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Bombs Away, Take 2! Washington’s offense appears poised for explosion in 2022

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Bombs Away, Take 2! Washington’s offense appears poised for explosion in 2022


Prematurely of the 2021 season, I regarded on the addition of Ryan Fitzpatrick, his rising complement of WRs, and Scott Turner’s schematic preferences, and wrote a model of the article under. Sadly, Ryan Fitzpatrick went down within the first recreation of the season, and we by no means had the prospect to see it play out.

And, whereas Taylor Heinicke performed nearly in addition to he may beneath the circumstances, his arm energy and deep ball accuracy limitations had been about as antithetical to this model of soccer as one may presumably think about.

All that having been stated, with the commerce for Carson Wentz – assuming he can keep wholesome – we’re more likely to get a fair higher take a look at this deep ball-style offense in 2022 than we might have with Fitz in 2021.

In early 2021, Washington’s Offensive Coordinator, Scott Turner, made it clear how a lot he’s trying ahead to a reworked offensive assault.

Suffice it to say, Washington’s was not a “large play” offense in 2020, helmed largely by Dwayne Haskins and Alex Smith, two of essentially the most poorly rated passers within the league final season.

By way of precise “large performs,” Washington was tied for nineteenth within the league with solely 27 passes over 25 yards final season, and tied for twentieth, with 46 rush performs over 10 yards. Sharp Soccer Stats has an analogous metric, referred to as “explosive performs,” and Washington was even worse there, with an 8% general “explosive play charge,” twenty seventh within the league in 2020.

In 2021, Washington’s “large play passing (>25 yds)” standing declined even additional, falling to twenty fourth within the league.

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In his feedback above, Turner appears to be strongly echoing his father’s offensive philosophy:

“To attain factors constantly, it’s a must to discover a option to create large performs,” stated then–Chargers head coach Norv Turner in 2010. “With all of the issues defenses do now like zone blitzes, a number of appears to be like, a number of personnel, it’s tougher to place collectively these 10-, 12-, 14-play drives.”

Why Huge Performs Matter

It turns on the market’s one thing of a statistical cottage trade, in each the NFL and school, digging into what, if any, connection “large performs”/”explosive performs” must on-the-field success.

One of many earliest coaches to acknowledge the analytics-based significance of explosive performs was truly a defensive thoughts, Pete Carroll. In his time at USC, earlier than coming to the Seahawks, Carroll outlined “three ideas of secondary play,” with the primary being “ELIMINATE THE BIG PLAY,” knowledgeable by analysis like the next:

A latest unpublished NFL Examine carried out in recent times once more concluded that giving up explosive performs (+16 within the passing recreation, and +12 within the operating recreation) has a serious impact on figuring out the end result.

Quit both an explosive run or cross play in any given drive and the opposition will rating over 75% of the time for the interval studied. Conversely, if the protection limits the opposition to three large performs within the recreation or much less, the offense will solely generate 8.6 factors per recreation on common.

Not surprisingly, Carroll made it an early precedence in Seattle to draft Earl Thomas and Cam Chancellor – two safeties – to defend the deep center of the sphere and assist take away explosive performs. {That a} very profitable, defensive-minded head coach would construction his school and professional groups to take this method, speaks to the significance of offenses having the ability pursue large performs.

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One other innovator on the subject has been Inexperienced Bay’s Director of Analysis, Mike Eayers.

Earys discovered explosive performs dramatically elevated the chances {that a} drive would finish in a rating. A single explosive play elevated an offense’s probability at factors to 40%. Two bumped the chances to a near-certain 80%. In brief, when offenses produce explosive performs, they have an inclination to attain extra factors.

Offenses possess the ball about ten occasions in a mean NFL recreation. Utilizing Eayrs’ odds, the 4 groups who averaged at the least 9 explosive performs per recreation on offense in 2018 had almost a 50/50 shot at scoring each time they touched the ball.

Groups that produced essentially the most explosive performs in 2018 tended to be very profitable. Three of the 4 most explosive groups made the playoffs, and the Rams and Chiefs superior to their respective convention championship video games.

On the one hand, there’s an intuitive “obviousness” to those findings – groups who get extra large performs typically rating extra factors and win extra (assuming their protection is nice at stopping large performs) – however as defenses do extra to shrink QB throwing time and tighten up in opposition to quick passes, the specter of large positive aspects (and the defensive loosening they assist create) is a crucial device within the toolbox for profitable soccer groups.

“This can be very troublesome to dink and dunk all the way in which down the sphere,” LaFleur stated. “The defenses are simply too good. When you take a look at it, statistically the groups which are getting the chunk performs, the explosive (performs), these are the groups which are going to supply extra yards, extra factors.

Washington, lastly, seems to have the items in place to pursue a “large play” offense.

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Terry McLaurin

For the previous three years, the group’s extensive receiving corps was constrained by the quarterback play, however even with Washington’s quarterback carousel, third 12 months WR, Terry McLaurin was a lone vivid spot, main the complete league in dominating his group’s share of explosive cross performs for his first couple of seasons.

With the additions to Washington’s WR group the previous two offseasons, it appears unlikely that McLaurin will probably be so singularly focused within the subsequent couple of years, however I nonetheless count on him to be a key cog in Turner’s expanded offense, and to proceed to rack up large performs.

His capacity to gather yards after the catch must be enhanced by the addition of competent targets opening up the secondary for Terry after he snags handed beneath protection as effectively.

McLaurin’s capacity to retain his explosiveness amongst receiving expertise has precedent as effectively. Even within the very crowded WR room at Ohio State, he was an “explosive play” chief his senior season in school.

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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel had a breakout season in 2020, however in 2019, he suffered from “Washington-caliber QB play” as Kyle Allen helmed the ship for many of the season. Even so, when he was thrown deep balls that had been catchable, he had great success. Sadly for him, that was a uncommon prevalence.

Samuel’s QB play improved a bit with Teddy Bridgewater main the group final 12 months. That QB change was compounded by the way in which he was utilized by Offensive Coordinator Joe Brady.

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In 2019, beneath Turner, Samuel was solely used within the slot 28% of snaps. Brady stored him there for 71% of his routes, and it paid off large time, with Samuel having one of the best season of his profession by a large margin. A considerable element of that success was based mostly on catching (effectively thrown) deep balls, the place Samuel had one of the best reception charge within the league final 12 months.

After all, Samuel spent most of 2021 on the sidelines with an injured groin, so 2022 would be the first alternative to essentially see him in motion in Washington.

Samuel, like McLaurin, is able to doing actual injury after the catch due to his unbelievable pace, which is without doubt one of the causes his addition is so necessary.

Dyami Brown

When Samuel was initially picked up in free company, the thought appeared to be that he could be largely lined up exterior – reverse McLaurin – to assist stretch the sphere, maybe with the lately acquired Adam Humphries lined up within the slot to spherical out the beginning WR group.

Simply because it had on the defensive facet of the ball with Benjamin St. Juste, the third spherical of the 2021 draft seems have opened up a complete new set of prospects on the offensive facet.

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Many anticipated that UNC’s Dyami Brown could be passed by Washington’s second choose within the third spherical of the 2021 draft. However, he wasn’t, and when he was chosen there, he was declared by a number of speaking heads to be among the best values within the draft.

Brown’s extensive receiving expertise may definitely find yourself incomes him the title of “steal” in its personal proper, however for Washington, it was even higher than that. Really, I feel that Rivera could have even stunned himself at what luck the group had selecting up WR expertise this offseason.

“For me, it’s see ball, get ball,” Brown stated. “A 50/50 ball isn’t a 50/50 ball to me; it’s 100% to me.”

Brown’s addition truly supplied the fast, exterior Z menace that Washington was lacking in 2020 AND thus supplies the chance for Samuel to be deployed largely out of the slot once more this 12 months, the place he was so profitable with the Panthers, concurrently upgrading expertise at two WR positions.

To prime it off, Washington was in a position to seize one other prime three school deep receiving menace by the tip of the draft.

Jahan Dotson

The addition of Penn State’s Jahan Dotson within the first spherical of the 2022 draft provides yet one more prime deep ball menace to Washington’s receiving arsenal.

Dotson possesses low 4.4 pace and was constantly described as having “one of the best palms within the draft.” At 5’10”, he’s on the smaller facet of the WR spectrum, however his catch radius is expansive and spectacular.

However the actuality is, none of those extensive receiver capabilities imply a lot if the group lacks the capability behind heart to get them the ball.

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Carson Wentz

Final 12 months, it appeared that Ryan Fitzpatrick was going to be well-situated to take command of Scott Turner’s Air Coryell offense, however that experiment was reduce dramatically quick. This 12 months, Carson Wentz will get his alternative, and in response to at the least one skilled, that must be a very good scenario for each events concerned.

In 2021, Wentz confirmed an odd sample of passing success, fairly poor in brief vary, middling on intermediate passes, and prime of the league on deep passes, in response to his IQR. IQR is “Sports activities Information Options’ proprietary quarterback metric that builds on the normal Passer Ranking method by contemplating the worth of a quarterback unbiased of outcomes exterior of his management similar to dropped passes, dropped interceptions, throwaways, and many others.”

It must be no shock, given his fame and Turner’s intentions, that Wentz is an almost good match for an explosive, deep-strike offense. Final 12 months, as an example, Wentz was the league chief in DVOA on deep passes. What’s DVOA?

DVOA measures a group’s effectivity by evaluating success on each single play to a league common based mostly on scenario and opponent.

Wentz might want to proceed to enhance in his passing recreation, notably his quick passing recreation, however his competency within the deep recreation appears to be according to Cosell’s take above. It’s additionally according to the notion that Wentz is finest on the transfer, when he’s utilizing his legs to create alternatives for his arm.

Ballot

The place do you assume Washington’s offense will rank by way of “explosive play charge” in 2022?

  • 47%
    Prime quarter of the league.

    (98 votes)

  • 44%
    Prime half of the league.

    (92 votes)

  • 5%
    Backside half of the league.

    (11 votes)

  • 2%
    One of many worst within the league.

    (5 votes)



206 votes whole

Vote Now





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Washington

For Commanders fans who aren’t sure what to do, here’s a suggestion: Believe

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For Commanders fans who aren’t sure what to do, here’s a suggestion: Believe


LANDOVER, Md. — It’s OK, Commanders fans.

You don’t know what to do with yourselves, do you? You’re like Ricky Bobby.

This can’t be real, right? Not for this franchise, which has worn holes in your soul for three decades, beaten the care out of you with one embarrassing off- and on-field episode after another, made you put your tickets on the secondary market and led to off-the-charts bile readings every Monday morning. It’s been grim around here. Grim.

You have every reason to let cynicism and jaded history be your guide. None of the team’s three units is fully formed or totally functional.

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But, it’s also OK to believe. Really.

It doesn’t mean Washington will be playing for a Lombardi Trophy any time soon. But the boulder is, at last, moving toward that, rather than rolling away from it.

At 4-1 and in first place in the NFC East after spanking the Cleveland Browns 34-13 at Northwest Stadium, the Commanders have already equaled their win total for all of last season. They didn’t even play that well in the first half Sunday, in what Dan Quinn called a “grimy” first 30 minutes. Jayden Daniels threw a bad interception at the Cleveland 5 in the first quarter, after … well, I can show you better than I can describe it:

That was 66 yards, on the move, on third-and-13.

The stadium wasn’t sold out Sunday, but it was more filled with actual Commanders fans than I can remember seeing — and hearing — in a very long time. The home crowd chanting “defense” and meaning it? Goodness.

People in Commanders jerseys started leaving late in the third quarter … but it was because their team was up 34-6. And when is the last time the home team was up by that much in this stadium?

It was Nov. 15, 2015, against the New Orleans Saints, a game Washington won 47-17. (Kirk Cousins was pretty efficient that day, going 20-of-25 for 324 yards and four touchdown passes.)

It’s not that there were no Browns fans around Sunday. There were many. But they didn’t overwhelm the stadium with their noise, as opposing fans have done for most of the last decade. They couldn’t, because every four or five minutes, Daniels did another thing that left their jaws slacked while Washington’s faithful could almost giggle at the absurdity of what they were watching.

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There was Daniels going deep to Terry McLaurin. There he was beating the Browns’ man coverage late in the first half, dropping a 41-yard TD in the bucket to Dyami Brown. There he went, after his bombs made Cleveland’s defensive backs stay glued to their men rather than come up and assist their defensive line to keep Daniels contained, scampering out of the pocket, time and again, taking off downfield to the tune of 11 carries for 82 yards, including converting a fourth-and-3 at the Cleveland 40 by making linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah miss, then taking off for 34 yards down the sideline.

And watch the impact, as Browns defenders’ bodies sagged every time Daniels moved the chains again.

Jayden Daniels can break your brain if you’re not stout of mind on the opposite sideline.

“It can be demoralizing,” Quinn said. “’Cause all of a sudden, you’ve created some long-yardage scenarios. … To have a big shot, even when the person’s guarded well, and you put it in the only spot it could go. The play that comes to mind before today was the one to Terry at the end of the Cincinnati game, where there was really only one spot where he could throw that pass. He had a couple of those scenarios today.”

And this is happening every week. And it’s happening here.

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Not just Kansas City. Or San Francisco. Or Philly or Buffalo or Detroit. Here, too. Finally.

The player who is rapidly becoming Must-See TV around the country, the person about whom the morning shoutfests are devoting increasing amounts of their time (“If you could clone Jayden Daniels, what team would you put him on?”), the first-round quarterback pick who is going first overall now in the 2024 NFL redrafts (yes, it’s still 2024; these are the clickbait times in which we live) plays for your team.

And afterward, the first thing he talked about was the plays he and the offense left on the field.

“I’m happy to get back and watch the film,” Daniels said. “It’s always better to go back and review stuff after a win, but we’ve got to improve.”

The Commanders did leave points out there Sunday. Daniels’ pick erased a scoring chance deep in the red zone, a play after he missed an open Zach Ertz in the end zone. Later, he missed Ertz again, after the tight end had cleared down the seam past the Cleveland secondary. McLaurin fumbled on the first play of the third quarter and dropped another potential TD on a near-perfect fade from Daniels late in the third. Washington was fortunate that wide receiver Olamide Zaccheaus was hustling downfield early in the second quarter at the end of Austin Ekeler’s 50-yard run and was able to recover Ekeler’s fumble after Browns corner Martin Emerson Jr. punched the ball out.

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There was complementary football all over the field Sunday. Austin Seibert still hasn’t missed a kick since he’s gotten here. Linebacker Nick Bellore, a two-time Pro Bowler on special teams in Seattle before Washington signed him to its practice squad a month ago, hit most everyone who tried to return a kick for the Browns.

The defense again got home Sunday, sacking Cleveland’s Deshaun Watson seven times, with Bobby Wagner forcing a Watson fumble after a big hit on him in the third quarter. Washington’s defensive tackles were outstanding, stuffing the Browns running game and forcing multiple third-and-longs. (Sunday was third-year man Phidarian Mathis’ best game here, by far.) The woeful Browns were 1 for 13 on third downs.

And even though Daniels struggled at times, the big plays he and the offense made not only picked up Washington’s defense but also reinforced what it already believes: Daniels is earning everything he’s gotten so far.

“It fires us up,” linebacker Frankie Luvu said. “’Cause we know what Jayden puts in all week. The kid shows up at 4 a.m., and he’s already lifting in there. Me and Bobby walk in at like 5, 6, and dude is already done with his film tape, done with his lift. He’s already a step ahead. To see that, and to (then) see what he does on Sundays, it’s not shocking. It is to the world. But the dude put in a week of work. It’s a long conversation, but what you put in is what you’re gonna get out. To do what he does, it just fires us up and helps us keep going.”

That’s why it’s OK to hope. That’s why it’s OK to dream about what could happen around here, and maybe sooner than we all think, if Josh Harris and his folks can find a place to build the stadium they want, and if Adam Peters, as I believe he will, keeps his draft powder dry and doesn’t reach for a short-term fix at the trade deadline and has a couple of more cracks at things in 2025 and 2026, and if Quinn and his staff continue to develop what they’re given. Nothing’s promised in this league, or this game. The Ravens await next Sunday in Baltimore, and if you ever want to stress-test these Commanders, to see where the fissures still lie, that’s the perfect place to do so.

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But it’s OK to believe. And to dream. And to hope for greatness down the line. Because the quarterback, the one who hasn’t been around here in so very, very long, isn’t skipping steps. He isn’t cutting the line. He wants to be great, and he’s grinding to become just that.

Win or lose in a given week, it’s real. For real.

(Photo of Frankie Luvu and Washington teammates celebrating with fans after his fumble recovery: Timothy Nwachukwu / Getty Images)





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Washington Commanders Dominating Cleveland Browns, Lead 24-3 at Halftime

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Washington Commanders Dominating Cleveland Browns, Lead 24-3 at Halftime


Landover, MD. — The Washington Commanders entered Week 5 against the Cleveland Browns with a 3-1 record and their rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been the toast of the town as he’s gotten off to a record-setting start.

On Sunday, it was the Browns who got the game started with the ball after the Commanders won the coin toss and deferred their selection to the second half.

That meant Cleveland quarterback Deshaun Watson took the field first to face the Washington defense coming off a strong outing against the Arizona Cardinals one week ago and a season high four sacks as a team.

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels.

Oct 6, 2024; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) spins a ball on his finger during warmup prior to the game against the Cleveland Browns at NorthWest Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images / Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

There weren’t any sacks on the first drive of the game but there was a fourth down conversion try. After getting the ball down to the Commanders’ 47-yard line on a 3rd-and-3 run the Browns faced 4th-and-1 and opted for the try.

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Quarterback Jameis Winston has been the quarterback sneak specialist for Cleveland this season and he was the man taking the snap for that fourth down play, undoubtedly in an attempt to get Washington selling out to stop the sneak.

Instead, Winston pitched the ball to running back D’Onta Foreman and after initial backfield contact by linebacker Frankie Luvu, the Commanders defense corralled the ball carrier for no gain and a turnover on downs.

Washington traded punts with the Browns and appeared destined for another on 3rd-and-13 from its own 31-yard line when Daniels escaped the pocket, rolled right, and connected with receiver Terry McLaurin for a 66-yard gain down to the Cleveland three-yard line.

That excitment was short-lived, however, as Daniels threw his second career interception three plays later while targeting tight end Zach Ertz in the end zone. The pass was picked off by Browns linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and came at the one-yard line, ending the first scoring threat fo the game for Washington.

After a second three-and-out forced by the defense, however, and a big punt return by Olamide Zaccheaus the Commanders found themselves with great field position, but facing a fourth down conversion attempt of their own.

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On 4th-and-2 from the Cleveland 14 running back Austin Ekeler gained 10 yards. One snap later, running back Brian Robinson Jr. took a run around the left side for a four-yard touchdown score, the first of the game, giving Washington a 7-0 lead over the Browns.

After another three-and-out forced by the Commanders defense Washington got the ball back, but at their own one-yard line resulting in the offense’s second three-and-out of the game. The ensuing punt gave the Browns great field position, but they were only able to secure a field goal out of it after Luvu came up with a big sack on third down to prevent the offense from getting any further cracks at their first touchdown of the game.

Dustin Hopkins made the field goal try for Cleveland, and the score stood at 7-3 with the Commanders leading early in the second quarter.

Washington was able to answer with a field goal of its own on the ensuing possession to push the lead back out to seven points, but it didn’t come without some drama. First, at the end of a 57 yard run by Ekeler the running back fumbled the ball. Fortunately, Zaccheaus was close behind him and was able to fall on the ball to secure the possession for the Commanders.

Later, tight end Zach Ertz appeared to secure a pass before fumbling in the red zone. This time the fumble was recovered by the Browns, but review overturned the turnover quickly and Washington was able to secure the three points from kicker Austin Seibert.

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Following a fourth three-and-out forced by the defense the Commanders got their hands on the ball again and again sealed a drive with a touchdown run by Robinson. This one came from one-yard out and was aided by key plays like a five-yard penalty that turned a 3rd-and-10 into a 3rd and 5 for Washington, a nine-yard catch by receiver Luke McCaffrey on that third down, and a 34-yard scramble by Daniels down to the Cleveland six-yard line, all eventually leading to the score and a 17-3 Commanders lead.

The Browns were forced into a fifth three and out and another sack on third down, this time by linebacker Bobby Wagner, forced a punt with just under two minutes left in the half leaving Daniels with plenty of time, but no timeouts to try and construct another scoring drive.

Daniels didn’t need all of that time, however, and with 42 seconds left in the half the rookie quarterback found receiver Dyami Brown 41 yards downfield for another score, giving the Commanders a 24-3 lead entering the half.

Washington will receive the ball to start the second half.

Stick with CommanderGameday and the Locked On Commanders podcast for more FREE coverage of the Washington Commanders throughout the 2024 season.

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• Commanders vs. Browns: Time, TV, & Predictions

• How Has the Left Tackle Rotation Gone for the Commanders?

• Commanders Coach Offers Injury Update on DE Clelin Ferrell

• Commanders Pass Rusher Named Hidden Gem



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Coming soon: Restaurant on Washington Square opening ‘in the near future’

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Coming soon: Restaurant on Washington Square opening ‘in the near future’


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While they have not yet set a specific opening date, the management of Tangled Roots Brewing Company is looking forward to opening its new location on Washington Square “in the near future.”

“Tangled Roots is very grateful for the warm welcome from both the City of Washington and the Washington Chamber of Commerce, and residents,” Tangled Roots director of marketing Anna Wright said. “We are thrilled to be a part of such a vibrant and supportive community and truly appreciate the kindness and enthusiasm you’ve shown us. We’re excited to build lasting relationships, share our passion for craft beer and food, and contribute to the growth and success of Washington.”

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Tangled Roots Craft Beer & Kitchen will be located at 140 Washington Square, Washington. The company will also operate an events center at 120 Walnut Street and a retail facility at 126 Walnut Street.

In a June story by the Journal Star, Nathan Watson, the CEO of CL Real Estate Development said construction would be completed in the fall and the grand opening slated to take place by the end of the year.

The Washington location will be the fifth for the Ottawa-based Tangled Roots franchise. The company also operates locations in Ottawa, Glenview, Lockport, and Vernon Hills.

More information is available at tangledrootsbrewingco.com.

Previously: What to know about the ongoing construction of the Washington Square restaurant

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Wright added that Washington is a good fit for the restaurant group because of its “commitment to community engagement aligns with the community’s keen sense of local pride,” Wright said. Tangled Roots will provide a unique dining option while creating jobs and supporting local suppliers, Wright said.

“This economic boost can have a positive ripple effect on the community,” Wright said.

Known for a wide range of “farm to foam” beers brewed from locally grown barley, other Tangled Roots Craft Beer and Kitchens offer lunch and dinner menu with a selection of starters, soups, salads, flatbread, sandwiches, and entrees. The Tangled Roots brunch menu features Korean BBQ Chicken and Waffles, brunch burgers, and pancake tacos.



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