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Your Money: Affordability, inflation and your financial plan

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Your Money: Affordability, inflation and your financial plan
Bruce Helmer and Peg Webb

Inflation has been dominating the headlines. But what most people are actually feeling in their daily lives is something different: affordability pressure.

There’s an important distinction. Inflation measures the rate at which prices are rising. Affordability, on the other hand, reflects whether your income can keep up with the level of those prices. And even as inflation has cooled from its recent peaks, the reality is that many costs have reset higher and stayed there.

That’s why things may still feel tight. Over the past five years, consumer prices have risen more than 20%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Even in the past year, prices rose about 3.3%, while real wages increased just 0.2%. For many households, incomes are still playing catch-up.

This gap is where affordability pressure lives and it shows up in everyday life.

Affordability and your pocketbook

Housing is often the biggest factor. Roughly one-third of U.S. households are considered “cost-burdened,” meaning they spend more than 30% of their income on housing, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Add in higher mortgage rates that have more than doubled since their pandemic lows, and the pressure becomes even more pronounced.

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It doesn’t stop there. Insurance premiums have climbed. Grocery bills remain elevated. Interest rates on credit cards and auto loans are significantly higher. And many people are still anchoring to what things used to cost, which makes today’s environment feel even more uncomfortable.

In short, affordability stress shows up in your monthly cash flow, not just on paper.

Inflation and your portfolio

Inflation doesn’t impact all investments equally. Cash, while stable in nominal terms, tends to lose purchasing power over time. Longer-term bonds can be sensitive to rising interest rates. Stocks, especially companies with pricing power, may be better positioned to adapt. Real assets like real estate or infrastructure can also provide a degree of inflation resilience.

The takeaway isn’t to overhaul your portfolio every time an economic indicator changes. It’s to build a resilient, all-weather strategy that potentially can outlast it. Maintaining appropriate equity exposure, diversifying across asset types, and managing interest rate sensitivity are all part of that process.

Planning considerations in the current environment

A strong financial plan anticipates how higher costs affect your life. That means shifting the focus from net worth to cash flow. Can your plan absorb higher recurring expenses? Do you have enough flexibility to adjust spending if needed? Are you managing taxes in a way that preserves after-tax income?

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Thinking about moving? Keep these realities in mind

For some households, the most powerful affordability lever is changing the cost structure entirely. That’s why many Americans are now considering moves from higher-cost to lower-cost states. Lower housing costs, reduced taxes, and a generally lower cost of living can improve cash flow and reduce the pressure on a financial plan, especially in retirement.

But a move isn’t a guaranteed win.

Transaction costs alone, related to selling a home, buying another and relocating, can take years to recover. Tax differences aren’t always straightforward; lower income taxes may be offset by higher property taxes or insurance costs. Healthcare access and quality vary by region. And lifestyle factors, like proximity to family or community ties, can be just as important as financial ones.

A move that may look good on paper still has to work in real life.

Practical steps you can take now

You don’t need to make dramatic changes to respond to this environment. But making thoughtful, small adjustments can make a difference.

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Consider locking in fixed costs where possible, especially when it comes to debt. Review variable expenses, including insurance and subscriptions. Maintain a healthy emergency reserve to absorb unexpected increases. And focus on after-tax income, not just what you earn on paper.

If your plan is solid, you shouldn’t need to overhaul it; you just need to make smart adjustments.

Inflation tells you what is happening in the economy. Affordability tells you what’s happening in your life. And while prices may not be rising as quickly as they were, they’re still higher than they used to be. A well-constructed financial plan accounts for that reality, builds in flexibility, and helps you stay ahead of your cost of living over time.

You may not be able to control inflation, but you can control how prepared your plan is for it.

Bruce Helmer and Peg Webb are financial advisers at Wealth Enhancement Group and co-hosts of “Your Money” on WCCO 830 AM on Sunday mornings. Email Bruce and Peg at yourmoney@wealthenhancement.com. Advisory services offered through Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services LLC, a registered investment adviser and affiliate of Wealth Enhancement Group.

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Las Cruces finance director gets national honor for ‘exceptional contributions’

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Las Cruces finance director gets national honor for ‘exceptional contributions’

EL PASO, Texas (KTSM) — The City of Las Cruces’ finance director has received a national honor recognizing “exceptional contributions to public finance and local government service,” the City said.

Finance Director Lesley Doyle was selected by the Government Finance Officers Association (GFOA) to receive the organization’s “Recognition for Outstanding Public Service.”

The award recognizes Doyle’s leadership during a critical financial period for the City.

She stepped into the role of finance director as the City’s FY25 audit identified a projected beginning balance shortfall of more than $10 million in a community of nearly 120,000 residents, the City said.

Doyle led a coordinated effort to communicate the financial situation clearly to City departments, executive leadership, and the City Council, while working with the budget team to close the gap without reducing essential services.

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Josie Trevino, assistant finance director, credited Doyle with building a culture of trust and collaboration between the Finance Department and other City departments from the beginning of her tenure.

Doyle came to municipal government after a career in public education, transitioning from a school district into City finance leadership.

“In her first year, she met the challenge with confidence, emphasizing open communication, transparency, and proactive problem-solving. Her leadership has helped strengthen relationships across the organization while fostering a positive and supportive workplace culture within the Finance Department,” the City of Las Cruces said.

“The balance of technical skill and genuine care for people is what makes Lesley’s leadership unique,” Trevino said.

The GFOA has published Doyle’s recognition on its website, and her story will also be highlighted during the upcoming GFOA newsletter and highlighted at the annual GFOA conference.

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Former top Treasury adviser warns that HMRC plans to track personal finances with AI

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Former top Treasury adviser warns that HMRC plans to track personal finances with AI
HMRC could follow Spain’s lead on tracking personal finances (Reuters)

A former senior Treasury adviser to Gordon Brown has warned that HMRC is on the cusp of using artificial intelligence to track people’s and businesses income and expenditure without them knowing.

Dr Chris Wales, who was a member of Mr Brown’s Council of Economic Advisers for more than six years, has sounded the alarm while launching a chilling book on the conduct of the Spanish tax authority, Agencia Tributaria.

He is set to join former Labour Treasury minister Baroness Dawn Primarolo at an event next week flagging up how the Spanish model of dealing with tax evasion is about to arrive in the UK suggesting that the door is opening for a “surveillance state.”

HMRC could follow Spain's lead on tracking personal finances (Reuters)
HMRC could follow Spain’s lead on tracking personal finances (Reuters)

In a preview of the future, Dr Wales has claimed that confidentiality in personal life – not just finances – “will simply go out of the window” and asks whether there are adequate safeguards in the UK to prevent HMRC from emulating its Spanish counterpart.

He said: “From 1 January, every single invoice will go through the tax agency in Spain. The Inspector can already obtain all your utility bills and will soon find out which clinic and pharmacy you use and what you buy there, which restaurants you eat at, where you purchase wine and groceries, what kind of car you have, how far you drive and where you park, what flights you take and which hotels you use. Information security? A thing of the past.”

He went on: “I am far from being a libertarian, but I see great danger in the direction in which tax authority powers are going, particularly because the process doesn’t seem to involve our active consent. There is little parliamentary debate about it. In Spain it is simply out of control. In the UK, let’s see.”

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Highlighting the CONNECT AI program already used by HMRC in the UK, Dr Wales claimed that the UK is now close to following Spain’s lead.

He said: “HMRC has been using sophisticated information technology for years including an AI system called CONNECT which, as early as 2023, was said to contain more than 55 billion taxpayer-related data items.

“It will be much bigger today with these billions of pieces of information about taxpayers capable of being sorted quickly by AI.”

Dr Wales, who is now senior research adviser at International Centre for Tax and Development, added that HMRC also declines to say what algorithms it uses, under the pretext that if you publish them people will “game the system”, a claim that he suggests does not stand up to scrutiny.

“The system is understood to be used to target evasion. For tax authorities, everyone is a potential tax evader. This means that they believe they have a legitimate reason to collect data about all of us,” he said.

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Dr Wales and Baroness Primarolo will be urging parliamentarians in the UK to make more of a stand and apply greater scrutiny than has happened in Spain.

He noted that the Spanish government is trying to introduce a new law, making it an official secret, how the data is used, what algorithms are employed in the selection of taxpayers for investigation and whether there is any review by an official, in apparent defiance of the EU AI Act, GDPR and its own Constitution. “This is obviously a matter of deep concern. When the reasons why decisions are made are unknowable, legal challenge becomes almost impossible.”

In Spain the system is already being used against British expats and others by the authorities.

An HMRC spokesperson said: “Our data and collection powers are set by Parliament and subject to strict legal safeguards, oversight and data protection laws. They exist so we can collect the right tax to fund vital public services, and target error and fraud in a way which minimises intrusion on the honest majority.

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“Artificial intelligence supports some of our processes but never replaces human decision-making and oversight. We remain committed to the safe use of these technologies, underpinned by strict data protection, security and ethical standards.”

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Boyle Heights warehouse fire: Where neighbors, victims can seek financial assistance

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Boyle Heights warehouse fire: Where neighbors, victims can seek financial assistance

More than two weeks after a fire broke out inside the Lineage warehouse in Boyle Heights, many neighbors have received N95 masks and air purified while mobile health clinics are set up in their area.

But some neighbors said the massive fire that sent toxic fume into the air and created a horrendous stench of rotting food has cost them out of pocket.

Neighbors said they missed days of work while spending extra money on property cleanup. One woman said she spent hundreds of dollars on air purified before they became more widely distributed.

Lineage, the company that operates the burned warehouse, donated $2 million to the California Community Foundation (CCF) so the money can be distributed to the community. The organization said it’s split the money between different organizations.

At least 10 of them are listed as providing financial assistance.

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The Boyle Heights Chamber of Commerce said it’s offering small business grants funded, in part, by the group, Inclusive Action for the City.

“We’re hoping that for brick and mortars: it would be up to $3,000. And then for our vendors, it would be up to $1,000,” Miriam Rodriguez with the Boyle Heights Chamber of Commerce said, adding the application is “very straightforward.” “It’s intentionally made that way so that there’s not a lot of requirements. We’re not asking for legal status. We’re not asking for pages of documentation.”

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