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Don’t look now, but the Mariners have doubled their playoff odds since Opening Day

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Don’t look now, but the Mariners have doubled their playoff odds since Opening Day


Each spring in Seattle folks appear to rediscover the Mariners, enthusiasm burning vibrant over the primary homestand earlier than typically fading because the group and temperatures cool. However there’s one thing about this 12 months that feels a bit totally different, for these of us intently attuned to how a lot house the Mariners take up within the collective Seattle zeitgeist. It’s been stunning to activate the native sports activities radio stations and discover them nonetheless engrossed in Mariners speak effectively after the thrill of the house opener has light, effectively into what would usually be one more section on the upcoming NFL draft, and to see the Mariners proceed to dominate the sports activities protection from native media shops whereas additionally receiving reward from the nationwide media as MLB Community devotes one other section to Seattle’s rookies or Pitching Ninja posts one other sequence of gifs of Matt Brash’s slider or Logan Gilbert’s changeup. Possibly for you, on an anecdotal degree, this swell in help is obvious in textual content messages from buddies solely loosely baseball followers suggesting a gaggle outing to a sport, or an off-the-cuff dialog with a stranger since you’re carrying Mariners gear in public.

However there are numbers backing up that anecdotal proof. Right here on the website, we’ve seen our common every day pageviews and feedback rise sharply as folks collect digitally to learn and speak in regards to the Mariners. Probably the uptick in Mariners content material you’re seeing at different shops is fueled by comparable underlying numbers—folks wish to eat content material in regards to the Mariners. And so they wish to go see the Mariners in particular person, too. Within the 9 video games Seattle has performed at residence, whereas they’ve drawn a median of about 25K followers per sport—solely adequate for nineteenth within the league—they rank thirteenth within the whole variety of followers, proper behind Boston, that means their large video games have been larger, whereas not benefitting from a very compelling slate of opponents and contending with an abnormally chilly April. And whereas the Mariners don’t have any gamers within the high 10 best-selling jersey membership but, if you need a Julio jersey, you’re at present out of luck—they’re all bought out on the MLB store.

But it surely’s not simply native fever indicating this 12 months’s group could be particular; the early returns are nothing wanting thrilling. The Mariners at present have the AL’s finest run differential at +22, a very astute little bit of trolling by the baseball gods after inuring us all to the concept run differential has nothing on enjoyable differential. They at present have the league’s fourth and tenth finest hitters by fWAR, and the very best AL fWAR for offense in addition to a major-league main wRC+ of 127. They’ve the pitcher with the bottom ERA in all of baseball, and their bullpen leads the majors in Okay%, putting out over a 3rd of batters confronted. They lead the majors in drawing walks whereas being the fourth-hardest group in baseball to strike out.

And all these outlying-in-the-good-way numbers have shot the Mariners’ playoff odds as much as nearly 50% by PECOTA at Baseball Prospectus, and to 45.3% at FanGraphs—over double the place their odds had been to start the season.

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FiveThirtyEight provides the Mariners the very best odds of all, with a 51% likelihood of creating the postseason, and their +6 change this week was the third-highest optimistic change in baseball, trailing solely the scorching-hot Giants and Blue Jays.

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It’s early, after all, but it surely’s all fairly heady. For now, we’re firmly in enjoy-the-ride territory right here at LL, however we are going to proceed to deliver you updates on how these Mariners are stacking up— not simply to their weekly opponents within the sequence previews, however to the higher panorama of baseball itself, since apparently that’s a dialog we’re capable of have proper now. Within the meantime, on the anecdotal entrance, if the Mariners can proceed to dominate the native sports activities dialog even through the frenzy of NFL draft week, we could be effectively on our technique to Seattle really coming into its identification as a baseball metropolis eventually.



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Seattle, WA

Who the Seattle Seahawks will be playing in the 2025 regular season

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Who the Seattle Seahawks will be playing in the 2025 regular season


The Detroit Lions beat the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football to wrap up the NFC North and the No. 1 overall seed. It also means that the Vikings will not only be on the road as a 14-3 team playing in the Wild Card against the Los Angeles Rams next Monday night, but they’ll be returning to Lumen Field to play the Seattle Seahawks in the 2025 regular season.

Game 272 was the final piece of the puzzle for the Seahawks’ 2025 opponents list. Whichever of the Vikings or Lions finished second in the NFC North would be headed to Seattle next season. While it would’ve been cool to see the Lions finally play at Lumen Field again after three straight Seahawks-Lions meetings in Detroit, it’s not happening.

The schedule is formulaic, which means the NFC West will play the whole of the AFC and NFC South, as well as the same-placed opposition from the NFC North (home), NFC East (away), and AFC North (away). Next season will be the AFC’s turn to get an extra home game, so the Seahawks will have nine away trips.


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Los Angeles Rams (10-7)

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Arizona Cardinals (8-9)

San Francisco 49ers (6-11)

New Orleans Saints (5-12)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7)

Indianapolis Colts (8-9)

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Houston Texans (10-7)

Minnesota Vikings (14-3)

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Los Angeles Rams (10-7)

Arizona Cardinals (8-9)

San Francisco 49ers (6-11)

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Tennessee Titans (3-14)

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-13)

Washington Commanders (12-5)

Atlanta Falcons (8-9)

Carolina Panthers (5-12)

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Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7)


The early returns on Michael Penix Jr and the late surge by Bryce Young could make the NFC South portion of the schedule much tougher than it looks right now. Never assume the league is so static that the teams that were good/bad now will remain the same the following season.

The NFL regular season schedule will be released at some point in May.



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Byron Murphy II Active as Seahawks Wrap Up Season at Rams

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Byron Murphy II Active as Seahawks Wrap Up Season at Rams


Despite missing practice time this week with a new back injury, after receiving a questionable designation on Friday, Seattle Seahawks rookie Byron Murphy II will be active for the team’s season finale against the Los Angeles Rams.

Selected out of Texas with the 16th overall pick in April’s NFL draft, Murphy will look to finish his first season with the Seahawks on a strong note. Going into Sunday’s finale, he has produced 34 combined tackles, half a sack, and 21 quarterback pressures, playing a key role in helping the team’s run defense improve over the course of the season and providing more of an impact than his general numbers may suggest.

After placing tackle Abraham Lucas and cornerback Josh Jobe on injured reserve on Saturday, Seattle had to deactivate several healthy players for Sunday’s final road contest due to the 46-man limit on game day. Among them, quarterback-turned-receiver John Rhys Plumlee won’t suit up for his NFL debut and receiver Cody White will also be held out as a scratch with Jake Bobo and Dareke Young being active as reserves behind starters DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

In addition, the Seahawks listed Jaren Hall as their emergency quarterback for the third straight game, and he would be eligible to play if Geno Smith and Sam Howell both suffered injuries and could not continue playing on Sunday. Tight end Tyler Mabry also won’t play after being signed back onto the 53-man roster this week.

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On defense, with Murphy good to go after testing out the injury in pre-game warmups, Seattle deactivated defensive tackles Quinton Bohanna and Brandon Pili after elevating the former from the practice squad and signing the latter to the 53-man roster earlier in the week. Linebacker Patrick O’Connell also won’t suit up for the finale with special teams ace Josh Ross getting the nod instead behind starters Ernest Jones and Tyrice Knight.

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Seattle Seahawks Draft Position All But Decided Due To Winning Too Much

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NFL Power Rankings: Where Are Seahawks Going Into Week 18?



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How to watch the Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams – NFL: Week 18 | Channel, stream, preview, predition

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How to watch the Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams – NFL: Week 18 | Channel, stream, preview, predition


INGLEWOOD, CA — On the final day of the 2024 NFL regular season, the playoff-bound Los Angeles Rams look to keep their standing in the NFC when they face the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday.

  • Watch the NFL on FuboTV (7-day free trial)

Seattle Seahawks (9-7) vs. Los Angeles Rams (10-6)

  • When: Sunday, January 5
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
  • Channel: FOX­­
  • Stream: FuboTV (Free Trial), DirecTV Stream, Sling

The Rams come into this game having already clinched the NFC West championship, their first division title since they won the Super Bowl three years ago. Matthew Stafford company got hot at the right time of the season, winning five straight games to outlast the rest in a jam-packed division race, clinching the title by beating the Arizona Cardinals last Saturday. With wins over the likes of the Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers, the team has confidence in its third playoff appearance in four years.

L.A. does have something to play for on Sunday. If they were to lose on Sunday, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were to beat the New Orleans Saints, the Rams would have to play the loser of the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings matchup on Sunday.

The Seahawks were expected, once again, to challenge for the division. However, inconsistency on offense and a defense that let the team down in key moments led them narrowly missing the playoffs for a second straight season. Back-to-back losses to the Green Bay Packers and Vikings ended up costing them their season.

The Rams won the first meeting against the Seahawks this season back in November and have beaten Seattle three straight times.

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MY PICK: Rams win, 27-20

  • Watch the NFL on FuboTV (7-day free trial)

Check out the NFL schedule



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