Crypto
What is bitcoin halving, when will it happen and why can it cause the currency’s price to skyrocket?
Cryptocurrencies and precious mineral deposits seem to have little to do with each other. But these two distant worlds are closer than they appear in the cryptosphere, at least metaphorically. With bitcoin halving scheduled for the middle of this week, mentions of blockchain mining are proliferating, as is the role of miners in keeping the bitcoin ecosystem going. This “invisible” part, which makes it possible to issue new tokens, will halve its profits, which has happened three times before, in 2012, 2016 and 2020. This does not mean that the price of the cryptocurrency will fall in the same way: the market expects that, as supply is reduced, logically, demand will increase and so will its price, which has risen by 50% so far this year.
With the price of the main cryptocurrency already soaring above €65,000 ($69,150.25) and in full bloom thanks to the success of exchange-traded funds, here are some keys for better understanding this new milestone for a sector seeking to leave a long winter behind.
What is halving?
Halving is a consequence of the blockchain technology behind bitcoin. To create a new currency, the system requires computers, or miners, to verify transactions. These users receive benefits: a certain amount of digital coins. Thus, since 2020, participants in this activity have received 6.25 bitcoin for every 210,000 verified network blocks; from now, on they will receive half that: 3.125 BTC.
“It is a mechanism that tries to copy what happens with a single deposit of a precious mineral,” notes Mireya Fernandez, the head of the Bitpanda exchange for southern Europe. “At the beginning, it’s all confusion, so the first miners are paid better. Then, as time goes by, there is less and less ore available, less is mined and the product’s price can increase,” she notes.
Reducing the reward for miners is intrinsic to bitcoin’s supply and demand. Although bitcoin is digital money, it cannot be created infinitely, and verifiable scarcity is central to its value proposition, which makes it appealing in highly inflationary markets like Argentina and Nigeria. The cryptocurrency is designed for a finite number: at most there will be 21 million tokens.
Why is it important?
All the experts we consulted agree that the sector is heading for a moment of consolidation and maturation, driven by new investment products and the entry of large institutional players. “In particular, bitcoin is experiencing a new boom driven by regulatory and market access developments,” notes Guido Lonetti, product director at digital bank N26.
After a period defined by fraud cases and the falling prices of all digital currencies, this context of good news makes any news at all more worrying. As with any other investment asset, any news can generate a strong inflow or outflow of capital, but, in this case, bitcoin’s volatile nature only exacerbates this trend.
“It is a mistake to be too vigilant,” notes Jorge Soriano, the head of the Criptan platform. “The bitcoin issuance schedule is known from the beginning. The characteristics and properties of the currency go far beyond this one-off milestone,” he emphasizes.
How does it affect investors?
Historically, this milestone has served to generate buzz. Bitcoin investors tend to welcome this date with enthusiasm, which increases the conversation about it, as well as capital inflows into the crypto world. “The community experiences it like New Year’s Eve and expects changes in the price,” says Fernández, although he points out that the user already has gained experience over all these years. He says that it is a more mature community with more criteria and more capital.
However, Lonetti says, the sharp rise in expectations can also lead to more scams and frauds. “The enthusiasm for the world of cryptocurrencies is not lost on cybercriminals, who are always coming up with new ways to commit crimes. Common cryptocurrency-related fraud can range from pyramid schemes and fake websites to fake celebrity endorsements and inflating the price of an unknown cryptocurrency.” The organization recommends “being wary of supposed opportunities that guarantee profits, have excessive marketing, lack technical documentation and offer free money.”
What impact can it have on the price?
That is the real question the community is asking, as historical data indicate to expect a sharp rise. In 2012 and 2016, the halving led to a price increase of almost 10,000%. For example, before the halving that occurred in November 2012, the currency was trading slightly above $10. Just five months later, in April 2013, it was above $200. This upward trend continued until the end of that year, when it exceeded $1,000 for the first time.
In any case, the increase seemed to have moderated greatly in 2020, when the currency only gained 400%, albeit in a context shaped by the pandemic, lack of regulation and interest rates at historic lows. “We are not at the fever pitch of a few years ago, but we are optimistic about what may happen,” Fernandez summarizes.
The market’s most skeptical voices point out that, although there is a correlation, there is no causality between this technological milestone and a price increase. This discourages the most optimistic voices, who fantasize in specialized forums that the value of the currency will soar above $435,000 by the end of 2024. “Obviously, past events do not guarantee future events,” says Soriano. Manuel Villegas, digital assets analyst at Julius Baer, estimates that the halving could serve as a catalyst for a new growth cycle in the cryptoasset market.”
Will it have any effect on ETFs?
Analysts stress that the effects will at least crossover. Investor interest in accessing bitcoin through exchange-traded funds may increase if the price soars or if FOMO — fear of missing out — increases in the face of multiple reports of high investment returns in a more secure and regulated environment. At the same time, the existence of these investment vehicles means that the crypto asset price is not as volatile as it was previously, especially given the participation of institutional players who, for the time being, do not seem so concerned about volatility.
Halving could also indirectly impact investment portfolios. In addition to bitcoin ETFs, there are a number of funds related to the crypto industry in the U.S. market. For example, the Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI) invests in companies involved in mining this digital currency, which, until recently, was a way to gain exposure to the crypto world in the stock market. In a more competitive environment among miners, the smaller ones could disappear, which would benefit this fund, for example.
What other factors impact this context?
The market is attentive to two related news items. On the one hand, the success of large fund managers in promoting bitcoin exchange-traded funds launched in January this year. It is important to remember that in 2017 Larry Fink, the CEO of the giant BlackRock, called bitcoin a “money laundering index” but today he is a big believer in the cryptocurrency. The iShares bitcoin fund — BlackRock’s ETF banner — manages over $16 billion, almost 30% of the total capital in these investment vehicles.
A new development may also come from BlackRock: the ETF approval of Ether, the second cryptocurrency behind bitcoin. Fink’s firm is one of the many companies that have asked the US regulator to approve this type of fund. Although a frenzy like the one generated during this first part of the year is not expected, it would confirm an about-face on the part of the authorities who, while still wary of crypto assets, are at least seeking to establish a clearer regulatory environment.
Finally, what happens at the monetary policy level in both the United States and Europe will also be important. A possible reduction in interest rates on one or both sides of the Atlantic Ocean would increase interest in riskier investment alternatives, such as cryptocurrencies.
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Crypto
Current price of Ethereum for March 4, 2026 | Fortune
At 5 p.m. Eastern Time today, Ethereum (1 ETH) is trading at $2,161.09. That’s a $180.66 increase from yesterday and about an $8.94 loss over the past year.
What is Ethereum?
With a market capitalization of around $233 billion, Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency. That places it well below Bitcoin’s roughly $1.33 trillion market cap, but significantly ahead of third-place Tether, which sits at $183 billion.
One major distinction sets Ethereum apart from other cryptocurrencies: It’s not simply digital money. It operates as a decentralized computing platform, allowing users to build and run applications without oversight from any company or bank.
In basic terms, developers use Ethereum’s blockchain network (instead of, say, Amazon or Google servers) to create apps for activities like borrowing, lending, investing, trading, and more. ETH, the token, is the currency used for these operations.
Ethereum price history
When Ethereum’s initial coin offering (ICO) launched in 2014, it cost just 31 cents per share. Since then, its value has climbed by more than 60,000%.
Looking at the past five years (2020-2025), Ethereum has risen by a solid 46%. But that figure doesn’t tell the whole story. Ethereum has been subject to extreme volatility, peaking at nearly $5,000 in August 2025. That represents nearly 1.6 million percent growth from its original ICO—making that previous 60,000% increase seem modest by comparison.
Since then, ETH has seen gains exceeding 80% and losses surpassing 60%—that is to say, virtually every dramatic swing imaginable. Early 2026 brought a steep drop in Ethereum’s value due to several factors, including recession fears and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin selling millions of dollars worth of ETH.
The bottom line is that Ethereum can deliver both enormous gains and enormous losses, which is typical of other major cryptocurrencies too.
Ethereum vs. Bitcoin
In the cryptocurrency rankings, Ethereum trails far behind Bitcoin for the top spot.
But keep in mind, Ethereum wasn’t designed primarily to serve as a currency; its main purpose was to function as a decentralized computing platform. Ethereum has a wide range of real-world uses, and its developer community is huge. This appeals to investors because it offers growth potential beyond simply being an “alternative currency.”
Here’s an easy framework for understanding the difference between these two currencies:
- Think of BTC as digital gold—a straightforward currency designed to store and transfer value.
- Think of ETH as digital oil—the fuel that keeps decentralized apps and smart contracts running across the Ethereum network.
What is Ethereum staking?
Staking represents another feature that sets Ethereum apart from Bitcoin.
Before 2022, Ethereum’s network was secured by thousands of computers competing to solve random puzzles (called “proof of work”). When your computer successfully solved a puzzle, you’d earn some ETH as a reward. It sounds strange, but it proved effective for maintaining an honest ledger.
Because this approach burned significant amounts of electricity and didn’t really make sense, Ethereum chose to replace it with something called “staking.” With staking, you lock up your ETH as a security deposit to help verify transactions. In return, you earn a reward similar to what proof of work provided. Essentially, you’re earning interest on your staked amount.
What affects Ethereum’s price?
A few key things can affect Ethereum’s price:
- Investor speculation: Like most cryptocurrencies, Ethereum’s short-term price often moves with hype and trader sentiment. In the near term, excitement (or panic) can drive prices more than anything else.
- Network activity and DeFi growth: The more people use Ethereum, the more demand there is for ETH. A good example was the DeFi surge in 2020–2021, when heavy network use helped push prices up.
- Economic conditions: While Ethereum doesn’t always move in lockstep with interest rates or the stock market, the economy still plays a role. When people feel confident financially, they’re more open to putting money into assets like crypto.
- Regulation: Because crypto is still developing as an industry, new laws and regulations can have a big impact. Positive headlines can build confidence, while uncertainty tends to make investors cautious.
- Competition: Ethereum isn’t the only smart contract platform anymore. Projects like Solana and Avalanche offer faster or cheaper alternatives, so how Ethereum continues to evolve will help determine its long-term success.
How to buy and invest in Ethereum
There are many ways to invest in Ethereum with varying degrees of risk. Below are some of the most popular options.
Buy Ethereum on a crypto exchange
Buying ETH directly represents the most hands-on investment method. You’ll open an account with a cryptocurrency exchange and connect your bank account to purchase and store ETH in a digital wallet.
Invest in Ethereum ETFs
If directly managing crypto doesn’t appeal to you (think handling wallets and private keys) an Ethereum ETF could be a better option. These funds hold the crypto for you while their shares trade on stock exchanges just like traditional stocks.
Buy Ethereum-related stocks
You can invest in publicly traded companies with close ties to Ethereum as a way to gain exposure without directly owning ETH. This might include blockchain technology companies, firms holding substantial amounts of ETH on their balance sheets, and the like. This approach lets you benefit from Ethereum’s performance indirectly.
Open a crypto IRA that holds Ethereum
A crypto IRA allows you to hold Ethereum within a tax-advantaged retirement account. It functions like a traditional or Roth IRA, offering the same contribution limits and tax benefits.
Cryptocurrency prices today
Ethereum is one of the most ubiquitous cryptocurrencies, but it’s far from the only option. Consider the following options when deciding where to place your money.
- Bitcoin: Bitcoin is the first and most well-known cryptocurrency. It’s a decentralized digital currency built to serve as both a store of value and a peer-to-peer payment system.
- Tether: Tether is what’s known as a stablecoin. Its value is pegged to another asset, in this case, the U.S. dollar. Because of that, it tends to be much less volatile than Ethereum, though it also lacks the same potential for long-term growth.
- XRP: Created to make moving money across borders faster and cheaper than traditional methods, XRP offers near-instant transactions with minimal fees.
Is it a good time to invest in Ethereum?
Unlike established blue-chip stocks such as Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson, or IBM, Ethereum is still a relatively young asset. There’s no guaranteed way to predict how ETH will perform in the years or decades ahead. Even so, its performance over the past decade has been incredible, and its usefulness goes far beyond that of a simple tradable token; it underpins a huge and expanding network of financial applications and developer tools.
Keep in mind, though, that Ethereum has a history of sharp downturns, so be prepared for volatility. It isn’t a good fit for investors with a low tolerance for risk. Stay aware of emerging blockchain competitors, and don’t overconcentrate your holdings. ETH is best viewed as a smaller, strategic component of a well-diversified portfolio.
Frequently asked questions
How much will Ethereum be worth in 2030?
Cryptocurrency experts are bullish on Ethereum’s long-term trajectory. Standard Chartered has predicted ETH could even eclipse Bitcoin by then, reaching $40,000 by the next decade. More conservative estimates place it closer to $10,000. Either way, that’s a meteoric rise from its early 2026 valuation.
What is Ethereum’s all-time high price?
As of this writing, Ethereum reached its highest price ever in August 2025, hitting nearly $5,000.
Can you buy a fraction of Ethereum?
Yes. Most cryptocurrency exchanges allow for fractional investing, giving you the ability to buy portions of a single crypto coin—including ETH.
How do I start investing in Ethereum as a beginner?
If you want to invest directly in Ethereum by owning the currency, you’ll typically open an account with a cryptocurrency exchange. Once the account is created, you can transfer your money from your bank account to your crypto account and begin making purchases. Alternatively, you can indirectly invest in Ethereum via an ETF or a company that’s closely tied to Ethereum’s success.
What is Ethereum staking?
Staking involves locking up your ETH to help validate transactions on Ethereum’s decentralized network. The upside to doing this is that you’ll receive a return similar to interest with a high-yield savings account.
Is Ethereum better than Bitcoin?
Neither Ethereum or Bitcoin is objectively “better.” They do different things. Bitcoin is primarily a store of value, while Ethereum is both a platform that powers a large ecosystem of applications and a cryptocurrency. Bitcoin tends to be less volatile and more established as a payment method, while Ethereum gives you more functionality, and likely more potential for growth.
Crypto
Better Cryptocurrency to Buy Today With $3,000 and Hold for 7 Years: XRP vs. Bitcoin
Key Points
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Bitcoin is a store of value, but it’s facing a huge risk in the next 10 years or so.
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XRP has utility today, but it’s facing an onslaught of competitors in the same time frame.
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One of these assets has a more straightforward path to its ongoing success.
Buying a cryptocurrency and then holding it for seven years is less about picking the flashiest chain of today, and more about picking the investment thesis that can inspire your conviction over time, survive your own boredom when the market is slow, and perhaps most importantly, survive a couple of gut-check drawdowns.
So with $3,000 to allocate today, is it smarter to load up on Bitcoin(CRYPTO: BTC) or XRP(CRYPTO: XRP) if you’re (hopefully) going to be holding whatever you pick through 2033?
Will AI create the world’s first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an “Indispensable Monopoly” providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
Image source: Getty Images.
Bitcoin’s job is simple
Bitcoin’s pitch is that it’s an asset with a fixed supply and enough of a social consensus about its worth that it functions as a store of value.
The coin’s supply cap is hard-coded at 21 million coins that can ever be mined. A lot of that supply, approximately 20 million Bitcoin, is already out in the world.
And if you’re building a well-balanced crypto portfolio, it’s the scarcity of the remaining supply and the guarantee that it’ll only get scarcer and more challenging to produce in the future that makes this coin a must-have holding.
Nonetheless, the long-term risk that investors should not dismiss is the advent of quantum computing, which in theory could crack Bitcoin’s encryption and enable the theft of coins at some point in the tail end of the next 10 years. There are some early steps taking place to update the coin to prevent that from being possible. Even so, the risk might not be fully addressed for years, or perhaps even too late to prevent a quantum attack which turns into a disaster for holders.
But the odds are good that Bitcoin’s developers will adapt to the threat in time.
XRP needs to keep winning to outperform
XRP is a bet that its chain, the XRP Ledger (XRPL), becomes important financial plumbing, and that demand for the coin rises alongside its use.
There are a few pieces of evidence that suggest it’s succeeding. The XRPL saw around 1.1 million daily transactions recently, and it hosts 7.6 million activated wallets. That activity could accelerate if financial institutions continue to onboard their capital to the network in hopes of managing it more readily than they could elsewhere.
Still, XRP competes against other money transfer rails and also against legacy systems for capital management. It needs to beat out that competition consistently over time to continue to grow. And while it’ll likely win enough of its competitive fights to survive and expand somewhat for the next seven years, to continue to thrive and be a great investment, it’ll need to be winning against bigger and bigger competitors all the while — and that’s a lot harder to believe in because it’s a high bar.
So if you want a coin for a seven-year hold that demands the least babysitting and the least competitive jockeying, invest your $3,000 into Bitcoin, as it only needs to change elements related to its security rather than its core feature set.
Should you buy stock in XRP right now?
Before you buy stock in XRP, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and XRP wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $523,599!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,118,640!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 951% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 194% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
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Alex Carchidi has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Crypto
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