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As President Trump and his team dialed up the pressure on Harvard University last month, threatening to bar its international students, the school issued what was at once a warning and a plea.
“Without its international students, Harvard is not Harvard,” school officials wrote in a lawsuit asking a judge to stop the federal government’s actions.
It left unsaid what Harvard, if it were no longer Harvard, would become.
It’s a scenario that some inside Harvard are beginning to imagine and plan for as the Trump administration lobs attacks from all angles, seeking to cut the university off from both students and billions of dollars in federal funding.
Top leaders at Harvard, one of the nation’s oldest universities, including its provost, John F. Manning, a conservative legal scholar who once clerked for the former Supreme Court justice Antonin Scalia, are meeting more frequently to strategize.
The school’s board of trustees, the Harvard Corporation, has discussed whether hundreds, if not thousands, of people will need to be laid off.
And on 8:30 a.m. Zoom calls once or twice a week, administrative officials meet with senior leaders of Harvard’s undergraduate and graduate schools to share updates about the latest Trump developments, which keep coming rapid-fire.
Individual schools at Harvard are also making their own contingency plans. The Harvard Business School is considering moving some classes online if foreign students are barred. Facing a loss of federal funding, the T.H. Chan School of Public Health is pursuing corporate sponsors, who officials hope would sponsor Ph.D. students and post-doctorate fellows for $100,000 a year.
Several officials inside Harvard described the ways the university is planning, even as a rapidly changing situation has made it hard to see very far into the future.
Most recently, Mr. Trump issued a presidential proclamation that would bar Harvard’s international students from entering the country. Those students make up 15 percent of Harvard’s undergraduate population, and as much as a third to half of some graduate schools. Without them, Harvard would not only lose students and the tuition that comes with them, but also its status as a gathering place for the world’s brightest minds.
“We would lose influence all over the world,” said Lawrence H. Summers, who was president of Harvard from 2001 to 2006. “Instead of being the world’s pre-eminent university, after a few years, Harvard would be just another school.”
By some measures, Harvard is No. 1 in the world for research, followed by 10 universities in China. After the Trump administration said it would end the school’s federal funding for research, Harvard began making plans to scale back significantly, potentially ceding ground to international competitors.
The Trump administration and Republicans in Congress are also weighing changes to how much Harvard would have to pay in taxes, including a major increase in the tax on Harvard’s endowment. Mr. Trump has also floated the idea of taking away Harvard’s tax-exempt status entirely, although that proposal faces major hurdles. (The president cannot make the decision to revoke the tax exemption himself.)
Even if only some of the scenarios came to pass, experts say, Harvard could be left in a weakened position with few modern comparisons.
It would still be a big, Ivy League institution with a student body larger than, say, Dartmouth, which has 7,000 students, compared with Harvard’s 24,500 today.
But without federal dollars or international talent, experts say, Harvard could fall out of the top tier for research, where it currently sits with competitors like Stanford University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. By sheer dollars spent, its research budget could shrink to something similar to that of the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, which spent just over $800 million on research in 2023, roughly half of what Harvard spends now.
And no major university has faced losing its tax-exempt status, a move that would transform Harvard into a taxpaying corporation.
Mr. Trump’s moves are hard to predict. Harvard and others are challenging the administration’s directives, and it’s unlikely that administration officials will be able to follow through on every threat.
Legal experts have said the university’s case to restore its funding cuts is strong. But the Trump administration has also said it would decline to fund Harvard in the future, something that could be harder for the school to challenge.
Harvard could choose to negotiate. But inside the university, officials appear reluctant to do that, given the backlash they could face for capitulating to Mr. Trump. This spring, the university took out $750 million in debt, giving it some cash flow as court decisions play out.
The atmosphere is particularly tense inside the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, which relies on federal funding for 46 percent of its budget and has a student body that is about 40 percent international. Senior officials there are planning for the worst, and have called the potential changes an “existential crisis” for the school’s future.
The school is taking out a loan from the university, aggressively wooing new philanthropic dollars and cutting research by about 50 percent for next year.
The school’s dean, Dr. Andrea Baccarelli, laid out the dire situation in an email to the school’s faculty and staff this month. “We must adapt to a new world,” he said.
Mr. Trump and his team have targeted Harvard for what they say are violations including allowing antisemitism, discriminating on the basis of race in admissions and fostering a culture intolerant to conservative viewpoints. The administration is seeking oversight measures at the university.
Harvard has denied many of the government’s accusations and resisted its demands.
In response, the Trump administration cut all federal research dollars to Harvard, which equaled $686 million last year, or 11 percent of its total revenue. The Trump administration is also going after international students, and thus a key source of tuition revenue, because those students often pay full price.
But Harvard’s biggest source of funding is donations and payouts from its endowment, which together make up 45 percent of its revenue.
Republicans are targeting those funds as well. Harvard would pay significantly higher taxes under a Republican proposal moving through Congress to increase taxes on endowment earnings. Harvard’s taxes would rise to 21 percent, from 1.4 percent.
Republicans have said the goal is to hold accountable “woke, elite universities that operate more like major corporations.”
Liz Clark, vice president for policy and research at the National Association of College and University Business Officers, said the change would most likely mean less money for financial aid.
Harvard is the richest university in the world, with an endowment of $53.2 billion.
But legally, it cannot use most of the money to cover shortfalls, said Larry Ladd, a former budget officer at Harvard.
“Trump has pulled off something I thought I’d never see, which is he made Harvard look sympathetic,” said Richard D. Kahlenberg, a Harvard critic who supports the idea of giving admissions preferences to students with lower family incomes.
Republicans have pointed to Harvard’s elite status in their criticism of the university. But in a worst-case scenario for the school, experts say, it could become even more expensive.
Harvard has historically had three times as many students from the top 1 percent of family income as from the bottom 20 percent.
But in recent years, it has tripled the share of students who are the first in their family to go to college — a group that is more likely to be lower-income or middle-class — to 20 percent, from 7 percent. Harvard also recently announced it was expanding financial aid, offering free tuition to undergraduates from families making $200,000 or less.
Harvard officials have not backed away from that promise. But they have acknowledged in court paperwork that, in certain extreme scenarios, students could lose access to financial aid.
The endowment tax alone would put pressure on the university. And without international students, it is possible that some of the university’s expenses would have to be absorbed by remaining students.
“It would become a more sheltered and elite place,” said Ted Mitchell, president of the American Council on Education.
Mr. Kahlenberg said his “big fear” was that Harvard might scale back on social mobility efforts and seek to admit more students whose families could pay full freight, nearly $87,000 a year for undergraduates, including room and board.
A Harvard spokesman declined to comment.
Perhaps the biggest change already underway at Harvard is the loss of federal research dollars, more than $3 billion in all.
What is Harvard without it?
Insiders do not believe Harvard will become just a liberal arts college. But it will almost certainly do less research.
Of nearly $1.5 billion spent on research at Harvard last year, nearly half was from the federal government.
Private philanthropy and corporate investments, plus research paid for by the university itself, would continue. But Harvard most likely could not make up for the scope of federal losses with its own dollars or even a major philanthropic investment.
At Harvard Medical School, federal dollars have been crucial to research discoveries on Alzheimer’s disease, non-opioid treatments for pain and cancer immunotherapy, the dean, Dr. George Q. Daley, said. About 60 percent of research at the school is funded by the federal government.
The school is now advising scientists to shrink the number of projects they’re working on.
Cutbacks at Harvard may not translate to a boon for other U.S. universities, however, because the Trump administration is also pursuing dramatic cuts to the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation, which would mean less money for everyone. “We might as well just grant the future of biotechnology and pharmaceuticals, quantum computing, A.I. and technology to China,” Dr. Daley said.
Some researchers are turning to the private sector to try to keep their labs afloat, but even that may be in jeopardy if the university loses its tax-exempt status.
“The likelihood that people are going to want to contribute charitable funds is significantly diminished,” said David R. Walt, a professor at Harvard Medical School who lost federal funding for research developing a technology to detect the presence and progression of Lou Gehrig’s disease, or A.L.S. He is pursuing private philanthropy to try to replace some of the lost funding.
Still, some observers have optimism for a school that has been around for close to 400 years.
“If all of this comes to pass, the incredibly smart people at Harvard will decide to reinvent Harvard,” said Mr. Mitchell of the American Council on Education.
What that may look like, though, is anyone’s guess. “It’s not like just deflating a balloon and becoming smaller,” he said. “It would be a restart.”
Opinion
The Editorial Board
a New
Definition of
Service
Bailey Baumbick knew she wanted to serve her country when she graduated from Notre Dame in 2021. Ms. Baumbick, a 26-year-old from Novi, Mich., didn’t enlist in the military, however. She enrolled in business school at the University of California, Berkeley.
Ms. Baumbick is part of a growing community in the Bay Area that aims to bring high-tech dynamism to the lumbering world of the military. After social media companies and countless lifestyle start-ups lost their luster in recent years, entrepreneurs are being drawn to defense tech by a mix of motivations: an influx of venture capital, a coolness factor and the start-up ethos, which Ms. Baumbick describes as “the relentless pursuit of building things.”
There’s also something deeper: old-fashioned patriotism, matched with a career that serves a greater purpose.
In college Ms. Baumbick watched her father, a Ford Motor Company executive, lead the company’s sprint to produce Covid-19 ventilators and personal protective equipment for front-line health care workers. “I’ve never been more inspired by how private sector industry can have so much impact for public sector good,” she said.
Ford’s interventions during the Covid-19 pandemic hark back to a time when public-private partnerships were commonplace. During World War II, leaders of America’s biggest companies, including Ford, halted business as usual to manufacture weapons for the war effort.
For much of the 20th century, the private and public sectors were tightly woven together. In 1980, nearly one in five Americans were veterans. By 2022, that figure had shrunk to one in 16. Through the 1980s, about 70 percent of the companies doing business with the Pentagon were also leaders in the broader U.S. economy. That’s down to less than 10 percent today. The shift away from widespread American participation in national security has left the Department of Defense isolated from two of the country’s great assets: its entrepreneurial spirit and technological expertise.
Recent changes in Silicon Valley are bringing down those walls. Venture capital is pouring money into defense tech; annual investment is up from $7 billion in 2015 to some $80 billion in 2025. The Pentagon needs to seize this opportunity, and find ways to accelerate its work with start-ups and skilled workers from the private sector. It should expand the definition of what it means to serve and provide more flexible options to those willing to step in.
The military will always need physically fit service members. But we are headed toward a future where software will play a bigger role in armed conflict than hardware, from unmanned drones and A.I.-driven targeting to highly engineered cyber weapons and space-based systems. These missions will be carried out by service members in temperature-controlled rooms rather than well armed troops braving the physical challenges of the front line.
For all the latent opportunity in Silicon Valley and beyond, the Trump administration has been uneven in embracing the moment. Stephen Feinberg, the deputy secretary of defense, is a Wall Street billionaire who is expanding the Pentagon’s ties with businesses. Pete Hegseth, the secretary of defense, his “warrior ethos” and exclusionary recruitment have set back the effort to build a military for the future of war.
America has the chance to reshape our armed forces for the conflicts ahead, and we have the rare good fortune of being able to do that in peacetime.
Elias Rosenfeld had been at Stanford for only a month and a half, but he already looked right at home at a recent job fair for students interested in pursuing defense tech, standing in a relaxed posture, wearing beaded bracelets and a sweater adorned with a single sunflower. Rather than use his time in Stanford’s prestigious business school to build a fintech app or wellness brand, Mr. Rosenfeld has set his sights on helping to rebuild the industrial base on which America’s military relies.
It’s a crucial mission for a country that is getting outbuilt by China, and Mr. Rosenfeld brings a unique commitment to it. Born in Venezuela, he came to the United States at age 6 and draws his patriotism from that country’s experience with tyranny and his Jewish heritage. “Without a strong, resilient America, I might not be here today,” Mr. Rosenfeld says. Working on industrial renewal, he says, is a way to “start delivering as a country so folks feel more inclined and passionate to be more patriotic.”
Not on Mr. Rosenfeld’s agenda: enlisting in the military. In an earlier era, he might have been tempted by a wider suite of options for service. In 1955 the U.S. government nearly doubled the maximum size of the military’s ready reserve forces, from 1.5 million to 2.9 million, in part by giving young men the chance to spend six months in active duty training. Today the U.S. ready reserve numbers just over a million.
Other countries provide a model for strengthening the reserves. In Sweden, the military selects the top 5 percent or so of 18-year-olds eligible to serve in the active military for up to 15 months, followed by membership in the reserve for 10 years. The model is so effective that recruits compete for spots, and according to The Wall Street Journal, “former conscripts are headhunted by the civil service and prized by tech companies.”
America’s leaders have argued for a generation that the military’s volunteer model is superior to conscription in delivering a well-prepared force. The challenge is maintaining recruiting and getting the right service members for every mission. There are some examples of the Pentagon successfully luring new, tech-savvy recruits. Since last year, top college students have been training to meet the government’s growing need for skilled cybersecurity professionals. The Cyber Service Academy, a scholarship-for-service program, covers the full cost of tuition and educational expenses in exchange for a period of civilian employment within the Defense Department upon graduation. Scholars work in full-time, cyber-related positions.
The best incentive for enlisting may have nothing to do with service, but the career opportunities that are promised after.
It was a foregone conclusion that Lee Kantowski would become an Army officer. One of his favorite high school teachers had served, and his hometown, Lawton, Okla., was a military town, a place where enlisting was commonplace. Mr. Kantowski attended West Point and, in the eight years after graduating, went on tours across the world. Now he’s getting an M.B.A. at U.C. Berkeley, co-founded a defense tech club with Ms. Baumbick there and works part-time at a start-up building guidance devices that turn dumb bombs into smart ones.
The military needs recruits like Mr. Kantowski who want to support defense in and out of uniform. Already, nearly one million people who work for the Department of Defense are civilians, supplemented by a similar number of contractors who straddle public and private sectors. Both paths could be expanded.
A rotating-door approach carries some risk to military cohesion and readiness. The armed services are not just another job: Soldiers are asked to put themselves in danger’s way, even outside combat zones. America still needs men and women who are willing to sign up for traditional tours of duty.
The Reserve Officers’ Training Corps serves as the largest source of commissioned officers for the U.S. military. For more than five decades, R.O.T.C. has paid for students to pursue degree programs — accompanied by military drills and exercises — and then complete three to 10 years of required service after graduation. In 1960 alone, Stanford and M.I.T. each graduated about 100 R.O.T.C. members. Today, that figure is less than 20 combined. The Army has recently closed or reorganized programs at 84 campuses and may cut funding over the next decade.
This is exactly the wrong call. R.O.T.C. programs should be strengthened and expanded, not closed or merged.
It remains true that the volunteer force has become a jobs program for many Americans looking for a ladder to prosperity. It’s an aspect of service often more compelling to enlistees than the desire to fight for their country. In the era of artificial intelligence and expected job displacement, enlistment could easily grow.
Most military benefits have never been more appealing, with signing and retention bonuses, tax-free housing and food allowances, subsidized mortgages, low-cost health care, universal pre-K, tuition assistance and pensions. The Department of Defense and Congress need to find ways to bolster these benefits and their delivery, where service members often find gaps.
Standardizing post-service counseling and mentorship could help. Expanding job training programs like Skillbridge, which pairs transitioning service members with private sector internships, could also improve job prospects. JPMorgan has hired some 20,000 veterans across the country since creating an Office of Military & Veterans Affairs in 2011; it has also helped create a coalition of 300 companies dedicated to hiring vets.
When veterans land in promising companies — or start their own — it’s not just good for them. It’s also good for America. Rylan Hamilton and Austin Gray, two Navy veterans, started Blue Water Autonomy last year with the goal of building long-range drone ships that could help the military expand its maritime presence without the costs, risks and labor demands of deploying American sailors.
Mr. Gray, a former naval intelligence officer who worked in a drone factory in Ukraine, said Blue Water’s vessels will one day do everything from ferrying cargo to carrying out intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance missions. This summer, the company raised $50 million to construct a fully autonomous ship stretching 150 feet long.
Before dawn on a Wednesday morning in October, military packs filled with supplies and American flags sat piled on a dewy field near the edge of Stanford University’s campus. Some of the over 900 attendees at a conference on defense tech gathered around an active-duty soldier studying at the school. The glare of his head lamp broke through the darkness as he rallied the group of students, founders, veterans and investors for a “sweat equity” workout.
“Somewhere, a platoon worked out at 0630 to start their day,” he said. “This conference is all about supporting folks like them, so we are going to start our day the same way.” The group set off for Memorial Church at the center of campus, sharing the load of heavy packs, flags and equipment along the way.
That attitude is a big change for the Bay Area, not just from the days of 1960s hippie sit-ins but also from the early days of the tech revolution, when Silicon Valley was seen as a bastion of government-wary coders and peaceniks. Now it’s open for business with the Defense Department. “The excitement is there, the concern is there, the passion is there and the knowledge is there,” says Ms. Baumbick.
There are some risks to tying America’s military more closely to the tech-heavy private sector. Companies don’t always act in the country’s national interest. Elon Musk infamously limited the Ukrainian military’s access to its Starlink satellites, preventing them being used to help in a battle with Russian forces in 2022. Private companies are also easier for adversaries to penetrate and influence than the government.
Yet in order to prevent wars, or win them, we must learn to manage the risks of overlap between civilian and military spheres. The private sector’s newly rekindled interest in the world of defense is a generational chance to build the military that Americans need.
Portraits by Aleksey Kondratyev for The New York Times; Carlos Osorio/Associated Press; Mike Segar/Reuters; Maddy Pryor/Princeton University; Kevin Wicherski/Blue Water Autonomy; Aleksey Kondratyev for The New York Times (2).
The editorial board is a group of opinion journalists whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values. It is separate from the newsroom.
Published Dec. 12, 2025
new video loaded: One Hundred Schoolchildren Released After Abduction in Nigeria
transcript
transcript
“Medical checkup will be very, very critical for them. And then if anything is discovered, any laboratory investigation is conducted and something is discovered, definitely they will need health care.” My excitement is that we have these children, 100 of them, and by the grace of God, we are expecting the remaining half to be released very soon.”
By Jamie Leventhal
December 8, 2025
new video loaded: Testing Wool Coats In a Walk-in Fridge

November 24, 2025
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