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Opinion | Ukraine can win. Don’t let Putin scare us.

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Opinion | Ukraine can win. Don’t let Putin scare us.


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Having misplaced the Battle of Kyiv, Russian warfare felony Vladimir Putin is attempting to salvage navy success within the Donbas area of japanese Ukraine. His military’s progress has been “gradual and uneven,” and that’s even earlier than all the heavy weaponry dedicated by the West reaches the defenders. As soon as the Ukrainian armed forces incorporate all of their new tools, they need to be poised to launch a counteroffensive that would regain misplaced territory.

What’s going to Putin do then? There’s a widespread concern that he can’t afford to lose and due to this fact will double down. He might escalate both with extra typical navy energy or with chemical or nuclear weapons. Some nonetheless anticipate that, a technique or one other, Russia will win. “If western leaders assume that their arms-length encouragement of Ukraine will convey a few Ukrainian navy victory, then they’re fatally misreading Putin’s intentions and resolve,” writes a British journalist and former “marketing consultant to the Kremlin.” That article sounds as if it’s from February, but it surely really ran within the Guardian final week.

One situation mooted by analysts is that Putin will use the Might 9 Victory Day celebrations in Purple Sq., commemorating the top of World Battle II, to announce an expanded warfare effort in Ukraine. Having beforehand tried to go off the invasion as a “particular navy operation,” he might now declare warfare and announce a complete, World Battle II-style mobilization. He may think that he might crush Ukraine with vastly extra tanks and troops. However that may danger social unrest and nonetheless in all probability received’t ship victory.

Russia is an enormous nation (inhabitants 144 million), however Putin doesn’t have an enormous pool of educated navy manpower on name. Russia conscripts roughly 260,000 males a yr in two drafts, within the spring and fall, for a one-year interval. However even when Putin have been to ship conscripts into Ukraine (which he vows he received’t do), they might nonetheless require at the very least 4 months of coaching — and even that may produce low-quality, unmotivated troops. Russia’s greatest models, made up of contract troopers, have carried out abysmally. Conscript-heavy forces would do even worse.

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Observe Max Boot‘s opinionsObserve

On paper, Russia has greater than 2 million former servicemen in reserve, however, based on the Institute for the Research of Battle, few of them obtain any refresher coaching. A 2019 Rand report discovered that solely 4,000 to five,000 reservists could be thought of corresponding to U.S. Nationwide Guard or reserve members. The protection ministry launched an initiative in 2021 to broaden the reserves to 80,000 to 100,000 troops, however there is no such thing as a indication that this bold goal is being achieved.

Even when Russia have been to throw huge numbers of ill-trained conscripts into battle, it will have issue equipping them. The Russians declare to have greater than 10,000 tanks and 36,000 different armored automobiles in storage, however most are doubtless antiquated and dilapidated. Russia is shedding its greatest navy tools in Ukraine and can discover it arduous to discipline replacements. Western sanctions are strangling Russian navy manufacturing traces by stopping the circulation of microchips. The Russian navy, for instance, is operating quick on precision-guided munitions.

And even when Russia might discipline much more low-quality troops geared up with out-of-date tools, it will have issue supplying them. Russian logistics haven’t been in a position to sustain with an invasion military that originally numbered about 150,000 males. How would they provide a bigger pressure? Extra Russian troops would simply create extra targets for all of Ukraine’s trendy weapons.

A scarier situation could be if Putin have been to make use of chemical or, particularly, nuclear weapons. Russian propagandists commonly threaten to wage nuclear war if their forces lose in Ukraine, and Putin himself engages in nuclear saber-rattling to intimidate the West.

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The least doubtless situation is probably the most apocalyptic one: Russia attacking NATO international locations with typical or nuclear weapons. Putin isn’t suicidal, and he is aware of that the U.S. response could be devastating. A extra restricted use of nuclear weapons towards Ukrainian bases or inhabitants facilities is barely extra believable. Putin would possibly begin with an illustration strike to terrorize Kyiv into give up. (Chemical weapons use is extra doubtless nonetheless, but it surely wouldn’t be a recreation changer.)

President Biden wants to stop that from occurring by emphasizing that, whereas beneath present circumstances the USA won’t battle Russia immediately, all bets are off if Putin goes nuclear. Even with out resorting to nuclear weapons of their very own, NATO might launch airstrikes that may quickly sink your entire Russian Black Sea fleet and destroy a lot of the Russian military in and round Ukraine. That may shake Putin’s felony regime to its foundations.

We can’t cease Putin from a reckless escalation, however we have to persuade him that the value could be too excessive to pay. We actually mustn’t enable his threats to discourage us from offering Ukraine with each weapon it must win. If Putin have been to prevail, he could be emboldened to additional aggression — and so would different rogue states comparable to China. We have now to clarify that, as President George H.W. Bush mentioned after the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, “This aggression … won’t stand.”





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Confirmed: Cardinal McElroy to be appointed Washington archbishop

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Confirmed: Cardinal McElroy to be appointed Washington archbishop


Cardinal Robert McElroy of San Diego will be announced as the new archbishop of Washington, D.C., The Pillar has confirmed.

Cardinal Robert Walter McElroy

After reporting January 4 that multiple U.S. bishops had said that the appointment was imminent, The Pillar has separately confirmed that Pope Francis has selected McElroy to succeed Cardinal Wilton Gregory in the capital see.

The announcement is expected Monday, according to sources close to the process.

McElroy’s appointment follows a lengthy and contentious process to find a successor for the Washington archdiocese, which involved a protracted standoff between some American cardinals and the apostolic nunciature.

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The Pillar has previously reported that following a meeting in October in which McElroy joined Cardinals Blase Cupich of Chicago and Joseph Tobin of Newark to meet with Pope Francis during the synod on synodality in October, Francis was said to have decided against appointing McElroy.

Instead, Francis tasked former Washington archbishop Cardinal Donald Wuerl to identify a suitable candidate.

Wuerl, sources close to the process have confirmed to The Pillar, suggested Bishop Sean McKnight of Jefferson City, with Cardinal Gregory also signing off on the recommendation. However, in the weeks following the presidential election result, which saw Donald Trump reelected to the White House, Francis agreed to revisit McElroy’s candidacy.

As Bishop of San Diego and as a cardinal, McElroy has been outspoken on various subjects touching the political area, most especially immigration.

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In addition to the political sensitivities of the role, McElroy will also assume leadership of more than half a million Catholics in the DC area and southern Maryland, becoming their third archbishop since 2018.

McElroy turns 71 in February and succeeds Cardinal Gregory, 77, who was appointed to succeed Cardinal Donald Wuerl in 2019, whose resignation was accepted by Pope Francis following the scandal surrounding Wuerl’s own predecessor, Theodore McCarrick, the previous year.

Despite promises of transparency by Gregory at the time of his appointment, the archdiocese has so far declined to answer repeated questions about McCarrick’s tenure, especially money raised and spent via his personal “archbishop’s fund” during his time in Washington.

McElroy has himself faced questions about McCarrick in the past, with some expressing concerns about how he responded to a 2016 warning about the now-laicized former cardinal.

In addition to lingering questions about McCarrick, McElroy will also have to reckon with a process of financial restructuring in the Washington archdiocese.

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In December last year, several local priests told The Pillar that chancery officials had painted a bleak picture of archdiocesan finances, announcing sweeping reforms of its parish assessment system to bridge a multi-million dollar deficit.

As Bishop of San Diego, McElroy has at times raised eyebrows on the national stage, calling for the synod on synodality to debate issues like the sacramental ordination of women, despite Pope Francis repeatedly saying such issues were not up for discussion.

The cardinal has previously made calls for “comprehensive inclusion” in Eucharistic reception.

Following the Dicastery for the Doctrine of the Faith’s 2023 instruction Fiducia supplicans on the blessing of persons on same-sex relationships, which Rome agreed to allow the bishops of Africa to not implement in their own dioceses, McElroy hailed the “diverging pastoral paths” taken by the Church in different countries as a model of healthy decentralization, rather than a sign of contradiction within the Church.

Last year, McElroy issued a controversial homeschooling policy in the San Diego diocese, barring local Catholic home schooling groups from using parish facilities.

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Cardinal Robert McElroy presides at a liturgy during the Los Angeles Religious Education Congress. Credit: RECongress/YouTube.

Cardinal McElroy was ordained a priest for the Archdiocese of San Francisco in 1980, serving as secretary to Archbishop John Quinn. After several years in parish ministry, Quinn named him vicar general of the archdiocese in 1995.

McElroy was named auxiliary bishop of the Archdiocese of San Francisco in 2010, and made Bishop of San Diego in 2015. Pope Francis created him a cardinal in 2022.

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Buccaneers Claim 3 Seed in NFC Playoff Field, Face Commanders in Wild Card Round

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Buccaneers Claim 3 Seed in NFC Playoff Field, Face Commanders in Wild Card Round


The Tampa Bay Buccaneers not only captured a fourth straight NFC South title on Sunday, but they also improved their overall position in the playoff standings and kept alive the possibility of two home games in the postseason.

While the Buccaneers secured their own playoff spot with a Week 18 win over the New Orleans Saints, the Los Angeles Rams had already clinched the NFC West title the Week before. That put the Rams into the third overall seed in the NFC playoff field coming into the final weekend, but a loss to the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday allowed Tampa Bay to leap them for that spot. Both the Buccaneers and Rams finished with 10-7 records but Tampa Bay won the tiebreaker for positioning based on a better record against conference opponents (8-4 to 6-6).

As the #3 seed, the Buccaneers will host a playoff game in the Wild Card round against the team that claimed the #6 seed. That proved to be Washington after the Commanders beat the Cowboys on Sunday to improve to 11-6. The NFL will announce the date and time of the game later on Sunday evening.

The Buccaneers will be taking part in the playoffs for a fifth straight season, the longest such run in franchise history, but this is the first time in that span that they will start out as the #3 seed. They earned the top Wild Card spot in 2020 and, coincidentally, started their playoffs at Washington after the Commanders won the NFC East with a 7-9 record. The Bucs won the NFC South each year from 2021 to 2023 and in those seasons was seeded second, fourth and fourth.

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Tampa Bay could still be at home for two playoff games. If they win next weekend and the second-seeded Philadelphia Eagles lose to Green Bay, the Buccaneers would go into the Divisional Round as the second-highest remaining seed behind the winner of the Detroit-Minnesota game on Sunday night. That team would enjoy a bye in the first round and then play at home against the lowest of the remaining seeds. The Buccaneers would get the next seeded team up from the bottom, which would be either Minnesota/Detroit or Los Angeles.



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Washington Post cartoonist quits over rejected Trump sketch

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Washington Post cartoonist quits over rejected Trump sketch


What’s New

Pulitzer Prize-winning cartoonist Ann Telnaes resigned from The Washington Post after the editorial team rejected one of her cartoons criticizing The Post‘s billionaire owner Jeff Bezos.

Writing on her Substack blog on Friday, Telnaes said it was the first time her work was censored due to its point of view, prompting her decision to leave

Newsweek has contacted The Washington Post via email for comment.

The Washington Post building in Washington D.C., February 21, 2019. Pulitzer Prize-winning cartoonist Ann Telnaes resigned from The Post after the editorial team rejected one of her cartoons criticizing The Post’s billionaire owner Jeff Bezos.

Pablo Martinez Monsivais/ASSOCIATED PRESS

Why It Matters

Telnaes’ resignation highlights concerns over press freedom and the influence of billionaire owners on editorial decisions in major news outlets, including at the LA Times and The Washington Post.

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Critics argue that billionaire owners could censor critical commentary, undermining journalism’s role in holding power accountable.

What To Know

The cartoon in question depicted Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, LA Times owner Patrick Soon-Shiong, and The Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos, all billionaires, and Micky Mouse, representing Disney, kneeling before a statue of Donald Trump, offering sacks of cash.

Telnaes posted a rough of the cartoon in the blog post:

Why I'm Quitting the Washington Post - Cartoon Illustration by Ann Telnaes

Telnaes described the decision to reject the cartoon as a “game changer” for her relationship with the paper.

But Post Opinions editor David Shipley, in a statement to Politico, said the cartoon was rejected to avoid repetition, because a column and a satirical piece on the same subject had already been published.

In her blog post, Telnaes outlined her career as an advocate for press freedom in various roles, having served on advisory boards for organizations supporting editorial cartoonists.

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She emphasized the importance of holding power accountable and warned against efforts to “curry favor with an autocrat-in-waiting.”

What People Are Saying

Elizabeth Warren, Senator, on X: “@AnnTelnaes resigned after The Washington Post editorial page killed her cartoon. It’s worth a share. Big Tech executives are bending the knee to Donald Trump and it’s no surprise why: Billionaires like Jeff Bezos like paying a lower tax rate than a public school teacher.”

David Shipley, Washington Post Opinions Editor, in a statement to Politico: “My decision was guided by the fact that we had just published a column on the same topic as the cartoon and had already scheduled another column — this one a satire — for publication. The only bias was against repetition.”

Ann Telnaes, Cartoonist, on Substack: “For the first time, my editor prevented me from doing that critical job. So I have decided to leave the Post.”

What Happens Next

With Donald Trump set to assume the presidency, The Post faces increased scrutiny over its ability to maintain editorial independence under Bezos’s ownership. Telnaes’ departure raises questions about how the paper will approach coverage of Trump’s administration, particularly regarding its willingness to challenge powerful figures.

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