We are also watching carefully to see the extent to which China really does present any type of help, materials help or financial help, to Russia. It’s a concern of ours. And now we have communicated to Beijing that we’ll not stand by and permit any nation to compensate Russia for its losses from the financial sanctions,” Sullivan stated.

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American officers say they consider Xi has been unsettled by Russia’s invasion and the efficiency of Russia’s navy, which has skilled logistical and strategic setbacks because the invasion started greater than two weeks in the past. Watching from Beijing, Xi was caught off-guard that his personal intelligence had not been in a position to predict what occurred, though america had been warning of an invasion for weeks, the officers stated.

“They could not have understood the complete extent of it,” Sullivan stated on CNN on Sunday, “as a result of it’s extremely attainable that Putin lied to them, the identical means that he lied to Europeans and others.”

The principally international repudiation of Russia’s actions has prompted China to weigh what injury it could endure to its popularity by sticking with Russian President Vladimir Putin. And an financial rupture with Europe or america may injury a Chinese language financial system already rising extra slowly than it has in 30 years.

For all these causes, American officers consider now’s a second when participating with China is an crucial because it determines the right way to proceed amid Russia’s aggression. US and Chinese language officers have been in common contact over the previous a number of weeks, together with within the lead-up to Russia’s invasion.

Value stated the US is “watching very carefully the extent to which the PRC” — one other identify for China — “or another nation, for that matter, supplies any type of help, whether or not that is materials help, whether or not that is financial help, whether or not that is monetary help to Russia.”

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“Any such help from wherever on this planet can be of nice concern to us,” he stated.

He declined to remark particularly on reviews concerning the diplomatic cable.

“We have now communicated very clearly to Beijing that we cannot stand by. … We won’t enable every nation to compensate Russia for its losses,” he added.

Value characterised the Chinese language response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine as considerably “ambivalent.”

“I learn an announcement the opposite day from a PRC official calling the scenario difficult. There’s nothing difficult about this. That is bare aggression,” he stated.

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Russian invasion of Ukraine tosses its relationship with China into tumult

Sullivan’s assembly Monday in Rome was initially meant as a follow-up to US President Joe Biden and Xi’s practically three-hour digital summit in November, which occurred on the similar time American officers started warning of an enormous buildup of Russian troops alongside Ukraine’s borders. On that decision, Xi warned Biden that dividing the world into competing blocs would “inevitably deliver catastrophe,” in keeping with a Chinese language readout.

But Russia’s invasion has achieved extra to align the world in competing alliances than something Biden had achieved with the goal of bolstering American relationships — an consequence American intelligence has discovered Xi was additionally unprepared for, believing as a substitute that European financial pursuits would forestall nations there from imposing extreme sanctions.

That dynamic has difficult a relationship that Xi and Putin declared had “no limits” in a prolonged doc in February, when Putin visited Beijing for talks and to attend the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympics. The US resolution to stage a diplomatic boycott of the Video games infuriated Xi, officers have stated, making Putin’s presence within the stadium much more necessary.

The evolving response in China to the Russian invasion — from denying one would occur to avoiding public condemnation to presenting itself as a attainable mediator — has been carefully monitored by the White Home, the place the potential of a Moscow-Beijing alliance is seen with heightened concern. CIA Director Invoice Burns stated final week the partnership was rooted in “a whole lot of very cold-blooded causes.”

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A brand new “axis” forming in opposition to American-led efforts at bolstering regional safety has been within the works since earlier than the warfare in Ukraine, together with within the financial, political and navy sectors. However the US doesn’t view the partnership as absolutely developed, Director of Nationwide Intelligence Avril Haines informed lawmakers final week.

“We do see it as not but on the level the place we’re, for instance, with allies,” Haines stated. “They haven’t achieved that form of degree of cooperation, and we anticipate it’s unlikely within the subsequent 5 years that they are going to … turn into the way in which we’re an ally with our different NATO members in that context.”

This story has been up to date with further reporting.

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia has carried out a Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system, leaving more than half a million people without heating, water and electricity. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the attack, the 13th large-scale assault of 2024 on the country’s grid, was “deliberate” and not a coincidence. “What could be more inhuman?” he wrote on X.

About 50 of the 70 missiles fired in the attack were intercepted, along with a “significant” portion of the more than 100 attack drones deployed, he added.

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This year Ukrainians marked Christmas Day on December 25 for the second time, after switching to the western Gregorian calendar last year. The decision to stop celebrating Christmas on January 7 in line with the Orthodox calendar was made by Kyiv to break with Russian influence.

Oleh Syniehubov, governor of Ukraine’s eastern Kharkiv region, told Ukraine’s national television news that the attack had left more than 500,000 people without heating, water and electricity.

Temperatures across Ukraine are around freezing point.

Heating supplies were also cut in some areas of Ukraine’s Ivano-Frankivsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, in the west and south of the country. 

Ukraine’s energy grid operator, Ukrenergo, urged consumers to limit consumption by not switching on multiple appliances at once, adding that the system was still recovering from the previous Russian attack on December 13.

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Ukraine’s largest private energy company, DTEK, said that its power stations had been damaged and one of its long-term employees killed.

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andriy Sybiha, said on X that the attack reflects Russian President Vladimir Putin’s response to “those who spoke about illusionary ‘Christmas ceasefire’”.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said last week that Zelenskyy had rejected his proposal for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange on the January 7 Orthodox Christmas.

Ukraine denied that such a proposal was ever on the table, asking Hungary to “refrain from manipulations” regarding the war. On Friday, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s foreign ministry, described it as “PR, a move” by Orbán.

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

An American Airlines agent talks to a customer at O’Hare International Airport in Chicago, Ill., last week. On Tuesday, the airline issued a national halt to flights.

Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images


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Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images

American Airlines passengers across the U.S. endured a sudden disruption of service on Christmas Eve, as a “technical issue” forced the airline to request a nationwide ground stop of its operations.

“The ground stop has now been lifted,” the Federal Aviation Administration told NPR shortly after 8 a.m. ET.

On Facebook and X, passengers shared stories of boarding planes early on Christmas Eve — only to be left waiting on the tarmac. In some cases, they described being told the flight would return to its gate so everyone onboard could deplane.

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The ground stop lasted for about one hour, according to the airline.

 “We sincerely apologize to our customers for the inconvenience this morning,” the airline said.

In a statement sent to NPR, American says the widespread delays were caused by a “vendor technology issue” affecting systems that are needed for a flight to be “released” — one of the final key steps before a plane takes off from an airport.

Early circumstances around Tuesday’s outage seemed ominous, reminding travelers of a nightmare scenario that played out two years ago when computer problems fueled a meltdown for Southwest Airlines as it tried to cope with bad weather during the holidays.

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Southwest stranded millions of travelers — and was later ordered to pay a $140 million civil penalty.

Aviation industry veterans like George Hamlin, a consultant, notes that Southwest took the brunt of the blame for the meltdown — but, he adds, “now we’re finding out that it’s a larger, more endemic problem than that.”

Delayed American Airlines passengers who posted to social media Tuesday said pilots blamed the slowdown on a computer system that aims to ensure an optimal center of gravity by balancing planes’ cargo weight and other factors.

Winter weather also threatens to snarl Christmas Eve travel, including storms along the East and West Coasts of the U.S.

The FAA’s operations page shows nearly a dozen airports were deicing planes Tuesday morning, including at Philadelphia International, and Dulles International and Reagan National outside Washington, D.C.

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If you’re flying, the FAA recommends checking your airline’s flight status updates for potential delays. As of 9 a.m. ET, the FlightAware website’s “Misery Map” showed some 544 flights had been delayed and five canceled since 6 a.m. Nearly 120 of those delays were at Charlotte, N.C.’s, airport.

Nearly 12.7 million passengers are expected to fly on American Airlines this winter holiday season, comprising more than 118,000 flights, according to the airline. The most-traveled days in that span are both Fridays, ahead of and just after Christmas.

NPR’s Joel Rose contributed reporting.

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity funds cashed out just half the value of investments they typically sell in 2024, the third consecutive year payouts to investors have fallen short because of a deal drought.

Buyout houses typically sell down 20 per cent of their investments in any given year, but industry executives forecast that cash payouts for the year would be about half that figure.

Cambridge Associates, a leading adviser to large institutions on their private equity investments, estimated that funds had fallen about $400bn short in payments to their investors over the past three years compared with historical averages.

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The data underline the increasing pressure on firms to find ways to return cash to investors, including by exiting more investments in the year ahead.

Firms have struggled to strike deals at attractive prices since early 2022, when rising interest rates caused financing costs to soar and corporate valuations to fall.

Dealmakers and their advisers expect that merger and acquisition activity will accelerate in 2025, potentially helping the industry work through what consultancy Bain & Co. has called a “towering backlog” of $3tn in ageing deals that must be sold in the years ahead.

Several large public offerings this year including food transport giant Lineage Logistics, aviation equipment specialist Standard Aero and dermatology group Galderma have provided private equity executives with confidence to take companies public, while Donald Trump’s election has added to Wall Street exuberance.

But Andrea Auerbach, global head of private investments at Cambridge Associates, cautioned that the industry’s issues could take years to work through.

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“There is an expectation that the wheels of the exit market will start to turn. But it doesn’t end in one year, it will take a couple of years,” Auerbach said.

Private equity firms have used novel tactics to return cash to investors while holdings have proved difficult to sell.

They have made increasing use of so-called continuation funds — where one fund sells a stake in one or more portfolio companies to another fund to another fund the firm manages — to engineer exits.

Jefferies forecasts that there will be $58bn of continuation fund deals in 2024, representing a record 14 per cent of all private equity exits. Such funds made up just 5 per cent of all exits in the boom year of 2021, Jefferies found.

But some private equity investors are sceptical that the industry will be able to sell assets at prices close to funds’ current valuations.

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“You have a huge amount of capital that has been invested on assumptions that are no longer valid,” a large industry investor told the Financial Times.

They warned that a record $1tn-plus in buyouts were struck in 2021, just before interest rates rose, and many deals are carried on firms’ books at overly optimistic valuations.

Goldman Sachs recently noted in a report that private equity asset sales, which had historically been done at a premium of at least 10 per cent to funds’ internal valuations, have in recent years been made at discounts of 10-15 per cent.

“[Private] equity in general is still over-marked, which is leading to this situation where assets are still stuck,” said Michael Brandmeyer of Goldman Sachs Asset Management in the report.

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