Finance
To make COP27 a success, finance is key
Robin Millington is the CEO of Planet Tracker.
Simon Stiell, the brand new chief of the United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change, has his work minimize out for him. Certainly, there’s no magic wand to greening the worldwide economic system, however he does have the convening energy to assist carry policymakers, buyers and monetary establishments collectively in a extra aligned means.
Buyers and policymakers want to hitch forces to guard pure capital — i.e., the sum of the world’s shares of pure property from which we derive providers like forestry, fishing, supplies for constructing our houses and minerals to run our telephones and electrical autos.
From deploying mitigation and adaptation measures and easing the impression of environmental loss and injury to making sure the inexperienced transition is honest for growing nations, good coverage and good finance need to go hand in hand.
Take aquaculture, for instance, an business that provides 49 % of the worldwide demand for fish, in line with the U.N.’s Meals and Agriculture Group. Round 3 billion individuals depend on seafood as their main protein. In the meantime, aquafeed for the business has an rising reliance on soy, which is, in flip, driving deforestation. However revolutionary inexperienced bonds, issued by main firms like Mowi and Grieg Seafood, are offering the capital wanted to scale the usage of extra sustainable feed with novel elements, equivalent to blackfly larvae and algae.
Such debt financing is clearly each possible and fascinating, and connecting the dots between industries and implementing supportive insurance policies can have a constructive impression.
In current months, the world has turn into conscious about the worth of nature. Meals costs have risen dramatically, partially because of the battle in Ukraine, however meals shortages had been already rising because of the impression of local weather change. Russia’s struggle exponentially exacerbated the issue, nonetheless, creating a focus for a difficulty that, sadly, had been brushed apart too typically.
Now, meals safety and points associated to our meals provide chains are rising to the highest of nationwide agendas.
This 12 months alone, round 30 nations imposed meals export restrictions, fearing that meals insecurity may result in civil unrest. And whereas our bodies such because the U.N. demand that such protectionist measures are diminished to maintain commerce open and free, nature-dependent nations proceed to place up commerce boundaries by bans, export licenses and/or export taxes, which result in the disruption of provide chains.
Between 2010 and 2019, such nature-dependent exports accounted for 40 % of whole annual world commerce, over a 3rd of which originated from non-democratic regimes. Actually, 25 % of renewable commodities — agricultural exports equivalent to cereals, meat, dairy and seafood — had been sourced from 90 non-democratic nations with a mean annual export worth of $602 billion.
This additionally raises the specter of the assist we’re giving, as a world group, to regimes that proceed to drive deforestation, air pollution and human rights violations, and that might simply minimize off important provides at any time — as we have now seen with Russia. Provide chain vulnerabilities are actually clear to all.
So, what are monetary establishments and policymakers to do, when 1 / 4 or extra of renewable commodities are in danger?
Firstly, a shift towards shorter provide chains and “pleasant” jurisdictions, or “friend-shoring,” needs to be seen with warning. Although these insurance policies encourage safe native provide and may reinforce nationwide meals safety, provide chains are a lot too complicated to completely rein in. Furthermore, in recent times, some strikes towards deglobalization have been coupled with the rise of nationalism, in all its antidemocratic and xenophobic sentiment.
To reset the meals system for a extra sustainable, wholesome and equitable meals future, buyers and policymakers ought to as a substitute deal with supporting the transition towards a extra sustainable international food regimen, whereas additionally engaged on methods to assist soften the impression of provide chain shocks from local weather, illness or geopolitics.
Nonetheless, monetary markets are additionally enjoying a major function in backing industries which have a dangerous impression on our pure capital. For instance, Planet Tracker’s “Gran Chaco” analysis, which focuses on the danger of deforestation within the largest dry forest in South America, in addition to the 12 soy merchants that management 89 % of soy exports from the Paraguayan and Argentinian Gran Chaco — revealed that within the insurance policies of the 20 largest fairness buyers funding the “Deforestation Dozen,” solely one in all them explicitly acknowledges the realm as a high-risk biome.
Shifting ahead, the increase in environmental, social and governance information implies that buyers can now start to know the impression of their investments. Structured information gathering on pure capital points and legislating for disclosure might help buyers determine dangers and alternatives, and it additionally lays the groundwork for higher regulation as a way to deal with particular points.
This type of enhanced accountability is what can turbocharge the transition towards not solely a internet zero future but in addition a simply and nature-positive one on the tempo required.
“We are able to do higher, we should” — these had been the parting phrases of outgoing U.N. local weather chief Patricia Espinosa. And this implies doing higher at analyzing and appearing on the interaction of points, as we use what’s left of the Earth’s pure capital. It additionally means boosting the way in which monetary markets assist insurance policies — we’d like finance funneled into our options.
There was a lot constructive momentum for this at COP 26 in Glasgow final 12 months. Now, going into COP 27, we should speed up that momentum.
Finance
Financing the future of senior living
The United States population aged 75 and older is expected to double by 2050, and with a severe lack of senior living inventory, owners and operators are under increasing pressure to meet the growing demand for affordable, high-quality care. Addressing this challenge head-on requires a strategic financial approach, strong partnerships and operational improvements.
Current financial obstacles
The senior living sector has faced significant financial headwinds as it has recovered from the pandemic, with communities already managing high labor costs and narrow margins. With $19 billion in debt maturities due in the next two years and rising long-term interest rates — up 70 to 80 basis points in recent months — these pressures will continue to be top of mind for providers.
There is good news, as occupancy rates have steadily improved for 14 consecutive quarters across the sector, but converting those gains into stronger operating margins remains challenging. Labor expenses, driven by the need for skilled caregivers, are among the largest budgetary strains. Nearly half of the senior living inventory is more than 25 years old, underscoring the need for capital improvements to stay competitive.
At the same time, senior living professionals are struggling to finance new developments, deepening the already pervasive inventory issue. Those conditions may leave owners and operators wondering, “What can I do today to ensure long-term success for my business?”
Strategies for resilience and growth
To overcome those challenges, senior living professionals should explore creative financing solutions based on individual objectives. A key benefit of the sector is that, because of its valued place in society as an essential component of all communities, a myriad of both public and private financing options are available to support owners.
Considering the pros and cons of all available structures, then multi-tracking the options that are the best fit as long as possible, becomes even more important during challenging financing markets. For example:
- The US Department of Housing and Urban Development loans can offer long-term, low fixed rates for refinancing but have rigid eligibility requirements and take longer to process.
- Agency (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) financing can provide faster closings and better debt service ratio underwriting metrics, but loan-to-value sizing parameters, paired with limits on skilled nursing facility beds and certain payer types, can be more restrictive.
- Finance companies, on the other hand, can allow for more creative underwriting structures and higher leverage, but borrowing costs are usually higher.
- Lastly, traditional banks also have structuring flexibility and can lower variable interest rates, but guarantees are more prevalent. Property Assessed Clean Energy financing can be paired with finance company or bank debt to improve the capital structure.
Regardless of the financing path or paths chosen, improving the financial performance of the subject community will aid those efforts. Value-based care models are emerging as one practical way to accomplish this. Adopting value-based care requires aligning with broader healthcare systems and making operational changes to support collective goals. Strategies such as regular care coordination meetings, onsite medical teams and tailored Medicare Advantage plans already are showing promise in reducing healthcare costs and differentiating operators in the marketplace while allowing the senior living provider to share in the resulting expense savings.
Looking ahead
Despite the challenges, the future of senior living remains promising. Demographic trends indicate sustained demand, but new inventory growth has slowed significantly. Only 29% of construction projects began within the last year, the lowest rate in a decade.
High demand and low inventory conditions create a favorable environment for owners and operators who can secure funding to build new communities or modernize aging properties, establish healthcare partnerships and embrace innovative care models. Those senior living sponsors will be well-positioned to meet demand and set new standards for quality and efficiency. Interest rates moving lower would certainly help as well!
Kevin Laidlaw is managing director at NewPoint Real Estate Capital.
The opinions expressed in each McKnight’s Senior Living guest column are those of the author and are not necessarily those of McKnight’s Senior Living.
Have a column idea? See our submission guidelines here.
Finance
UniCredit builds stake in Generali, further complicating fight for Italian financial sector
The government is keen to ensure that Generali, which last month agreed to combine its asset management business with that of France-based Natixis, keeps its appetite for Italian sovereign debt at a time when Rome needs to borrow nearly €1 billion a day. The Trieste-based conglomerate is the government’s largest private-sector creditor.
Rome had initially pushed for an alliance between Banco BPM, a Milan-based lender, and Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), which the government is still in the process of privatizing after years of restructuring. That intention was frustrated last year when UniCredit made a formal offer for all of BPM. UniCredit said on Sunday that it remains committed to that deal, and to developing its relationship with Germany’s Commerzbank.
Rome is now throwing its support behind a bid by MPS for Mediobanca, a Milan-based merchant bank that has historically catered to some of the country’s biggest business empires. Mediobanca is also Generali’s biggest shareholder, with a 13.1 percent stake. Italian media have reported that the Del Vecchio and Caltagirone families, which hold just under 10 percent and 7 percent of Generali, respectively, want to increase their influence at the Trieste-based insurer.
A person familiar with the matter said that while the purchase of a stake by UniCredit was not an explicit attempt to exert leverage in the billionaires’ tussle over Generali, it will have an “interesting” effect at a coming board meeting. The same person noted that UniCredit had started snapping up Generali shares before MPS’s move on Mediobanca.
People familiar with the matter told POLITICO that UniCredit had built its stake via derivatives, gaining economic exposure to Generali without crossing a threshold for mandatory disclosure. UniCredit declined to comment to POLITICO on that.
Geoffrey Smith contributed reporting.
Finance
Live: President Trump signs tariffs on Canada, Mexico, China
As a crucial moment for President Trump’s agenda approaches, markets are bracing for the potential fallout from tariffs.
But the Trump administration may also be bracing for the potential fallout from the stock market — a favorite scoreboard of Trump’s — as it weighs its options.
On a new episode of Capitol Gains, Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman, Ben Werschkul, and Seana Smith discuss how tough Trump will get on tariffs and how that dynamic is affecting markets.
“I think the shock at this point would be if Trump really did impose significant tariffs — at least, I don’t think Wall Street is pricing that in,” Newman said.
However, Werschkul noted that markets may be underestimating how much Trump wants to push through heavy tariffs.
“There’s a lot of issues that [Trump] talks about that you kind of get the sense that he’s not personally invested in,” Werschkul said. “That’s not true with tariffs. It’s a sort of throughline of his career.”
Capital Economics Group chief economist Neil Shearing also weighed in.
“My sense is tariffs are coming, but I don’t think they’ll be quite on the same scale that the president has talked about,” Shearing said, adding, “for obvious reasons, and that is that it would tank the market.”
See the full episode of Capitol Gains here.
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