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Bitcoin, Ethereum Tumble as CPI Report Points to Rising Inflation – Decrypt

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Bitcoin, Ethereum Tumble as CPI Report Points to Rising Inflation – Decrypt

Inflation accelerated once more in Could after slowing down in April, which may have a damaging impression on cryptocurrency markets already reeling from the Federal Reserve’s tighter financial coverage.

The Client Value Index (CPI) rose 8.6% within the 12 months by means of Could, which is the biggest 12-month enhance since December of 1981, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday.

The most important month-to-month features for CPI, an index that tracks value actions throughout a broad vary of products and companies, got here from shelter, meals, and gasoline. After dipping in April, the vitality index climbed 3.9% on a month-to-month foundation. The index for electrical energy elevated by 1.3% in Could, indicating the value of electrical energy has elevated by 12% inside the previous yr—which can increase the price of cryptocurrency mining.

“The upper value of vitality goes to make mining a costlier, much less worthwhile enterprise,” stated Jason Schenker, chief economist at Status Economics. “As for crypto on the whole, if you happen to see folks going into extra defensive belongings, that is not one thing I believe would favor crypto as effectively.”

If the Fed grows extra aggressive in elevating rates of interest, that might additional coax institutional traders out of the cryptocurrency market as they search much less unstable investments in treasuries and bonds. A selloff could be unhealthy for the costs of most digital belongings.

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Crypto market slips

At the moment, the broader crypto market took a success across the similar time because the BLS report’s launch. Bitcoin is down by 4.2% and Ethereum is down by over 7% over the previous 24 hours, in response to CoinMarketCap.

Different cryptocurrencies had been hit tougher, together with Solana (down 9%), Avalanche (down 10%), and Cardano, which has dropped by over 11% in the midst of the previous day.

“Now we have already seen institutional investing decelerate and the development is more likely to proceed,” stated Lucas Outumuro, head of analysis at IntoTheBlock, an information science firm specializing in crypto markets. “Bitcoin has not been an efficient inflation hedge to date as many thought, which was one of many key narratives pushing it ahead final yr. Nevertheless, at the moment’s value motion exhibits Bitcoin dropping lower than the Nasdaq and S&P, so if this development continues then establishments might reassess their stance.”

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Inflation is forcing households to be extra conscientious about how they spend their cash, and it particularly impacts these with much less revenue that spend extra of their funds on requirements, equivalent to meals and hire. Tighter budgets may need a dampening impact on the demand for digital belongings.

The Fed is strolling a tightrope as they increase rates of interest, making it costlier to borrow in an try to chill down shopper spending and the economic system. In the event that they increase rates of interest too aggressively it may tip the economic system right into a recession, and the most recent report offers them much less room to breathe.

Larger rates of interest additionally make it extra pricey for many companies to develop, having a pronounced impression on the expansion of tech corporations. The worth of Bitcoin has turn into more and more correlated with tech shares traded on Wall Avenue, in response to a report revealed in April by Arcane Analysis. That sample has continued by means of June, in response to information from blockchain analytics agency Chainalysis.

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Crypto

Sen. Bernie Moreno supports loosening regulations on some cryptocurrency assets

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Sen. Bernie Moreno supports loosening regulations on some cryptocurrency assets

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Bernie Moreno’s victory in the Ohio Senate race was a big win for the cryptocurrency industry, which spent more than $40 million supporting his candidacy. Now in office, Moreno said he would support legislation the industry is seeking that would govern how it is regulated.


What You Need To Know

  • Sen. Bernie Moreno said he would support new legislation to govern how the cryptocurrency industry is regulated
  • The crypto industry spent tens of millions of dollars to support Moreno in the Ohio Senate race
  • Moreno’s support of laws sought by crypto interests is a stark contrast from his Democrat predecessor, former Sen. Sherrod Brown

Moreno has long been involved with the crypto industry. He has a background in blockchain, the same technology used to for cryptocurrency. He previously founded Champ Titles, a digital car titling company that was among the first to use blockchain for digital titles.

The cryptocurrency industry also helped fuel his Senate win. Super PAC Defend American Jobs spent $40.1 million on the race, more than any other outside group. The super PAC is affiliated with Fairshake, another super PAC that is funded by Coinbase, Ripple and other crypto companies.

Moreno’s support of laws sought by crypto interests is a stark contrast from his Democrat predecessor, former Sen. Sherrod Brown.

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As Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, Brown blocked advancing a bill to loosen the regulation of some crypto assets, known as the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act, or FIT 21. The bill would reclassify many kinds of crypto as commodities rather than securities. Rules for commodities, examples of which include oil, wheat or electricity, are generally looser than those for financial securities like stocks or bonds. The bill passed the House last Congress, but remained stalled in the Senate Banking Committee.

Moreno now sits on the Banking Committee, as well as the Senate Committees for Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; Commerce, Science and Transportation; Budget; and Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs.

“I got the committee assignments I wanted,” Moreno said. “Senator Thune was kind enough to get me on Banking.”

Moreno disagreed with the stance Brown had taken against legislation like FIT 21, countering that the rapidly growing cryptocurrency industry needs better clarification on regulations.

“Crypto is not looking to be deregulated. Crypto is looking to be treated fairly, to have transparent, consistent regulations that treat everybody equally and fairly. That’s what we want,” he said. “Look, at the end of they day, I understand how the technology works and I understand the industry. My opponent had no idea.”

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With a new Congress, the House would have to re-introduce and pass another cryptocurrency regulation bill. FIT 21 previously received bipartisan support, with nearly all Republicans and about a third of Democrats voting for it.

Similar legislation would likely move more quickly this Congress, in which Republicans control the House, Senate and White House.

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Cryptocurrency options in 401(k) plans: Here's what to know to make the most of your workplace retirement plan

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Cryptocurrency options in 401(k) plans: Here's what to know to make the most of your workplace retirement plan

The rally in bitcoin and other cryptocurrency prices has generated excitement among some investors, but investment advisors are largely still skeptical that those volatile assets belong in a 401(k) plan or other qualified retirement savings plans.  

Crypto was one of the fastest-growing categories of exchange-traded funds in 2024. The most popular of these funds, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), has ballooned to over $50 billion in total assets.

Although crypto is a small part of the 401(k) plan market, it could grow substantially in 2025.

President-elect Donald Trump has suggested he will create a strategic reserve of bitcoin for the U.S. and has nominated Paul Atkins, a cryptocurrency advocate, to chair the Securities and Exchange Commission. The SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin and ethereum exchange-traded funds in 2024 was a key change for the industry. 

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Here’s a look at more stories on how to manage, grow and protect your money for the years ahead.

The law covering 401(k) plans requires plan sponsors to act as fiduciaries, or in investors’ best interest, by considering the risk of loss and potential gains of investments. The Labor Department has cautioned fiduciaries to exercise “extreme care” before adding crypto options to a 401(k) plan’s core investments. 

Labor Department officials, however, haven’t required fiduciaries to select and monitor all investment options, like those offered through self-directed brokerage windows, according to the Government Accountability Office. Nearly 40% of plans now offer brokerage windows in their 401(k) accounts, according to a 2023 survey by the Plan Sponsor Council of America. 

Pros and cons of crypto in a 401(k) plan

Fernando Gutierrez-Juarez | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Views are mixed about how much crypto to add to retirement savings or if it’s wise to allocate any at all. 

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Some financial advisors say crypto can work for a 401(k) plan because its movements are unconnected to the stock market and it functions even if a fiat currency is devalued.

“Crypto should be a part of a 401(k) plan because it’s a non-correlated alternative asset class,” said Ivory Johnson, a certified financial planner and founder of Delancey Wealth Management in Washington, D.C.

“With that said, investors need to ensure that they take their risk tolerance and time horizon into account which will define the target allocation,” said Johnson, who is also a member of the CNBC Financial Advisor Council. “The more volatile an asset class is, the less you need of it in the portfolio because you presumably get more bang for your buck.”

Johnson recommends cryptocurrencies range from 2% to 8% of an investor’s portfolio.  

Other experts point to volatility and risk as reasons to be conservative.

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“People saving for retirement should probably be even more conservative, because adding crypto to a 401(k) plan would significantly increase the risk that your retirement nest egg could suffer a large loss at the wrong time,” said Amy Arnott, a chartered financial analyst and portfolio strategist with Morningstar Research Services.

Morningstar found that since September 2015, bitcoin has been nearly five times as volatile as U.S. stocks, and ether nearly 10 times as volatile. That type of volatility adds a large risk to a portfolio even with a small amount invested.

401(k) contribution limits for 2025 

Regardless of what assets are in a 401(k) plan, there are limits to how much you can contribute. For 2025, an employee can contribute up to $23,500 in a 401(k) and other employer-sponsored plans — that’s $500 more than in 2024.

People age 50 or older can make a “catch-up contribution” of up to $7,500. And those age 60 to 63 years old can supersize that, with a catch-up contribution of up to $11,250 for 2025.

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Prospects for Improved Relations Between the Cryptocurrency Industry and Banks Under the Trump Administration

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Prospects for Improved Relations Between the Cryptocurrency Industry and Banks Under the Trump Administration

With just over two weeks left until Donald Trump takes office, there are prospects that the relationship between the cryptocurrency industry and the banking sector, which has been at odds, could change positively.

According to The Block, a cryptocurrency-focused media outlet, TD Cowen predicts that under the Trump administration, banks may see an improvement in their relationship with the cryptocurrency industry.

Jaret Seiberg and the Washington Research Group stated in a report, “Banks have the responsibility to comply with Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) regulations and manage risks such as liquidity and concentration,” adding, “If the Trump administration takes power, it is inevitable that the relationship between traditional finance and the cryptocurrency industry will change positively.”

However, they also mentioned that some banks may still take a cautious stance. They said, “Some banks may still see risks in increasing relationships with cryptocurrencies,” and “this could be targeted by new banks.” Additionally, stablecoins (assets linked to the value of fiat currency) were highlighted as the cryptocurrency sector that banks would be most interested in, as banks hold cash, making them advantageous for issuing stablecoins.

In the U.S., there has been ongoing conflict between the cryptocurrency industry and the traditional financial sector, particularly banks. There have been conspiracy theories suggesting that banks have implicitly enforced cryptocurrency-related sanctions, known as Operation Chokepoint 2.0. Some cryptocurrency figures have claimed that banks have tried to restrict access to traditional financial services for the cryptocurrency industry.

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Brian Armstrong, the founder of Coinbase, commented on Operation Chokepoint 2.0, saying, “It actually happened. Unethical and un-American actions occurred under the Biden administration,” and “We are currently gathering evidence from victims through the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA).”

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