Crypto
Could Bitcoin Halving Boost Crypto Prices? Here’s What To Know As Token Surges To Record High
Topline
Bitcoin has soared to new record highs in recent weeks and enthusiasts feel it is poised to grow even further with an upcoming “halving,” a key event written into the foundations of the cryptocurrency to limit supply that has historically coincided with elevated prices and boosted attention to the crypto sector.
Bitcoin mining is set to get more expensive with the upcoming halving event.
Key Facts
Bitcoin is built on a decentralized computer network, or distributed public ledger, that records the details of every transaction related to the cryptocurrency in discrete “blocks” of information connected in a chain.
New blocks are added to this blockchain in a process called mining, which involves solving complex math problems and rewards new bitcoin to miners who undertake the computationally-demanding and energy-intensive process.
The bitcoin reward minted every time a new block is added to the network decreases over time—an intentional feature designed to limit supply by slowing down the rate of production—halving every time 210,000 blocks are added to the network.
Three bitcoin halvings have happened in the past, in 2012, 2016 and 2020, iteratively cutting the reward for mining a block from 50 bitcoin to 25, 12.5 and 6.25 bitcoin.
While there is no specific date hardwired into the system, the next halving event is expected to happen at some point in April 2024, when the reward for mining each block will be reduced to 3.125 bitcoin.
How Does Halving Affect The Price Of Bitcoin?
Bitcoin halving only affects the rate at which new bitcoin is minted and does not change the amount or value of the existing tokens in circulation. The volatile and speculative nature of the crypto markets make it hard to ascertain whether any changes in value were down to halving events or other factors. Crypto enthusiasts point to historic rises in bitcoin prices before and after previous halving events, though there is little evidence the halving, as opposed to say monetary policy or changes in consumer behavior, was responsible. The economy of bitcoin mining, however, will almost certainly change after the halving, as double the amount of energy and resources—which are already significant—will be required to earn the same amount of bitcoin. The halving could drive miners to lower costs and improve efficiency in their operations.
News Peg
Bitcoin is worth about $1.4 trillion, around half of the $2.9 trillion cryptocurrency market. It has experienced an impressive rally in recent weeks, with gains this year of around 80%, and soared to an all-time high of more than $72,000. Other cryptocurrencies like ether, the second largest by market capitalization, have also reached levels not seen in two years as the market rebounds from a series of crashes and scandals including the collapse of key institutions like Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX, Celsius and Three Arrows and the failure of major networks like terraUSD (UST) and luna, which erased billions in value. While it’s possible the ongoing rally is driven by the impending halving event, other factors, notably investor enthusiasm for cryptocurrency and the approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), could also be playing a role. Current high prices could potentially already factor in any price rise anticipated by the halving event and there is no guarantee prices would continue to rise afterwards.
Big Number
21 million. That’s the maximum supply of bitcoins there can ever be. The currency cap is one of the key principles underlying the cryptocurrency project. Bitcoin architect Satoshi Nakamoto—a pseudonym—intended it, and the halving, as a mechanism to curb the inflation often seen in traditional currencies. More than 19 million bitcoins are in circulation at the moment. Presuming halving continues at a rate of around once every four years, bitcoin will continue to be minted until roughly 2140.
Further Reading
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Crypto mogul Do Kwon sentenced to 15 years in prison over $40B ‘epic fraud’
Do Kwon, the South Korean cryptocurrency entrepreneur behind two digital currencies that lost an estimated $40 billion in 2022, was sentenced on Thursday to 15 years in prison for for what a judge called an “epic fraud.”
U.S. District Judge Paul A. Engelmayer, who handed down the sentence, sharply rebuked Kwon for repeatedly lying to everyday investors who trusted him with their life savings.
“This was a fraud on an epic, generational scale. In the history of federal prosecutions, there are few frauds that have caused as much harm as you have, Mr. Kwon,” Engelmayer said during a hearing in Manhattan federal court.
Kwon, 34, who co-founded Singapore-based Terraform Labs and developed the TerraUSD and Luna currencies, previously pleaded guilty and admitted to misleading investors about a coin that was supposed to maintain a steady price during periods of crypto market volatility.
He is one of several cryptocurrency moguls to face federal charges after a slump in digital token prices in 2022 prompted the collapse of a number of companies.
Dressed in yellow prison garb, Kwon addressed the court and apologized to his victims, including the hundreds who submitted letters to the court describing the harm they had suffered.
“All of their stories were harrowing and reminded me again of the great losses that I’ve caused. I want to tell these victims that I am sorry,” Kwon said.
Ayyildiz Attila, one of the hundreds of victims who submitted letters to the court, said he lost between $400,000 and $500,000 in the collapse.
“My savings, my future, and the results of years of sacrifice disappeared. I struggled to keep up with payments and responsibilities, and everything I had worked forwas erased,” Attila said.
Kwon’s lawyer Sean Hecker said in an email after the sentencing that Kwon spoke from the heart, expressed genuine remorse and will continue his efforts to make amends.
US Attorney Jay Clayton in Manhattan said in a statement following the hearing that Kwon devised elaborate schemes to inflate the value of his cryptocurrencies and fled accountability when his crimes caught up to him.
Prosecutors had asked for a sentence of at least 12 years in prison, saying the crash of Kwon’s Terra cryptocurrency caused billions of dollars in losses and triggered a cascade of crises in the crypto market.
Kwon’s lawyers had asked that he be sentenced to no more than five years so he can return to South Korea to face criminal charges.
Prosecutors charged Kwon in January with nine criminal counts for securities fraud, wire fraud, commodities fraud and money laundering conspiracy.
Kwon was accused of misleading investors in 2021 about TerraUSD, a so-called stablecoin designed to maintain a value of $1. Prosecutors alleged that when TerraUSD slipped below its $1 peg in May 2021, Kwon told investors a computer algorithm known as “Terra Protocol” had restored the coin’s value.
Instead, Kwon arranged for a high-frequency trading firm to secretly buy millions of dollars of the token to artificially prop up its price, according to charging documents.
Kwon pleaded guilty in August to two counts, conspiracy to defraud and wire fraud, and apologized in court for his conduct.
“I made false and misleading statements about why it regained its peg by failing to disclose a trading firm’s role in restoring that peg,” Kwon said at the time. “What I did was wrong.”
Kwon agreed in 2024 to pay $80 million as a civil fine and be banned from crypto transactions as part of a $4.55 billion settlement he and Terraform reached with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
He also faces charges in South Korea. As part of his plea deal, prosecutors will not oppose Kwon’s potential application to be transferred abroad after serving half his US sentence.
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