Parker Gabriel, Broncos beat reporter: Welcome back to the roundtable, dudes. Improbably, the Denver Broncos Football Club finally lost a game. Pretty impressive to reel off five straight and go from Oct. 12 to Dec. 3 without taking an ‘L.’ Now Sean Payton’s team has to win four of its final five to have a real chance at making the postseason.
Here’s an interesting conundrum — or opportunity, depending on how you look at it. Four of the Broncos’ final five games feature opponents that currently rank in the bottom 12 of the league in pass defense efficiency. So, too, were the Texans. Denver still ended up running the ball 30 times against Houston, though some of that was due to called passes that quarterback Russell Wilson turned into rush attempts. Even still, you could sense the way in which Payton and the Denver offense wanted to attack down the field given Houston’s vulnerabilities on the back end. The big plays in the passing game returned, but so, too, did the turnovers.
This is a bit of a generalization — not going to ask you to script the first 15 plays of each of the next five games unless you’ve really got a hankering — but if you’re Payton, are you pushing the aggressiveness in the passing game or are you going back to, “let’s run the ball 35 times and try to win these things 17-13?” Some of the down-the-field stuff looks good, but somewhere between Houston and Minnesota’s probably the sweet spot.
Ryan McFadden, Broncos beat reporter: If I’m Payton, I’m sticking with what has worked for the offense this season. Sure, it’s not pretty but the Broncos were able to get the job done and that’s what matters. I think if Denver continues its run-heavy approach, it will open the door for those big passing plays. At 6-6, Denver has no room for error. The Broncos have an uphill climb to make the playoffs so this isn’t the best time to change their approach, especially when running the ball 30-plus times seems to have worked. The way the Broncos’ defense has played lately, the offense can afford to stay patient. The big passing plays are sexy and get the people going. I’m not saying abandon it, but why turn away from your bread and butter?
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If the Broncos continue to be more aggressive in the passing game moving forward, this could be an opportunity for rookie wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. He is arguably the team’s best deep ball threat as well as Courtland Sutton so it would be interesting to see if his role increases.
Sean Keeler, sports columnist: What’s the adage about doing the same thing over and over again, while expecting a different result, being the definition of insanity? Over the Broncos’ last 17 games, a span that covers two coaches and an interim, the squad’s 8-9. Among those 17, they’ve either by design or adjustment had to throw the ball at least 30 times in a game on eight different occasions.
You know how many of those eight tilts the Broncos won? One.
Now some of those games had to be chased, for one reason or another, forcing Russell Wilson to air it out. But Payton’s already found the formula, painful as it sometimes looks. Heck, our man Jerry Rosburg rolled out the formula late last year: Less Russ, More Us. No. 3’s good for end-of-half and end-of-game spurts. Two-minute drills. Otherwise, he’s just good enough to get ya beat. If the opposing defensive front forces seconds- and thirds-and-forevers, so be it. Sure, you’ve gotta be flexible. Of course, you’ve gotta mix it up. But if you’re leading with Wilson downfield as the offense’s main course and not a desert or a side dish? It’s your ulcer, pal.
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Rounds of snow will move into Colorado’s mountains this weekend.
If you’re traveling into the High Country, the bests time to travel will be early Saturday through midday, before the next round of snow moves in. Then again on Sunday afternoon, ahead of more snow on Monday.
It’ll be a cool and mostly cloudy start to the day in the Denver metro area. The winds will kick up in the foothills and the west side of I-25. Temperatures will warm into the low and mid 50s along the urban corridor.
Mountain snow showers will return Saturday night into Sunday morning, as Winter Weather Advisories and Warnings continue for the northern and central mountains.
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We’ll have another lull midday Sunday with partly cloudy skies statewide. It’ll be a bit warmer in the Denver metro, with highs close to 60-degrees by the afternoon.
More mountain snow is expected Sunday night into Monday in the mountains with a slight chance of brief rain or snow showers in the metro as a cold front moves through the region Monday.
Avalanche danger is high for much of the high country, with waves of heavy snow and high winds. Please be extra cautious in the back country.
By mid-next week, snow chances decrease in the mountains. The plains and Denver cool down dramatically with highs only climbing into the 30s Tuesday. It will be dry, but very chilly for New Year’s Eve celebrations.
Temperatures will be a bit more seasonal for New Year’s Day in Denver, with highs in the low-40s. Warmer weather returns by the end of next week.
If you have an event taking place in the Denver area, email information to carlotta.olson@gazette.com at least two weeks in advance. All events are listed in the calendar on space availability.
Saturday
Toucon — With Sibyl Vane & Sam E. Bee, 5 p.m., Larimer Lounge, 2721 Larimer St., Denver, $18.50-$23.50. Tickets: larimerlounge.com.
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JoFoKe & Same Cloth — 6 and 9 p.m., Dazzle at Baur’s, 1080 14th St., Denver, go online for prices. Tickets: dazzledenver.com/#/events.
Drop Dead, Gorgeous — 7 p.m., Summit Music Hall, 1902 Blake St., Denver, $35 and up. Tickets: summitdenver.com.
The Long Run – Colorado’s Tribute to The Eagles — 7 p.m., The Oriental Theater, 4435 W. 44th Ave., Denver, $25. Tickets: theorientaltheater.com.
Tildagrave — 8 p.m., The Black Buzzard at Oskar Blues, 1624 Market St., Denver, $25.50. Tickets: theblackbuzzard.com.
Silver West — With Shawn Hess, Jake Luna, 8 p.m., Skylark Lounge, 140 S. Broadway, Denver, $12.06. Tickets: skylarklounge.com.
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Ken Marino & David Wain’s Middle Aged Dad Jam Band — 8 p.m., Cervantes’ Other Side, 2635 Welton St., Denver, $38.45 and up. Tickets: cervantesmasterpiece.com.
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Heir to Nothing — With The Chesters, Opium & Private Society, 8 p.m., Globe Hall, 4483 Logan St., Denver, $18.50-$23.50. Tickets: globehall.com.
Banshee Tree — With David Satori, Bloomurian, 8 p.m., Fox Theatre, 1135 13th St., Boulder, $25.15-$27.15. Tickets: axs.com.
“The King Penny Radio Show” — 8-9 p.m., RISE Comedy, 1260 22nd St., Denver, $16 and up. Tickets: tinyurl.com/4cjksf3v.
80’s Night with Rachel Taulbee & Friends — 9:30 p.m., BurnDown, 476 S. Broadway, Denver; burndowndenver.com.
Saturday-Sunday
“The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe” Holiday Ballet — Presented by the Ballet Ariel, 2 and 7 p.m. Saturday, 2 p.m. Sunday, Parsons Theatre, 1 E. Memorial Parkway, Northglenn, $20-$40; balletariel.org.
The Denver Broncos enter Week 17 in playoff mode. With a road tilt vs. the Cincinnati Bengals, the Broncos are in a do-or-die situation.
Nine wins is nice. Delivering the first winning season since 2016 isn’t nothing. But it’s a far cry from a playoff berth.
Win just one more game and you’re in. The playoffs await. The Bengals are even more playoff-desperate, though.
How will this game shake out? Let’s go around the table to see how the Mile High Huddle staff envisions this one shaking out.
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Scott Kennedy (@ScoutKennedy) 12-3: Any inclement weather probably hurts the Bengals’ passing game more than it hurts the Broncos offense. Cincinnati has done a better job this season of protecting Joe Burrow, but they’re still only about league average in sacks allowed (18th, 37 sacks allowed). With more to play for, Denver leans on its pass rush and running game to get the win and clinch a playoff spot.
Pick: Broncos 24, Bengals 20
Bob Morris (@BobMorrisSports) 11-4: The Bengals have won three in a row but all against teams who are out of the playoffs. This isn’t to say they’re a pushover but the Bengals haven’t been beating top teams recently. The offense is very good but the defense is not good. The key for the Broncos is to execute on offense. Do that and the Broncos will secure a playoff berth. Here’s betting they do.
Pick: Broncos 27, Bengals 24
Nick Kendell (@NickKendellMHH) 10-5: The Broncos defense has fallen dramatically over the last month. Improbable turnovers and defensive touchdowns have kept the unit afloat while the overall defensive output has faded. Fortunately for the Broncos Riley Moss will be back this week. Will that be enough for the defense to springboard back into a top 5 unit or will their recent play of mediocrity continue against one of the best offenses in football in Cincinnati? Time for Sean Payton and Bo Nix to step upand clinch that playoff berth.
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Pick: Broncos 34, Bengals 27
Thomas Hall (@ThomasHallNFL) 10-5: Denver is going to take Broncos Country down to the playoff wire. The Broncos will be in a must-win situation in the final week of the season to punch their ticket to the postseason. The defense hasn’t been playing like it did earlier in the season and the offense has become afraid to be aggressive which spells disaster against a Bengals team still in the hunt.
Pick: Bengals 27, Broncos 20
James Campbell (@JamesC_MHH) 10-5: The Broncos have had a brilliant season which has defied expectations but face an exceedingly difficult task against the Bengals. In this one, Burrow cements his MVP credentials by carving up the Broncos’ secondary, with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins providing a very difficult matchup for Denver’s secondary despite Moss’ return. The Broncos should have their wins against the Bengals’ defense, in the air and on the ground so if there is any chance of a win for the good guys, it will come from generating long, clock-consuming drives that keep Burrow on the sideline.
Pick: Bengals 38, Broncos 24
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Zack Kelberman (@KelbermanNFL) 10-5: Conflicted, I am. This game truly could go either way considering the Bengals’ ultra-potent offense and Denver’s regressing defense (which will get a boost with the return of Moss). Bad weather or not, this needs to be a situation where the Broncos’ offense does the heavy lifting — at least enough to combat Burrow, Chase, and company. Surely the Broncos can, and the team won’t blow another chance to lock up a playoff berth, right? I still ‘Bolieve.’
Pick: Broncos 20, Bengals 17
Dylan Von Arx (@DylanVonArxMHH) 10-5: The Broncos absolutely need a win on Saturday but it will be no easy task as Burrow is red-hot the past few games. The Denver defense will have its hands full guarding against Higgins and Chase but the Bengals defense is criminally bad. If the Broncos defense can get a few key turnovers, they’ll be back in the playoffs for the first time in forever.
Pick: Broncos 24, Cincinnati 20
Lance Sanderson (@LanceS_MHH) 10-5: We’re about to find out exactly how important Moss is to this defense. Burrow and Chase are shredding defenses this season, and Higgins is no slouch. Denver’s defense is in for a big fight, and despite the reminder on his call sheet, Payton hates running the football. This is a recipe for disaster, especially on the road with inclement weather.
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Pick: Bengals 31, Broncos 21
Keith Cummings (@KeithC_NFL) 9-6: The biggest game since Super Bowl 50 dawns on the Broncos as they give off some desperate vibes. Maybe it’s the kick to the ribs the Broncos require, throwing away opportunities cannot happen again. It doesn’t. When they need it the most, Patrick Surtain II makes a fourth-quarter house call to seal the Broncos playoff spot.
Pick: Broncos 31, Bengals 24
Ron White (@RonWhiteNFL) 9-6: Although the Bengals defense is below average, the offense can go blow for blow with any of the top units in the league. This game comes down to the Broncos defense: Pressuring Burrow, limiting Chase and Higgins, and creating turnovers. Expect them to respond from last week’s collapse and get a hard fought win.
Pick: Broncos 28, Bengals 24
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Chad Jensen (@ChadNJensen) 9-6: I definitely ‘Bolieve.’ But the Broncos’ lack of second-half intensity and execution in a playoff-clinching opportunity disappointed me greatly. Payton’s lack of self-awareness as a play caller was disappointing, and I’m not convinced that Moss’s return will be the antitode to assuaging the Broncos’ precipitous defensive backslide. Burrow is out for blood, up against the wall with a slim chance of staying alive, so he’ll be out for blood. The Broncos definitely don’t want to leave their playoff destiny up to a showdown vs. the Kansas City JV team, but that’s what it comes down to.
Pick: Bengals 27, Broncos 24
Mike Evans (@MHHEvans) 8-7: The Broncos’ playoff hopes ride on their ability to dominate the turnover battle in a pivotal matchup with the Bengals. Denver’s third-ranked defense is primed to make the difference. Look for a late-game interception from Surtain or Brandon Jones to swing the momentum. Add in the Bengals’ 19th-ranked defense, and it’s easy to see the Broncos exploiting if they can generate a competent run game.
Pick: Broncos 27, Bengals 24
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Luke Patterson (@LukePattersonLP) 8-7: Saturday’s game in Cincinatti will be the defining contest of Denver’s 2024 regular season. Should Nix and Payton will their team to victory, they’ll have surpassed all expectations for this season with a playoff berth. But if I’m being honest, I think that Denver is still one season away from being as dangerous as this Burrow/Trey Hendrickson-led Bengals squad, playing at home in sloppy weather. Hope I’m wrong.
Pick: Bengals 31, Broncos 24
Carl Dumler (@CarlDumlerMHH) 8-7: Vance Joseph took responsibility for the defensive struggles over this past month and is getting back one of the most important pieces of the defense with the return of Moss. The Bengals have been an offensive force but this is a game the Broncos get a great game out of the defense. Payton finally follows his play sheet, calling for the offense to commit to the run and the Broncos win a close one to clinch their place in the playoffs finally.
Pick: Broncos 27, Bengals 21
Erick Trickel (@ErickTrickel) 8-7: The Broncos make fans’ christmas wishes come true by beating the Bengals on the road the clinch a playoff spot. The offense bounces back after a rough few weeks, as does the defense. Surtain locks up Chase and the Broncos’ pass rush rattles Burrow and gets pressure as they go back to being an aggressive man-coverage team with Moss back in the lineup. The Broncos are playoff bound!
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Pick: Broncos 31, Bengals 16
Kenneth Booker (@kenneth_MHH) 6-9: If Denver’s scoring defense returns to form, it has a solid chance of securing a victory. The Broncos need to apply relentless pressure on Burrow and, with Moss returning, they have a pair of cornerbacks capable of matching up against the Bengals’ talented wide receivers. Look for the Broncos to have a statement game against the Bengals as they lock up their first postseason appearance since 2015.
Pick: Broncos 34, Bengals 20
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