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National Weather Service staff cut 30-40% in Oregon, jeopardizing forecast, warnings

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National Weather Service staff cut 30-40% in Oregon, jeopardizing forecast, warnings


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  • The cuts could lead to slower and less accurate forecast predictions.
  • Experts warn the cuts could have severe consequences during extreme weather events.

The agency that issues warnings for floods, ice storms and wildfire danger in Oregon is short-staffed by at least 30% to 40% following a series of reductions, hiring freezes and buyouts as part of the Trump administration’s latest effort to shrink federal government.

The National Weather Service is down to roughly 60-70 employees, from a previous high of 100, in offices in Portland, Medford, Pendleton and Boise, Idaho, which forecasts for northeast Oregon.

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Those who have lost jobs include meteorologists, hydrologists and technicians that maintain sensitive weather equipment.

The NWS plays a wide-ranging role in Oregon, influencing where wildland firefighters are positioned, when ships cross into the Columbia River and whether school is canceled.

In addition, the Natural Resources Conservation Service, which is based in Portland and measures snowpack and water supply across the Pacific Northwest, saw its staffing slashed 58% this month, from 12 to five employees.

Nationwide, hundreds and maybe thousands of workers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which oversees both agencies, lost their jobs on Thursday, according to multiple reports.

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As with other agencies targeted for reduction, including the U.S. Forest Service, the firings specifically affected probationary employees, a categorization that applies to new hires or those moved or promoted into new positions.

National Weather Service cuts ‘really detrimental, and dangerous’

Larry O’Neill, Oregon’s state climatologist who works closely with both agencies, said the cuts will be “really detrimental, and dangerous.”

“This is a critical public service. It plays a huge role in public safety and the economy, and it’s incredibly cheap for the benefit we get,” O’Neill said.

NRCS, which measures mountain snowpack and issues water supply forecasts used for irrigation, reservoir storage and hydropower, saw its staff slashed from 12 to five. The agency may discontinue measuring mountain snowpack by summer 2026.

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“We don’t know how important these programs are until they’re gone,” O’Neill said. “There is no replacement for the type of detailed local forecasts they provide. Private industry cannot and won’t replace all the important things they do.”

Per longstanding NOAA practice “we are not discussing internal personnel and management matters,” said agency spokesman Scott Smullen. “NOAA remains dedicated to its mission, providing timely information, research, and resources that serve the American public and ensure our nation’s environmental and economic resilience. We continue to provide weather information, forecasts and warnings pursuant to our public safety mission.”

Loss of speed, accuracy a worry after staff shortages at NWS

The cuts could result in slower and less accurate forecasts, and what is possible for the agency to do, such as staffing major wildland fires and focusing on high-leverage situations, said O’Neill.

NWS produces a detailed forecast of every spot in Oregon, from the top of Mount Hood to the Alvord Desert. It operates weather radars that span the state.

Most notably, it issues warnings for weather that could impact travel or knock out power. It sounds the alarm when the river might flood or wildfire danger turns extreme. State and local government make decisions based on the forecasts.

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“With these cuts, I think we’ll see delays or inaccurate forecasts come up, and that can have real world consequences,” O’Neill said. “And it has been done in such a haphazard way that it has removed some senior leadership and kind of left a void at the top with no plans to fill it that gap.”

Eyes in the storm

Last Monday, a powerful storm brought waves 60 feet high to the Columbia River Bar, the notoriously hazardous passageway between the Pacific Ocean and Columbia River. Each year, around 3,000 ships — carrying the world’s largest exports of wheat — make the crossing aided by the Columbia River Bar Pilots.

The bar pilots have long relied on NWS.

“We actually have a direct line to their office to talk to the meteorologists to get the best sense of how large the waves might get and when,” said Capt. Dan Jordan, administrator of the Columbia River Bar Pilots. “We use that information to make decisions about when to stop and restart shipping traffic. Without it, we won’t have the information to make the best decisions. Any disruption can really hurt commerce on the river.”

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Meteorologists may be less able to work wildfires

NWS meteorologists regularly leave the office to work with incident command teams during major wildfires.

“I think one of the biggest impacts was that NWS won’t be able to provide meteorologists to work on incident management teams,” O’Neill said. “The bigger wildfires can create their own weather and turn deadly. NWS has trained their meteorologists specially for those roles, but if they’re this short-staffed, the concern is that they could no longer do that.”

The loss of technicians could also mean that when the weather radars go out, which does happen on a semi-regular basis, it will take longer to repair them. The loss of radar for extended periods jeopardizes accurate forecasting.

Loss of measuring snowpack, water supply

The Natural Resources Conservation Service does two key things in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest.

The first is that they maintain the SNOTEL network of roughly 300 weather stations that measure snow-water equivalent in the mountains.

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The second is they produce water supply forecasts that feed into reservoir operations and determine irrigation allotments for the vast agriculture in central and eastern Oregon, and to a lesser extent the Willamette Valley.

The agency helps determine drought designations, so that farmers can apply for federal aid when conditions warrant.

O’Neill said that the SNOTEL network, at this point, would be discontinued by next year because it requires technicians to repair it, and most have lost their jobs.

“If we lose this, we’re basically flying blind as to how much water is stored in the snow in the mountains,” O’Neill said. “That impacts how reservoirs are managed and store water, and how they prepare to mitigate floods.

“We just won’t know how much water that we have, and that’s a pretty big problem in a state that depends on agriculture.”

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Zach Urness has been an outdoors reporter in Oregon for 18 years and is host of the Explore Oregon Podcast. He can be reached at zurness@StatesmanJournal.com or (503) 399-6801. Find him on X at @ZachsORoutdoors and BlueSky at oregonoutdoors.bsky.social.



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Some Members of Kotek’s Prosperity Council Unhappy About Tax Change

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Some Members of Kotek’s Prosperity Council Unhappy About Tax Change


This story was produced by the Oregon Journalism Project, a nonprofit newsroom covering the state.

One of the most contentious issues in the current legislative session revolves around an issue called “bonus depreciation.”

It’s a tax break that business groups hope could spur purchases of everything from tractors and commercial fishing boats to high-tech machinery and new housing. To progressive groups, it’s a giveaway to businesses that were going to make such investments anyway, at the expense of schools and social services.

The issue is also timely, as Gov. Tina Kotek builds her reelection campaign around a new focus on Oregon’s business climate.

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Last week, Kotek’s Prosperity Council held its second meeting, this one in Redmond, where the panel toured BASX Solutions, which makes cooling systems for data centers, along with HVAC systems for everyday structures.

Critics say that Gov. Tina Kotek’s support of SB 1507A is inconsistent with her prosperity message. (Thomas Patterson/Thomas Patterson)

Kotek cited BASX as the kind of family-wage employer the state must nurture and seek to attract. “Oregon’s prosperity is not a given. We have to act with intention to be more competitive,” the governor said. “That’s exactly what the Prosperity Council has been charged to do, and today’s meeting helps us to understand the perspectives of Central Oregon.”

But just a week removed from the Redmond gathering, one member of Kotek’s Prosperity Council, real estate investor Jordan Schnitzer, expressed frustration with the governor’s actions, which he says are contradictory to the charge Kotek gave the panel: “to recommend actionable steps to accelerate Oregon’s economy, create good paying jobs, and recruit and grow Oregon’s businesses.”

Schnitzer, whose firm owns or operates 31 million square feet of real estate across 200 properties in six Western states, says Kotek’s position on Senate Bill 1507A, which would disconnect Oregon from certain tax cuts in President Donald Trump’s so-called One Big Beautiful Bill Act, is inconsistent with her prosperity message.

States have the option to follow federal tax cuts in Trump’s bill or to “disconnect” from some or all of the changes. Oregon typically applies changes in the federal tax code to state taxes, but this year has decided not to in the form of SB 1507A.

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Legislative number-crunchers calculated that remaining fully connected to the Trump tax cuts would cost Oregon nearly $900 million in tax revenue over the next two years. That estimate came at a time when looming cuts to Medicaid and food stamps already threatened the state’s 2025–27 budget.

In legislative testimony, advocates, such as the Oregon Education Association and the Oregon Center for Public Policy, argued that the state should fully disconnect from the Trump tax cuts because Oregon schools and social service programs need the money. Business groups, such as Oregon Business & Industry and the Oregon Farm Bureau, argued that bonus depreciation provided a valuable incentive for their members to make new investments and create jobs in Oregon.

Democratic lawmakers are taking a piecemeal approach with SB 1507A. The bill retains Trump’s tax cuts on tips and overtime income but disconnects from bonus depreciation. That change eliminates a tax cut for businesses worth $267 million over a two-year period.

Typically, businesses depreciate new capital investments—such as equipment, buildings and machinery—over a period of years. That allows them to deduct a portion of their capital investment from current income, reducing their taxes. Bonus depreciation (a tool previous presidential administrations have also used to stimulate the economy) allows the entire investment to be written off in the first year. Democrats say that creates an unacceptable hit to tax revenues; Republicans and businesses say it would help Oregon’s economy, which has stagnated.

Democrats hold supermajorities in both legislative chambers, of course, and the bill passed the Senate and then the House on Feb. 25, on party line votes. As the bill moved, some in the business community expressed their concerns directly to Kotek, who announced her support for the bill earlier this week.

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In a widely circulated Feb. 24 letter, Portland developer Bob Ball, part of a group Kotek and Portland Mayor Keith Wilson convened last year to brainstorm ideas to increase housing supply, cautioned Kotek that killing bonus depreciation is “putting another nail in our coffin.”

“I encourage you to exempt multifamily properties from SB 1507A,” Ball wrote. “I don’t think Oregon should decouple for any of the depreciation categories if we want to stay competitive in every industry, but the one industry I can say definitively will be hurt is housing production.”

Schnitzer told OJP he sent a similar message to Kotek on Feb. 25 via text.

“The only way to get out of the economic doom loop we are facing is by people coming and opening more businesses that pay good wages and paying their fair share of taxes,” Schnitzer says he told Kotek. “This bill creates a disincentive for businesses to invest in this wonderful state. Why would we do that?”

Schnitzer says other members of the Prosperity Council—he declined to say which ones—are also not happy with the governor’s position on bonus depreciation. Kotek did not immediately respond to his text message.

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A Kotek spokesman says the governor believes the Legislature took necessary steps to preserve some of the tax revenue Trump’s tax bill would otherwise have cut, without putting Oregon at a competitive disadvantage.

“In disconnecting Oregon’s state taxes from the bonus depreciation and deciding to allow businesses to depreciate their investments over the life of the investment rather than all at once up front, Oregon would align with more than 20 other states including Idaho,” says Kevin Glenn.

SB 1507A now heads to Kotek’s desk for her signature.





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Travel Oregon Seeks a New Boss at a More Reasonable Salary

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Travel Oregon Seeks a New Boss at a More Reasonable Salary


This story was produced by the Oregon Journalism Project, a nonprofit newsroom covering the state.

After some much needed sunlight on its operations, Travel Oregon is looking for a new chief executive—at a significantly lower salary.

Not long into a meeting last September of the Oregon House Committee on Economic Development, its chairman quoted from an OJP investigation about dysfunction at state-funded Travel Oregon and the oversized salary of its longtime executive director.

Then Rep. Daniel Nguyen (D-Lake Oswego) looked at the man sitting steps away at the witness table, Todd Davidson, the executive director whose base salary was more than $365,000 the year before.

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“How do you justify paying that salary?”

Offering an answer from the witness table was Scott Youngblood, an eight-year veteran of Travel Oregon’s oversight commission. He suggested that Davidson, who had announced he would leave the agency this summer, wasn’t overpaid. Rather, he was the “Michael Jordan” of travel marketing.

“Scrutiny, it’s coming,” Nguyen would go on to say about the 70-employee, $45 million a year agency. “That is what the public is asking for.”

Travel Oregon’s board of commissioners apparently listened to the concerns Nguyen and other lawmakers expressed after OJP reported that employees said the agency had a toxic work culture and delayed sending out $9 million in small grants for a year. In a unanimous vote last month, the nine commissioners approved a salary range of $235,000 to $255,000 for Davidson’s eventual replacement, far less than Davidson’s compensation and an amount more in line with directors of vastly larger business-aligned state agencies such as Business Oregon and the Department of Agriculture.

OJP’s investigation “helped spur conversations about Travel Oregon’s work in my committee, among others in the Capitol, and at the kitchen tables of Oregon families,” Nguyen said by email Monday.

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Travel Oregon, also known as the Oregon Tourism Commission, is funded by a statewide 1.5% tax on hotel stays. The governor appoints the nine members of its board to oversee an agency that spends about $45 million a year to promote Oregon tourism.

The issue of Davidson’s compensation has come up before. In 2020, the Secretary of State’s Office released an audit that focused on his high salary and those of his key staff. But nothing changed.

Today, the commissioners say they are looking for “a reset” at a time when international travel to Oregon is down and Portland-area tourism hasn’t fully recovered from business losses from the civic unrest after a Minneapolis policeman murdered George Floyd.

Candidates have until March 30 to apply for the top job promoting Oregon’s $14 billion-a-year tourism industry.

Nguyen and members of the Economic Development Committee will hear Wednesday from Greg Willitts, chair of Travel Oregon’s board of commissioners and president of FivePine Lodge and Spa in Sisters.

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“Travel Oregon is funded largely through tax dollars,” Nguyen said Monday, “and we expect results, transparency, and accountability from their operations.”

Willamette Week’s reporting has concrete impacts that change laws, force action from civic leaders, and drive compromised politicians from public office.

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Oregon among states suing Trump admin over changes to childhood vaccine recommendations

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Oregon among states suing Trump admin over changes to childhood vaccine recommendations


More than a dozen states, including Oregon, sued the Trump administration Tuesday over its rollback of vaccine recommendations for children, calling the move an illegal threat to public health.

The states argue that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention put children’s lives at risk when it announced last month that it would stop recommending all children get immunized against the flu, rotavirus, hepatitis A, hepatitis B, some forms of meningitis and RSV. Under the new guidance, which was met with criticism from medical experts, protections against those diseases are recommended only for certain groups deemed high risk or when doctors recommend them in what’s called “shared decision-making.”

The new vaccine recommendations ignore long-standing medical guidance and will make states have to spend more to protect against outbreaks, the states, including Arizona and California, said.

“In Oregon, we’re already seeing the consequences of the federal government’s reckless actions and vaccine narrative,” said Oregon Attorney General Dan Rayfield in a news release. “Just last week, our state health officials declared a measles outbreak – with most confirmed cases linked to unvaccinated individuals. Preventable diseases are returning when we undermine public confidence in proven vaccines. We must trust science, trust doctors, and protect our children.”

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Emily G. Hilliard, press secretary for the Department of Health and Human Services, blasted the complaint as a “publicity stunt dressed up as a lawsuit.”

The lawsuit escalates an ongoing battle between Democratic-led states and Republican President Donald Trump’s administration over the federal government’s changes to public health policy under Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. The Trump administration has laid off thousands of workers at federal public health agencies, cut funding for scientific research and altered government guidance on fluoride and other topics.

Kennedy last year ousted every member of a vaccine advisory committee and replaced them with his own picks, which Tuesday’s complaint alleges was unlawful.

The lawsuit comes months after the Democratic governors of California, Washington state and Oregon launched an alliance to establish their own vaccine recommendations. The governors said the Trump administration was risking people’s health by politicizing the CDC.

States, not the federal government, have the authority to require vaccinations for schoolchildren, though the CDC’s requirements typically influence state regulations.

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KATU contributed Rayfield quote to this story.



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