The San Diego State Aztecs (3-6, 2-2 Mountain West) and UNLV Rebels (7-2, 3-1) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (CBSSN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college football odds around the San Diego State vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Aztecs suffered a tough 21-16 loss to New Mexico at home last Friday as a 1.5-point favorite, a costly blow to the team’s bowl eligibility hopes. Now, San Diego State must win out to qualify for a bowl. The Aztecs have failed to cover in the past 2 outings, too, while the Under is 2-1 in the past 3 games.
For the Rebels, losses to Syracuse and Boise State in the past 2 home games have derailed talk of a potential run to the College Football Playoff, but a win over Hawaii last week was the team’s seventh victory of the season. The Rebels failed to cover, and they’re just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 outings. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games.
San Diego State has won 4 straight meetings, and 8 of the past 9 since Sept. 27, 2014. The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 in the series, with the Under cashing in 6 of the previous 7 contests.
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San Diego State at UNLV odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +980 (bet $100 to win $980) | UNLV -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread: San Diego State +21.5 (-115) | UNLV -21.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
San Diego State at UNLV picks and predictions
Prediction
UNLV 32, San Diego State 19
Moneyline
UNLV (-2000) will cost you 20 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, include the Rebels makes absolutely no sense.
AVOID.
Against the spread
SAN DIEGO STATE +21.5 (-115) is a bit of a risky play, but the hope is that it plays with a ton of urgency given the fact that a loss means no chance of a bowl game.
The Aztecs are a respectable 2-1 ATS in the past 3 games on the road, while the Rebels are a dismal 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games, including 2 straight outright losses in the past 2 at home.
While the Rebels are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 meetings, the Aztecs have won 8 of the past 9 in the series outright. The double-digit under in the past 4 meetings has cashed at a 3-1 ATS rate.
Over/Under
UNDER 54.5 (-105) is worth playing lightly.
The total has gone low in 6 of the past 7 meetings in this Mountain West series.
The Under has hit in 2 of the past 3 games for San Diego State, while going 2-1 in the past 3 games for UNLV.
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