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Analysis: Zelensky to appeal to Americans as Russia intensifies bombardments

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Analysis: Zelensky to appeal to Americans as Russia intensifies bombardments
Zelensky’s relentless media marketing campaign and braveness in staying in Kyiv to battle alongside his folks prompted the world’s democracies to hurry anti-aircraft and anti-tank weapons into the nation and to crush the Russian economic system in a much more sturdy response than was anticipated. However his appeals for extra assist, that are anticipated to dominate his deal with to the US Congress and the American folks on Wednesday, can even lay naked Ukraine’s creating tragedy.
The measures the warrior President says his nation must survive — like NATO-enforced no-fly zones and Soviet-era jets from ex-Warsaw Pact states that are actually a part of the West — are seen by the Biden administration as a step too far as a result of they might antagonize Moscow and drag the US right into a harmful escalation with its nuclear-armed rival.

The Ukrainian President supplied a doable preview of his request — and of his rising anger — in an deal with to the Canadian parliament Tuesday, his newest cease in a digital tour of nationwide legislatures that’s highlighting his talent at pressuring Western leaders.

“Are you able to think about whenever you name your mates, your pleasant nation, and also you ask: ‘Please shut the sky, shut the airspace. Please cease the bombing. What number of extra cruise missiles should fall on our cities till you make this occur?’ And so they, in return, they categorical their deep issues in regards to the state of affairs,” he mentioned.

Zelensky’s heartrending every day appeals, alongside the horrifying photos of civilian casualties, are making it unattainable to disregard the torment of Ukraine and its folks. If the worst occurs and he finally ends up being killed — as he has candidly admitted is an actual chance — and Ukraine falls, addresses just like the one to US lawmakers will stand as an indictment of Putin’s barbarism and of a world system that was unable to cease it.

Even with Biden set to announce an extra $800 million in safety help, together with anti-tank missiles, following Zelensky’s speech, there could also be a restrict to what the Ukrainian President’s appeals can obtain. As CNN’s Kevin Liptak has reported, Biden hadn’t relented in his opposition to a no-fly zone.

The West’s exterior conscience

Zelensky has already pushed Western leaders additional right into a battle that has modified the form of post-Chilly Warfare Europe than they might have thought they have been keen to go. His showcase of non-public braveness put a human face on the battle and struck a distinction with Putin’s reckless authoritarianism.

Together with his actor’s expertise, Zelensky is aware of precisely learn how to talk with the residents of the western nations whose leaders he is making an attempt to maneuver. He performs on overseas nations’ sense of their very own greatness and self-image by evoking historical past and nationwide mythology.

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In addressing the British Home of Commons, for example, Zelensky drew analogies to wartime Prime Minister Winston Churchill and the nation’s lonely stand in opposition to Nazi tyranny in 1940. “We are going to battle within the forests, on the shores, within the streets,” he mentioned, echoing a well-known Churchill speech through which the nice statesman additionally appealed for assist from the “New World” — America — a lot as Zelensky is doing now. He additionally borrowed the quintessential Shakespearean line “To be, or to not be” — a meditation on the character of existence and demise — to argue that Ukraine had chosen life and sovereignty or, “to be.”

“Please be sure you do what must be completed and what’s stipulated by the greatness of your nation,” Zelensky instructed British members of parliament.

In his speech to the Canadian parliament on Tuesday, Zelensky blatantly heaped direct private stress on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, a father of younger kids who is among the NATO leaders who must log out on better assist.

“Think about that at 4 a.m., every of you begin listening to bomb explosions,” Zelensky mentioned. “Extreme explosions. Justin, are you able to think about listening to — you, your kids, hear all these extreme explosions: bombing of (the) airport, bombing of Ottawa airport, tens of different cities of your fantastic nation. Are you able to think about that?”

Zelensky additionally confirmed a consummate politician’s aptitude for making a fancy or faraway difficulty relatable to an area viewers. He requested Canadians to think about what it will be like if Vancouver was underneath siege or if Toronto’s signature CN Tower was bombed. “Every metropolis they’re marching via, they’re taking down Ukrainian flags. Are you able to think about somebody taking down your Canadian flags in Montreal and different Canadian cities?” he mentioned.

Zelensky is certain to adapt that message for a US viewers on Wednesday. Given his facility with historic allusion, it will not be a shock to listen to him reference nice wartime presidents and freedom champions like Franklin Roosevelt or Abraham Lincoln or America’s personal liberation battle in opposition to a superior army energy. His speech can be sure to extend home political stress on Biden to do extra to assist Ukraine and to punish Russia. CNN’s MJ Lee and Lauren Fox reported Tuesday that some congressional leaders are dropping endurance with the administration’s unwillingness to come back nearer to Zelensky’s requests.

“Every part Congress has requested to do, the administration has initially mentioned no. After which in a while, they are saying sure after our allies do it,” mentioned Sen. Jim Risch, the highest Republican on the Senate International Relations Committee. “It is sluggish. It is excruciating.”

However Senate Minority Chief Mitch McConnell reiterated opposition on Tuesday to a no-fly zone that might convey US and Russian pilots into direct clashes over Ukraine. “He (Zelensky) already is aware of that the US is just not going to have interaction immediately in Ukraine,” the Kentucky Republican mentioned, although he expressed assist for serving to Kyiv get previous Soviet-era jets.

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His feedback mirrored the temper in Congress that Zelensky is definite to solidify on Wednesday. Ukraine will get extra assist however will be unable to flee the geopolitical and nuclear conundrum that stops the West from committing unreservedly to its protection.

A merciless turning level

Zelensky’s deal with comes at a merciless turning level of the battle, and his refusal to desert his nation places him in grave hazard with Russia intensifying its assault on Kyiv and apparently getting ready a siege of town.

Blinken says there will be an independent Ukraine 'a lot longer than there's going to be a Vladimir Putin'

Russia’s sluggish advance has developed right into a murderous warfare of attrition as its forces bombard civilian residencies. Within the coastal metropolis of Mariupol, which can supply a catastrophic preview of what lies in watch for Kyiv, 1000’s of civilians are trapped with out warmth and with water and meals operating scarce in an unfathomable act of Russian cruelty.

A frenzied worldwide diplomatic effort, in the meantime, has made little headway. Nor have days of talks between Russian and Ukrainian officers on a ceasefire. There’s each signal that Putin, regardless of making his nation a political, cultural and financial pariah, is decided to blast Ukraine into submission to realize his aim of it by no means becoming a member of the West.

In a doable present of flexibility on that difficulty, Zelensky instructed a UK-led Joint Expeditionary Pressure in a digital deal with Tuesday that it should be “acknowledged” that his nation couldn’t be a part of NATO. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken instructed CNN’s Wolf Blitzer that the doable concession to one in all Moscow’s key calls for was a “reflection of actuality.”

However there was no rapid signal that Putin, who has rebuffed ceasefire talks, is in any temper to indicate mercy.

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia has carried out a Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system, leaving more than half a million people without heating, water and electricity. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the attack, the 13th large-scale assault of 2024 on the country’s grid, was “deliberate” and not a coincidence. “What could be more inhuman?” he wrote on X.

About 50 of the 70 missiles fired in the attack were intercepted, along with a “significant” portion of the more than 100 attack drones deployed, he added.

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This year Ukrainians marked Christmas Day on December 25 for the second time, after switching to the western Gregorian calendar last year. The decision to stop celebrating Christmas on January 7 in line with the Orthodox calendar was made by Kyiv to break with Russian influence.

Oleh Syniehubov, governor of Ukraine’s eastern Kharkiv region, told Ukraine’s national television news that the attack had left more than 500,000 people without heating, water and electricity.

Temperatures across Ukraine are around freezing point.

Heating supplies were also cut in some areas of Ukraine’s Ivano-Frankivsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, in the west and south of the country. 

Ukraine’s energy grid operator, Ukrenergo, urged consumers to limit consumption by not switching on multiple appliances at once, adding that the system was still recovering from the previous Russian attack on December 13.

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Ukraine’s largest private energy company, DTEK, said that its power stations had been damaged and one of its long-term employees killed.

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andriy Sybiha, said on X that the attack reflects Russian President Vladimir Putin’s response to “those who spoke about illusionary ‘Christmas ceasefire’”.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said last week that Zelenskyy had rejected his proposal for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange on the January 7 Orthodox Christmas.

Ukraine denied that such a proposal was ever on the table, asking Hungary to “refrain from manipulations” regarding the war. On Friday, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s foreign ministry, described it as “PR, a move” by Orbán.

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

An American Airlines agent talks to a customer at O’Hare International Airport in Chicago, Ill., last week. On Tuesday, the airline issued a national halt to flights.

Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images


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Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images

American Airlines passengers across the U.S. endured a sudden disruption of service on Christmas Eve, as a “technical issue” forced the airline to request a nationwide ground stop of its operations.

“The ground stop has now been lifted,” the Federal Aviation Administration told NPR shortly after 8 a.m. ET.

On Facebook and X, passengers shared stories of boarding planes early on Christmas Eve — only to be left waiting on the tarmac. In some cases, they described being told the flight would return to its gate so everyone onboard could deplane.

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The ground stop lasted for about one hour, according to the airline.

 “We sincerely apologize to our customers for the inconvenience this morning,” the airline said.

In a statement sent to NPR, American says the widespread delays were caused by a “vendor technology issue” affecting systems that are needed for a flight to be “released” — one of the final key steps before a plane takes off from an airport.

Early circumstances around Tuesday’s outage seemed ominous, reminding travelers of a nightmare scenario that played out two years ago when computer problems fueled a meltdown for Southwest Airlines as it tried to cope with bad weather during the holidays.

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Southwest stranded millions of travelers — and was later ordered to pay a $140 million civil penalty.

Aviation industry veterans like George Hamlin, a consultant, notes that Southwest took the brunt of the blame for the meltdown — but, he adds, “now we’re finding out that it’s a larger, more endemic problem than that.”

Delayed American Airlines passengers who posted to social media Tuesday said pilots blamed the slowdown on a computer system that aims to ensure an optimal center of gravity by balancing planes’ cargo weight and other factors.

Winter weather also threatens to snarl Christmas Eve travel, including storms along the East and West Coasts of the U.S.

The FAA’s operations page shows nearly a dozen airports were deicing planes Tuesday morning, including at Philadelphia International, and Dulles International and Reagan National outside Washington, D.C.

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If you’re flying, the FAA recommends checking your airline’s flight status updates for potential delays. As of 9 a.m. ET, the FlightAware website’s “Misery Map” showed some 544 flights had been delayed and five canceled since 6 a.m. Nearly 120 of those delays were at Charlotte, N.C.’s, airport.

Nearly 12.7 million passengers are expected to fly on American Airlines this winter holiday season, comprising more than 118,000 flights, according to the airline. The most-traveled days in that span are both Fridays, ahead of and just after Christmas.

NPR’s Joel Rose contributed reporting.

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity funds cashed out just half the value of investments they typically sell in 2024, the third consecutive year payouts to investors have fallen short because of a deal drought.

Buyout houses typically sell down 20 per cent of their investments in any given year, but industry executives forecast that cash payouts for the year would be about half that figure.

Cambridge Associates, a leading adviser to large institutions on their private equity investments, estimated that funds had fallen about $400bn short in payments to their investors over the past three years compared with historical averages.

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The data underline the increasing pressure on firms to find ways to return cash to investors, including by exiting more investments in the year ahead.

Firms have struggled to strike deals at attractive prices since early 2022, when rising interest rates caused financing costs to soar and corporate valuations to fall.

Dealmakers and their advisers expect that merger and acquisition activity will accelerate in 2025, potentially helping the industry work through what consultancy Bain & Co. has called a “towering backlog” of $3tn in ageing deals that must be sold in the years ahead.

Several large public offerings this year including food transport giant Lineage Logistics, aviation equipment specialist Standard Aero and dermatology group Galderma have provided private equity executives with confidence to take companies public, while Donald Trump’s election has added to Wall Street exuberance.

But Andrea Auerbach, global head of private investments at Cambridge Associates, cautioned that the industry’s issues could take years to work through.

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“There is an expectation that the wheels of the exit market will start to turn. But it doesn’t end in one year, it will take a couple of years,” Auerbach said.

Private equity firms have used novel tactics to return cash to investors while holdings have proved difficult to sell.

They have made increasing use of so-called continuation funds — where one fund sells a stake in one or more portfolio companies to another fund to another fund the firm manages — to engineer exits.

Jefferies forecasts that there will be $58bn of continuation fund deals in 2024, representing a record 14 per cent of all private equity exits. Such funds made up just 5 per cent of all exits in the boom year of 2021, Jefferies found.

But some private equity investors are sceptical that the industry will be able to sell assets at prices close to funds’ current valuations.

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“You have a huge amount of capital that has been invested on assumptions that are no longer valid,” a large industry investor told the Financial Times.

They warned that a record $1tn-plus in buyouts were struck in 2021, just before interest rates rose, and many deals are carried on firms’ books at overly optimistic valuations.

Goldman Sachs recently noted in a report that private equity asset sales, which had historically been done at a premium of at least 10 per cent to funds’ internal valuations, have in recent years been made at discounts of 10-15 per cent.

“[Private] equity in general is still over-marked, which is leading to this situation where assets are still stuck,” said Michael Brandmeyer of Goldman Sachs Asset Management in the report.

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