Business
High gas prices hurt. But here’s how diesel prices are slamming your wallet in hidden ways
For those who’re questioning what’s swelling the value of every part you purchase, the price of a gallon of diesel is an efficient place to begin.
Document gasoline and diesel costs throughout the nation are a significant contributor to the form of inflation not seen in 40 years, and it’s worse in California, the place each fuels price greater than wherever else within the nation.
For motorists, each go to to the gasoline pump brings a recent serving to of ache. However shoppers additionally ought to fear about how diesel, one thing most individuals by no means purchase, is quietly denting their wallets.
That’s as a result of diesel runs the world’s financial engine, and the gas’s worth has soared quicker and better than gasoline.
“Individuals needs to be very involved. This may ripple by way of the financial system,” stated economist Philip Ok. Verleger Jr., who has analyzed vitality markets for greater than 50 years.
Gasoline and diesel have been dragged larger by oil’s steep rise after Russia invaded Ukraine and the U.S. banned Russian petroleum merchandise. Brisk demand for each fuels has added to the bounce.
The U.S. diesel worth jumped Monday to $5.57 a gallon, up from $3.25 a 12 months earlier, based on the Power Division’s weekly survey, though massive trucking operations have some safety from sudden worth surges by way of contracts with suppliers.
Within the U.S., vehicles and trains are the most important diesel customers. They transfer many of the merchandise shoppers use in addition to uncooked supplies headed to producers, constructing websites and the like, Verleger stated, placing upward strain on costs all alongside the provision chain.
Diesel additionally powers main sectors together with agriculture, building and manufacturing. Even your favourite meals truck might be operating on diesel, which goes to make your cellular consolation meals price extra.
To know how diesel costs are hitting shoppers, take a look at trucking operations equivalent to Liberty Linehaul West.
The Montebello firm is spending a mean of $1,340 per truck, up from $770 a 12 months in the past, to fill its 50 massive rigs with diesel, President Greg Dubuque stated. For vehicles on California-only routes, the associated fee is considerably larger as a result of all gas — whether or not diesel for an 18-wheeler or gasoline for a passenger automobile — prices far more within the Golden State than wherever else within the U.S.
As a result of Dubuque is paying a lot extra for diesel, shoppers are prone to pay extra for every part the corporate delivers.
And Liberty Linehaul delivers so much, with lots of its rigs shuttling between monumental warehouses and retailers of all sizes throughout the U.S. and Canada. In these hundreds are gadgets as small as jewellery or as massive as furnishings. One other frequent supply is clothes.
What’s extra, almost all of these merchandise arrived on the warehouse from abroad by way of cargo ship (utilizing diesel throughout a part of the voyage) and diesel-guzzling truck.
Liberty Linehaul additionally does a wholesome enterprise bringing rigging, lighting and audio gear to main leisure occasions, which provides strain on promoters to extend ticket costs.
“We try to handle it as finest as we are able to, however it’s tearing into us,” stated Dubuque, who additionally chairs the California Trucking Assn. “As an trade, we’ve by no means seen something like this. It’s laborious to maintain tempo as that worth goes up, and it’s affected our backside line by a minimal of 12%.”
The trucking group’s diesel-dependent members transport an excellent wider array of issues than does Liberty Linehaul, Dubuque stated, just about “any product that should get from one level to a different.” The checklist contains meals, gas, medical gear, processor chips and automobiles.
Walmart and Goal final week cited surprisingly excessive gas prices as a think about quarterly earnings that fell wanting Wall Avenue expectations, and the shares of each retailers plunged. Executives from the retail giants stated unexpectedly larger gas and different prices are translating into larger costs for consumers.
At Walmart, which owns a fleet of seven,400 diesel vehicles, U.S. gas prices ran greater than $160 million larger than the corporate had forecast, Chief Government Doug McMillon advised analysts.
“We typically handed on price will increase from suppliers on the class price of products stage, however gas prices accelerated throughout the quarter quicker than we had been capable of cross them by way of,” McMillon stated.
Skyrocketing gas prices, after all, aren’t the one motive for Eighties-style inflation. Provide-chain issues, brisk client demand and rising labor prices all have a hand in the issue, because the Nationwide Retail Federation famous in its newest month-to-month financial report.
Here’s a sampling of industries affected by surging diesel costs and the way a few of these larger prices attain shoppers:
Agriculture
American agriculture will depend on diesel to energy most heavy-duty farm gear.
The plows that put together the soil for planting run on diesel. Tillage machines that break up and aerate the soil and machines that fertilize it use diesel. Planting and seeding gear want diesel. As soon as the meals is grown, alongside come the harvesters, which function on — you guessed it — diesel.
Excessive diesel costs additional complicate farmers’ monetary image, Verleger stated.
“Farmers pay for the diesel, plant, hope that the crops come out, hope the costs are OK,” he stated. “Now they won’t have sufficient money, and the banks could not present them the money to purchase all of the gas they want. They might plant smaller crops, which all meaning is the meals costs are going to be even larger.”
Development
Diesel is the workhorse of the development sector, representing 98% of the trade’s vitality consumption, based on the Diesel Expertise Discussion board, a commerce group that promotes diesel expertise. Makes use of embody heavy-duty gear equivalent to excavators for digging foundations, graders for transferring soil and pile drivers for strengthening foundations.
Take into account the standard workplace constructing. It might require the elimination of three to 4 tales price of soil, hauled by diesel vehicles. Cranes, operating on diesel, assist staff assemble the construction’s body. All the gear wanted to run an workplace constructing will get there by diesel truck.
New house building is affected too, together with that granny flat or expanded kitchen you’ve been planning.
These home equipment you ordered however are nonetheless ready for? As soon as they lastly arrive, they’ll be delivered by diesel truck.
Manufacturing and mining
Diesel is a basic gas of mining and manufacturing, in addition to logging, the Diesel Expertise Discussion board stated.
Greater than 60% of U.S. mining and gas manufacturing gear is diesel-powered, the group stated.
Producers use a variety of diesel-powered gear to, because the Diesel Expertise Discussion board put it, “create the products and companies Individuals use in on a regular basis life.” For instance, diesel usually fires steam boilers utilized in chemical vegetation and textile factories, based on the Nationwide Renewable Power Laboratory.
Many industrial amenities even have diesel mills for backup energy provide, a use shared by institutional amenities, hospitals, workplace buildings and electrical utilities, based on the Power Division.
Transportation
The trade that strikes you, your kids and your stuff nonetheless will depend on diesel regardless of some inroads by various fuels and electrical automobiles.
Greater than 80% of U.S. items are imported, authorities knowledge present, which implies they most likely obtained right here on a ship or truck. Airplanes fly on jet gas, however air freight operations depend on diesel lifts and automobiles to maneuver planes round, based on the Diesel Techology Discussion board.
In California, greater than 80% of all client items are delivered by diesel vehicles, based on the California Trucking Assn. Nationwide, 76% of all business automobiles and 98% of all massive rigs use diesel, the Diesel Expertise discussion board stated.
Meaning your late-night e-commerce behavior and your subsequent mall run might price you extra as a result of diesel prices extra.
Shifting into a brand new house or condominium? Anticipate the truck carrying your belongings to be powered by diesel.
A number of the most treasured cargo contains kids, and 95% of all faculty buses are nonetheless powered by diesel, based on enterprise analytics agency IHS Markit. You don’t care since you don’t have children? You’re nonetheless paying for public schooling together with your taxes.
Eight-four p.c of U.S. transit buses burn diesel, the Diesel Techology Discussion board stated. Practically the entire nation’s 23,000 locomotives, carrying freight or folks, slurp diesel.
Why diesel will keep costly
Diesel costs will most likely stay excessive for longer than gasoline costs as a result of diesel inventories have fallen to multiyear lows, stated Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum evaluation for Gasoline Buddy. Power Division knowledge launched Tuesday confirmed inventories of distillates, a class that features diesel, sit 22% beneath the five-year common for this time of 12 months.
California brings its personal issues to the desk. De Haan stated, as a result of diesel manufacturing on the state’s refineries is down 26%. California’s strict air-quality rules dictate cleaner-burning fuels than is produced in many of the U.S., and few refineries outdoors the state make the distinctive blends.
As well as, the embargo on Russian oil imports has hit California in a approach that hasn’t affected different states as a lot.
“Russia bought the U.S. 800,000 barrels a day of oil merchandise, principally semi-refined heavy oil, which California refineries love as a result of it’s already been partially processed,” De Haan stated. California refineries have had issue changing the Russian merchandise at a comparable worth, he stated.
Power economist Verleger has a protracted view, considering the cyclical nature of vitality markets and the financial system.
“The diesel factor is it’s fairly critical, and I feel I understand how it’s going to resolve itself,” he stated. “I feel a 12 months from now, we’re going to be trying and saying, ‘How did we get into this unhealthy recession?’ ”
Business
How Poshmark Is Trying to Make Resale Work Again
Lauren Eager got into thrifting in high school. It was a way to find cheap, interesting clothes while not contributing to the wastefulness of fast fashion.
In 2015, in her first year of college, she downloaded the app for Poshmark, a kind of Instagram-meets-eBay resale platform. Soon, she was selling as well as buying clothes.
This was the golden age of online reselling. In addition to Poshmark, companies like ThredUp and Depop had sprung up, giving a second life to old clothes. In 2016, Facebook debuted Marketplace. Even Goodwill got into the action, starting a snazzy website.
The platforms tapped into two consumer trends: buying stuff online and the never-gets-old delight of snagging a gently used item for a fraction of the original cost. During the Covid-19 pandemic, as people cleaned out their closets, enthusiasm for reselling intensified. It was so strong that Poshmark decided to go public. On the day of its initial public offering in January 2021, the company’s market value peaked at $7.4 billion, roughly the same as PVH’s, the company that owns Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, at the time.
Then, the business of old clothes started to fray.
Using the Poshmark app, Ms. Eager and others said, started to feel like trying to find something in a messy closet. The app was cluttered with features that did not work or that she did not use, and it felt “spammy,” she said, sending too many push notifications.
Many platforms found selling used items hard to scale. Now, online resellers are trying to recalibrate. Last year, ThredUp decided to exit Europe and focus on selling in the United States. Trove, a company that helps brands like Canada Goose and Steve Madden resell their goods, purchased a competitor, Recurate. The RealReal, a luxury consignor, appointed a new chief executive as the company tried to improve profitability.
Poshmark is undergoing perhaps the biggest reinvention. In 2023, Naver, South Korea’s biggest search engine as well as an online marketplace, bought the company in a deal valued at $1.6 billion, less than half its IPO price.
Something of a mash-up of Google and Amazon, Naver is betting it can rebuild Poshmark, which has 130 million active users, with the same technology that made Naver dominant in its own country.
It may also help breathe new life into the resale market. Analysts think the resale fashion market still has room to grow in the United States, with revenue expected to increase 26 percent to $36.3 billion by 2028, according to the retail consultancy firm Coresight Research.
New legislation in California could help. The law, passed last year, requires brands and retailers that operate in the state and generate at least $1 million to set up a “producer responsibility organization” to collect and then reuse, repair or recycle its products. Resale platforms like ThredUp and Poshmark could be in a position to help brands carry out that mandate.
At the moment, though, Naver’s focus for Poshmark is more basic: Make it a better place to sell and shop. The company has the “operating know-how” to do that, said Philip Lee, a founder of the media outlet The Pickool, which covers both South Korean and U.S. tech companies.
“They’re trying to renovate Poshmark and then expand the market share,” he said.
A Marriage of Search and Commerce
Poshmark, which is based in Redwood City, Calif., was founded in 2011 by Manish Chandra, an entrepreneur and former tech executive, and three others. In trying to expand, Poshmark faced a problem common to resellers: Capturing the excitement of the secondhand-shopping treasure hunt while not frustrating buyers with an endless scroll. The company knew it needed better search, as well as interactive elements that gave people more reasons to come beyond paying $19 for a J. Crew sweater.
For its part, Naver was looking for ways to push beyond South Korea, where its commerce and search businesses were already mature. The growing online resale market in the United States presented an opportunity, and also gave the company access to the largest consumer market in the world.
“Commerce is a big growth engine for us,” Namsun Kim, Naver’s chief financial officer, said. And the peer-to-peer sector, where users sell to one another, was still in its infancy, with room to expand. But, Mr. Kim added, “it’s a more challenging segment, and that’s why it’s harder for a lot of the larger players to enter.”
There are two common business models for resale: peer-to-peer and consignment. With consignment, a platform collects and redistributes physical goods. Poshmark uses the peer-to-peer model, which relies on scores of people — many of them novices — haggling over prices and then mailing items to one another. This decentralization can be a headache for brands, which like to maintain a certain level of control of their products. And platforms like Poshmark must make buyers comfortable with trusting the sellers on their site.
Before the Naver purchase, it was difficult to push through needed technological changes, said Vanessa Wong, the vice president of product at Poshmark.
“I would always talk to my engineers and ask, ‘What if we do this or do that?’ They’re like, ‘That’s hard. The effort’s really high,’” Ms. Wong said.
Naver’s purchase offered both the investment and the expertise to pull off the changes. Founded in 1999, the company is everywhere in South Korea.
“We are not just a simple search technology or A.I. service,” said Soo-yeon Choi, the chief executive of Naver, whose headquarters are near Seoul. The company, she said, “alleviates the frustrations of people, which is what is needed to help growth.”
Search built Naver “into the massive power that they are in Korea,” said Mr. Chandra, who stayed on as chief executive after Naver’s purchase. It was the top priority when the company bought Poshmark.
Several new elements for users and sellers have been introduced. With a tool called Posh Lens, users can take a photo of an item and, using Naver’s machine-learning technology, the site populates listings that are the same or similar to the shoe or tank top that they’re searching for. A paid ad feature for sellers called “Promoted Closet,” pushes listings higher on customer feeds.
Poshmark also introduced live shows, some of which are themed, to draw in the TikTok generation and increase engagement. One party auctioned off clothing previously worn by South Korean celebrities, a connection that was made with the help of Naver.
Still, the resale market is going through growing pains and has not quite found its footing since the height of the pandemic. It’s not clear whether the changes taking place at Poshmark will be enough. In May, Mr. Kim, Naver’s finance chief, said in an earnings call that Poshmark’s profitability was improving, but by November, the company was cautioning that growth had slowed because of weakness in the peer-to-peer resale market in North America.
Missteps and Reinvention
The company has already done some backpedaling on unpopular decisions.
In October, Poshmark introduced a new fee structure, which increased costs for buyers. Sellers, fearing that higher costs would make consumers bolt, revolted. Within weeks, the company scrapped the new fee structure.
And there are still user headaches: tags and keywords that help users find what they’re looking for can be miscategorized. Sellers sometimes tag their products incorrectly to get more eyeballs on their less popular products. (Hard-to-offload Amazon leggings, for example, may be listed as Free People apparel.)
The company is beta testing changes with its frequent sellers — people like Alex Mahl, who sells thousands of dollars in apparel on the site each year. And within dedicated Facebook groups related to Poshmark, there’s a lot of chatter about the changes that sellers and buyers would still like to see.
“The only way for it to do well is there’s going to be constant changes,” Ms. Mahl said about the tweaks on Poshmark. “If you were just on an app that never changed — one, it would be boring, and two, the opportunity to just do better wouldn’t be there.”
One recent morning, Ms. Eager, the seller who joined Poshmark back in college, was pleasantly surprised to find that the app had some new features she actually liked. She snapped a photo of her Aerie gray tank top with Posh Lens. Within seconds, the app populated listings of similar products. It was so much better than conjuring up the adjectives needed to describe it.
“Love it,” Ms. Eager exclaimed.
Business
When receipts of home renovations are lost, is the tax break gone too?
Dear Liz: I have sold my family home recently after almost 50 years. I had done lots of improvements throughout those years. Due to a fire 15 years ago, all the documentation for these improvements has been destroyed. How do I document the improvements for the capital gains tax calculation?
Answer: As you probably know, you can exclude $250,000 of capital gains from the sale of a principal residence as long as you own and live in the home at least two of the previous five years. The exclusion is $500,000 for a couple.
Once upon a time, that meant few homeowners had to worry about capital gains taxes on the sale of their home. But the exclusion amounts haven’t changed since they were created in 1997, even as home values have soared. Qualifying home improvements can be used to increase your tax basis in the home and thus decrease your tax bill, but the IRS probably will demand proof of those changes should you be audited.
You could ask any contractors you used who are still in business if they will provide written verification of the work they performed, suggests Mark Luscombe, principal analyst for Wolters Kluwer Tax & Accounting. You also could check your home’s history with your property tax assessor to see if its assessment was adjusted to reflect any of the improvements.
At a minimum, prepare a list from memory of the improvements you made, including the year and the approximate cost. If you don’t have pictures of the house reflecting the changes, perhaps friends and relatives might. This won’t be the best evidence, Luscombe concedes, but it might get the IRS to accept at least some increase in your tax basis.
If you’re a widow or widower, there’s another tax break you should know about. At least part of your home would have gotten a step-up in tax basis if you were married and your co-owner spouse died. In most states, the half owned by the deceased spouse would get a new tax basis reflecting the home’s current market value. In community property states such as California, both halves of the house get this step-up. A tax pro can provide more details.
Other homeowners should take note of the importance of keeping good digital records. While documents may not be lost in a fire, they may be misplaced, accidentally discarded or (in the case of receipts) so faded they’re illegible. To make sure documents are available when you need them, consider scanning or taking photographs of your records and keeping multiple copies, such as one set in your computer and another in a secure cloud account.
When an employee is misclassified as contractor
Dear Liz: A parent recently wrote to you about a son who was being paid as a contractor. I know someone else who got a job that did not “take out taxes from his paycheck.” Such workers believe they are pocketing more money, but unfortunately, too many do not know about the nature of withholding. They only learn if they choose to file for their expected refund, but instead discover an exorbitant tax liability that a paycheck-to-paycheck worker cannot pay.
The sad fact is that many of these employers improperly classify their workers, who are truly employees, as independent contractors! And they do this to avoid paying their own portion of Social Security and unemployment taxes and also workers compensation insurance.
If workers believe that they have been misclassified (the IRS website provides all criteria), they can file IRS Form SS-8 and Form 8919, which will allow them to pay only their allocated half of their Social Security taxes. Hopefully the IRS will then contact these employers to correct their wrong classifications. And finally, it should be a law that, when hired, all true independent contractors should be given a clear form (not fine print on their employment agreements) that informs them of their status and the need to make estimated tax payments.
Answer: A big factor in determining whether a worker is an employee or contractor is control. Who controls what the worker does and how the worker does the job? The more control that’s in the employer’s hands, the more likely the worker is an employee.
However, the IRS notes that there are no hard and fast rules and that “factors which are relevant in one situation may not be relevant in another.”
The form you mentioned, IRS Form SS-8, also can be filed by any employer unsure if a worker is properly classified.
Liz Weston, Certified Financial Planner®, is a personal finance columnist. Questions may be sent to her at 3940 Laurel Canyon, No. 238, Studio City, CA 91604, or by using the “Contact” form at asklizweston.com.
Business
Inside Elon Musk’s Plan for DOGE to Slash Government Costs
An unpaid group of billionaires, tech executives and some disciples of Peter Thiel, a powerful Republican donor, are preparing to take up unofficial positions in the U.S. government in the name of cost-cutting.
As President-elect Donald J. Trump’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency girds for battle against “wasteful” spending, it is preparing to dispatch individuals with ties to its co-leaders, Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, to agencies across the federal government.
After Inauguration Day, the group of Silicon Valley-inflected, wide-eyed recruits will be deployed to Washington’s alphabet soup of agencies. The goal is for most major agencies to eventually have two DOGE representatives as they seek to cut costs like Mr. Musk did at X, his social media platform.
This story is based on interviews with roughly a dozen people who have insight into DOGE’s operations. They spoke to The Times on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.
On the eve of Mr. Trump’s presidency, the structure of DOGE is still amorphous and closely held. People involved in the operation say that secrecy and avoiding leaks is paramount, and much of its communication is conducted on Signal, the encrypted messaging app.
Mr. Trump has said the effort would drive “drastic change,” and that the entity would provide outside advice on how to cut wasteful spending. DOGE itself will have no power to cut spending — that authority rests with Congress. Instead, it is expected to provide recommendations for programs and other areas to cut.
But parts of the operation are becoming clear: Many of the executives involved are expecting to do six-month voluntary stints inside the federal government before returning to their high-paying jobs. Mr. Musk has said they will not be paid — a nonstarter for some originally interested tech executives — and have been asked by him to work 80-hour weeks. Some, including possibly Mr. Musk, will be so-called special government employees, a specific category of temporary workers who can only work for the federal government for 130 days or less in a 365-day period.
The representatives will largely be stationed inside federal agencies. After some consideration by top officials, DOGE itself is now unlikely to incorporate as an organized outside entity or nonprofit. Instead, it is likely to exist as more of a brand for an interlinked group of aspirational leaders who are on joint group chats and share a loyalty to Mr. Musk or Mr. Ramaswamy.
“The cynics among us will say, ‘Oh, it’s naïve billionaires stepping into the fray.’ But the other side will say this is a service to the nation that we saw more typically around the founding of the nation,” said Trevor Traina, an entrepreneur who worked in the first Trump administration with associates who have considered joining DOGE.
“The friends I know have huge lives,” Mr. Traina said, “and they’re agreeing to work for free for six months, and leave their families and roll up their sleeves in an attempt to really turn things around. You can view it either way.”
DOGE leaders have told others that the minority of people not detailed to agencies would be housed within the Executive Office of the President at the U.S. Digital Service, which was created in 2014 by former President Barack Obama to “change our government’s approach to technology.”
DOGE is also expected to have an office in the Office of Management and Budget, and officials have also considered forming a think tank outside the government in the future.
Mr. Musk’s friends have been intimately involved in choosing people who are set to be deployed to various agencies. Those who have conducted interviews for DOGE include the Silicon Valley investors Marc Andreessen, Shaun Maguire, Baris Akis and others who have a personal connection to Mr. Musk. Some who have received the Thiel Fellowship, a prestigious grant funded by Mr. Thiel given to those who promise to skip or drop out of college to become entrepreneurs, are involved with programming and operations for DOGE. Brokering an introduction to Mr. Musk or Mr. Ramaswamy, or their inner circles, has been a key way for leaders to be picked for deployment.
That is how the co-founder of Loom, Vinay Hiremath, said he became involved in DOGE in a rare public statement from someone who worked with the entity. In a post this month on his personal blog, Mr. Hiremath described the work that DOGE employees have been doing before he decided against moving to Washington to join the entity.
“After 8 calls with people who all talked fast and sounded very smart, I was added to a number of Signal groups and immediately put to work,” he wrote. “The next 4 weeks of my life consisted of 100s of calls recruiting the smartest people I’ve ever talked to, working on various projects I’m definitely not able to talk about, and learning how completely dysfunctional the government was. It was a blast.”
These recruits are assigned to specific agencies where they are thought to have expertise. Some other DOGE enrollees have come to the attention of Mr. Musk and Mr. Ramaswamy through X. In recent weeks, DOGE’s account on X has posted requests to recruit a “very small number” of full-time salaried positions for engineers and back-office functions like human resources.
The DOGE team, including those paid engineers, is largely working out of a glass building in SpaceX’s downtown office located a few blocks from the White House. Some people close to Mr. Ramaswamy and Mr. Musk hope that these DOGE engineers can use artificial intelligence to find cost-cutting opportunities.
The broader effort is being run by two people with starkly different backgrounds: One is Brad Smith, a health care entrepreneur and former top health official in Mr. Trump’s first White House who is close with Jared Kushner, Mr. Trump’s son-in-law. Mr. Smith has effectively been running DOGE during the transition period, with a particular focus on recruiting, especially for the workers who will be embedded at the agencies.
Mr. Smith has been working closely with Steve Davis, a collaborator of Mr. Musk’s for two decades who is widely seen as working as Mr. Musk’s proxy on all things. Mr. Davis has joined Mr. Musk as he calls experts with questions about the federal budget, for instance.
Other people involved include Matt Luby, Mr. Ramaswamy’s chief of staff and childhood friend; Joanna Wischer, a Trump campaign official; and Rachel Riley, a McKinsey partner who works closely with Mr. Smith.
Mr. Musk’s personal counsel — Chris Gober — and Mr. Ramaswamy’s personal lawyer — Steve Roberts — have been exploring various legal issues regarding the structure of DOGE. James Burnham, a former Justice Department official, is also helping DOGE with legal matters. Bill McGinley, Mr. Trump’s initial pick for White House counsel who was instead named as legal counsel for DOGE, has played a more minimal role.
“DOGE will be a cornerstone of the new administration, helping President Trump deliver his vision of a new golden era,” said James Fishback, the founder of Azoria, an investment firm, and confidant of Mr. Ramaswamy who will be providing outside advice for DOGE.
Despite all this firepower, many budget experts have been deeply skeptical about the effort and its cost-cutting ambitions. Mr. Musk initially said the effort could result in “at least $2 trillion” in cuts from the $6.75 trillion federal budget. But budget experts say that goal would be difficult to achieve without slashing popular programs like Social Security and Medicare, which Mr. Trump has promised not to cut.
Both Mr. Musk and Mr. Ramaswamy have also recast what success might mean. Mr. Ramaswamy emphasized DOGE-led deregulation on X last month, saying that removing regulations could stimulate the economy and that “the success of DOGE can’t be measured through deficit reduction alone.”
And in an interview last week with Mark Penn, the chairman and chief executive of Stagwell, a marketing company, Mr. Musk downplayed the total potential savings.
“We’ll try for $2 trillion — I think that’s like the best-case outcome,” Mr. Musk said. “You kind of have to have some overage. I think if we try for two trillion, we’ve got a good shot at getting one.”
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