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Hedge funds cash in on Trump-fuelled crypto boom

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Hedge funds cash in on Trump-fuelled crypto boom

A clutch of cryptocurrency-focused hedge funds has made a windfall in recent weeks as Donald Trump’s election win fuelled a powerful rally that propelled bitcoin above the $100,000 milestone.

Funds employing crypto strategies posted gains of 46 per cent in November, bringing their year-to-date returns to 76 per cent, according to data provider Hedge Fund Research. The returns have outpaced the broader industry, with the average hedge fund gaining 10 per cent in the first 11 months of this year, HFR said.

Brevan Howard Asset Management and Galaxy Digital, the cryptocurrency investment manager founded by billionaire Mike Novogratz, have been among the biggest winners from the recent surge in digital assets.

Crypto funds’ outsized gains come after Trump’s election victory in November added a fresh jolt of enthusiasm to this year’s rally in bitcoin, the biggest cryptocurrency, which has also sent smaller tokens soaring.

Bitcoin has risen 130 per cent this year to around $100,000, helping push the market value of major crypto tokens up by $1.8tn to $3.5tn, according to the FT Wiltshire Digital Assets Dashboard. The crypto market pulled back from recent highs this week after the Federal Reserve said it would cut rates less than expected next year, hitting risky assets.

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Investors are betting that Trump’s crypto-friendly nominees for top government jobs will contrast with Joe Biden’s administration, which has generally taken a more sceptical approach.

“Trump’s election is great news for digital assets because it’s going to bring more clarity on the regulatory side,” said Damien Miller, managing partner at macro hedge fund MP Alpha Capital. “There will be an environment that is more friendly and collaborative towards bitcoin and blockchain.”

Brevan Howard’s main crypto fund gained 33 per cent in November, and is now up 51 per cent in the first 11 months of the year, according to investors. Brevan Howard, which has $35bn in assets, is one of the biggest hedge fund managers to have a devoted crypto business, which it launched in 2021.

Galaxy’s hedge fund strategy gained 43 per cent in November, and is up 90 per cent in 2024, according to investors. The New York-based group has more than doubled its assets under management in the past two years, to $4.8bn, in part by buying up assets from bankrupt crypto companies.

Galaxy and Brevan Howard declined to comment on their performance.

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The recent surge in digital assets marks a staggering reversal in fortunes for a sector that was mired in a deep crisis beginning in 2022.

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Bitcoin hit a low of around $15,500 when Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange collapsed in November 2022. Galaxy, which has sought to position itself as a full-service crypto financial services firm, posted a $1bn net loss that year.

The cryptocurrency industry received a fillip in January 2024 when the US Securities and Exchange Commission approved 11 exchange traded bitcoin funds, opening the door to cryptocurrencies for new institutional and retail investors. BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset manager, said last week it sees a “case for including bitcoin in multi-asset portfolios”.

NextGen Digital Venture, a $120mn crypto equity fund, is up 330 per cent from its launch in March 2023 to the end of November, according to investors. It has benefited from positions in some bitcoin ETFs, as well as cryptocurrency exchange platform Coinbase and software provider turned bitcoin investor MicroStrategy.

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“After the bitcoin ETF was approved we felt that crypto stocks would become another opportunity for institutional investors because they already had access to bitcoin,” said Jason Huang, founding partner of NextGen Digital Venture.

Coinbase is up almost 60 per cent since the end of 2023, while MicroStrategy is up more than 400 per cent.

Some macro hedge funds — which trade macroeconomic trends in currencies, commodities, bonds and stocks — have also boosted exposure to digital assets in anticipation of a favourable market environment. MP Alpha Capital’s $20mn global macro hedge fund is up over 30 per cent this year, according to investors.

“We’ve had a good run on digital assets: bitcoin, ethereum and bitcoin miners,” said Miller, referring to firms that complete complex calculations in exchange for tokens. “Over the past 18 months, our whole thesis was around the institutional adoption of digital assets and the macro backdrop of looser monetary policy, a weaker dollar and a liquidity-rich environment.”

Trump has signalled that crypto regulation is among his most pressing priorities, and has named venture capitalist and Elon Musk confidant David Sacks as the White House’s cryptocurrency tsar.

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A change in leadership at the SEC, the top American securities regulator, has also been welcomed by crypto enthusiasts.

Gary Gensler, the current chair who branded crypto a “wild west” rife with unlawfulness and investor risk, will step down when Trump takes office. He had refused to craft rules catered to digital assets, arguing that many tokens are securities and that existing securities law is enough guidance.

Gensler will be replaced by cryptocurrency advocate Paul Atkins.

Still, several managers warned that the surge in bitcoin should cause investors to pause and take stock. Huang at NextGen Digital Venture said that, while he is long-term bullish on bitcoin and crypto, “no asset rises in a straight line without volatility.”

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Satellite images show Iran school strike hit more buildings than earlier reported

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Satellite images show Iran school strike hit more buildings than earlier reported

The bombing of an Iranian elementary school that killed some 165 people, many of them schoolgirls, included more targets near the school than has been initially reported, a review of commercial satellite imagery by NPR has found.

The images suggest that the school was hit on Saturday as part of a precision airstrike on a neighboring Iranian military complex — and that it may have been struck as a result of outdated targeting information.

The new images come from the company Planet and are of the city of Minab, located in southeastern Iran. They show that a health clinic and other buildings near the school were also struck. Three independent experts confirmed NPR’s analysis of the additional strike points.

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The strike points “look like pretty clean detonation centroids,” said Corey Scher, a postdoctoral researcher at the Conflict Ecology laboratory at Oregon State University.

“These certainly appear like detonation sites,” agreed Scher’s colleague, Oregon State associate professor Jamon Van Den Hoek.

Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at Middlebury College who specializes in satellite imagery, said the imagery was consistent with a precision airstrike.

The images show “very precise targeting,” Lewis told NPR. “Almost all the buildings [in the compound] are hit.”

A satellite image of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard compound taken on March 4.

A satellite image of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard compound taken on March 4, several days after an airstrike destroyed a school on the edge of the compound. The image reveals that half a dozen other buildings in addition to the school were struck.

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Iranian state media said 165 people died in the bombing, which struck a girls’ school. The school was located within less than 100 yards of the perimeter of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard naval base, according to satellite images and publicly available information. The clinic was also located within the base perimeter, although both facilities had been walled off from the base.

Israel has denied involvement. “We are not aware at the moment of any IDF operation in that area,” Israel Defense Forces spokesperson Nadav Shoshani told NPR on Monday. “I don’t know who’s responsible for the bombing.”

At a press conference Wednesday morning, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that the U.S. is looking into what happened at the school. “All I know, all I can say, is that we’re investigating that,” Hegseth said. “We, of course, never target civilian targets.”

Given Minab’s location in the southeastern part of Iran, Lewis believes it’s more likely the U.S. would have conducted the strike than Israel. As one gets farther south and east in Iran, “a strike is much more likely to be a U.S. strike than an Israeli strike because of the type of munitions and the geographic location,” he said.

Esmail Baghaei, the spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry, called the strike “deliberate” and said that the U.S. and Israel bombed the school in part to tie up Iranian forces in the region with rescue efforts. “To call the attack on the girls school merely a ‘war crime’ does not capture the sheer evil and depravity of such a crime,” he said.

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But Lewis said it’s more likely that the strike was the result of an error. Satellite images show that the school and clinic buildings were both once part of the base. The school was separated from the base by a wall between 2013 and 2016. The clinic was walled off between 2022 and 2024.

Lewis believes it’s possible American military planners had not updated their target sets.

“There are thousands of targets across Iran, and so there will be teams in the United States and Israel that are responsible for tracking those targets and updating them,” he said. “It’s possible that the target didn’t get updated.”

The Pentagon did not immediately respond to NPR’s request for additional information about the strike.

NPR’s Arezou Rezvani and NPR’s RAD team contributed to this report.

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Mojtaba Khamenei, son of former supreme leader, tipped to become Iran’s next head of state

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Mojtaba Khamenei, son of former supreme leader, tipped to become Iran’s next head of state

Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of the assassinated Ali Khamenei, is being heavily tipped to succeed his father as supreme leader of Iran, which would pitch a hardliner into the task of steering the Islamic republic through the most turbulent period in its 48-year history and offer a powerful signal that, for now, it has no intention of changing course.

No official confirmation has been given and the announcement may be delayed until after the funeral of Ali Khamenei, which was on Wednesday postponed.

His son is believed to have been the choice of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the Israeli defence minister, Gideon Saar, has warned he will be assassinated.

Ayatollah Seyed Khatani, a member of the Assembly of Experts, the body that chooses the new supreme leader, said the assembly was close to selecting a leader.

Rigid in his anti-western views, Mojtaba Khamenei is not the candidate Donald Trump would have wanted. Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, said on Tuesday that Iran was run by “religious fanatic lunatics” – and Khamenei’s appointment is hardly likely to dispel that opinion.

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‘They were going to attack first’: Trump gives update on Iran – video

The choice of supreme leader is made by the 88-strong Assembly of Experts, who in this case are picking from a field of six possible candidates. His election would be a powerful if unsurprising symbol that the government is not looking to find an accommodation with America.

Trump has said the worst-case scenario would be if Khamenei’s successor was “as bad as the previous person”.

There has been speculation for more than a decade that he would be his father’s successor, which grew when Ebrahim Raisi, the elected president and favourite of Khamenei, was killed in a helicopter crash.

Mojtaba Khamenei was born in 1969 and studied theology after graduating from high school. At the age of 17, he went to serve in the Iran-Iraq war, but it was not until the late 1990s that he came to be recognised as a public figure in his own right.

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After the landslide defeat of Khamenei’s preferred candidate, Ali Akbar Nategh Nuri, in the 1997 presidential election, where he won only 25% of the final vote, various conservative Iranian groups realised the need to make changes to their structures and Mojtaba Khamenei was central to that project.

He was also seen as instrumental by reformists in suppressing the protests in 2009 that came after allegations the presidential election had been rigged, with his name chanted in the streets as one of those responsible. Mostafa Tajzadeh, a senior member of Iran’s reformist parties who was imprisoned after the vote, alleged that his and his wife, Fakhr al-Sadat Mohtashamipour’s, legal case was under the direct supervision of Mojtaba Khamenei.

In 2022 he was given the title of ayatollah – essential to his promotion. By then he was a regular figure by his father’s side at political meetings, as well as playing an influential role in the Islamic Republic’s Broadcasting Corporation, the government’s official media outlet often criticised for churning out dull political propaganda that many Iranians reject in favour of overseas satellite channels. He has also played a central role in the administration of his father’s substantial financial empire.

His closest political allies are Ahmad Vahidi, the newly appointed IRGC commander; Hossein Taeb, a former head of the IRGC’s intelligence organisation; and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the current speaker of the parliament.

His rumoured appointment and its hereditary nature has long been resisted by reformists. The former prime minister Mir Hossein Mousavi, referring to the long history of rumours about Mojtaba Khamenei succeeding his father as leader, wrote in 2022: “News of this conspiracy have been heard for 13 years. If they are not truly pursuing it, why don’t they deny such an intention once and for all?”

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The Assembly of Experts, in response, denounced “meaninglessness of doubts” and said the assembly would select only “the most qualified and the most suitable”.

Israel on Tuesday struck the building in the Iranian city of Qom, one of Shia Islam’s main seats of power, where the assembly was scheduled, but the building was empty, according to IRGC-affiliated media.

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Video: Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

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Video: Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

new video loaded: Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

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Senators Question Kristi Noem on ICE Immigration Tactics

Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem repeatedly refused to apologize for suggesting that Alex Pretti and Renee Good, two U.S. citizens shot and killed by agents, were domestic terrorists.

What we’ve seen is a disaster under your leadership, Ms. Noem. A disaster. What we’ve seen is innocent people getting detained that turn out are American citizens. I could talk about the culture that’s been created here. After the killings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti, when I spoke to Alex’s parents, they told me that you calling him a domestic terrorist — this was directly from them — the day after he was killed, a nurse in our V.A., Alex — one of the most hurtful things they could ever imagine was said by you about their son. Do you have anything you want to say to Alex Pretti’s parents? Ma’am, I did not call him a domestic terrorist. I said It appeared to be an incident of — I think the parents saw it for what it was. In a hearing — recent hearing before the HSGAC committee, C.B.P. and ICE officials testified under oath that their agencies did not inform you that Pretti was a domestic terrorist — during that hearing, stated during that hearing, I was getting reports from the ground, from agents at the scene, and I would say that it was a chaotic scene. How did you think that calling them domestic terrorists at that scene was somehow going to calm the situation? The fact that you can’t admit to a mistake, which looks like under investigation, it’s going to prove that Ms. Good and Mr. Pretti probably should not have been shot in the face and in the back. Law enforcement needs to learn from that. You don’t protect them by not looking after the facts.

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Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem repeatedly refused to apologize for suggesting that Alex Pretti and Renee Good, two U.S. citizens shot and killed by agents, were domestic terrorists.

By Christina Kelso and Jackeline Luna

March 3, 2026

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