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Analysis: Ukraine refugees: Why the US has allowed so few

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Analysis: Ukraine refugees: Why the US has allowed so few

However solely the smallest trickle — round 690 — have come to the US as refugees since final October. Which means basically no Ukrainians of these 3 million who left because the battle started have come to the US.

It is a story of pink tape and the damaged immigration system, which the Biden administration, regardless of a want to welcome refugees, has been unable to vary.

Individuals need to assist, if their Google searches are any indication.

CNN’s Catherine E. Shoichet put collectively a narrative to reply the query: how you can assist Ukrainian refugees.

The US has supplied cash

Congress has permitted greater than $4 billion in humanitarian help for Ukraine, which incorporates $1.4 billion particularly to assist with the refugee disaster.

The US has promised to take refugees

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President Joe Biden has pledged to convey refugees to the US.

“I’ll welcome the Ukrainian refugees,” he stated from the White Home on March 11.

However it’s not at present potential for American households to sponsor Ukrainian refugees, as Shoichet factors out.

On a cease in Poland, Vice President Kamala Harris met with refugees however wouldn’t decide to the US accepting a selected quantity. Poland’s President personally requested her to do extra to assist Ukrainians unite with members of the family within the US.

Requires the US to do extra

Critics say the US ought to act extra shortly to welcome Ukrainians.

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“Phrases matter, actions matter,” wrote Mark Hetfield, CEO of HIAS, the worldwide Jewish non-profit that protects refugees, for CNN Opinion after Harris’ journey to Poland. “Relating to refugees and management, the US is falling quick on each fronts.”
Equally, in a Washington Publish opinion column, CNN commentator Catherine Rampell writes, “We have carried out just about the naked minimal — that’s, we have allowed Ukrainians already right here to remain longer. That is little consolation to households caught in war-torn Ukraine, in fact, or those that have fled with little greater than the garments on their backs.”

Immigration is difficult within the US

Welcoming individuals fleeing a battle zone sounds good, however it’s a troublesome political matter within the US, the place immigration and concern of immigrants can flip elections.

What about Afghanistan?

The US admitted greater than 76,000 Afghans — lots of whom had labored for the Individuals — after leaving Afghanistan to the Taliban. A lot of these Afghan evacuees had been “paroled” into the US with short-term entry standing, which is a faster admission course of.

What number of refugees are allowed within the US vs. what number of are resettled?

Final Could, Biden raised the cap on US refugees from the very low 15,000 set by the Trump administration to 62,500 in 2021, consistent with the latest previous, after which raised it once more to 125,000. However these caps are far beneath ones from the Eighties, when the US welcomed lots of of 1000’s of refugees every year.

Even so, it is unlikely the US will attain that ceiling given the decimated refugee resettlement infrastructure left behind by the Trump administration and the overwhelming demand of the final a number of months following the autumn of Kabul.

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Refugees vs. asylum seekers

Along with individuals who search refugee standing earlier than coming to the US, there are those that search asylum at US borders. An order put in place by the US Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention two years in the past to cease the unfold of Covid-19 — generally known as Title 42 — has basically closed the US southern border to asylum seekers.

Some Ukrainians have been exempted from that order, and some have been allowed to cross the border with Mexico — together with a girl and her three youngsters, as CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez wrote about final week.

Once I requested Alvarez, who has coated immigration for years, why the US cannot merely change issues round, she stated the system is difficult and laborious to replace shortly.

She despatched me an e-mail, most of which I’ve included beneath:

It takes years to change into a refugee within the US

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ALVAREZ: There are restricted choices for Ukrainians searching for to come back to the US, and most of these choices take time to finish.

Take the US refugee admissions program. The method to come back to the US as a refugee takes years due to the processing and screening that is required. The US has admitted Ukrainian refugees earlier than, and since final October, not less than 690 Ukrainian refugees resettled in the US, in line with State Division information.

Can the method be sped up for Ukrainians?

ALVAREZ: The Biden administration says it’s weighing a variety of choices to expedite the refugee course of for Ukrainians with household in the US.

Are there methods across the official refugee course of?

ALVAREZ: Some Ukrainians have sought vacationer visas to come back to the US, however that too is hard. To acquire vacationer visas, Ukrainians should apply, get appointments at US consulates and show that they are coming to the US for a brief interval — a requirement set in regulation. That is saved some Ukrainians from with the ability to journey to the US, given the unsure circumstances of their nation.

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After which different Ukrainians have tried to enter the US on the southern border. The Division of Homeland Safety not too long ago instructed US Customs and Border Safety officers that some Ukrainians could also be exempt from the Trump-era pandemic emergency rule to enter the US.

The place will most refugees find yourself?

ALVAREZ: Senior Biden administration officers famous this week that almost all Ukrainians will probably need to keep in Europe however acknowledged that efforts are underway to deal with these excited about coming to the US.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken stated Thursday that the administration is working carefully with the United Nations refugee company to see how the US can help Ukrainian refugees and is assessing what the administration can do to facilitate household reunification.

We’ll be coming again to this subject because the Ukraine refugee disaster seems to be simply getting began.

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia launches Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system

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Russia has carried out a Christmas Day attack on Ukraine’s energy system, leaving more than half a million people without heating, water and electricity. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the attack, the 13th large-scale assault of 2024 on the country’s grid, was “deliberate” and not a coincidence. “What could be more inhuman?” he wrote on X.

About 50 of the 70 missiles fired in the attack were intercepted, along with a “significant” portion of the more than 100 attack drones deployed, he added.

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This year Ukrainians marked Christmas Day on December 25 for the second time, after switching to the western Gregorian calendar last year. The decision to stop celebrating Christmas on January 7 in line with the Orthodox calendar was made by Kyiv to break with Russian influence.

Oleh Syniehubov, governor of Ukraine’s eastern Kharkiv region, told Ukraine’s national television news that the attack had left more than 500,000 people without heating, water and electricity.

Temperatures across Ukraine are around freezing point.

Heating supplies were also cut in some areas of Ukraine’s Ivano-Frankivsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, in the west and south of the country. 

Ukraine’s energy grid operator, Ukrenergo, urged consumers to limit consumption by not switching on multiple appliances at once, adding that the system was still recovering from the previous Russian attack on December 13.

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Ukraine’s largest private energy company, DTEK, said that its power stations had been damaged and one of its long-term employees killed.

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andriy Sybiha, said on X that the attack reflects Russian President Vladimir Putin’s response to “those who spoke about illusionary ‘Christmas ceasefire’”.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said last week that Zelenskyy had rejected his proposal for a ceasefire and prisoner exchange on the January 7 Orthodox Christmas.

Ukraine denied that such a proposal was ever on the table, asking Hungary to “refrain from manipulations” regarding the war. On Friday, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s foreign ministry, described it as “PR, a move” by Orbán.

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

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American Airlines lifts ground stop that froze Christmas Eve travelers

An American Airlines agent talks to a customer at O’Hare International Airport in Chicago, Ill., last week. On Tuesday, the airline issued a national halt to flights.

Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images


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Kamil Krzacznski/AFP via Getty Images

American Airlines passengers across the U.S. endured a sudden disruption of service on Christmas Eve, as a “technical issue” forced the airline to request a nationwide ground stop of its operations.

“The ground stop has now been lifted,” the Federal Aviation Administration told NPR shortly after 8 a.m. ET.

On Facebook and X, passengers shared stories of boarding planes early on Christmas Eve — only to be left waiting on the tarmac. In some cases, they described being told the flight would return to its gate so everyone onboard could deplane.

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The ground stop lasted for about one hour, according to the airline.

 “We sincerely apologize to our customers for the inconvenience this morning,” the airline said.

In a statement sent to NPR, American says the widespread delays were caused by a “vendor technology issue” affecting systems that are needed for a flight to be “released” — one of the final key steps before a plane takes off from an airport.

Early circumstances around Tuesday’s outage seemed ominous, reminding travelers of a nightmare scenario that played out two years ago when computer problems fueled a meltdown for Southwest Airlines as it tried to cope with bad weather during the holidays.

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Southwest stranded millions of travelers — and was later ordered to pay a $140 million civil penalty.

Aviation industry veterans like George Hamlin, a consultant, notes that Southwest took the brunt of the blame for the meltdown — but, he adds, “now we’re finding out that it’s a larger, more endemic problem than that.”

Delayed American Airlines passengers who posted to social media Tuesday said pilots blamed the slowdown on a computer system that aims to ensure an optimal center of gravity by balancing planes’ cargo weight and other factors.

Winter weather also threatens to snarl Christmas Eve travel, including storms along the East and West Coasts of the U.S.

The FAA’s operations page shows nearly a dozen airports were deicing planes Tuesday morning, including at Philadelphia International, and Dulles International and Reagan National outside Washington, D.C.

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If you’re flying, the FAA recommends checking your airline’s flight status updates for potential delays. As of 9 a.m. ET, the FlightAware website’s “Misery Map” showed some 544 flights had been delayed and five canceled since 6 a.m. Nearly 120 of those delays were at Charlotte, N.C.’s, airport.

Nearly 12.7 million passengers are expected to fly on American Airlines this winter holiday season, comprising more than 118,000 flights, according to the airline. The most-traveled days in that span are both Fridays, ahead of and just after Christmas.

NPR’s Joel Rose contributed reporting.

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity funds cashed out just half the value of investments they typically sell in 2024, the third consecutive year payouts to investors have fallen short because of a deal drought.

Buyout houses typically sell down 20 per cent of their investments in any given year, but industry executives forecast that cash payouts for the year would be about half that figure.

Cambridge Associates, a leading adviser to large institutions on their private equity investments, estimated that funds had fallen about $400bn short in payments to their investors over the past three years compared with historical averages.

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The data underline the increasing pressure on firms to find ways to return cash to investors, including by exiting more investments in the year ahead.

Firms have struggled to strike deals at attractive prices since early 2022, when rising interest rates caused financing costs to soar and corporate valuations to fall.

Dealmakers and their advisers expect that merger and acquisition activity will accelerate in 2025, potentially helping the industry work through what consultancy Bain & Co. has called a “towering backlog” of $3tn in ageing deals that must be sold in the years ahead.

Several large public offerings this year including food transport giant Lineage Logistics, aviation equipment specialist Standard Aero and dermatology group Galderma have provided private equity executives with confidence to take companies public, while Donald Trump’s election has added to Wall Street exuberance.

But Andrea Auerbach, global head of private investments at Cambridge Associates, cautioned that the industry’s issues could take years to work through.

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“There is an expectation that the wheels of the exit market will start to turn. But it doesn’t end in one year, it will take a couple of years,” Auerbach said.

Private equity firms have used novel tactics to return cash to investors while holdings have proved difficult to sell.

They have made increasing use of so-called continuation funds — where one fund sells a stake in one or more portfolio companies to another fund to another fund the firm manages — to engineer exits.

Jefferies forecasts that there will be $58bn of continuation fund deals in 2024, representing a record 14 per cent of all private equity exits. Such funds made up just 5 per cent of all exits in the boom year of 2021, Jefferies found.

But some private equity investors are sceptical that the industry will be able to sell assets at prices close to funds’ current valuations.

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“You have a huge amount of capital that has been invested on assumptions that are no longer valid,” a large industry investor told the Financial Times.

They warned that a record $1tn-plus in buyouts were struck in 2021, just before interest rates rose, and many deals are carried on firms’ books at overly optimistic valuations.

Goldman Sachs recently noted in a report that private equity asset sales, which had historically been done at a premium of at least 10 per cent to funds’ internal valuations, have in recent years been made at discounts of 10-15 per cent.

“[Private] equity in general is still over-marked, which is leading to this situation where assets are still stuck,” said Michael Brandmeyer of Goldman Sachs Asset Management in the report.

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