Connect with us

World

Russia invasion: Putin becoming ‘pariah’ before world stage, experts say

Published

on

Russia invasion: Putin becoming ‘pariah’ before world stage, experts say

NEWNow you can hearken to Fox Information articles!

Russian President Vladimir Putin is changing into a “pariah,” an outcast, earlier than the world stage amid his ongoing invasion of Ukraine, international coverage specialists say.

Whereas specialists imagine it is too quickly to find out whether or not Putin shall be profitable in his makes an attempt to take management of Ukraine — acknowledging that there’ll seemingly be some type of a partial victory — it’s clear that the Russian dictator has completed irreversible injury to his personal nation with the invasion.

Russia’s pariah standing

“On the worldwide scale, Russia will flip right into a pariah. … It has already been on that path for a number of years and undoubtedly the final 12 months. Putin has been a pariah for even longer,” former Protection Intelligence Company specialist Rebekah Koffler, who was born in Russia, advised Fox Information Digital. “The cope with Putin is that he would moderately be feared than [ignored] as a result of concern, in Russian tradition, means respect. He’s fairly used to the pariah standing.”

Whereas Koffler believes “a phase of the Russian inhabitants” is antiwar and sees what is occurring in Ukraine, she famous that Russians have voted Putin into workplace 4 instances.

Advertisement

Russian President Vladimir Putin listens to Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban throughout their assembly within the Kremlin in Moscow Feb. 1, 2022. 
(Mikhail Klimentyev, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Picture through AP)

“They do not assume like People. They assume like Russians. They’ve all the time needed any individual who’s as sturdy as Putin, bordering on being brutal, as a result of that is what Russians imagine is nice for the nation’s safety,” Koffler defined, including that “Russian propaganda” may be very efficient in swaying civilians.

Conversely, Robert English, a professor of Central European Research on the College of Southern California, believes Putin will face rising opposition at dwelling.

RUSSIA INVASION OF UKRAINE CONTINUES: LIVE UPDATES

“I feel Putin’s future is grim. I feel, at dwelling, he shall be underneath the fixed menace of opposition — probably of a coup, some type of energy seize — to take away him as a result of even his closest allies at the moment are seeing the issue,” English mentioned. “And in the event that they acquire much less by staying loyal than they might if he is changed, it is only a matter of methods to do it.”

Advertisement

Even as soon as Russia’s conflict in Ukraine has concluded and Putin is now not in energy, the reputational injury of the invasion “will cripple Russia for a technology to return,” in accordance with English.

“Anyone with one thing to offer for Russia’s future technological and financial revival is making an attempt to go away proper now in the event that they have not already, so it is going to be a hole nation, and that is one thing it takes a technology to get better from.”

— Robert English

As Western international locations place heavy sanctions on Russia and Russian oligarchs, the nation’s civilian inhabitants will undergo worse economically over time. Putin, due to this fact, is his personal biggest menace, in accordance with English.

Firefighters at a site after airstrikes hit civil settlements as Russian attacks continue on Ukraine in Dnipro, Ukraine, March 11, 2022. 

Firefighters at a web site after airstrikes hit civil settlements as Russian assaults proceed on Ukraine in Dnipro, Ukraine, March 11, 2022. 
(State Emergency Service of Ukraine/HANDOUT/Anadolu Company through Getty Pictures)

“Finally, the lack of troops, the lack of international funding, the lack of public help, the financial drain — all these are details that he cannot ignore indefinitely,” the professor mentioned. “However I feel he is resisting that as a result of he is residing … in a world of slanted intelligence and illusions and utopian concepts a few return of the Russian Empire that may take a while to crumble away. And he is resisting it mightily, nonetheless making an attempt to provide you with that army victory, at the same time as everybody else can see it grinding to a halt.”

UKRAINE’S ZELENSKYY ADDRESSES CONGRESS, INVOKES 9/11, PEARL HARBOR, MLK AS HE PLEADS FOR PIVOTAL AID

Advertisement

Brookings Establishment Overseas Coverage Director of Analysis Michael O’Hanlon equally mentioned Putin “thinks extra traditionally with regards to different Russian leaders” however nonetheless thinks “he’s smarter and harder” than most world powers.

Russia-China relations

O’Hanlon added that Putin “is extra radical” than Chinese language President Xi Jinping, who requested Putin to barter with Ukraine final month however has in any other case tried to seem impartial in regards to the conflict.

Overseas coverage pundits have drawn parallels between Russian President Vladimir Putin’s efforts to regulate Ukraine’s democratic authorities and Chinese language President Xi Jinping’s need to make Taiwan a part of China. Russia and China are allied to the extent that they hope to dominate Western powers, however the two international locations differ of their approaches to attaining superiority. 

“Xi has ambitions in Asia. He desires to get better historic Chinese language territory. And what’s extra, Xi desires to ascertain a sphere of affect in that area and push America out. That hasn’t modified,” English defined. “And to the extent that Xi’s apprehensive that NATO’s change into emboldened — that the West goes to push again tougher towards him now — Xi’s not blissful. … It merely means he has to recalibrate.”

Russian President Vladimir Putin shakes hands with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping at the Kremlin in Moscow June 5, 2019. 

Russian President Vladimir Putin shakes arms along with his Chinese language counterpart Xi Jinping on the Kremlin in Moscow June 5, 2019. 
(REUTERS/Evgenia Novozhenina/Pool)

The USC professor added that China wants Russia as an ally as a result of the nation relies on Russian power, and it has the same aim of “tying down” NATO allies within the West. Whereas supporting Russia’s invasion can be “dangerous for China’s fame,” and Xi doesn’t recognize “how messy and damaging” the conflict in Ukraine has change into, “it doesn’t suggest he is going to surrender his ambitions and China will now change into a settled liberal energy as an alternative of rising revisionist energy in Asia,” English mentioned.

Advertisement

Moreover, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine can have a major affect on the West as oil and commodity costs rise, the European financial system faces a recession immediately after the COVID-19 pandemic and European international locations soak up thousands and thousands of Ukrainian refugees.

“Everybody desires the Ukrainians now, and we’re all making an attempt to assist. Nevertheless it will not be lengthy earlier than that burden on Germany and Poland — on different neighboring international locations — shall be felt in political discontent,” English defined. “All of that’s going to tie the West down and weaken us 5 or 10 years out. And that’s to China’s benefit. So Xi is taking part in it each methods. Xi sees hazard in being too near Russia for China’s fame. However he additionally sees benefit on this. The West is tied down and in addition weakened.”

RUSSIAN PEOPLE HURTING FROM SANCTIONS, BUT THEY MAY BE RALLYING TO PUTIN: RUSSIAN-AMERICAN

Koffler equally mentioned the Chinese language president is “blissful” america “is being challenged by Putin on this manner” and feels “inspired” concerning his “plans to take over Taiwan.” She added that China and Russia usually are not a lot a strategic alliance as they’re an “act of contingency,” however “that may not forestall them from synchronizing … some army operations to problem the U.S.”

NATO’s future

Nonetheless, Koffler believes Putin’s biggest menace is U.S. and NATO intervention into the battle in Ukraine regardless of the challenges dealing with NATO international locations because of the penalties of Russia’s conflict.

Advertisement

Alternatively, Koffler says NATO “is just not actually united,” and whereas Russia’s conflict in Ukraine could strengthen the alliance, it’s “divided” between “the previous Europe and the brand new Europe,” which understand threats from Russia “very in another way.”

“There are nonetheless quite a lot of gaps to be closed of their notion of [Russia’s] menace, and most significantly, their willingness to do one thing about that menace as a result of I do not see them weaning themselves off of their dependancy to Russian power,” she mentioned. “And … not all of them contribute the two% of their GDP to the collective safety treaty.”

The map shows NATO member countries

The map reveals NATO member international locations
(Fox Information)

The North Atlantic Treaty Group is an intergovernmental, military-political alliance between america, Canada and a variety of European international locations. NATO was based after World Battle II in 1949 in an effort to guard NATO international locations towards threats from Russia — then the Soviet Union. 

Ukraine is just not a part of NATO, which performs no formal function in Russia’s conflict with Ukraine, however Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenksyy has referred to as on NATO officers to enact a no-fly zone over his nation to cease Russian missile assaults. Most NATO officers have so far denied these requests, citing issues of a 3rd world conflict towards Russia.

Advertisement

Some commentators have argued that NATO is just not serving its goal to defend the West from Russian aggression and has as an alternative provoked Russia as NATO allies broaden additional East.

“As loopy and as violent and as renegade as Putin has been, there shall be folks declaring that [NATO] did not deal with Russia effectively. That we helped, in some half, stoke a few of that Russian resentment,” English mentioned. 

Additional growth of NATO, due to this fact, is “one thing we should be very cautious about,” he continued. 

Fox Information’ Tyler Olson contributed to this report.

Advertisement

World

Harris Campaign Staffs up in Battleground States, 'Sun Belt' in Play

Published

on

Harris Campaign Staffs up in Battleground States, 'Sun Belt' in Play
By Stephanie Kelly WILMINGTON, Delaware (Reuters) – Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign is staffing up in battleground states over the next two weeks including in the ‘Sun Belt’ that increasingly looked out of reach for Joe Biden, citing momentum for her White House bid as grassroots engagement …
Continue Reading

World

Israel prepares for Iran attack amid warnings that regime is close to having nuclear weapon: 'Unnerving'

Published

on

Israel prepares for Iran attack amid warnings that regime is close to having nuclear weapon: 'Unnerving'

Join Fox News for access to this content

You have reached your maximum number of articles. Log in or create an account FREE of charge to continue reading.

By entering your email and pushing continue, you are agreeing to Fox News’ Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, which includes our Notice of Financial Incentive.

Please enter a valid email address.

Having trouble? Click here.

JERUSALEM – As Iran ramps up its threats to launch a massive attack against U.S. ally Israel and possibly American assets in the region, the rogue regime in Tehran is on the cusp of producing a nuclear bomb.

Late last month, Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., said after having reviewed a Director of National Intelligence report on Iran’s atomic program, “I believe it is a certainty that if we do not change course, Iran will in the coming weeks or months possess a nuclear weapon.” He added, “Iran will keep going until someone tells them to stop. It is time to put red lines on their nuclear program. The idea of ambiguity is not working.”

Advertisement

Graham termed the findings in the DNI report “unnerving” and said Iran’s “ability to weaponize material has advanced” with respect to a nuclear weapons device.

Just weeks before Graham’s dramatic announcement about Iran being on the brink of nuclear-armed weapons status, he sent a strongly worded letter to DNI head Avril Haines, stating,”You are in violation of the law” over her vehement opposition to disclosing sensitive information to Congress on Iran’s nuclear progress. In 2022, Congress passed a law requiring the government to provide updates on Iran’s atomic program. Haines eventually complied after Graham went public in the media.

ISRAEL’S ‘SWORN ENEMY’ HEZBOLLAH TELLS IRAN IT WOULD FIGHT ALONE IF CONFLICT ESCALATES

This satellite image from Planet Labs PBC shows Iran’s nuclear site in Isfahan, Iran, April 4, 2024. (Planet Labs PBC via AP)

Graham told Fox News’ Sean Hannity on July 31 that there is no Hamas or Hezbollah without Iran’s regime. He urged Israel to launch attacks against Iran’s oil refineries, with the view toward stopping Iranian jingoism. In April, Iran launched over 300 missiles, drones and rockets into Israel.

Advertisement

A spokesperson for the U.S. State Department told Fox News Digital, “As the President and the Secretary have made clear, the United States will ensure one way or another that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon.

“We will continue working with Congress to use a variety of tools in pursuit of that goal and all options remain on the table.”

Iranian reactor

Iran’s Bushehr nuclear power plant, on Nov. 10, 2019. (Atta Kenare/AFP via Getty Images)

The spokesperson added, “The intelligence community continues to assess that the Supreme Leader has not made any decision to restart the nuclear weapons program that Iran halted in 2003. That said, we remain deeply concerned with Iran’s continued expansion of nuclear activities in ways that have no credible civilian purpose and continue to vigilantly monitor them.”

However, Fox News Digital reported in July 2023 that intelligence reports from European states contradict the Biden administration’s assertion that Iran’s regime has not restarted its atomic weapons program. Netherlands General and Intelligence Security Service (AIVD) assessed Tehran’s development of weapons-grade uranium “brings the option of a possible [Iranian] first nuclear test closer.”

Ali Khamenei speaking to reporters.

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addresses the media during elections in Tehran, Iran, on May 10, 2024. (Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images)

When asked about critics who claim Biden has not enforced oil and gas sanctions against Iran’s regime, the State Department spokesman said, “The Biden Administration has not lifted a single sanction on Iran.  Rather, we continue to increase pressure. Our extensive sanctions on Iran remain in place, and we continue to enforce them. Over the last three years, the United States has sanctioned over 700 individuals and entities connected to the full range of Iran’s reckless and destabilizing behaviors.”

Advertisement

Republican lawmakers and Iran experts have slammed the Biden administration for alleged appeasement toward the mullah regime with respect to unfreezing tens of billions of dollars in sanctions relief.

The State Department spokesperson said, “Since 2021, we have sanctioned dozens of individuals and entities across multiple jurisdictions, including the PRC, UAE, and Southeast Asia for roles in the production, sale, and shipment of hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of Iranian petrochemicals and petroleum products. And we have identified as blocked property numerous vessels involved in this trade. “

BIDEN ADMIN UNDER PRESSURE TO STOP BILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN SANCTIONS RELIEF TO IRAN

David Albright, physicist and founder and president of the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington, D.C., told Fox News Digital, “Sen. Graham’s statement of being unnerved is good to hear. The IC assessment has been flawed ever since its 2007 National Intelligence Estimate.”

Albright is widely considered one of the world’s leading experts on Iran’s nuclear program. He said, “Sen. Graham mentioned that some advances had occurred in Iran’s ability to make nuclear weapons, i.e. weaponize the weapon-grade uranium into a nuclear weapon, but his comment was sparse and devoid of substance. It is in this area, however, where new intelligence community assessments may or may not lurk. But I cannot weigh in on this based on what the senator said.” 

Advertisement
Parade in Iran

A military truck carries a missile past a portrait of Iran’s Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during an annual military parade. (Atta Kenare/AFP/GettyImages))

Albright worked closely with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Action Team from 1992 until 1997, focusing on Iraqi documents and past procurement activities. In 1996, he served as the first non-governmental inspector of the Iraqi nuclear program. 

Albright said, “It is clear that the DNI report included a short timeframe for Iran to produce a significant quantity of weapon-grade uranium, but this is old news and well-established by the IAEA in its quarterly reports and some standard calculations. The new twist is Iran’s recent expansion at the deeply buried Fordow site, which gives Iran a new ability to produce significant quantities of weapon-grade uranium in days at this site. But again, we have reported on this.”

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in July about Iran’s quest to obtain a nuclear weapon, “Instead of being at least a year away from having the breakout capacity of producing fissile material for a nuclear weapon, (Iran) is now probably one or two weeks away from doing that.” 

NETANYAHU REPORTEDLY UPSET WITH HARRIS OVER VP’S ISRAEL REMARKS AS WHITE HOUSE PUSHES BACK

Iran revolutionary guard with missile display

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps personnel in Tehran for the unveiling of a missile during a military rally on Nov. 24, 2023. (Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

When asked about the breakout concept, Albright said, “Breakout is usually defined as the time for Iran to produce enough weapon-grade for a single nuclear weapon. It has been measured in days rather than months for many months, based on IAEA reporting in its quarterly reports and standard calculational methods, which we have regularly published and the studies are on our website.”

Advertisement

He continued, “A common assessment, which we share, is that Iran has not made a formal decision to build nuclear weapons, so it has also not made a decision to breakout and produce weapon-grade uranium.”

“Breakout is not typically used to discuss the entire time Iran would need to produce its first nuclear weapon,” Albright noted. “This timeframe depends on the breakout above but also on what type of weapon would Iran build. Our assessment is that Iran could build a crude nuclear explosive, deliverable by truck, or able to be exploded underground in six months. It would need longer, perhaps six more months in a crash program to be able to mount a reliable nuclear warhead on a ballistic missile.”

Gabriel Noronha, a former U.S. Department State adviser on Iran, told Fox News Digital, “Iran has been decreasing its nuclear enrichment breakout time over the past five years, but that’s different than them actually making the decision to go and rush toward a bomb. However, they love the flexibility and leverage that being this close brings them – especially now that they are under two weeks away from having enough enriched uranium, and haven’t suffered any significant consequences as a result.”

 

Hezbollah arch in Beirut

An arch glorifying Hezbollah shows pictures of its chief, Hassan Nasrallah, and Iran’s Ali Khamenei in a suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, on Jan. 16, 2011. (Anwar Amro/AFP via Getty Images)

He added, “However, it is much less clear how close Iran’s weaponization program has come to both building a weapon and being able to pair it on a missile that could reach Israel or other American allies. What’s clear from Sen. Graham’s press conference is that Iran keeps on getting closer and closer on this part of its nuclear program.”

Advertisement

Noronha, who is also a fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA), urged “Biden to have a clear and credible red line that further progress toward a nuclear weapon would be met with a military response. But he should only make a threat like that if he is willing to back it up with action. If President Biden really wants to avoid military action, then he needs to roll out every possible diplomatic and economic consequence in the interim to punish and deter Iran from proceeding any further.”

Continue Reading

World

Hamas begins consultations to choose Ismail Haniyeh’s successor

Published

on

Hamas begins consultations to choose Ismail Haniyeh’s successor

Movement that runs the Gaza Strip says its senior officials have started broad consultations ‘to choose a new chief’.

Hamas says it has initiated consultations to select a new leader of the Palestinian group after the assassination of its political chief Ismail Haniyeh.

“Following the martyrdom of our leader, the leaders of the movement have started a broad consultation process within its hierarchy and advisory institutions to choose a new chief,” Hamas said in a statement published on its social media accounts on Sunday.

The statement said Haniyeh’s killing “would only make the Hamas and the Palestinian resistance stronger and more determined to continue his path and approach”.

The group said the results of consultations will be announced as soon as they are completed.

Advertisement

Haniyeh was assassinated in the Iranian capital, Tehran, early on Wednesday in an attack the Iranian officials blame on Israel. His bodyguard was also killed.

Iran and groups aligned with it in the Middle East have promised to avenge Haniyeh’s killing. Israel – accused by Hamas, Iran and others of carrying out the attack – has not directly commented on the killing.

Haniyeh was in Tehran to attend the inauguration of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.

After a funeral in Tehran, where prayers were led by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on Thursday, Haniyeh’s remains were flown to Doha for burial.

The Hamas leader was based in the Qatari capital, where negotiations with Israel and other stakeholders, including Egypt and the United States, over a possible ceasefire in Gaza have been held on and off since the war started in October.

Advertisement

Regional escalation fears

As Iran and its allies prepare their response to Haniyeh’s assassination, tensions are soaring in the Middle East over fears of a regional war.

Israel’s main ally, the US, said it would move more warships and fighter jets to the region while several Western governments, including the US and the United Kingdom, have called on their citizens to immediately leave Lebanon, where Hamas’s ally, Hezbollah, is based.

Haniyeh’s killing in Tehran had come only hours after the Israeli assassination of Hezbollah’s military chief in Beirut, triggering promises of revenge from Iran and the “axis of resistance”, which are armed groups in the Middle East supported by Iran.

Iran on Saturday said it expects Hezbollah to hit deeper inside Israel and no longer be confined to military targets.

When US President Joe Biden was asked by reporters on Saturday if he thought Iran would stand down after the Tehran attack, he said: “I hope so. I don’t know.”

Advertisement

Meanwhile, Israel’s army early on Sunday said about 30 rockets were launched from southern Lebanon into Israel, adding that most of them were shot down and no injuries were reported.

The barrage of rockets was fired after Israeli air strikes targeted several areas in southern Lebanon overnight, Lebanese media reported.

Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah have been trading fire since the day after the Gaza war began on October 7. It has killed nearly 40,000 Palestinians so far and displaced almost the entire population of the besieged enclave amid widespread starvation and health emergencies.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending