Indiana
Todd’s Take: Luck? Indiana Football Preparedness Continues To Be Overlooked
BLOOMINGTON, Ind. – Over the past weekend, I was off the grid. My son graduated from college and had to be moved out of his apartment. We wanted to make sure each moment was reserved for family time to celebrate his achievement, with the rest carved out for the grunt work of moving.
I didn’t look at a computer screen for four days. I highly recommend it.
While I was away from the Indiana athletic beat, there was news. Indiana University presented its findings on the Brad Bomba sexual abuse case. Rod Clark will be joining Indiana’s men’s basketball staff from Tennessee. Highly touted recruits Davion Adkins and Caleb Gaskins were given offers by Indiana men’s basketball coach Darian DeVries.
All are important items, but what filtered through to me was something comparatively unimportant.
ESPN wrote an offseason college football story on which teams benefited the most from luck during the 2024 season.
Take a wild guess as to which team was deemed to be among the luckiest in 2024? Those plucky, playoff contenders out-of-nowhere Indiana Hoosiers were deemed to be “lucky” in multiple categories.
It’s an interesting story and not a terrible premise. I’ve seen worse from scribes who are trying to fill space during their offseason.
In the piece, written by Bill Connelly, luck is determined by favorable turnover margin, prowess in close games and injuries/starting lineup stability.
At a surface level, those are not bad categories to determine “luck,” Turnovers turn games around. The ability to win close games in football is vital. To accomplish both of the above, you need stability.
Again, all fine in a vacuum, but numbers alone can’t determine whether a team is lucky or not. Context is required, and that’s where the premise for the story runs out of steam.
Indiana ranked as the second-luckiest team in turnover margin in ESPN’s ranking system. The Hoosiers were assigned an expected turnover margin of plus-4.5, but they had an actual turnover margin of plus-15.
Expected turnover margin is partly determined by percentage of fumbles lost and passes defended that resulted in interceptions.
It’s a fascinating stat to ponder, but meaningless without taking into account the players involved.
Quarterback Kurtis Rourke gets little credit for his passing efficiency. He threw only five interceptions in 320 pass attempts. There’s nothing lucky about that. It’s a testament to his accuracy.
Indiana ball carriers only fumbled 10 times in 2024, losing five of those drops. That’s not luck, that’s player skill and coaching emphasis on avoiding turnovers. From the beginning, Indiana coaches had players work with a slippery ball in practice to get players to emphasize ball security.
On the defensive side, Indiana’s impressive pass rush forced quarterbacks into quick decisions, many of them ill-advised ones. Indiana had 15 interceptions in 2024 and recovered nine fumbles out of 16 forced. At some point, that level of opportunism isn’t luck, it’s preparedness and skill.
What I think is telling about Indiana’s turnover ranking is who is ranked ahead of them – James Madison. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Curt Cignetti’s current and former teams are ranked 1-2 in this category.
Indiana’s injury and continuity luck was also ranked second nationally. The Hoosiers only trailed Penn State in this category. ESPN created a ratio of players who started the majority of games versus players who started just one or two games.
Not a fan of this methodology. It doesn’t take into account players who played hurt – Rourke and linebacker Jailin Walker were two notable examples for Indiana – nor does it take into account starters who happened to be on the field first to fulfill a specific formation.
Luck certainly plays a role in injuries, but so does preparedness. Indiana uses multiple running backs and had some rotation in the defensive line, lessening the likelihood of injuries. Practices are also managed properly to avoid injuries. Luck plays a role, but so does preparedness.
Indiana was notably not ranked highly in close games luck for a very obvious reason – the Hoosiers hardly played any close games. Only one of Indiana’s games was decided by a touchdown or less, a 20-15 victory for the Hoosiers over Michigan.
The average score of an Indiana game was 41-16 in favor of the Hoosiers. Nothing lucky about that.
Because Indiana rated so highly in two of the three luck factors, the Hoosiers were determined to be a team that could be due a market correction in 2025.
Perhaps a more difficult schedule will create a little bit of a correction, but as far as “luck” is concerned, I don’t think that’s going to change for the Hoosiers.
One word used constantly in this column is why: preparedness.
Many observers who haven’t been as close to Indiana’s program just haven’t figured out that the secret sauce in the success Cignetti’s teams have had is being prepared. Having a plan from day one to make things happen.
That preparedness is felt from the players Indiana seeks, to the way the offseason is handled, to practices and game plans. Cignetti prides himself on being prepared himself and having his teams reflect that level of planning.
It’s really that simple. Cignetti and his staff are not out-prepared by any team. When you can achieve that standard, things like luck become far less important. I’ve never quite believed that good or bad luck are by design, but Cignetti has probably come closest to convincing me it can be true.
National observers aren’t there yet as far as their perception of Cignetti and Indiana football are concerned. They still see Indiana as a bad football brand where everything came together at once for a magical season. When you’re seen as a one-off, you get pieces published that try to explain away success with luck.
I don’t think it was luck. I do think Cignetti and the Hoosiers have to have another playoff-quality season to prove it to those outside Indiana’s sphere of influence.
Indiana just might do it.
Indiana
Nick Saban gives thoughts on Kalen DeBoer, Alabama’s blowout loss to Indiana
Nick Saban had a chance to weigh in on the state of Alabama football after 2025 on Wednesday on the Pat McAfee Show.
McAfee questioned whether Alabama should have hired a Saban disciple to replace him considering all four coaches left in the playoff once worked for Saban at Alabama.
“I think if somebody was available, I’m not sure anybody was available that they could have maybe gotten to come here,” Saban said. “I do think that Kalen DeBoer is a really good coach and doing a good job here.”
Saban highlighted the “tough transition” DeBoer underwent with all of the players coming and going.
“So that’s a lot to overcome for anybody,” Saban said. “It would have been a lot to overcome for even for one of the guys that formerly coached for me.”
Saban then said he “fully supports” Alabama athletics director Greg Byrne, what he’s done and how the administrator has done it.
“I’m hoping they get the ship going in the right direction here,” Saban said. “It’s not bad to get in the playoffs and finish you know in the final eight, but not the expectation around here, which is tough to live up to sometimes.”
During his appearance on McAfee, Saban also talked some about Indiana and what the Hoosiers did to beat Alabama 38-3 in the Rose Bow.
“Indiana man, I mean they were impressive in the game,” Saban said. “Not that Alabama played great, and they made some mistakes early on that hurt them … These cats, man. Everybody talks about their offense. They’ve got some dawgs on defense now. These guys play hard, they play fast, they play together, they don’t make a lot of mental mistakes. They’re well coached. They fit the runs. This pop they put on Ty (Simpson) right here. …. Incredible the job they’ve done at Indiana. Curt Cig has done a fantastic job there.”
Indiana
Our childhoods were awesome. Let’s legalize kids playing outside. | Opinion
We loved our free-range childhoods. Now we’re fighting to make sure Hoosier parents won’t get arrested for giving their kids the same freedom.
The link between addictive screen time and mental health
A recent study has found a link between social media addiction, phone and video game addiction, and a higher risk of suicidal thoughts and behaviors.
unbranded – Lifestyle
It’s tempting to think Democrats and Republicans can’t agree on anything these days, but the two of us wholeheartedly agree on this:
Our childhoods were awesome.
In fact, we loved our childhoods so much, we are co-sponsoring a bill that would ensure Indiana parents can let their kids enjoy their childhoods just as much. Under our bill, parents can let their kids play outside, walk to the store, romp in the woods and stomp in the rain without worrying that this wonderful independence could be mistaken for neglect.
The so-called “Reasonable Childhood Independence” bill has been passed in 11 states so far — red, blue, and purple. It is not a free pass for abusive parents. It is reassurance for all decent Hoosiers that they don’t have to worry about being investigated or arrested for giving their kids some unsupervised time.
House Bill 1035 simply says that “neglect” is when you put your child in obvious and serious danger — not anytime you take your eyes off them. This helps parents who want to give their kids a longer leash. And it helps parents in poverty who have little choice but to do so — for instance, a single mom working two jobs who lets her kid come home with a latchkey.
It also helps all the parents desperate to get their kids off screens: You take away the phone — and open the door.
Our own childhoods were as outdoors and free range as they come. Jake grew up in Michiana, running around, looking for trees to build tree houses in. Other times he’d jump on his bike and go to the ballpark with friends, or go get a burger or even, yes, some Big League Chew.
Victoria biked all over the place, too — after telling her parents where she was heading. (No cell phones back then.) There was a hill everyone loved to ride down and a 7-Eleven where she’d go with her friends for lunch, which consisted of … a Slurpee. Yes, your elected representatives made some slightly suboptimal choices as kids. That’s part of growing up. It was a magical time.
It was also foundational. Jake works in commercial construction when he’s not legislating. He credits the give-and-take of those unsupervised ballgames with building the client skills he uses to this day. (And maybe the tree houses launched his career in construction.)
Victoria went on to become an associate professor and program director in occupational therapy at Indiana University. Working with young kids, she has seen the slow decline in developmental milestones as the run-around childhood got replaced by a sedentary, screen-based one.
That’s another reason we are so keen to pass this bill. Autonomy isn’t something “nice” to have. It is crucial. We all know about the youth mental health crisis. Let’s make it at least as easy for kids to go outside as it is for them to go online.
Some people may think the reason a supervised, structured childhood has become so normal is because the crime rate is so high. But the murder rate today is lower than it was in the 1970s, ‘80s and ‘90s.
The Reasonable Childhood Independence bill allows parents to decide for themselves when their kids are ready to do some things on their own.
“As parents, you have a good understanding of where your children are on their level of responsibility,” says Rep. Ryan Lauer, Vice Chair of the House Family and Children Committee, who is also co-sponsoring this bill.
And yet we’ve all heard the stories of decent parents being investigated simply because they didn’t hover — like that mom in Georgia, Brittany Patterson, arrested in 2024 because her 10-year-old walked to town without telling her. Or that mom in South Carolina, Debra Harrell, a few years back. She let her daughter, 9, play at a popular sprinkler park while she worked her shift at McDonald’s. For this, Harrell was thrown in jail and had her daughter taken from her for 17 days.
As parents, we shudder at the thought of overreach like that. We also shudder at the thought of child abuse. By narrowing the definition of neglect, our law gives hardworking Department of Child Services personnel more time to focus on the kids who are truly in danger.
Hoosier parents deserve the freedom to take their eyes off their kids when they know their kids are ready. Hoosier kids deserve to enjoy that freedom. And if they use it to make a tree house or drink a Slurpee for lunch, well, that’s not against the law.
Rep. Jake Teshka represents Indiana’s 7th District (St. Joseph, Marshall and LaPorte counties). Rep. Victoria Garcia Wilburn represents Indiana’s 32nd District (Marion and Hamilton counties).
Indiana
Pride organizers, ACLU sue Indiana city again, saying it defied court
Supreme court declines Tennessee vanity plate free speech appeal
Lawyers for a Tennessee woman challenging the rejection of her “69PWNDU” personalized plate argued state rules have led to a “dizzying array of censorship.”
An LGBTQ advocacy group is once again suing Loogootee, Indiana, claiming the city is ignoring a recent court decision ruling its actions unconstitutional and is pushing its festival out of the public square illegally.
The Southern Indiana city of 2,600 people and festival organizer Patoka Valley AIDS Community Action Group have fought for years over LGBTQ expression on city property, specifically where the annual PrideFest would be held.
The city had enacted a special events policy that would prevent the group from holding the festival at the public square downtown. The U.S. District Court of Southern Indiana handed the city a major defeat in August, ruling that the policy was too broad and violated organizers’ First Amendment rights.
Now, Loogootee has enacted another special events policy that mirrors several measures in the one that the court struck down. In response, the Indiana chapter of the American Civil Liberties Union, which represents Pakota Valley, filed a new lawsuit against the policy and filed a motion alleging the city is disobeying court orders.
“Court orders must be complied with, and Loogootee, by enacting an ordinance that contains provisions enjoined by the Court, is in contempt of its lawful orders,” ACLU Indiana legal director Ken Falk said in a news release. “Moreover, the ordinance it has adopted continues Loogootee’s pattern of attempting to unconstitutionally restrict this celebration of the LGBTQ+ community.”
The new legal twist is the most recent development in what’s been a tense local culture war between the LGBTQ+ community seeking to publicly celebrate their identity and the strong, sometimes threatening, community pushback to their efforts.
Is Loogootee’s ‘new’ policy new?
Judge Richard L. Young listed three primary factors in his August ruling as to why he found Loogootee’s old policy unconstitutional: a 45-day event permit application deadline, small group thresholds, and event location limits. He also disagreed with the city’s health and safety reasoning for such rules.
Public institutions can legally establish restrictions on the time, place and manner of free expression as long as these restrictions are narrowly tailored.
Enacted Dec. 29, the new ordinance reuses the same language regarding the permit deadline and small groups but broadens the locations where an event can be held. Instead of limiting an event to one of two places, an event can now be held anywhere except within 240 feet of the town center’s fountain.
In its complaint, the ACLU argued that the “verbatim” measures and the new location restriction are all unconstitutional.
“The ‘new’ Ordinance is therefore ‘new’ in name only and, in reality, Loogootee has simply reenacted provisions that this Court has explicitly enjoined as unconstitutional,” the ACLU’s complaint reads.
Loogootee Mayor Brian Ader previously told IndyStar that the city planned to appeal the District Court’s decision, but an appeal was never filed.
The USA TODAY Network – Indiana’s coverage of First Amendment issues is funded through a collaboration between the Freedom Forum and Journalism Funding Partners.
Have a story to tell? Reach Cate Charron by email at ccharron@indystar.com, on X at @CateCharron or Signal at @cate.charron.28.
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