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Mint Explainer: What’s behind the surge in bitcoin prices

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Mint Explainer: What’s behind the surge in bitcoin prices

After rising by more than 150% in 2023, the price of bitcoin surpassed $45,000 on the second day of 2024, to its highest level since April 2022. Bitcoin is the world’s first cryptocurrency and the largest by market capitalisation. Many analysts and industry experts expect the rally to continue in the current calendar year, with some expecting bitcoin to rise to $100,000 in the coming months. (Although the price fell nearly 11% on Wednesday before bouncing back to $42,200, as per CoinDesk data. On Thursday morning in India, bitcoin was at about $43,100.)

Bitcoin last rose to its all-time high of $68,789 in November 2021 and then fell to a low of $15,760 in December 2022 amid the collapse of FTX, the largest cryptocurrency exchange, and fraud charges pressed by the US Securities and Exchange Commission against its CEO Samuel Bankman-Fried, fears of worsening macroeconomic conditions and rising interest rates. 

The latest rally was triggered by impending developments–the halving of bitcoin rewards and the potential approval for a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund in the US. The US Federal Reserve signalling interest rate cuts in 2024 has also helped the rally. Mint explains the factors behind the recent rally.

What is halving of bitcoin rewards and how does it affect the price?

The creators of bitcoin designed the cryptocurrency with a cap of 21 million to limit its supply, which they felt would create a scarcity as demand rises and thus push up its value. So far, 19.6 million have already been mined, and 900 bitcoins are added per day currently. Crypto miners are rewarded 6.25 bitcoins at present for every block they create and a new block is produced approximately every 10 minutes. 

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The code written by the inventors of bitcoin requires the rewards per block to be halved every time 210,000 blocks are added–which usually happens every four years. This halving of rewards is expected to happen in April-May, and the number of bitcoins rewarded per block created will drop to 3.125. 

The number of bitcoins minted per block was 50 when it was created. The rewards were previously halved in 2020, and before that in 2012 and 2016. The final halving will happen around 2140, after which it will not be possible to halve the rewards. At that point, the number of bitcoins in circulation is expected to be about 21 million.

The halving of bitcoin rewards per block slows the increase in the supply of the cryptocurrency. As a result, bitcoin prices usually start to rise much before the halving event and usually soar after the halving takes place. 

For instance, in the 12 months following the last halving in 2020, bitcoin gained about 560%. Similarly, in the 12 months after the first halving in 2012, bitcoin jumped more than 8,000%. If the same trends persist, bitcoin may soar to the levels projected by various industry experts and analysts.

Why are investors looking forward to spot bitcoin ETF?

The US SEC has until 10 January to approve proposals of asset managers to launch spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds. There are over a dozen applications before the markets regulator. It is widely anticipated that the SEC will approve the ETF proposals much before the deadline (it may come this week), even though it has not given any indications whether it will indeed approve the applications.  

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A regulated product like an ETF could encourage a lot more people and institutions to invest in bitcoins. Some estimate that about $3 billion may flow into the ETF products in the US on the first day. 

Among those that have filed applications to launch ETFs based on the spot prices of bitcoin are Ark Investment, Franklin Templeton, BlackRock, Invesco and Fidelity. 

Unlike the bitcoin futures ETF, which involves investment in futures contracts, spot ETFs invest in the cryptocurrency directly. Investors in the US can currently invest in bitcoin futures ETF, which were first launched in October 2021. Most of the asset managers who have sought SEC approval for spot bitcoin ETFs already run bitcoin futures ETFs.

Can the easing of interest rates also boost bitcoins?

Rising interest rates affected cryptocurrencies like all other asset classes that are risky. When the Fed held rates steady at its December meeting, cryptocurrencies gained. 

More significantly, investors have been increasing their exposure to cryptos after a rough 2022, when stablecoins Terra and Luna crashed and the FTX scam came to light. With the Fed signalling that rate cuts may begin sometime in 2024, investors will be willing to increase their investment in risky assets such as cryptos.

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While there is a lot of optimism around bitcoin at this point, another FTX-like bankruptcy or a scam can cause the cryptocurrency market to crash like it did in 2022. Most of these catch investors unaware, leading to deep losses.

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Bitcoin prices come within kissing distance of $100,000. Should you invest now or just sit on the fence? | Stock Market News

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Bitcoin prices come within kissing distance of 0,000. Should you invest now or just sit on the fence? | Stock Market News

Bitcoin prices hovered around $98,608 on Saturday on international exchanges, buoyed by the euphoria over Donald Trump-led Republican party reclaiming the White House. With its total market cap touching more than two trillion dollars, the oldest cryptocurrency has witnessed a spike of 51 per cent in the past one month.

There is hope that the Donald Trump-led US administration will adopt crypto-friendly policies when it takes over in January next year for its second term. The rally got further impetus when BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF options were listed on Nasdaq on Tuesday.

Indian crypto industry insiders are naturally upbeat about this rally. Balaji Srihari, Business Head of CoinSwitch, says, “Bitcoin surged to an all-time high, signalling that the much-anticipated $100,000 milestone could be within reach- many analysts predict that this mark could be achieved as early as the end of November. Since the recent US election, Bitcoin has been consistently setting new records, encouraged by expectations of a more supportive regulatory framework and a potential national Bitcoin reserve; that can legitimise Bitcoin as a government-backed asset. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF debuting options trading on Nasdaq is a big sign of increasing crypto adoption.”

Apart from bitcoin, other crypto tokens too have witnessed a surge. XRP, for instance, has surged 188 per cent in the past one month, and 37 per cent in the past five days alone. Ether trades at $3,354 and BNB trades at $665 on Saturday, according to Coinmarketcap data. 

Shivam Thakral, CEO of BuyUcoin, says, “In the last 24 hours, Bitcoin reached a record high of $99,000. XRP led the charge with a remarkable 25 per cent increase, driven by renewed optimism surrounding a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment in the US. It is anticipated that Donald Trump’s win in the election will drive the implementation of crypto-friendly policies, which will, in turn, enhance market sentiment. As trading volumes rise and hopes for ETF approvals increase, the future looks extremely positive for XRP and the wider cryptocurrency market as we near the end of the year.”

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Vishal Sacheendran, Head of Regional Markets at Binance, says, “Bitcoin’s rally, fuelled in part by the optimism surrounding Donald Trump’s re-election, represents a transformative moment for the crypto and Web3 space. His administration’s support for digital assets could lead to more progressive regulations, fostering an environment conducive to greater institutional and retail investment in the sector. I believe that the broader crypto ecosystem could benefit from policies that promote blockchain infrastructure, and provide a better route for financial institutions to engage with crypto.”

Caution needed

Despite all the positive factors, crypto experts believe that investors should stay cautious and not get too carried away. It is common knowledge that bull runs are often followed by steep corrections. So, one should be cautious before getting too elated. “Amid the excitement, traders should stay cautious. Big price jumps often lead to sharp corrections, and using too much leverage could amplify risks during volatile periods,” says Srihari from Coinswitch.

“It is also important to note that in a bull market like this, investors should also remain mindful, conduct thorough research, and not make investment decisions solely based on market sentiment or hype,” adds Sacheendran of Binance.

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Cryptocurrency Prices Today Nov 23: BTC at $98K, HBAR Surges 25% and XLM rises 55%

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Cryptocurrency Prices Today Nov 23: BTC at K, HBAR Surges 25% and XLM rises 55%

Cryptocurrency Prices Today, November 23: The broader market movement on Saturday sparked bullish momentum globally. Bitcoin remains steady at $98K, while major altcoins like ADA, XRP, and AVAX surged between 14% and 25%. Notably, Hedera (HBAR) and Stellar (XLM) emerged as top performers, registering jumps of 25% to 55% in the last 24 hours.

Simultaneously, the global crypto market cap witnessed a 1.5% increase in the past 24 hours, currently at $3.33 trillion. However, the total market volume declined by 12% from yesterday and is now at $219 billion. Let’s dive into a brief report on the top cryptocurrencies by market cap and their price movements on November 23.

Cryptocurrency Prices Today: BTC Holds Steady, ETH & SOL Unchanged, XRP Soars 15%

Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable at $98K, holding its position for the past 24 hours. Similarly, Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) have shown no significant movement during this period. However, XRP has surged by 14%, leading the gainers. Among the top meme coins, Dogecoin and Shiba Inu have also witnessed a 9% increase in the last 24 hours, reflecting positive momentum in the cryptocurrency prices today.

Bitcoin Price Today

BTC price chart appears steady, currently trading at $98,550. Its intraday low and high are $97,222 and $99,655, respectively. Bitcoin’s market cap is $1.95 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $76 billion.

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According to Sosovalue data, 22.85 million BTC flowed out of 12 BTC ETFs. However, BlackRock’s IBIT data is still awaited. With a dominance of 58.59%, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

Ethereum Price Today

Ethereum (ETH) remains unchanged, currently trading at $3,333. Its 24-hour low and high are $3,262 and $3,428, respectively, showing minimal price movement. ETH has gained 7% over the past week, indicating positive short-term performance. With a market cap of $400 billion, ETH remains strong in the market.

The 24-hour trading volume for Ethereum is $38 billion, and it commands a market dominance of 12%. ETH ETFs saw an outflow of 8.47 million, and BlackRock’s IBIT data is yet to be released, which may further influence the market.

Solana Price Today

Solana (SOL) is down by 2% in the last 24 hours, currently trading at $255. Its 24-hour low and high are $252 and $263, respectively, showing slight fluctuations. Over the past week, SOL has risen by 17.5%, reflecting strong growth. With a market cap of $121 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $7 billion, Solana remains the fourth-largest cryptocurrency globally.

XRP Price Today

XRP price has jumped by 15% in the last 24 hours, currently trading at $1.566. Its 24-hour low and high are $1.367 and $1.621, respectively, showing strong volatility. XRP has surged by 75% in the past week and 200% in the last 30 days, reflecting impressive growth. With a market cap of $89 billion and a trading volume of $20 billion, XRP is now the sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

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Meme Coins Performance Today

Dogecoin (DOGE) has increased by 9% and is currently trading at $0.42. Its 24-hour low and high are $0.3858 and $0.4296, respectively, showing solid market movement.

Similarly, Shiba Inu (SHIB) is also up by 9%, trading at $0.00002698. Its 24-hour low and high are $0.00002437 and $0.00002749, respectively, reflecting positive momentum.

On the other hand, other meme coins like PEPE, BONK, and WIF have experienced declines of 2% to 8% in the past 24 hours. These drops indicate some volatility in the meme coin sector.

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Top Cryptocurrency Gainer Prices Today

Stellar

Stellar (XLM) price is currently trading at $0.44, marking an impressive 55% increase in the last 24 hours. Its 24-hour low and high are $0.2766 and $0.4624, respectively, reflecting significant volatility and strong market momentum.

Hedera

Hedera (HBAR) is currently trading at $0.1542, up by 25% in the last 24 hours. Its 24-hour low and high are $0.1275 and $0.1681, respectively, showing strong price fluctuations and growth.

Cardano

Cardano (ADA) price is up by 24% and is currently trading at $1.09. Its 24-hour low and high are $0.85 and $1.137, respectively, reflecting significant movement, and it is the ninth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

Top Cryptocurrency Loser Prices Today

Peanut the Squirrel

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Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT) is down by 13% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $1.11. Its 24-hour low and high are $1.04 and $1.31, respectively, indicating a decline in its price.

Popcat (SOL)

Popcat (POPCAT) is down by 9% and is currently trading at $1.43. Its 24-hour low and high are $1.415 and $1.612, respectively, showing a decline in price over the past day.

Raydium

Raydium (RAY) is down by 8% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $5.98. Its 24-hour low and high are $5.913 and $6.432, respectively, indicating a decrease in price during this period.

Besides, the hourly time frame chart continues to spark bullish momentum for cryptocurrency prices today. BTC is up by 0.4%, ETH is up by 0.5%, and Dogecoin has risen by 4%, sparking discussions among traders and investors about future price movements.

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Coingape Staff

CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.

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Bitcoin 'On Brink Of Breaking $100,000,' Dogecoin Up, Ethereum Down: Crypto Community Holds Its Breath As BTC Guns For Milestone

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Bitcoin 'On Brink Of Breaking 0,000,' Dogecoin Up, Ethereum Down: Crypto Community Holds Its Breath As BTC Guns For Milestone

Cryptocurrency markets are trading higher, with Bitcoin hovering around $100,000 and Jim Cramer suggesting it is “a winner.”

Cryptocurrency Price    Gains +/-
Bitcoin BTC/USD  $99,254.71 +0.88%
Ethereum ETH/USD  $3,281.28 -2.1%
Solana SOL/USD  $253.09 -0.8%
Dogecoin DOGE/USD  $0.3987 +3.7%
Shiba Inu SHIB/USD  $0.00002463 +0.3%

Notable Statistics:

  • IntoTheBlock data shows large transaction volume increasing by 47.5% and daily active addresses growing by 27.2%. Transactions greater than $100,000 are up from 13,321 to 18,859 in a single day. Exchanges netflows are down by 4.5%.
  • Coinglass data reports 113,608 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours for $340.73 million. Open interest continues to stand at peak levels, $64 billion.
  • Polymarket data shows there is a 60% chance of Bitcoin touching $100,000 today and an 89% probability of it happening this month.

Notable Developments:

Top Gainers:

Cryptocurrency Price    Gains +/-
Stellar XLM/USD $0.3194 +28.2%
XRP XRP/USD $1.42 +20.6%
Cardano ADA/USD $0.9647 +19.9%

Trader Notes: Bitcoin nearing $100,000 sparked mixed sentiments among traders.

Altcoin Sherpa quipped “See you guys at $60,000” when Bitcoin failed to break through the psychological barrier.

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Crypto trader Seth highlights a “thick and sticky sell wall” as the obstacle.

Dogecoin founder Billy Markus stated, “maybe bitcoin will become a $99,000 stablecoin.”

Quinten Francois remains optimistic, stating the Bitcoin bull market has “just started.”

Daan Crypto Trades explained that traders are preemptively shifting from altcoins to Bitcoin as it edges closer to the $100,000 milestone.

He predicts a breakout, followed by consolidation could lead to altcoin rebounds. Until then, Bitcoin is expected to continue absorbing liquidity.

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Image: Shutterstock

Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs

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