Culture
How tennis couples like ‘Tsitsidosa’ navigate what it’s like to date a tennis player
![How tennis couples like ‘Tsitsidosa’ navigate what it’s like to date a tennis player How tennis couples like ‘Tsitsidosa’ navigate what it’s like to date a tennis player](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/08/31185518/0830_TennisCouples.png)
Follow live coverage of Day 7 at the 2024 US Open
NEW YORK — In the late afternoon sunshine Friday, spectators were forced to stand in the bleachers of a packed Court 11 at the Billie Jean King National Tennis Centre. Outside, more queued to get in. Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe, two superstars of American tennis, were busy slugging it out on Arthur Ashe Stadium, but a first-round, mixed-doubles match on the outside courts was the hottest ticket at the U.S. Open.
This is the pull of Paula Badosa and Stefanos Tsitsipas, more familiarly known as “Tsitsidosa.”
Badosa and Tsitsipas, both 26, are the most talked-about couple in tennis. Like any celebrity couple, there are TikToks. There are fan cams. There are hashtags. Unlike nearly any celebrity couple, there are Grand Slam tennis tournaments to play in together.
In their first ever competitive match, they ended up losing, 7-6(3), 6-4 to Mexican pair Giuliana Olmos and Santiago Gonzalez.
Then, on Sunday, Badosa, who is the No. 26 seed in the women’s singles, beat Wang Yafan of China 6-1, 6-2 to reach the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time since 2021. She had never been past the second round in New York before.
Tsitsipas, the men’s No. 11 seed here, sat and watched. He had lost to Thanasi Kokkinakis, the Australian, on day one.
A few weeks ago, the 2024 Olympics in Paris were abuzz with are they/aren’t they speculation around mixed doubles gold medallists Katerina Siniakova and Tomas Machac. Siniakova announced the couple’s split on social media before the Games, but they seemed pretty close when they won the final. Since then, they have been coy about their relationship status. Siniakova even told a press conference that “we like to make you a bit confused”.
Machac and Siniakova won Olympic gold in mixed doubles after breaking up — so they say. (Daniela Porcelli / Eurasia Sport Images via Getty Images)
A month earlier, Alex de Minaur sped across the Wimbledon grounds in the name of love.
As soon as he finished his second-round match against Jaume Munar on Court 3, he jumped on the exercise bike, downed a protein shake, showered, and then sprinted over to Court 1, to see his girlfriend Katie Boulter in action against her British compatriot Harriet Dart. After being directed to the wrong entrance, he eventually found his seat — to endure the agony of watching Boulter lose a final set tiebreak.
It’s been another summer of love in tennis.
World No. 1 Jannik Sinner and world No. 15 Anna Kalinskaya recently started dating; there are married couples, including Elina Svitolina and Gael Monfils, who was in the stands watching his wife lose to Coco Gauff on Friday. There are likely many more under the radar.
These relationships are as different as the individuals involved; they are both relatable and difficult to imagine. Most people can envisage dating someone who does the same job or works for the same company. But most people’s jobs don’t involve travelling the world to play a very selfish sport in front of thousands of people, sometimes with — or even against — your partner.
Like every relationship, tennis romances have as many upsides as they do challenges. And wrapped up in all of them is that cursed question: What happens if you guys break up?
There have always been relationships in tennis.
Love is a key part of the tennis vernacular (even if it’s actually a derivative of the French “l’oeuf,” meaning egg). A scene from the 2012 film “Diary of a Wimpy Kid,” in which the main male character replies, “Whatever you say, love” to a girl just calling the score, has recently given this connection new life. It’s been used as a sound on TikTok, with real couples reenacting the video on real courts.
In the 1970s, the romance between American golden couple Chris Evert and Jimmy Connors became an obsession; 22-time Grand Slam champion Steffi Graf started dating eight-time winner Andre Agassi soon after her retirement in 1999. They are now close to their silver wedding anniversary and have two children, Jaz Elle and Jaden. A film about their relationship, Perfect Match, was released on Amazon’s German streaming platforms this year.
Agassi documented much of their courtship, which was on-and-off for nine years, in his autobiography, Open, including having his hopes of dancing with Graf at the 1992 Wimbledon champions’ ball spurned when organizers cancelled the event.
The early 2000s saw two of the young stars of the game, Lleyton Hewitt and Kim Clijsters, date before their split in 2004, while 2015 U.S. Open champion Flavia Pennetta and one-time world No. 8 Fabio Fognini married eight years ago and now have three kids.
Tennis relationships have become even more commonplace in the last few years, and that’s just going off the couples that the wider world knows about. Tennis insiders put this down partly to the proliferation of combined events.
Most tournaments now host men’s and women’s events, but the picture was very different even as late as the mid-1990s. Back then, the Miami Open and the Sydney International were the only combined tournaments outside the four majors.
There are other, more technological reasons for the tennis love boom.
“My theory is that it’s because of social media that players are now a bit more straightforward. Sliding into each others’ DMs and things like that,” says Andrea Petkovic, the retired former world No. 9, who earlier this year wrote an enlightening blog post about the challenges of dating as a tennis player.
One of the things these players value is having someone who understands exactly what they are going through.
“I can always reach out to my partner, who has spent the same amount of time that I have spent on the court trying to figure out the game,” Tsitsipas said of Badosa. “We both share the same passion and we both do the same thing in life.
“Outside of it, we still have times where we completely disconnect from tennis. It’s a great relationship, because we can combine from both worlds and we can, I feel like, understand each other’s lives so much better than any other type of relationship because we know the struggles of it and the rhythms.”
Siniakova, who is still in the women’s doubles here, expressed similar sentiments about Machac at the French Open in June.
“From my side, it’s totally different when someone is going through the same thing. It’s harder if someone is trying to support you but they have no idea how it feels on the court.”
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/05/17071649/GettyImages-830246234-e1715944650642.jpg)
Graf and Agassi at the Wimbledon champions’ ball — before they started dating. (AP Images)
Svitolina added that “when we have tough moments, we know what to say. After losses, I can be really moody for a couple of days, really difficult to handle. He knows how to treat me and how to comfort me. I let him play video games to release all these negative things that sometimes he has after the losses.”
After losing to Gauff on Friday, Svitolina said that it was strictly logistics when she spoke to Monfils, and the kind of admin every tennis player knows too well: sorting out flights so they can get home as quickly as possible.
For De Minaur, “It’s pretty simple, because we’re both in the same job, so we both understand what it is to be a tennis player.”
People close to De Minaur and Boulter say that both have improved as players since they began dating. Boulter believes the relationship has helped her game immeasurably, because she can share her concerns with someone both on her side and inside the top 10. Boulter, the No. 31 seed at this year’s U.S. Open, exited in the second round on Thursday; on Saturday night, De Minaur got through a fading Dan Evans in four sets to reach the fourth round.
Badosa and Tsitsipas have expressed similar sentiments. Badosa asks Tsitsipas for his tips and analysis of her opponents.
“Our primary goal is to help each other figure certain things out,” Tsitsipas says. “I feel like we’re equally as knowledgeable in our craft and hold a lot of understanding of how certain situations shall be dealt with. Paula keeps saying all the time that she wishes she had my forehand. Sometimes I also think, ‘Oh, gosh, I wish I had her returns’. She destroys the ball on the returns, and it seems so effortless from her side.”
On Friday, the pair were often deep in conversation during the change of ends, with Tsitsipas animatedly shadow-swinging.
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/09/01111834/GettyImages-2168534291-scaled.jpg)
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Paula Badosa have played exhibition events, but the U.S. Open marked their first tournament together. (Robert Prange / Getty Images)
Doing the thing you love with the person you love can be great. But tennis is a sport with one winner and one loser. One player might want to celebrate a win, while their partner is trying to process a crushing defeat. This has been the dynamic at the U.S. Open this week for Tsitsidosa, with Tsitsipas going out in the first round while Badosa builds on her recent form. Over the course of this summer, she has peaked while he has troughed. A tricky dynamic for any couple.
Meanwhile, one can only imagine the awkwardness one Sunday in June, when Sinner won a title in the German city of Halle. At the same time, Kalinskaya was in the middle of losing a final a couple of hours’ drive away in Berlin, squandering six championship points in the process.
“Hi, darling. So how was your day at work…?”
Petkovic says that this is one of the biggest challenges of going out with a fellow player.
“As the one bearing the loss, you don’t want to take the joy away from the one who has won,” she writes in her Finite Jest post about dating. “As the one bathing in triumph, you don’t want to rub the euphoria of winning in your partner’s face. So, you just circle around each other in subdued moods hoping to get through the day.”
Badosa said earlier this week that “to manage (this situation), you have to have a very good heart and zero ego. And he (Tsitsipas) has that, I have it. We manage that really well. We just want the best for us.”
The stress of watching each other’s matches is also an occupational hazard.
Machac, who plays Jack Draper in the U.S. Open fourth round tomorrow (Monday), said he was so tense watching Siniakova at the French Open that he “couldn’t look”. Badosa said this week that she and Tsitsipas “both suffer a lot” watching each other.
After reaching the fourth round by beating Elena-Gabriela Ruse in an excruciatingly tight match, Badosa revealed that Tsitsipas came running towards her and said, “I almost had a heart attack.”
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/09/01112045/GettyImages-2160265592-scaled.jpg)
Gael Monfils lives through Elina Svitolina’s matches, in every sense. (Andrej Isakovic / AFP via Getty Images)
Badosa knew it was coming. “When it was six-all in the (deciding) tie-break I was like, ‘Stef for sure is having a heart attack right now,” she laughed.
Unlike Monfils, Tsitsipas prefers not to be in the stands for his partner’s matches, as he finds it too stressful. Being on-site, and travelling the world together, can also be stressful enough. Tennis players have very tailored schedules, so couples can end up feeling like two ships passing in the night.
Svitolina talked about this at Wimbledon in relation to her and Monfils, while at the French Open, Machac said that when he finally had an afternoon off, 11 days into the tournament, Siniakova was busy playing doubles. He added the pair had only seen each other for breakfast once, explaining “our schedules have been totally different, and you don’t wake up at 7 a.m. if you can sleep until 10 a.m”.
In a scene from the Netflix documentary Break Point, Matteo Berrettini is preparing to play in the Australian Open semifinals. He clashes with his then-girlfriend, Ajla Tomljanovic.
“I have to sleep. You go downstairs and ask for a room,” Berrettini says to Tomljanovic, who is getting up early the next morning to film a TV appearance from their hotel.
“I’m going to say on air that you kicked me out,” Tomljanovic replied, jokingly.
“But they’re going to agree with me,” Berrettini said. “I’m still in the Australian Open!”
The pair broke up a few weeks later.
Recently-retired Alison Van Uytvanck has a particularly informed perspective on breaking up as a tennis couple.
The former world No. 37 and French Open quarterfinalist played doubles with, and singles against Greet Minnen, her girlfriend of five years.
Van Uytvanck loved training together in their native Belgium, and becoming the first couple to play doubles together at Wimbledon in 2019 was a “dream come true”. But there were challenges too.
“There are some disadvantages that everything is a competition,” Van Uytvanck said. “Even without tennis. Let’s say you’re doing something physically, then it’s like, ‘I want to do better than you’. We were always talking about tennis, tennis, tennis, and there was nothing else. That was something not as nice, I would say.”
As they shared in each other’s successes and Minnen climbed up the rankings, they also had to do the thing they’d been dreading: Play against each other.
It happened in July 2019 at the Liqui Moly Open in Karlsruhe, Germany, a few weeks after they’d played doubles together at Wimbledon. Van Uytvanck won, as she did when they played again at an ITF event in Nottingham, England, a couple of years later.
“It wasn’t fun,” Van Uytvanck says. “We knew exactly how the other one was going to play, and it was tough to just focus on yourself.”
Van Uytvanck and Minnen, who remain on good terms, broke up a few months after that second meeting. But they still kept running into one another at tournaments. “At the beginning, it was a bit weird,” Van Uytvanck says.
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/09/01112234/GettyImages-1228862378-scaled.jpg)
Alison van Uytvanck (left) and Greet Minnen played the French Open together. (Ao Leilian-Molisaer / Xinhua via Getty Images)
“And then we were just like, ‘Hi. How are you doing?’ Some small talk.”
Both are with other partners now, though they do still share a dog back in Belgium.
Badosa and Tsitsipas have also broken up in the past, with their respective social media accounts turning into goldmines for fans-turned-sleuths trying to figure out if their romance would go from off to back on, as it has now.
Their on-court exploits aren’t always rosy either.
Tsitsipas smashed his racket into the court Friday, even though he said afterwards how much he’d enjoyed himself. During the match, the pair comforted each other following missed shots and earnestly talked tactics. They shared a warm embrace when Badosa couldn’t retrieve an Olmos smash to end the match and may play again together at the Australian Open.
Once the match was done, Badosa’s focus turned straight to Sunday, and her fourth-round encounter with Wang. She raced through, playing aggressive, confident tennis, as she has done all summer while her boyfriend’s form has taken a dive.
For Tsistipas, he had to endure the agony of watching, but came out with the joy of his partner’s success.
It’s the balance you have to strike to make it work as a tennis couple.
(Top photos: Getty Images; design: Demetrius Robinson)
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Culture
Karolina Muchova’s U.S. Open run, and a blessing for women’s tennis
![Karolina Muchova’s U.S. Open run, and a blessing for women’s tennis Karolina Muchova’s U.S. Open run, and a blessing for women’s tennis](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/08/31124439/GettyImages-2168355791-1-scaled.jpg)
Follow live coverage of Day 8 at the 2024 US Open
NEW YORK — Karolina Muchova already had shot of the tournament sewn up when she produced an early contender for the best performance of the U.S. Open so far.
Muchova’s 6-3, 7-6(5) win over Naomi Osaka last Thursday night was a masterclass of variety and shotmaking. In one service game in the second set, Muchova held to love thanks to two volley winners, an ace, and a devilish slice that a discomfited Osaka could only flub into the net.
Osaka wasn’t at her best, but rallied in the second set, and briefly threatened to overpower her opponent. As a packed Arthur Ashe stadium illustrated, she remains one of the biggest draws in tennis despite her status as a wildcard entrant. A similarly rammed Louis Armstrong Stadium watched her overpower No. 10 seed Jelena Ostapenko Tuesday, and at the French Open in late spring, her encounter with world No. 1 and eventual champion Iga Swiatek electrified a dreary first week.
There was disappointment, still. Osaka said her “heart dies” when she loses, and her team had trailered the American hard-court swing as the moment that her return to tennis would explode.
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Saturday, Muchova stormed into the last 16, dismantling Anastasia Potapova 6-4, 6-2, in another display of textured tennis. And then on Monday, she took on the women’s story of the year, Italy’s Jasmine Paolini. Paolini had reached two consecutive Grand Slam finals, playing a confident, smiling brand of tennis that leaned into her stature rather than trying to play around it.
Muchova beat her 6-3, 6-3, flowing through the court again. After putting in one contender for the best performance of the tournament, now she has another. And despite their contrasting fortunes this year in New York, the return of Muchova and Osaka is a huge win for women’s tennis. Especially if they can stay fit.
Both players have been on the comeback trail this year. Muchova finally ended a nine-month absence after surgery on a serious wrist injury, and Osaka returned to the tour earlier this year after announcing her pregnancy 19 months ago. With the WTA Tour in an interesting place, as Swiatek dominates Roland Garros, Aryna Sabalenka does the same in Melbourne, and the other two Grand Slams stay more open, the top of women’s tennis welcomes back two more contenders.
Muchova is a quarterfinalist or better at all four Grand Slams, but her ridiculously high ceiling has been lowered because of terrible luck with injuries.
The current world No. 52, a 28-year-old from the Czech Republic, is a tennis player’s player. Seven-time Grand Slam champion Justine Henin told The Athletic in June that because of her variety and imagination, Muchova is one of her favourite players to watch. Osaka expressed similar sentiments after seeing it up close Thursday.
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/08/31123800/GettyImages-2168360113-scaled.jpg)
Karolina Muchova’s deft touch is a hallmark of her tennis (Robert Prange / Getty Images)
“She’s very athletic. She has a lot of variety,” Osaka said. “I enjoy watching her play and also playing her, even though sometimes it doesn’t go my way.”
Dissecting her own game, Muchova told The Athletic in an interview ahead of Wimbledon, “It’s who I am and how I like to play, what fills me up on the court. It’s just me. I wouldn’t like to play any other way — even though sometimes it’s too much. I enjoy it and I spoke with my team and we try to improve these things and I’ll try to keep on going this way.”
On Thursday, she said that she just enjoys playing this way. “It’s fun,” she said.
For those not so familiar with Muchova’s game, Thursday night offered a crash course. She rushed the net and volleyed far more often, and far more efficiently, than the vast majority of players on the tour are able to do. Muchova ended the match winning 13 out of 19 (68 per cent) points at the net, and she served and volleyed in clutch moments. She was accomplished from the baseline too, nicking the first break of the match in the seventh game with a feathered drop shot, and then wrapping up the set with two thunderous forehand return winners when Osaka next served.
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/08/31124011/GettyImages-2169362827-scaled.jpg)
Muchova and Osaka’s second-round match electrified the U.S. Open after a slumbering start (Luke Hales / Getty Images)
In the second set, Muchova hit some outrageous volley winners on the stretch, and dug in when Osaka served to take the match into a decider. Come the tiebreak, her relentless retrieval, and use of slice to disrupt Osaka’s rhythm, earned a horrible error on match point to bring proceedings to an end.
Now into the last 16, Muchova has come from a place that no tennis player wants to go. After that surgery in February, on the area of the body tennis players most dread becoming damaged, Muchova worried she might not play the sport again. Initially, she couldn’t get out of bed or brush her teeth, but gradually her strength returned and her mood improved. Going to regular concerts at home in the Czech Republic helped, where seeing English rock band Nothing But Thieves was a highlight.
She returned to the tour at Eastbourne, the British seaside grass-court tune-up, but withdrew after two matches to protect her wrist. She then lost to Paula Badosa in the first round of Wimbledon, in straight sets. Badosa, another player who has been cruelly affected by injuries, said her biggest advice to Muchova was to “have patience”.
“Maybe, to another player, I would say something different, but she’s so talented. Her level will come back.”
![go-deeper](https://cdn.theathletic.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto/app/uploads/2024/06/26195732/0625_Eastbourne-1024x512.jpg)
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So it’s proved. Less than two months on, Muchova has thrillingly knocked out a two-time champion out of the U.S. Open, and then a two-time Grand Slam finalist. She moves into the quarterfinals to face either Caroline Wozniacki or Beatriz Haddad Maia, neither of whom will be looking forward to seeing Muchova across the net.
![](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/08/31123811/GettyImages-2169361836-scaled.jpg)
As an unseeded player, the Czech will be a dangerous factor in tournament draws even before she improves her ranking (Luke Hales / Getty Images)
For Osaka, as she memorably puts it, the results haven’t been resulting during her comeback. Flashes of her top level, however, are a testament to what Badosa said to Muchova about patience, and the need for time and match reps to raise the floor to match the incredible ceiling. “She’s an amazing player, and I’m really happy to see her back,” Muchova said after her win.
The challenge now for both players is to put together a run of good performances, and to improve their rankings (from No. 52 for Muchova, and No. 88 for Osaka) so they’re not playing opponents the calibre of each other so early in tournaments. Osaka hasn’t been beyond the quarterfinal of an event since beginning her comeback on New Year’s Eve, while Muchova, only a few WTA matches into her return, has always been able to turn it on against elite players without that translating into titles. Per Opta, of the nine active WTA players to have beaten five former world No. 1s at Grand Slams, Muchova is the only one not to have won a major or Masters 1000 title.
Whether Muchova, or indeed Osaka, goes on to win big tournaments soon is not so much the issue. Their playing on the tour at all is a victory for tennis, because the sport benefits so much when they do.
(Top photo: Charly Triballeau / AFP via Getty Images)
Culture
49ers’ Ricky Pearsall released from hospital after being shot, did not require surgery: Source
![49ers’ Ricky Pearsall released from hospital after being shot, did not require surgery: Source 49ers’ Ricky Pearsall released from hospital after being shot, did not require surgery: Source](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/09/01154345/GettyImages-2164262259-scaled.jpg)
One day after San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Ricky Pearsall was shot during an attempted robbery in San Francisco, the rookie was released from the hospital Sunday afternoon, the team announced.
Pearsall did not require surgery and remained awake and lucid during his hospital stay, according to a league source. His family was in the room Saturday night, the source said.
“He and his family, along with the entire San Francisco 49ers organization, would like to thank the San Francisco Police Department, emergency medical services, doctors and staff at San Francisco General Hospital,” the 49ers said in a statement Sunday.
Pearsall, 23, was upgraded to “fair condition” earlier Sunday, the hospital announced.
According to police, he was shot in the Union Square area of San Francisco after being approached by a suspect, which ignited a physical confrontation. During the robbery attempt, both Pearsall and the suspect were shot, police said.
On Saturday, police said a 17-year-old suspect from Tracy, Calif. — about 60 miles east of San Francisco — was in custody. SFPD chief William Scott said the suspect’s gun was recovered at the scene.
Scott added it doesn’t appear Pearsall was targeted due to being an NFL player. Scott, who spoke with Pearsall about what happened, said the police believes the suspect was working alone.
Pearsall was drafted by the 49ers with No. 31 pick in this year’s draft. He played three seasons at Arizona State and two years at Florida.
Required reading
(Photo: Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images)
Culture
Five things we learned about the College Football Playoff race in Week 1
![Five things we learned about the College Football Playoff race in Week 1 Five things we learned about the College Football Playoff race in Week 1](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2024/09/01014024/GettyImages-2169664687-scaled-e1725169268130.jpg)
The first full Saturday of the college football season is in the books, and the College Football Playoff race is already top of mind.
Yes, it’s only one week of games. Yes, we always overreact to Week 1. Yes, there’s a ton of football still to be played. But it’s impossible to ignore the new 12-team CFP because every Football Bowl Subdivision team enters the season with a chance to make the field now. And even one week of action was enough to inform some takeaways that will impact the CFP race the rest of the way.
Here are five Playoff-adjacent lessons from Week 1.
1. Brace yourself for some blowouts in December.
Lopsided results were a frequent concern in the 10 years of the four-team CFP. Whether in the semifinals (Alabama vs. everyone) or the national championship game (Georgia 65, TCU 7), several Playoff matchups turned into blowouts because the top couple of teams in the sport were so much better than everyone else. Georgia and Clemson’s neutral-site opener in Atlanta doubled as a test for a 12-team era, as the No. 1 ranked SEC favorite took on one of the top teams in the ACC, ranked No. 14.
The result: a 34-3 beatdown in which the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers by 25 in the second half. Georgia looks as good as everyone thought it would be. It’s hard to imagine the Bulldogs not reaching the Playoff for the third time in four years, whether as the SEC champion or as one of the seven at-large selections. Georgia has a tough schedule, traveling to Alabama in Week 4, to Texas in mid-October and to Ole Miss in November, but any SEC contender with two losses is still likely to make the field. That fact may one day take some of the shine off of these high-profile nonconference regular season tests, but that’s the price being paid to ensure more universal championship access in an expanded Playoff. And if this Georgia team gets matched up with another ACC team, a Big 12 team or a Group of 5 team in December’s early rounds, the talent disparity could lead to ugly final margins like we saw on Saturday.
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Clemson, meanwhile, exhibited all the same offensive problems it did a year ago. Georgia may be the best team in the country, but the Tigers again don’t look like a national championship contender based on Saturday’s effort. Still, the 12-team format means no Power 4 conference team’s season is done after Week 1. All Clemson has to do is win the ACC to guarantee itself a spot. And that still seems doable because…
2. Miami looks fantastic, but the rest of the ACC does not.
While the ACC league office battles Florida State and Clemson in court amid the two members’ ongoing efforts to break free from the conference’s grant of rights agreement, it would’ve behooved the ACC to get off to a strong start on the field and keep the realignment noise in the background. The league entered the season with no shortage of optimism thanks to seven teams in the AP poll’s top 30 (three of which landed just outside the Top 25).
Instead, it’s been a rough first week for what was perceived to be the top of the league. Defending champion and preseason favorite Florida State lost to Georgia Tech in Ireland in Week 0, Clemson got shellacked by Georgia on Saturday, popular dark horse pick Virginia Tech lost to Vanderbilt, and preseason No. 24 NC State needed a fourth-quarter comeback to escape Western Carolina on Thursday.
![go-deeper](https://cdn.theathletic.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto/app/uploads/2024/08/31193052/GettyImages-2168873658-1024x683.jpg)
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But then there’s Miami! The Hurricanes lived up to their offseason hype with a dominant 41-17 win at Florida. Transfer quarterback Cam Ward looked spectacular, as did Miami’s other transfer additions. That is getting what you paid for. It’s only one week, but Miami looked like the best team in the league by a wide margin. And with a schedule that avoids Clemson and draws Virginia Tech and Florida State at home, Miami will suddenly be a very popular pick to make the CFP.
The Hurricanes now have a 42 percent chance to make the Playoff and a 23 percent chance to win the ACC, per Austin Mock’s projections model, while Clemson and Florida State have each fallen to a 20 percent chance to make the CFP. Beyond Miami, the rest of the league will need to play much better if the conference wants to find a second CFP bid.
ACC title and Playoff odds (Sept. 1)
Find all CFP projections here
3. Penn State looks like a real contender.
When the CFP expanded to 12 teams, Penn State looked to be the biggest beneficiary: The Nittany Lions finished ranked in the top 12 six times since 2016 but never made the four-team CFP field.
That feeling is even stronger after Penn State’s dominant 34-12 win at West Virginia. The defense was its normal physical and stout self, but the offense was explosive, and dare I say exciting, after drawing meme-worthy ridicule for its unwillingness to attack vertically last year. The Nittany Lions had two completions of at least 50 yards on Saturday after having just five all of last season. Quarterback Drew Allar finished 11 of 17 passing for 216 yards and three touchdowns, plus another 44 yards on the ground. He looked composed and sharp on the road in a way he didn’t last year.
It’s early, but Penn State looked like a team that might just not make the CFP, but win a game or two. The Nittany Lions now have a 74 percent chance to make the CFP, per our model, up from 67 percent before Week 1.
4. Notre Dame has an inside path to the Playoff already.
As an independent, the Fighting Irish don’t have a conference championship to play for, and because the top four seeds in the expanded CFP go to the four highest-ranked conference champions, even a Notre Dame team ranked No. 1 at the end of the season would not get a first-round bye. Still, the additional at-large bids available in the expanded field greatly help the Irish’s chances of making the Playoff, and after a season-opening 23-13 win against Texas A&M in College Station, Notre Dame should already be heavily favored to qualify, with a 72 percent to make it, according to The Athletic’s model.
It’s very likely Notre Dame will be favored in every game left on its schedule: The toughest remaining games are probably at Georgia Tech, at home against Florida State and at USC to close the year. The Irish can probably afford to lose one of those and still make the CFP field at 11-1. Marcus Freeman’s team has Playoff expectations this year, and Saturday’s win was a massive step toward that goal. A consequential Week 1 win makes their margin for error that much wider.
5. The Group of 5 favorites escaped some scares, with big Power 4 tests ahead.
The new stakes for the Group of 5 were made clear immediately when Boise State, the preseason favorite for the CFP spot reserved for the G5’s highest-ranked conference champion, trailed Georgia Southern on the road in the fourth quarter. The Broncos rallied to win 56-45 on the back of 377 rushing yards between Ashton Jeanty and Sire Gaines, retaining their Mountain West front-runner status and juicing Jeanty’s draft stock. Next up is a trip to Oregon, which needed to hold on to survive an upset bid from FCS Idaho.
Sun Belt favorite Appalachian State led East Tennessee State by just seven points deep into the third quarter but eventually won 38-10. Next up for the Mountaineers: a trip to Clemson.
Meanwhile, defending Conference USA champion Liberty trailed FCS Campbell deep into the second quarter and only led by 10 points entering the fourth but eventually won 41-24. AAC favorite Memphis, for its part, had no trouble during a 40-0 win against FCS North Alabama. The Tigers travel to Florida State in two weeks. The strength of these teams’ and their conferences’ resumes will be under scrutiny all fall.
![go-deeper](https://cdn.theathletic.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto/app/uploads/2024/08/19175950/Lede-Image-4-1024x683.png)
GO DEEPER
College Football Playoff 2024 projections: Miami moves into our 12-team bracket
(Photo: Jack Gorman / Getty Images)
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