Connect with us

Finance

Finance Ministry officials to 'Post': Moody's rating drop was premature, a step too far

Published

on

Finance Ministry officials to 'Post': Moody's rating drop was premature, a step too far

Ratings agency Moody’s “went one or two steps too far” and were “very conservative” in their downgrade of Israel’s rating late last month, senior officials within the Finance Ministry’s Accountant General Department told The Jerusalem Post.

“We respect Moody’s, and the government should listen carefully and address the relevant comments. However, our professional stance is that, at the very least, Moody’s has taken [it] one notch too far at this time,” they said.

The downgrade dropped Israel by two notches, from A2 to Baa1—the country’s lowest score ever—and maintained a negative outlook for its rating.

“A major part of what the credit rating should represent is […] the ability of the country to repay its foreign currency debt,” the officials explained, adding that Israel’s “ability to repay foreign currency is very strong.”

Advertisement

Israel has had a surplus of more than 5% in the current account for 20 years, the officials said, adding that this is “fairly structural,” as the country exports more than it imports typically.

A Moody’s sign on the 7 World Trade Center tower is photographed in New York August 2, 2011. (credit: REUTERS/MIKE SEGAR)

They added that the Bank of Israel also holds “the highest ever reserve of foreign currency,” which is nearly four times as high as the external debt, showing Israel’s strong ability to repay foreign debt.

The officials said that senior economists believe that, in some sense, Moody’s treated a “worst-case scenario” as the “main-case scenario.”

Advertisement

This means that they made the assumption that “the country’s economic recovery will be very long and that the debt-to-GDP ratio will grow substantially.”

Officials believe scenario is ‘exaggerated’

While this scenario is legitimate, “we think it is exaggerated,” the officials told The Jerusalem Post, adding that they think it is premature to make the assumptions made in Moody’s base case.

“As long as there is a good and responsible budget here that is aimed at growth, and the security situation improves, we can expect a more rapid rebound in the economy.”


Stay updated with the latest news!

Subscribe to The Jerusalem Post Newsletter

Advertisement

Tel Aviv University Prof. Dan Ben-David, who heads the socioeconomic research center Shoresh Institution, highlighted the uncertainty surrounding Israel’s economy despite the confidence projected by Finance Ministry officials.

“Just a glance at last week’s major revision by [Israel’s] Central Bureau of Statistics – its third downward revision of GDP – gives a pretty good idea about how little we actually know with regard to the actual severity of the situation, which is continuously being revised downward,” he said.

“We are in mid-October, and the government is only now beginning to contemplate the budget for next year while our finance minister is MIA. Given his comments and areas of focus, that is probably for the better, as incredulous as that might seem given the gravity of the moment we are in.”

Advertisement

Earlier this month, Bank of Israel Governor Professor Amir Yaron highlighted the importance Moody’s rating, which could impact Israel regardless of whether or not it was premature or exaggerated.

“It is important to pay attention and take the assessments of the rating agencies seriously, as they reflect the challenges and risks faced by the Israeli economy as the world sees it,” Yaron explained.



Advertisement

Finance

Consumer confidence plunges among younger adults

Published

on

Consumer confidence plunges among younger adults

Consumer confidence has plunged among traditionally optimistic younger adults amid fears for their personal finances and the wider economy, figures show.

GfK’s long-running Consumer Confidence Index remained unchanged at an overall score of minus 23 in June.

However, the analyst said this was was “misleading as, beneath the surface, there are new signs that confidence is weakening”.

Source: GfK

Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, said: “The biggest fall this month is among those aged 16 to 29, traditionally one of the most optimistic groups.

“Here confidence has dropped 11 points over the past month to minus two, the lowest level seen for two years, driven by large falls in views on both their own personal finances and the wider economy.

Advertisement

“More broadly, there are now no demographic groups with a positive confidence score, including higher-income households earning £50,000 or more, who have slipped back into negative territory as of June.

“Confidence remains subdued and vulnerable to further economic or political uncertainty.”

Sourve: GfK
Sourve: GfK

Overall, confidence in personal finances over the coming year remained flat at minus two, four points lower than this time last year.

The measures of both personal finances and the economy over the previous 12 months were both slightly down, by two points and three points respectively, “reflecting the sense that things have been extremely tough over the last year for so many”, GfK said.

The only measure to increase was expectations for the wider economy over the next 12 months, up two points to minus 36 but still eight points below this time last year.

The major purchase index, an indicator of confidence in buying big ticket items, remained at minus 20, four points lower than June last year.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Finance

How US-Iran peace deal will affect our cost of living

Published

on

How US-Iran peace deal will affect our cost of living

“Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!” said Donald Trump on social media after he announced the signing of an interim peace deal with Iran on Sunday. Under the agreement – which Iran acknowledged included a 60-day negotiating period for a final deal – the president said that following retrieval of mines, there would be a “toll free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz.

But many of the finer details remain “unclear”, said The Guardian. There are questions over the “exact timing of the reopening of the maritime route, who will oversee safe passage and whether any conditions will be applied”.

Continue Reading

Finance

Hong Kong graduates prefer careers in finance, survey finds

Published

on

Hong Kong graduates prefer careers in finance, survey finds
Hong Kong graduates believe the city’s finance industry is its most attractive and stable sector, making them more optimistic about career opportunities than their global peers, according to a study by the CFA Institute, which trains investment managers.

The US-based institute’s “2026 Graduate Outlook Survey”, released on Wednesday, found that 71 per cent of Hong Kong graduates rated their career prospects between eight and 10 out of 10. The global average for that level of optimism was 59 per cent.

The graduates’ view of careers in finance reflected “both the sector’s resilience and Hong Kong’s continued strength as an international financial centre, which ranks third worldwide and first in Asia-Pacific”, the institute said in a statement.

The findings also indicated that young people were confident about Hong Kong’s role as an international financial centre, resilient amid global uncertainties, and strategically focused on improving skills, it said.

That confidence was “deeply grounded”, it said, with nearly 90 per cent believing they had the skills to succeed and clearly understood what employers were looking for, notwithstanding the wider adoption of artificial intelligence in the city.

“Rather than viewing AI as a threat, 38 per cent of Hong Kong graduates believe it has no negative impact on their job hunting, and 37 per cent believe it makes securing a job easier,” the institute said. “Three quarters are already actively using AI tools in their job applications, demonstrating a proactive, tool-first mindset.”

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending