Finance
State mobilises resources to boost private sector as economic growth driver: Finance Minister – Dailynewsegypt
Finance Minister Mohamed Maait has reiterated President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi’s commitment to implementing robust measures to ensure the nation’s economic, financial, and food stability, which are fundamental components of Egypt’s comprehensive national security strategy amidst the current global and regional challenges. These efforts aim to enhance the government’s capacity to elevate the standard of living for its citizens and fulfil their essential, developmental, and public service requirements.
Speaking at the economic forum organized by the Egyptian Association for Political Economy, Statistics, and Legislation, under the theme “Navigating the Egyptian Economy: Regional and Global Perspectives… Addressing Food Economy Challenges,” Maait highlighted that the ongoing global crises underscore the soundness of Egypt’s approach in harnessing collective efforts to bolster state capabilities. This is achieved by meeting strategic agricultural development goals, which include providing citizens with quality products at reasonable prices, thereby ensuring food security and shielding the nation from international and regional market volatility. This is in line with the political leadership’s initiative to broaden agricultural and food production projects aimed at self-reliance and boosting export figures, as well as maintaining sustainable strategic reserves of vital commodities for six months.
Maait added that the government has embarked on a series of reformative actions to reshape the economic landscape and foster recovery, prioritizing agricultural and industrial output and exports in the next phase. The state is fully committed to deploying its resources to fortify the private sector’s role as the main propellant of economic growth, ensuring a more robust structure and agility in adapting to both external and internal economic perturbations, as part of the economic reform agenda backed by the IMF and global development allies.
The programme, which is garnering increased investment interest, is predicated on sustained fiscal prudence, aiming to achieve a primary budget surplus of 3.5% of GDP and setting deficit and debt ratios on a declining path, with a debt ceiling not surpassing 88.2% in the forthcoming fiscal year. International credit rating agencies have conveyed optimism regarding the prospects of the Egyptian economy, recognizing the potential for more invigorating opportunities for local and international investors. They have favourably evaluated Egypt’s new economic direction and foresee a potential upgrade in the country’s credit rating in 2024.
The Finance Minister elucidated that the government is collaborating with investors to alleviate the financial load of fostering agricultural and industrial ventures by continuing the interest rate support initiative, offering financing provisions of approximately EGP 120bn for these sectors. The national treasury is allocating EGP 8bn annually to cover the interest rate differential for beneficiaries, alongside budgetary provisions in the upcoming fiscal year to assist farmers, reinforcing the agricultural domain and fortifying Egypt’s food system.
He noted that the Egyptian economy has been grappling with intricate challenges over the past four years, exacerbated by the succession of regional and global crises. These difficulties are further intensified by the severe consequences of the ongoing conflict in Gaza, tensions in the Red Sea area, and other forms of instability in the Middle East, coupled with the adverse effects of the conflict in Ukraine.
The geopolitical unrest and regional as well as international disputes have engendered a volatile economic environment marked by decelerated economic activities, diminishing growth and investment rates, and escalating inflation on both the global and domestic fronts. This has manifested in increased financing and developmental costs, particularly due to the central bank’s tightening monetary policies, rising interest and exchange rates, and elevated transportation and logistics expenses, leading to augmented production and import costs, as well as higher prices for essential commodities, food, and services, while also considering the ramifications of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Maait pointed out that the nation’s overall fiscal intake has suffered in the last four years, owing to reduced economic dynamism and the detrimental impacts of international and regional discord on certain economic sectors like tourism, manufacturing, exports, Suez Canal revenues, and foreign investments. Expenditures have surged to unprecedented levels to counteract the severe economic jolts and mitigate their inflationary impacts, with swift interventions and extraordinary social protection measures targeting the most vulnerable segments of society, including low and middle-income households, and bolstering the sectors most affected by the economic upheaval.
Finance
Auto Finance Capital Summit | Insights | Mayer Brown
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Finance
Yes, retail investment needs a boost – but the squirrel looks too tame | Nils Pratley
Red squirrel characters have a history in the public information game. Older UK readers may recall Tufty, who taught children about road safety in the 1970s. His chum, Willy Weasel, regularly got knocked down by passing cars but clever Tufty always remembered to look both ways.
Now comes Savvy Squirrel, who, with backing from the chancellor and a multi-year lump of advertising spend from the financial services industry, will try “to drive a step-change in how investing is understood, discussed and adopted”, as the blurb puts it. In translation: don’t squirrel everything away in a boring cash Isa but try taking an investment risk or two if you value your long-term financial health.
As with preventing road traffic accidents, the cause is noble. Every study on long-term financial returns reaches the same conclusion: inflation is the investor’s enemy and there is a cost to holding cash for long periods.
One statistical bible is the Equity Gilt Study published by Barclays, and a few numbers demonstrate the point. From 2004 to 2024, cash generated a return of minus 40.5% in real terms (meaning after inflation and including interest paid). By contrast, a conventional diversified portfolio comprising 60% UK equities and 40% gilts increased by 21.6% in real terms. A missed opportunity of 62.1 percentage points is enormous
Rachel Reeves’s interest in promoting the virtues of investment lies not only in helping savers but in greasing the wheels of the capital markets. Fair enough: a healthy economy needs a healthy stock market, including one that makes it easy for retail investors to participate. It is slightly ridiculous that the colossal sum of £610bn is estimated to be sitting in cash savings in the UK; it can’t all be rainy-day money or cash parked awaiting a house purchase.
Many Americans famously follow the stock markets closely and discuss their 401(k) pensions savings plans but, even by European standards, the UK’s retail investment culture lags. Sweden has popularised investment with tax-breaks and other changes. Even supposedly cautious Germans are less inhibited. So, yes, one can applaud the ambition behind the campaign.
But here’s the doubt: it all feels terribly tame.
One can imagine an alternative launch in which Reeves tried to create a buzz by cutting stamp duty on share purchases. There are good reasons to adopt that policy anyway, as argued here many times, but a cut now would grab attention. True, rules for banks and investment firms on giving “targeted guidance” are being loosened to allow more useful advice alongside the “capital at risk” warnings. Yet the current news flow in Isa-land is about HMRC’s pernickety interpretation of the tax treatment of cash held within stocks and shares account. That just creates bad vibes in the wings.
Meanwhile, the campaign’s goals read as wishy-washy. It’s all about “helping people build confidence over time”, apparently. Well, OK, that’s what the market research suggests, but “creating more opportunities for everyday conversations” is limp when, in the outside world, teenagers are trading crypto on their phones and the world is awash with smart apps. The intended audience can surely handle more directness.
As for the squirrel, it may get lost in the forest of meerkats and other CGI creatures deployed by financial services firms. For a campaign that is supposed to be doing something distinctly different, why go with a character which, on first glance, looks generic?
Back in the pre-smartphone 1970s, there was a certain shock value for the average five-year-old in seeing Willie Weasel lying injured in the road. At least the message about bad consequences was clear and memorable. One wishes the Savvy campaign well, but one fears a conversational squirrel may struggle to be heard.
Finance
German finance minister wants to scrap spousal tax splitting
Last weekend, several thousand people took to the streets in Munich to demonstrate against abortion and assisted suicide. One speaker made an extremely dramatic plea against what he called the “culture of death” that has allegedly taken hold in Germany. One sign of this, the speaker argued, was that the government is planning to abolish a regulation known as “spousal tax splitting.”
Is tax law really relevant to deep philosophical debates on the sanctity of life? It is even a matter of life and death at all? Surely we needn’t go that far? In any case, the intense political uproar surrounding the new debate on whether to abolish spousal tax splitting is notable, even by today’s standards of populist outrage.
An advantage for couples with widely divergent incomes
The row was sparked by Germany’s vice chancellor and finance minister, Lars Klingbeil, of the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD), who said he wanted to abolish and replace the joint taxation of spouses’ income, a system that has been in place since 1958.
How exactly does spousal tax splitting work? In Germany, married couples (and since 2013, couples in civil partnerships), can choose to have their income assessed jointly by the tax authorities.
It means that the taxable income for both spouses together is halved – as if both partners had each earned an equal half of the income. Their tax liability is then determined by simply doubling the income tax due on one half.
As people who earn more pay higher taxes in Germany, this system benefits couples where one partner (and often this is still the man) earns significantly more than the other (in practice often the woman).
Costs of up to €25 billion per year
If for example one partner earns €60,000 ($70,512) a year and the other partner earns nothing, the couple will be taxed as if they earned €30,000 each. In this example, the couple would save nearly €5,800 in taxes per year compared to the amount they would owe if both partners filed their taxes separately. According to the Finance Ministry, spousal tax splitting costs the government a total of up to €25 billion annually.
Some critics have long viewed splitting as a tool to keep women out of the labor market, because the more a woman earns, the larger her tax burden becomes. Klingbeil seems to agree, arguing on ARD television in late March that the system was “out of step with the times.” The spousal splitting system reflects “a view of women and families that is completely at odds with my own,” he said.
Chancellor Merz said to be in favor of splitting
On Monday of this week, Klingbeil got some surprising support on this from Johannes Winkel, head of the youth wing of the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
“Given the demographic reality, the government should create incentives to ensure that both partners in a relationship are employed,” Winkel told the Funke Media Group. “In the future, tax relief should primarily be granted to married couples when they are facing hardships related to raising children.”
But the chancellor is a vocal skeptic of the proposal. “I am not convinced by the claim that joint filing for married couples discourages women from working,” Friedrich Merz said at a conference organized by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper. “Marriage is a relationship based on shared income and mutual support. And in a marriage, income must be treated as a joint income for tax purposes, not separately.”
Klingbeil’s alternative plan
At around 74%, the labor force participation rate for women in Germany is one of the highest in Europe, but half of them work part-time.
Klingbeil’s idea is to replace the existing system with a more flexible approach: Both partners would be able to distribute tax-free income among themselves in such a way that it minimizes their tax liability. This would allow the couple to continue enjoying a tax advantage, albeit not to the same extent as before. And whether one partner earns more than the other would become less important.
However, it remains to be seen whether Klingbeil will be able to push through his proposal. Aside from Germany, similar regulations offering tax benefits to couples exist in Poland, Luxembourg, Portugal and France.
This article was originally written in German.
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