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Analysis: In just one week, the EU has changed forever

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Analysis: In just one week, the EU has changed forever

“Europe can be cast in crises, and would be the sum of the options adopted for these crises,” wrote French diplomat Jean Monnet in his memoirs, printed in 1976.

Again and again, Monnet’s phrases have proved to be a very prescient warning: from the collapse of the Soviet Union to the Nice Recession, from Brexit to the coronavirus pandemic, the European Union seems to have developed a singular capacity to develop stronger solely within the face of adversarial, unexpected circumstances.

However it wasn’t till the final week of February 2022 that Monnet’s self-realised prophecy gained a brand new that means, one that will have been unthinkable as just lately as one month in the past.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has injected the EU with the overdue resolve it wanted to really resist the adversarial geopolitics of its environment, brushing apart any remaining taboos and prejudices.

Within the span of seven days, the bloc has managed to maneuver previous its drawn-out inside squabbles, its notoriously convoluted paperwork and its worldwide repute for warning and moderation, and has as a substitute demonstrated the self-confidence and boldness that its critics claimed it lacked.

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Selections of huge consequence have been taken at report pace with ironclad unity, even when a number of the sanctions slapped on Russia will inevitably ricochet and injury the bloc’s personal economic system, nonetheless reeling from the COVID-19 upheaval.

For the primary time in its historical past, the bloc will finance the acquisition of deadly weapons for international locations which can be beneath assault, a quantum leap for a union that was initially created to defend peace. Germany will too contribute: the nation has reversed its historic coverage and can now ship weapons to battle zones.

“The Russian invasion of Ukraine marks a turning level in historical past,” mentioned Chancellor Olaf Scholz. “It threatens our complete post-war order.”

Ukrainian refugees fleeing the warfare are being welcomed with open arms by the identical member states which have spent the final seven years bickering a couple of frequent migration coverage based mostly on shared solidarity.

Propaganda instruments are being shut down, monetary property price billions are being frozen and planes are forbidden to fly over EU territory, successfully blocking Russia from bodily coming into the West.

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Even a far-fetched Ukrainian bid for EU membership now appears to be a sensible purpose inside attain.

Enterprise as normal not applies in wartime.

‘A crucial second’

The pace of the transformation has been, to say the least, astonishing.

All of it started on Monday, 21 February, when Ukrainian International Affairs Ministry Dmytro Kuleba travelled to Brussels in a determined bid to ask his European counterparts to slap pre-emptive sanctions on Russia earlier than Putin gave the order to invade the nation along with his greater than 150,000 troops.

Kuleba’s name for motion fell on deaf ears. “We’ll proceed supporting Ukraine on the most crucial second – if this occurs,” mentioned Josep Borrell, the EU’s overseas coverage chief.

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That exact same night, that “crucial second” got here to move: as EU ministers concluded their assembly and reaffirmed their wait-and-see strategy, Putin recognised the independence of two rebel-controlled areas in jap Ukraine, Donetsk and Luhansk, placing a direct finish to the Minsk agreements.

Worldwide condemnation rapidly adopted and fears of an impending invasion dramatically elevated.

The subsequent day, Borrell struck a markedly totally different notice: the diplomat put ahead a set of sanctions in opposition to 27 people and entities of Putin’s internal circle, together with his defence minister and his chief of workers, along with the 351 members of the State Duma who voted to recognise the self-proclaimed folks’s republics. Monetary and commerce penalties had been additionally launched.

“The grave violations that Russia is committing is not going to go unanswered,” Borrell advised reporters.

That very same day, Olaf Scholz took the step to indefinitely droop the certification of Nord Stream 2, the controversial gasoline pipeline that connects Russia and Germany and had turn out to be an excellent level of rivalry between Berlin and its allies

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Scholz, like Angela Merkel, had for years defended the conduit as a “business venture,” indifferent from geopolitics, a naïve evaluation that Putin’s continued provocations rendered merely untenable.

As Russian troops entered the Donbas, Western international locations threatened with additional retaliatory measures, which had been alternatively described as “huge”, “unprecedented”, “by no means seen earlier than” and even “the mom of all sanctions,” leaving journalists to surprise what else could possibly be in retailer.

On Thursday morning, Europe woke as much as the best navy assault since World Warfare II. Historical past irreversibly modified – and so did the EU.

‘Speaking is reasonable’

That fateful day, 24 February, was a day of shock, confusion, outrage and sorrow. However among the many horror, a renewed resolve emerged.

Aware of the unprecedented state of affairs unfolding proper subsequent to the EU’s border, leaders shunned their normal “significantly involved” statements and started embracing a extra assertive, virtually belligerent rhetoric.

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“We is not going to permit President Putin to switch the rule of legislation with the rule of drive and ruthlessness,” mentioned von der Leyen.

“This isn’t solely in opposition to Ukraine, it is a warfare in opposition to Europe, in opposition to democracy,” declared Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda.

“Speaking is reasonable. Sufficient of low-cost speaking,” mentioned Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki.

That very same night, leaders flew to Brussels to assemble in an emergency summit, the place they agreed to impose one other set of sanctions, the second in precisely 48 hours.

The expanded penalties immediately focused Russia’s monetary, power and transport sectors, tightened exports controls and restricted visa issuance. Put collectively, the measures aimed toward crippling 70% of Russia’s banking system so as to lower off the funds wanted to bankroll the invasion.

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The drastic transfer, nevertheless, was rapidly eclipsed by the grave developments on the bottom. Russian troops began encircling Kyiv, placing the democratically-elected authorities of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy prone to being toppled in a single day.

On Friday, mere hours after leaders prevented punishing Putin personally or expelling Russian banks from the SWIFT fee system, ministers did precisely that. Putin’s property had been frozen and the SWIFT choice got here again to the desk, as international locations like Italy, Hungary and Germany, which had been beforehand against such excessive measure, voiced a sudden change of thoughts.

‘Considered one of us’

The momentum coalesced on Saturday night time, when President von der Leyen addressed the press at 23:00 CET to announce a 3rd set of sanctions, in coordination with the US, the UK and Canada.

The measures will take away some Russian banks from SWIFT, block the Russian Central Financial institution from utilizing most of its $630 billion in overseas reserves, and finish the sale of golden passports, a contentious privilege that Russian oligarchs have freely loved to do enterprise throughout the bloc.

“We’ll make it as tough as doable for the Kremlin to pursue its aggressive insurance policies,” mentioned European Fee President Ursula von der Leyen.

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On Sunday, a brand new raft of measures, the fourth in lower than per week: the EU will ship deadly weapons to Ukraine, ban Russian planes from its airspace and take away RT and Sputnik from its airwaves. Belarus, a rustic seen as an enabler in Putin’s act of warfare, will even be penalised.

Von der Leyen later amped the ante when she advised Euronews that Ukraine was “certainly one of us and we wish them in,” seemingly backing the EU membership bid that President Zelenskyy has publicly campaigned for.

The Fee chief’s endorsement capped per week of momentous selections: till just lately, Ukraine’s reasonable possibilities of becoming a member of the bloc had been decrease than these of Serbia and Turkey, two international locations that, regardless of its fraught relations with Brussels, are nonetheless thought of official “candidates”.

Whatever the route the warfare goes, the succession of such far-reaching adjustments and selections in seven days are set to go away a long-lasting impression on the EU as a complete and, significantly, on its overseas coverage.

The indulgence and complacency that characterised affluent instances and swept issues beneath the rug are over. Russia will concurrently be a pariah state beneath crippling sanctions and the bloc’s largest power exporter, not less than for the foreseeable future.

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The EU that offers with this precarious actuality can be extra hard-nosed, cynical and confident, conscious of the bounds of diplomacy and the attract of onerous energy. A union constructed on beliefs sure to dwell in a merciless world.

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‘SNL’: Colin Jost Forced to Tell Dirty Jokes About Wife Scarlett Johansson as She Watches Backstage: ‘Oh My Gosh, She’s So Genuinely Worried!’

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‘SNL’: Colin Jost Forced to Tell Dirty Jokes About Wife Scarlett Johansson as She Watches Backstage: ‘Oh My Gosh, She’s So Genuinely Worried!’

For several years, the final “Saturday Night Live” episode of the year includes a segment of “Weekend Update” in which co-anchors Colin Jost and Michael Che write jokes that the other must read for the first time on the air. For Jost, this typically has meant Che forces him to say a litany of jokes about race and racism that are horrifically tone deaf and over-the-top — and, in context, often quite funny.

This year, however, Che found a new way to torture Jost: Making him say outrageous things about his wife, Scarlett Johansson — while a camera captured Johansson’s live reactions in the hallway outside of the studio. The actor appeared during the episode’s cold open to welcome host Martin Short into the Five Timers Club, and Che apparently could not resist the chance to have some fun at the couple’s expense.

The bit started with Jost reading that this year, he was going to “read all the jokes in ‘Black voice’ so I don’t get in trouble,” which led into Jost reading a joke about Kamala Harris saying she still supports the idea of slavery reparations. 

“Well, damn girl, me too,” Jost said, barely able to get the words out through his exasperated laughter. “Because white people deserve our money back for all those slaves that ran away.”

That was a mere appetizer for what Jost was required to say about his wife. Just the sight of her face in an image over Jost’s shoulder was enough to have some people in the audience screaming in anticipation of what was to come.

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NBC

“I want to dedicate this next joke to my boo, Scarlett Johansson,” Jost said, and then a camera cut to a nervous Johansson, clutching a drink as she watched Jost from a monitor above her.

“No! No!” Jost said, as he realized what was happening. “Oh my gosh, she’s so genuinely worried!”

Then he got to the business of reading, for the first time, the jokes Che had written for him.

“Y’all know Scarlett just celebrated her 40th birthday, which means I’m about to get up out of there!” Jost said, again exploding in guffaws before he could even finish the line. After he regained his composure — and Che reminded him that there was more to the joke — Jost continued. “Shiz! Nah, nah. I’m just playin’,” he said. “We just had a kid together, and y’all ain’t see no pictures of him yet, because he’s Black as hell!” — at which point, a Photoshopped image of Jost and Johansson holding a Black baby appeared over Jost’s shoulder.

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Che certainly had his fair share of comedic humiliation, forced to make jokes about “Moana 2” and Jeffrey Epstein, Jay-Z, and his promise to Diddy that “I will help get you off.” But then the spotlight turned back to Jost, who ended the segment with a joke involving his wife that is so R-rated that it genuinely startled Johansson. Warning: This is not for the faint of heart!

“Costco has removed their roast beef sandwich from its menu, but I ain’t tripping,” Jost said. “I be eating roast beef every night since my wife had the kid!” After the audience, Jost and Che all stopped laughing, Jost read the final lines. “Nah, nah, I just playin’ baby. You know I don’t go downtown! Shiz! That’s gay as hell!”

Martin Short hosted the episode with Hozier as musical guest. You can watch the full segment below:

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Wife of US hostage Keith Siegel pleads for holiday miracle: 'we need to get them back'

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Wife of US hostage Keith Siegel pleads for holiday miracle: 'we need to get them back'

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FIRST ON FOX – Aviva Siegel, the wife of American hostage Kieth Siegel and a former hostage herself, is pleading with everyone and anyone involved in the hostage negotiations to get her husband, and the others, freed from Hamas captivity after they have spent more than 440 days in deplorable conditions. 

“Hamas released a video of Keith, and I just saw the picture,” Aviva told Fox News Digital in an emotional interview in reference to a video Hamas released in April. “He looks terrible. His bones are out, and you can see that he’s lost a lot of weight.

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“He doesn’t look like himself. And I’m just so worried about him, because so [many] days and minutes have passed since that video that we received,” she said. “I just don’t know what kind of Keith that we’re going to get back.”

Keith Samuel Siegel, 64, remains hostage in Gaza by Hamas (Hostage Family Forum)

7 US HOSTAGES STILL HELD BY HAMAS TERRORISTS AS FAMILIES PLEAD FOR THEIR RELEASE: ‘THIS IS URGENT’

“I’m worried about all the hostages, because the conditions that they are in are the worst conditions that any human being could go through,” Aviva said. “I was there. I touched death. I know what it feels being underneath the ground with no oxygen. 

“Keith and I were just left there. We were left there to die,” she added. 

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Aviva and her husband of, at the time 42 years, were brutally abducted from their home in Kibbutz Kfar Aza by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, and held together for 51 days before she was released in the November 2023 hostage exchange after suffering from a stomach infection that left her incredibly ill. 

She has since tirelessly fought for Kieth’s release, meeting with top officials in the U.S. and Israel, traveling to the United States nine times in the last year and becoming a prominent advocate for the hostages. 

“I just hope that he’s with other people from Israel, and if he has them, he’s going to be okay,” Aviva said. “He’s just the person that will make them feel that they’re together. That’s what he did when I was there – he was 100% for me and the hostages that we were with.”

Aviva Siegel

TEL AVIV, ISRAEL – MARCH 30: Released hostage Aviva Siegel, wife of hostage Keith Siegel, speaks during the final weekly ‘bring them home now’ rally on March 30, 2024 in Tel Aviv, Israel. According to the families of hostages forum, this would be the last week a rally is held at ‘hostage square’ citing that the government is not serious about negotiations and instead will be protesting in front of the Knesset from now on.  (Photo by Alexi Rosenfeld/Getty Images)

 “If you get kidnapped, get kidnapped with Keith, because he was outstanding to everybody. He was strong for all of us. And I’m sure that he’s keeping strong and keeping his hope to come out,” she said. 

Aviva recounted their last moments together before they were separated ahead of her release, telling Fox News Digital, “When I left him, I told him to be the strongest – that he needs to be strong for me, and I’ll be strong for him.”

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PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY UNDER PRESSURE AMID RISING RESISTANCE, POPULARITY OF IRAN-BACKED TERROR GROUPS

Top security officials from the U.S., Egypt, and Qatar have been pushing Israel and Hamas to agree to a cease-fire and the return of hostages. 

Reports on Thursday suggested that negotiators are pushing for a 42-day cease-fire in which 34 of the at least 50 hostages still assessed to be alive, could be exchanged. 

Hamas is also believed to continue to hold at least 38 who were taken hostage and then killed while in captivity, along with at least seven who are believed to have been killed on Oct. 7, 2023 and then taken into Gaza. 

Though all the hostages are believed to have been held in deplorable conditions, the children, women – including the female IDF soldiers – the sick and the elderly have reportedly been front listed to be freed first in exchange for Hamas terrorists currently imprisoned. 

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“I’m keeping my hope and holding on and just waiting – waiting to hug Keith, and waiting for all the families, to get their families back,” Aviva said. “We need to get them back.”

Aviva said she dreams of the moment that she gets to hug her husband again and watch their grandchildren “jump into his arms.” 

“We’ll be the happiest people on Earth,” she said. “All the hostages, I can’t imagine them coming home. It’ll be just the happiest moment for all of the families. We need it to happen.”

Reports in recent weeks suggest there is an increased sense of optimism in bringing home the hostages, but Secretary of State Antony Blinken urged some caution when speaking with MSNBC Morning Joe on Thursday when he said, “We are encouraged because this should happen, and it should happen because Hamas is at a point where the cavalry it thought might come to the rescue isn’t coming to the rescue, [Hezbollah’s] not coming to the rescue, [Iran’s] not coming to the rescue.”

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“In the absence of that, I think the pressure is on Hamas to finally get to yes,” he added. “But look, I think we also have to be very realistic.  We’ve had these Lucy and the football moments several times over the last months where we thought we were there, and the football gets pulled away.

“The real question is: Is Hamas capable of making a decision and getting to yes?  We’ve been fanning out with every possible partner on this to try to get the necessary pressure exerted on Hamas to say yes,” Blinken added.  

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Trump threatens to take back control of Panama Canal over ‘ridiculous fees’

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Trump threatens to take back control of Panama Canal over ‘ridiculous fees’

Trump also hinted at China’s growing influence around the canal, which connects the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans.

United States President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to demand control of the Panama Canal after accusing Panama of charging excessive rates on US ships passing through one of the busiest waterways in the world.

“Our Navy and Commerce have been treated in a very unfair and injudicious way. The fees being charged by Panama are ridiculous,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform on Saturday.

“This complete ‘rip-off’ of our Country will immediately stop.”

The US largely built the canal in 1914 and administrated territory surrounding the passage for decades. But Washington fully handed control of the canal to Panama in 1999 after a period of joint administration.

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Trump also hinted at China’s growing influence around the canal, which connects the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans.

“It was solely for Panama to manage, not China, or anyone else,” he said. “We would and will NEVER let it fall into the wrong hands!”

The post was an exceedingly rare example of a US leader saying he could push a sovereign country to hand over territory.

“It was not given for the benefit of others, but merely as a token of cooperation with us and Panama. If the moral and legal principles of this magnanimous gesture of giving are not followed, then we will demand that the Panama Canal be returned to us, in full, and without question,” Trump said.

Trump’s tariff plan

It also underlines an expected shift in US diplomacy under Trump, who has not historically shied away from threatening allies and using rhetoric when dealing with counterparts.

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Last month, Trump said he would impose tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports on day one of his administration and that the measures would remain until the “invasion” of undocumented migrants and drugs came to an end.

“Both Mexico and Canada have the absolute right and power to easily solve this long-simmering problem. We hereby demand that they use this power, and until such time that they do, it is time for them to pay a very big price!” he posted on his Truth Social platform.

Authorities in Panama did not immediately react to Trump’s post.

An estimated 5 percent of global maritime traffic passes through the Panama Canal, which allows ships travelling between Asia and the US East Coast to avoid the long, hazardous route around the southern tip of South America.

The Panama Canal Authority reported in October that the waterway had earned record revenues of nearly $5bn in the last fiscal year.

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