Business
With gas prices sky-high, some would-be EV buyers are getting creative
Till the automobile keys have been in her hand, Bonnie Velasquez was fearful she may need stumbled into some sort of electrical automobile rip-off.
Velasquez was uninterested in ready for Tesla to construct the Mannequin 3 EV she had ordered however was turned off by costs for used Mannequin 3s that have been as excessive or greater than new ones. So how may a Santa Monica start-up named Autonomy inform her that every one they wanted for approval was her driver’s license?
Then it received much more attention-grabbing, Velasquez stated. Inside a day of that approval, she was advised to return decide up her new Mannequin 3 at a nondescript parking storage. Amid a bunch of shiny new Tesla Mannequin 3s was a grey one with a pink bow on it. That one was hers, Velasquez was advised.
“I didn’t even know how one can open the door. I had by no means even pushed a Tesla,” she stated. “In order that they confirmed me how, let me drive it just a little bit. Then they despatched me on my means.”
What Velasquez skilled is an enormous departure from the normal buy-or-lease route taken by practically all automobile customers. As a substitute, she used a subscription service to get the brand new EV, basically renting a automobile owned by Autonomy for a month-to-month payment, of $490, in Velasquez’ case, rather less than a direct lease from Tesla.
What ought to be a golden second for EVs could also be passing the trade by. Six-bucks-a-gallon gasoline should translate into a pointy rise of purchaser curiosity in electrical automobiles and vans, proper?
In truth, it has.
Too dangerous sellers don’t have sufficient electrical automobiles and vans obtainable to fulfill the surging demand.
“There’s simply not the provision for any sort of automobile — particularly EVs,” stated Brian Maas, president of the California New Automobile Sellers’ Assn.
EV seekers confess to all types of bizarre ways to land a automobile, comparable to haunting a number of ready lists or scouring distant dealerships for ignored EVs. Some drivers, comparable to these with the Chevy Bolt, have seen their leases expire with none new Bolts obtainable to interchange them.
“There’s a provide scarcity of automobiles on the whole. That gained’t shock you, nevertheless it’s extra so for EVs,” stated Joel Levin, government director at Plug In America, a nonprofit advocacy group.
“That’s due to the worth of fuel being so excessive that the demand for EVs has sort of spiked proper now,” Levin stated, including that supply-chain issues aren’t going away quickly. “What I’ve heard from the OEMs [original equipment manufacturers] is that we’re most likely in it by means of the top of the yr, at the very least.”
That’s potential income misplaced and a missed alternative for electrical automobiles to realize severe traction in a rustic that also overwhelmingly prefers motor automobiles powered by liquid gasoline inside combustion engines.
“Gasoline costs hit at a clumsy time,” stated Jessica Caldwell, analyst at Edmunds. Automobile consumers, going through near-record gasoline costs at a time of maximum inflation with little thought how lengthy such circumstances will final, started taking electrified automobiles extra significantly, in keeping with Edmunds knowledge. (See chart.) Automobiles.com tweeted that since late February shopper curiosity in EVs, primarily based on web site visits, elevated 173%.
However that curiosity most likely gained’t translate into a big improve in EV and plug-in hybrid gross sales, Caldwell stated, as a result of too few automobiles can be found for speedy sale.
Laptop chip shortages and supply-chain bottlenecks have created a list drought at auto dealerships throughout the nation — and world wide. Jaw-dropping worth will increase have resulted from the supply-and-demand imbalance. The common automobile promoting worth in August 2020 was about $38,000, in keeping with Kelley Blue Ebook; in February 2022, $46,085.
Electrical automobile prospects are sometimes placed on ready lists that may stretch for weeks or months, and a few sellers who do have automobiles in inventory are marking up the sticker worth by 1000’s of {dollars}. Some California sellers are including $8,000 to the roughly $50,000 sticker worth for the brand new Kia EV6 crossover.
Tesla has raised the bottom worth of its Mannequin 3 by $8,500, to $48,440 and Rivian boosted the tag on its new pickup truck by $12,000, to just about $80,000. Each corporations blamed rising prices because of inflation.
Even earlier than the chip and supply-chain issues, although, electrical automobile manufacturing was restricted for any carmaker not named Tesla. The most important purpose that Tesla dominates the electrical automobile trade is its big head begin in addressing the market. The corporate made interesting, longer-range, fun-to-drive automobiles when conventional automakers have been making an attempt to promote what critics known as souped-up golf carts, with little impact on {the marketplace} outdoors locations comparable to Santa Monica and Berkeley.
Tesla has been the one automobile producer to really improve manufacturing in comparison with a yr in the past. For now, it’s the corporate that Autonomy is relying on for its EV provide.
Therein lies a caveat for individuals who could be desirous about making an attempt the subscription service as a result of the one automobile Autonomy is dealing with is the Tesla Mannequin 3. Though Autonomy has a aim of buying 10,000 of them by the top of 2022, Autonomy co-founder Scott Painter stated, no different Teslas are at the moment obtainable to Autonomy, and the bottom mannequin is the one one prospects can get, not the long-range or efficiency variations.
One other caveat: Autonomy buys Teslas that prospects have given up ready for, which suggests decisions are restricted.
“Tesla has an attention-grabbing relationship with its prospects. You possibly can put down a deposit, have them construct you a automobile, after which you may renege in your deposit as much as and till the day you’re taking supply. These are the automobiles we’re shopping for on the MSRP,” Painter stated.
“We’re not leaping the road forward of anybody and taking their automobile,” he stated. “The one factor we did is go to Tesla and say, ‘We don’t care what colour, what tire and wheel package deal or what battery package deal you might have, we’ll simply purchase it if it falls out of manufacturing.’”
By way of manufacturing, the remainder of the trade is barely now starting to catch as much as Tesla with automobiles that carry extra broad attraction, such because the Hyundai Ioniq 5, the Kia EV6, and the Ford Mustang Mach-E. On the posh finish, Polestar and Lucid model automobiles and Rivian model vans can be found, however with a ready listing.
Different automobiles are within the near-term pipeline, together with the Ford F-150 Lightning pickup truck, the Volkswagen ID Buzz minivan and the Cadillac Lyriq luxurious crossover EV.
“The Lyriq is coming, nevertheless it’s not on the road but. The Mach-E is out on the road, however they’re not making 10,000 of them [a month], they’re making a couple of thousand,” Maas stated.
If provide weren’t an issue, early 2022 may need marked an inflection level for the auto trade — much like 1973, when Mideast battle and surging oil costs turned the American public on to small, fuel-efficient automobiles, giving Japanese fashions from Nissan, Honda and Toyota entree to the U.S. market, and forcing American automakers to, grudgingly, provide downsized automobiles of their very own.
If fuel costs stay excessive and provide issues are fastened, “the potential is there” for one more main shift, Maas stated. However these are large ifs.
Spencer Purves of Hudson, Ohio, is taking an enormous plunge into EVs. He’s ordered a brand new Ford F-150 Lightning, and he’s looking for an EV substitute for his spouse’s growing older Prius.
“My spouse commutes 75 miles a day,” he stated. “We did the numbers and we are able to purchase two electrical automobiles, hire a automobile for multi-state holidays” and nonetheless lower your expenses on gasoline.
His Ford seller didn’t add a markup to his Lightning order, however as he retailers for the opposite automobile, he’s discovering provides are quick and lots of sellers are marking up costs. He’s received his eye on a Hyundai Ioniq 5 crossover. However he’s in no rush. “Hopefully, provide will decide up in some unspecified time in the future.”
Whereas new EVs and plug-in hybrids are briefly provide, conventional hybrids, which enhance fuel mileage with a battery and electrical motor however don’t should be plugged in, could also be simpler to search out, particularly within the used automobile market.
“Individuals don’t should go full battery electrical. Persons are more and more contemplating hybrids as a bridge technique,” Caldwell stated. Older, lower-range, much less highly effective, however well-reviewed automobiles such because the Nissan Leaf populate used automobile heaps at (comparatively) discount costs.
Signing up for month-to-month utilization by means of Autonomy or related subscription providers is one other bridge technique.
One Autonomy buyer who made an enormous way of life change is Brian Pennington of Torrance, a 53-year-old self-professed nation boy who stated large pickup vans have been his normal for a few years. The most recent is his 2018 Ram 1500 with a whopping 5.7-liter HEMI engine.
However he’s been filling up two or thrice every week due to his job as a development website security supervisor. Gasoline costs made him attain for an answer he’d by no means thought of earlier than.
“The final time I crammed up was $137, I’m not mendacity to you,” Pennington stated. “I received so mad the final time I crammed up. … I stated, ‘I don’t care what it’s. I’m going to get an electrical automobile.”
The change. he stated, has been overwhelming.
“I’ve had a truck my total life. Getting used to one thing this new for me is unbelievable.”
For Velasquez, what was unbelievable was getting her arms on a brand new Tesla at a time when forces are conspiring to make EVs extra fascinating and tougher to get than ever.
Driving off with hers, she stated, “I felt like I used to be stealing one thing.”
Business
Downtown Los Angeles Macy's is among 150 locations to close
The downtown Los Angeles Macy’s department store, situated on 7th Street and a cornerstone of retail in the area, will shut down as the company prepares to close 150 underperforming locations in an effort to revamp and modernize its business.
The iconic retail center announced this week the first 66 closures, including nine in California spanning from Sacramento to San Diego. Stores will also close in Florida, New York and Georgia, among other states. The closures are part of a broader company strategy to bolster sustainability and profitability.
Macy’s is not alone in its plan to slim down and rejuvenate sales. The retailer Kohl’s announced on Friday that it would close 27 poor performing stores by April, including 10 in California and one in the Los Angeles neighborhood of Westchester. Kohl’s will also shut down its San Bernardino e-commerce distribution center in May.
“Kohl’s continues to believe in the health and strength of its profitable store base” and will have more than 1,100 stores remaining after the closures, the company said in a statement.
Macy’s announced its plan last February to end operations at roughly 30% of its stores by 2027, following disappointing quarterly results that included a $71-million loss and nearly 2% decline in sales. The company will invest in its remaining 350 stores, which have the potential to “generate more meaningful value,” according to a release.
“We are closing underproductive Macy’s stores to allow us to focus our resources and prioritize investments in our go-forward stores, where customers are already responding positively to better product offerings and elevated service,” Chief Executive Tony Spring said in a statement. “Closing any store is never easy.”
Macy’s brick-and-mortar locations also faced a setback in January 2024, when the company announced the closures of five stores, including the location at Simi Valley Town Center. At the same time, Macy’s said it would layoff 3.5% of its workforce, equal to about 2,350 jobs.
Farther north, Walgreens announced this week that it would shutter 12 stores across San Francisco due to “increased regulatory and reimbursement pressures,” CBS News reported.
Business
The justices are expected to rule quickly in the case.
When the Supreme Court hears arguments on Friday over whether protecting national security requires TikTok to be sold or closed, the justices will be working in the shadow of three First Amendment precedents, all influenced by the climate of their times and by how much the justices trusted the government.
During the Cold War and in the Vietnam era, the court refused to credit the government’s assertions that national security required limiting what newspapers could publish and what Americans could read. More recently, though, the court deferred to Congress’s judgment that combating terrorism justified making some kinds of speech a crime.
The court will most likely act quickly, as TikTok faces a Jan. 19 deadline under a law enacted in April by bipartisan majorities. The law’s sponsors said the app’s parent company, ByteDance, is controlled by China and could use it to harvest Americans’ private data and to spread covert disinformation.
The court’s decision will determine the fate of a powerful and pervasive cultural phenomenon that uses a sophisticated algorithm to feed a personalized array of short videos to its 170 million users in the United States. For many of them, and particularly younger ones, TikTok has become a leading source of information and entertainment.
As in earlier cases pitting national security against free speech, the core question for the justices is whether the government’s judgments about the threat TikTok is said to pose are sufficient to overcome the nation’s commitment to free speech.
Senator Mitch McConnell, Republican of Kentucky, told the justices that he “is second to none in his appreciation and protection of the First Amendment’s right to free speech.” But he urged them to uphold the law.
“The right to free speech enshrined in the First Amendment does not apply to a corporate agent of the Chinese Communist Party,” Mr. McConnell wrote.
Jameel Jaffer, the executive director of the Knight First Amendment Institute at Columbia University, said that stance reflected a fundamental misunderstanding.
“It is not the government’s role to tell us which ideas are worth listening to,” he said. “It’s not the government’s role to cleanse the marketplace of ideas or information that the government disagrees with.”
The Supreme Court’s last major decision in a clash between national security and free speech was in 2010, in Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project. It concerned a law that made it a crime to provide even benign assistance in the form of speech to groups said to engage in terrorism.
One plaintiff, for instance, said he wanted to help the Kurdistan Workers’ Party find peaceful ways to protect the rights of Kurds in Turkey and to bring their claims to the attention of international bodies.
When the case was argued, Elena Kagan, then the U.S. solicitor general, said courts should defer to the government’s assessments of national security threats.
“The ability of Congress and of the executive branch to regulate the relationships between Americans and foreign governments or foreign organizations has long been acknowledged by this court,” she said. (She joined the court six months later.)
The court ruled for the government by a 6-to-3 vote, accepting its expertise even after ruling that the law was subject to strict scrutiny, the most demanding form of judicial review.
“The government, when seeking to prevent imminent harms in the context of international affairs and national security, is not required to conclusively link all the pieces in the puzzle before we grant weight to its empirical conclusions,” Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. wrote for the majority.
In its Supreme Court briefs defending the law banning TikTok, the Biden administration repeatedly cited the 2010 decision.
“Congress and the executive branch determined that ByteDance’s ownership and control of TikTok pose an unacceptable threat to national security because that relationship could permit a foreign adversary government to collect intelligence on and manipulate the content received by TikTok’s American users,” Elizabeth B. Prelogar, the U.S. solicitor general, wrote, “even if those harms had not yet materialized.”
Many federal laws, she added, limit foreign ownership of companies in sensitive fields, including broadcasting, banking, nuclear facilities, undersea cables, air carriers, dams and reservoirs.
While the court led by Chief Justice Roberts was willing to defer to the government, earlier courts were more skeptical. In 1965, during the Cold War, the court struck down a law requiring people who wanted to receive foreign mail that the government said was “communist political propaganda” to say so in writing.
That decision, Lamont v. Postmaster General, had several distinctive features. It was unanimous. It was the first time the court had ever held a federal law unconstitutional under the First Amendment’s free expression clauses.
It was the first Supreme Court opinion to feature the phrase “the marketplace of ideas.” And it was the first Supreme Court decision to recognize a constitutional right to receive information.
That last idea figures in the TikTok case. “When controversies have arisen,” a brief for users of the app said, “the court has protected Americans’ right to hear foreign-influenced ideas, allowing Congress at most to require labeling of the ideas’ origin.”
Indeed, a supporting brief from the Knight First Amendment Institute said, the law banning TikTok is far more aggressive than the one limiting access to communist propaganda. “While the law in Lamont burdened Americans’ access to specific speech from abroad,” the brief said, “the act prohibits it entirely.”
Zephyr Teachout, a law professor at Fordham, said that was the wrong analysis. “Imposing foreign ownership restrictions on communications platforms is several steps removed from free speech concerns,” she wrote in a brief supporting the government, “because the regulations are wholly concerned with the firms’ ownership, not the firms’ conduct, technology or content.”
Six years after the case on mailed propaganda, the Supreme Court again rejected the invocation of national security to justify limiting speech, ruling that the Nixon administration could not stop The New York Times and The Washington Post from publishing the Pentagon Papers, a secret history of the Vietnam War. The court did so in the face of government warnings that publishing would imperil intelligence agents and peace talks.
“The word ‘security’ is a broad, vague generality whose contours should not be invoked to abrogate the fundamental law embodied in the First Amendment,” Justice Hugo Black wrote in a concurring opinion.
The American Civil Liberties Union told the justices that the law banning TikTok “is even more sweeping” than the prior restraint sought by the government in the Pentagon Papers case.
“The government has not merely forbidden particular communications or speakers on TikTok based on their content; it has banned an entire platform,” the brief said. “It is as though, in Pentagon Papers, the lower court had shut down The New York Times entirely.”
Mr. Jaffer of the Knight Institute said the key precedents point in differing directions.
“People say, well, the court routinely defers to the government in national security cases, and there is obviously some truth to that,” he said. “But in the sphere of First Amendment rights, the record is a lot more complicated.”
Business
How the devastating Los Angeles fires could deepen California's home insurance crisis
When raging wildfires tore through Pacific Palisades and other local communities this week, they not only left a path of destruction reminiscent of a World War II bombing campaign, but threatened to deepen a crisis that has already left hundreds of thousands of Californians struggling to find and keep affordable homeowners insurance.
The multiple fires from Los Angeles to the San Gabriel Valley that have burned thousands of structures since Tuesday — leading to losses that by one early estimate are well into the tens of billions of dollars — hit Southern California as insurers have been dropping customers statewide citing the increasing number and severity of wildfire-related losses.
The Palisades fire alone, which consumed more than 5,000 homes and structures, is being called the most destructive fire ever to hit the city, while the fires across the county are likely to be one of the most expensive natural disasters in U.S. history.
“It’s just an unmitigated disaster,” said Amy Bach, executive director of United Policyholders, a consumer advocacy group. “Wildfires in January? This just proves insurers’ point that the risk is so significantly increased due to climate change.”
State Farm, the state’s largest home insurer, announced in March it would not renew 72,000 property insurance policies, while Chubb and its subsidiaries stopped writing new high-value homes with higher wildfire risk — just to name two insurers that pulled back from the California market.
It’s not clear how many homeowners in Pacific Palisades and elsewhere might not have had coverage, but at least some homeowners reported that insurers had not renewed their policies before the disaster struck. Actor James Woods, who lost his home in the Palisades fire, tweeted Tuesday that “one of the major insurances companies canceled all the policies in our neighborhood about four months ago.”
State Farm last year told the Department of Insurance it would not renew 1,626 policies in Pacific Palisades when they expired, starting last July.
A spokesperson for State Farm declined to comment on the decision but said: “Our number one priority right now is the safety of our customers, agents and employees impacted by the fires and assisting our customers in the midst of this tragedy.”
The situation has left many homeowners in neighborhoods at high wildfire risk with little choice but to seek relief from the California FAIR Plan, an insurer of last resort that sells policies with lesser coverage. The policies cover losses up to $3 million to a dwelling and its contents caused by certain hazards, such as fire, but do not include personal liability and other protection that are typically offered by private insurers.
The FAIR Plan has seen its policies grow from a little over 200,000 in September 2020 to more than 450,000 as of last September. That has roughly tripled its loss exposure to $458 billion over the same period. Pacific Palisades has one of the state’s highest concentrations of FAIR Plan policy holders, with the insurer estimating its exposure in the neighborhood at $5.89 billion.
JP Morgan analysts estimate that total L.A. County losses could be close to $50 billion, while the losses insurers will have to pay could top $20 billion. Another estimate puts the losses even higher.
Such losses could cause insurers to exit the market completely, which Tokio Marine America Insurance Co. and Trans Pacific Insurance Co. said in April they would do in not renewing 12,556 homeowners.
The losses also could prompt insurers to further raise premiums, even though some insurers already have been granted big rate hikes, such as a 34% increase Allstate received last year.
Denise Rappmund, senior analyst at Moody’s Ratings, said, “These events will continue to have widespread, negative impacts for the state’s broader insurance market — increased recovery costs will likely drive up premiums and may reduce property insurance availability.”
Should insurers further withdraw from the market, that would put additional pressure on the FAIR Plan, which is is backed by the state’s licensed insurers, such as State Farm, who have to pay claims if they exceed the FAIR Plans reserves, reinsurance and catastrophe bonding. The insurers also can assess their own policyholders surcharges in the billions of dollars to bail out the plan under regulations put in place last year by Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara as part of his Sustainable Insurance Strategy to help the crippled market.
It’s unclear whether the plan will be able to absorb the losses like it did after the 2018 Camp fire that destroyed the town of Paradise in North California. That conflagration was the single costliest natural disaster in the world that year with $12.5 billion in covered losses and $16.5 billion in total losses, according to the reinsurance firm, Munich RE.
“This further complicates an already complicated and hardened market,” Lara said of the fires, in an interview with The Times.
Nonetheless, Lara’s reforms seek to ensure the FAIR Plan remains solvent and to make it more attractive for insurers to write policies in fire risky neighborhoods now being absorbed by the program. He said the regulations should encourage insurers to write more homeowners policies, and if not, they can be adjusted. “I feel very confident,” he said.
For the first time, California insurers can use so-called “catastrophe models” in setting their rates. Instead of largely relying on past claims data, the computer programs attempt to better refine an insurer’s risk by taking into account a multitude of variables that affect a property’s likelihood to suffer a loss.
The other major policy change allows insurers to charge California homeowners for the cost of reinsurance they buy from other insurers to limit their losses during huge catastrophes, such as wildfires and floods. This cost shift to policyholders is common elsewhere but a big change for California, where it will raise premiums.
In return for those concessions, insurers will have to write insurance in high-risk wildfire neighborhoods equivalent to 85% of their market share, meaning an insurer with a 10% statewide market share would have to cover 8.5% of the homes in such neighborhoods — a target they have at least two years to reach. Lara’s plan has been blasted by the Los Angeles group, Consumer Watchdog, which says the regulations lack teeth in actually requiring insurers to meet the coverage goals.
“The Sustainable Insurance Strategy is not a magic wand. It’s a set of incentives,” Bach said. “At the end of the day, insurers are always still going to analyze, ‘Are we going to make money here or not?’”
How much this week’s fires will disrupt the already troubled insurance market depends, of course, on how big a disaster they are — but all indications are that insurers will have to absorb billions of dollars of claims given the number of homes destroyed, especially in the wealthy enclave of Pacific Palisades, where the average home is valued at about $3.5 million by Zillow.
Insurance industry experts say a clearer picture on the estimated losses will only come after adjusters have time to review submitted claims.
“I think it’s going to be 45 days before we know what the true damage is,” said Max Gilman, president of California personal lines at the brokerage HUB International.
Whatever the final cost, Gilman noted that the fires came after a couple of relatively light fire seasons — though in November the Mountain fire in Ventura County scorched more than some 20,640 acres and destroyed more than 130 homes amid parched conditions. That made it at the time the third most destructive fire in Southern California in a decade.
“I think what’s currently transpiring is going to be of grave concern for the future,” he said. “I feel like we we took three steps forward to take five steps back.”
Denne Ritter, a vice president with the American Property Casualty Insurance Assn. trade group, said it is too early to assess the impact of the fires on Lara’s reforms, especially given how they are just being put in place. Only one catastrophe model has been submitted for review to regulators, while the reinsurance regulation released last month still awaits final approval by the Office of Administrative Law.
“What the insurance industry wants is a healthy market in California where we can compete for business, as we have historically. And the number one priority right now is helping our customers get the resources they need to rebuild their lives and restore their property,” she said.
However, she noted that Mercury Insurance — which recently announced it started writing insurance again in Paradise — and Farmers Insurance, which said last month it is increasing the number of new home policies it will write, have “certainly made moves indicating a more bullish approach on the market.”
Allstate also has said it will resume writing new policies once Lara’s reforms are in place and it can get rates that fully cover its costs.
But all those pronouncements came before this week’s catastrophic fires.
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