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Ray Dalio reveals the surprising ‘single most important reason’ he’s succeeded in investing—and it has nothing to do with finance | Fortune

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Ray Dalio reveals the surprising ‘single most important reason’ he’s succeeded in investing—and it has nothing to do with finance | Fortune

Ray Dalio built the world’s largest hedge fund on cold market logic and macro trendspotting. But when asked what really powered his rise to the top of global finance, he didn’t cite any model or macro insight at all. Instead, he credited meditation. 

“[It’s] maybe the single most important reason for whatever success I’ve had,” he told the renowned Odd Lots podcast this week. “Meaning, it has given me an equanimity to step back, to see the arc, to accept there’s a life cycle.”

Dalio often describes major crises and events in terms of cycles, and he referenced meditation as the thing that lets him step outside himself long enough to see reality clearly, rather than get caught up in headlines. But in the Odd Lots interview, he also made clear what he does with that clarity: He uses it to map out cause-and-effect relationships. 

For Dalio, meditation creates the mental distance he needs to see events—markets, politics, human conflict—as linked chains rather than emotional shocks. That lens is so central to his worldview that he referenced it over and over:

“If you understand the cause-effect relationships … you can be ahead of the game. The causes happen before the effects.”

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He talks about politics this way, too. Instead of seeing polarization as chaos, he thinks about the “mechanics” that produce it: incentives, cycles, interest groups, constraints. He isn’t judging them morally; he’s trying to understand how each variable begets the others.

Meditation, he says, is what lets him make that shift away from the instinct to react. 

“You align the subliminal and the intellectual mind … while still feeling the emotions, but being able to look down on them and ask: How does reality work?”

Dalio’s perspective echoes core Buddhist ideas far more than the conventional Wall Street training. In much of Buddhist thought, the world is a web of causes and conditions: pratītyasamutpāda, or dependent origination. Everything arises from something else, and clinging to how we wish things were is what creates suffering, rather than the event itself. Dalio doesn’t use Buddhist language, but he describes almost the same process: Don’t impose your preferences, don’t treat incidents as isolated, and don’t get trapped in your immediate emotional reaction.

On investors who meditate

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Dalio isn’t the only investor who sees meditation as part of the job. Ivan Feinseth, another longtime research analyst, has practiced Transcendental Meditation since 1978, when Maharishi Mahesh Yogi—the leader of the movement—visited his New Jersey high school.

The routine Feinseth describes is simple: You sit, breathe, and repeat a mantra until your thoughts stop becoming intrusions and instead flow naturally, to the extent that you can observe them. The effect he describes is almost identical to Dalio’s. 

“It does center you and relax you and calm you,” Feinseth told Fortune. “I get answers to questions … Many times I’m thinking about something and, after I meditate, I’ve found a solution.” 

Sometimes it’s trivial, like realizing his neighbor could fix a garage door with a side-mounted motor that he remembered seeing years ago (“We do have an incredibly accurate memory”). Other times, it’s the structure of a major research report or the right way into a thorny market call.

“Once you start to relax, things become clearer,” he said. “Sometimes the best way to think about something is not thinking about something.”

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Few professions blur emotion and logic like investing, Feinseth argued.

“People act emotionally and then use logic to justify an emotional reaction,” he said. Meditation doesn’t remove that dynamic, but it can help keep you from participating in it, especially during selloffs that are obviously out of step with fundamentals.

Research on mindfulness has shown mixed but meaningful effects on investor decision-making. A 2020 thesis on mindfulness and trading found no reduction in overconfidence and even higher anchoring among more mindful traders. However, a research brief from investment firm Addepar argues that mindfulness can interrupt biased, stress-driven reactions by shifting cognition from the amygdala to the prefrontal cortex, creating a pause before acting. 

In practice, mindfulness means noticing a fear response during a selloff without immediately selling; recognizing when a familiar narrative is shaping an investment thesis; or stepping back from recency-driven overconfidence. Meditation doesn’t eliminate biases, but it provides a structure for identifying and disrupting them, the authors argue. 

Dalio, it appears, would agree.

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“Whatever success in life I’ve had,” Dalio said, “is more because I know how to deal with what I don’t know, than anything.”

Finance

Hong Kong’s first 5-year plan to tackle economic gaps, boost jobs: Paul Chan

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Hong Kong’s first 5-year plan to tackle economic gaps, boost jobs: Paul Chan

Hong Kong’s first five-year plan will map out concrete paths to address the city’s shortcomings and magnify socio-economic benefits, including how artificial intelligence can create quality jobs, the financial chief has said a day ahead of the public consultation on the blueprint.

Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said on Sunday that the key task for the blueprint would be the upgrading and transformation of the city’s economy, vowing to press ahead with the Northern Metropolis megaproject and make it a “spatial carrier for deploying emerging and future industries”.

“Hong Kong’s five-year plan aims not only to provide greater momentum for economic development and better application of technology, but also to promote more inclusive and equitable development in society, provide residents with more quality employment opportunities, and create a better life,” he said in his weekly blog.

The efforts to formulate Hong Kong’s first five-year plan are led by Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu, and the blueprint is expected to be finalised by the end of 2026.

Lee said last week that the public consultation for the outline would begin on Monday, confirming an earlier South China Morning Post report.

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The public can submit views via dedicated websites during the two-month period, and the government would hold multiple sessions to gather input from various sectors, including lawmakers and industry representatives.

The blueprint aims at aligning Hong Kong’s development with China’s 15th five-year plan, which positions the city as an international hub for finance, shipping, trading, innovation and technology, offshore yuan and global talent.

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2 Awkward Talks to Have With Your Kids Before They’re 18 (Not ‘That’ One)

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2 Awkward Talks to Have With Your Kids Before They’re 18 (Not ‘That’ One)

As children reach adulthood, many parents assume they’ll still be able to step in when needed. In reality, that dynamic often changes quickly. Once a child turns 18, parents can lose both visibility and influence in ways they may not expect.

That’s why I suggest having two difficult conversations that can make a meaningful difference: The first helping your children build financial literacy, and the second ensuring you can support them effectively in a medical emergency.

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Fed’s Barr Warns Bank Deregulation Threatens Financial Stability | PYMNTS.com

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Fed’s Barr Warns Bank Deregulation Threatens Financial Stability | PYMNTS.com

Recent moves by the Federal Reserve and other banking regulators to weaken regulation and supervision of banks threaten to undermine the safety and soundness of the financial institutions and increase financial stability risks, Federal Reserve Gov. Michael S. Barr said in a recent speech.

Speaking Saturday (June 6) at American University in Washington, D.C., Barr pointed to what he described as decreases in capital requirements, lighter-touch bank supervision, a potential push for lower liquidity requirements and declines in consumer protection.

“Taken together, the regulatory and supervisory changes recently enacted or proposed represent the most significant deregulation of the banking system since the Global Financial Crisis,” Barr said. “They tip the imperative balance that must be maintained between openness and innovation, on the one hand, and safety and soundness, on the other, in a way that will increase the risks of financial instability.”

“I have voted against these changes, and I feel it is also my duty to continue to speak about them and explain that the costs they impose, in the form of risk, greatly outweigh the promised benefits of a lighter regulatory burden,” Barr said.

Barr also highlighted what he described as growing risks in the nonbank sector and said these risks require a strong banking sector.

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Some have argued that the banking sector should be deregulated so it can better compete with private credit and other nonbanks, but the sector needs improved regulation to protect banks from their exposure to nonbanks, Barr said.

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Banks are exposed to nonbanks through credit lines and asset-holding commonalities, he said.

“What all of this means is that we need strong banks at the core of the financial system to deal with shocks, including from nonbanks,” Barr said. “Dealing with those shocks requires robust capital and liquidity, and loosening bank regulatory standards moves in the opposite direction.”

“Bank deregulation can also lead to a race to the bottom,” Barr said. “If the goal is greater overall safety, it is perverse to relax safeguards. Deregulating banks so that they can better compete with nonbanks may lead to even more risk-taking by nonbanks. The answer is thus not to regulate banks less, but to regulate unsafe practices at nonbanks more.”

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