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Hollywood strikes have already had a $3 billion impact on California’s economy, experts say: It’s causing ‘a lot of hardship’

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Hollywood strikes have already had a  billion impact on California’s economy, experts say: It’s causing ‘a lot of hardship’


The TV and film writers’ strike has crossed 100 days since the Writers Guild of America and the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers failed to reach an agreement on a new contract, and it’s likely to have cost the California economy at least $3 billion so far.

That’s according to estimates from Todd Holmes, a professor of entertainment industry management at Cal State Northridge, based on economic analysis from the last Writers Guild of America strike that started in 2007. That strike led to 37,700 lost jobs and a $2.1 billion blow to the California economy, according to the Milken Institute, an economic think tank.

Holmes took that $2.1 billion figure and adjusted it for inflation and other factors to come to a new strike-induced loss of upwards of $3 billion for the state of California today.

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It’s likely to be even higher now accounting for the additional members of the Screen Actors Guild-American Federation of Television and Radio Artists, the union which represents various performers, joining picket lines in July.

Widespread impacts from restaurants to real estate

The strikes don’t impact just writers or actors.

Halted productions impact all kinds of businesses, including companies that provide catering for productions, restaurants near studios, prop houses, set builders, dry cleaners, professional drivers, florists and more.

“A lot of different people are impacted surrounding the industry,” Holmes says, “and it’s causing them a lot of hardship.”

People who hold entertainment jobs and entertainment-adjacent roles account for almost 20% of the LA-area income, says Lee Ohanian, an economics professor at the University of California, Los Angeles.

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“The economic impact is even bigger because average compensation in the industry is considerably higher” than the average earner, he tells CNBC Make It.

That can have a big downstream effect if those workers pull back on their discretionary spending, especially for big purchases like buying a car or a home. In one high-profile instance, actor Billy Porter said in an interview with Evening Standard he is selling his house to save money during the strikes.

A housing crunch could push rent prices higher and cause lower earners to leave the state, said Kevin Klowden, lead author of the Milken report, according to LA Times reporting: “We saw an exodus in the last writers’ strike,” he said.

Across the state, some 700,000 people are employed in entertainment jobs, or close to 5% of the California workforce, Ohanian says.

How long could the strike last

Some experts say the current strike could set the record for the longest writers’ strike in Hollywood history. A 1988 strike lasted 22 weeks, while the strike in 1960 (also the last time writers and actors were both on strike) lasted 21 weeks. Now entering its 15th week, the current strike would surpass both of those records if it goes on until mid-October.

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“I could easily see that being broken,” says Ohanian. “Typically, workers have less of an economic cushion than the corporate side, so oftentimes in long strikes the unions tends to cave. But thus far, we’re not seeing that, and this could certainly reach the six-month mark.”

If strikes last until October, Holmes estimates the economic cost will total closer to $4 billion to $5 billion.

“With the dual strikes, if it were to go beyond that into November, that estimate would be closer to $5 billion-plus,” Holmes says.

Why this strike could break records: Union solidarity versus disjointed studios

On Friday, WGA leaders met with negotiators for the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers, which represents Hollywood studios and streamers, for the first time since the strike began May 2. However, the two parties reached a stalemate over two key proposals to establish minimum staffing levels in episodic TV and a guaranteed minimum number of weeks of employment.

The union also confirmed it’s seeking the right to honor other unions’ picket lines, meaning even if WGA gets a deal, writers will still want to honor striking SAG members, and work won’t resume until both strikes are resolved, Variety reports. The WGA represents 11,500 members, while SAG-AFTRA represents roughly 160,000 members.

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However, “as united as writers and actors are, it’s more disjointed on the studio side,” Holmes says. That’s because, in addition to traditional studios like Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery, the AMPTP represents tech companies like Amazon and Apple that have changed the landscape with streaming.

For these tech companies, the production and entertainment slice of their business is a much smaller piece of what they do, Holmes says, so it’s going to be easier for them to hold off on negotiating a deal compared with traditional studios where a work stoppage may have a bigger impact on their bottom line.

Politicians could bring strikes’ end: ‘They’re trying to mediate a fight between two of their kids’

Both Holmes and Ohanian are interested to see how politicians respond to the strike, which could determine its end.

For example, in March, LA Mayor Karen Bass publicly stepped in to mediate between school workers of the SEIU Local 99 and the Los Angeles Unified School District, with leaders from both parties praising the mayor for being “a partner” who had been present “incessantly” to broker the agreement, the LA Times reports.

Holmes expects to see more consistent statements from Bass and California Gov. Gavin Newsom about reaching a resolution to end the strikes. Both are likely to lean on messaging about how the strikes are impacting ancillary workers (the caterers and set-builders, for example) who aren’t involved in current negotiations, Ohanian says.

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“They could be a quasi representative for all the people affected indirectly in the industry,” he says.

On Friday, Los Angeles mayor Karen Bass called for an “immediate” resolution of the strikes and stated she is “ready to personally engage with all the stakeholders in any way possible to help get this done,” Variety reports. Bass did not take sides in the negotiations but said the resolution must be “fair and equitable,” and that “the economic conditions of the entertainment industry are changing, and we must react and evolve to this challenge.”

One complicating factor will be how Bass and Newsom make their statements with consideration to their donors. While both are invested in support from unions as well as writers and actors, they also receive donor funding from studio heads represented by the AMPTP.

“They’re trying to mediate a fight between two of their kids, and any deviation from purely neutral will be viewed as damaging to the other side,” Ohanian says. “I still think they can help the two sides understand where they’re coming from, but it’s extremely complex.”

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Check out: ‘Survival jobs,’ ex-careers and side hustles: How Hollywood writers are making ends meet 100 days into the strike



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Campaign manager charged with acting as Chinese agent in California election

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Campaign manager charged with acting as Chinese agent in California election


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A man was charged for allegedly acting as an illegal agent for the Chinese government while working as a campaign manager for a political candidate in Southern California who was elected in 2022 to the city council.

Yaoning “Mike” Sun, 64, was also accused of conspiring with another man — John Chen — who had been plotting to target U.S.-based practitioners of Falun Gong, a spiritual practice banned in China, according to a criminal complaint unsealed Thursday. Chen was sentenced last month to 20 months in prison for acting as an unregistered agent of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and bribing an Internal Revenue Service agent.

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Sun, a Chinese national who resided in Chino Hills, California, had served as the campaign manager and “close personal confidante” for a political candidate who ran for city council in Southern California in 2022, prosecutors said. According to the complaint, Sun communicated with Chen about his efforts to get the candidate elected.

“Chen allegedly discussed with Chinese government officials how the (People’s Republic of China) could ‘influence’ local politicians in the United States, particularly on the issue of Taiwan,” prosecutors said.

After the candidate was elected to office in November 2022, prosecutors alleged that Chen instructed Sun to submit reports on the election that could be sent to Chinese government officials. Chen remained in frequent contact with Sun and told him in early 2023 that the two men were “cultivating and assisting (politician’s) success,” according to the complaint.

In another exchange, prosecutors said Chen instructed Sun to refer to the politician as a “new political star” in a draft report. Chen also critiqued Sun’s draft report and suggested that he add information about their “past struggle fighting Taiwanese independence forces in a named California city over the years and fighting (Falun Gong) influences in that city,” according to the complaint.

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The complaint added that in February 2023, Sun sent Chen a proposal to combat “anti-China forces” by participating in an Independence Day parade in Washington, D.C. Sun also requested that the Chinese government provide $80,000 to fund pro-PRC activities in the United States, the complaint states.

If convicted of all charges, Sun faces a maximum penalty of 15 years in prison, according to prosecutors.

Sun’s arrest comes just months after a former aide to New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and her predecessor Andrew Cuomo were charged with acting as an undisclosed agent of the Chinese government. Linda Sun, Hochul’s former deputy chief of staff, was arrested and pleaded not guilty in September.

U.S. Attorney Breon Peace said in a statement that Linda Sun had used her state government service “to further the interests of the Chinese government” and the Chinese Communist Party. “The illicit scheme enriched the defendant’s family to the tune of millions of dollars,” Peace added.

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Contributing: Reuters



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California political operative allegedly acted as illegal agent of China: DOJ

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California political operative allegedly acted as illegal agent of China: DOJ


A Chino Hills, California man has been arrested for allegedly working as an illegal agent of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) while also serving as the campaign manager for a local politician who was elected to office in 2022.

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) said 64-year-old Yaoning “Mike” Sun was arrested on Thursday and charged with acting as an illegal agent of China as well as conspiring with another man, Chen Jun, who was sentenced to prison in November for bribery and also acting as an illegal agent of the Chinese government.

According to a criminal complaint filed with the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California on Tuesday, Sun served as campaign manager for a Southern California politician who was not named and only identified as “Individual 1” in the complaint. Individual 1 was ultimately elected to a city council position in a city not named in the complaint, in 2022.

Sun and Chen communicated during the campaign to help get the individual elected.

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2 NY RESIDENTS ALLEGEDLY RAN SECRET CHINESE POLICE STATION: ‘SIGNIFICANT NATIONAL SECURITY MATTER’

Chen Jun, who Yaoning “Mike” Sun allegedly conspired with, was sentenced to prison in November for bribery and acting as an illegal agent of the Chinese government. (Department of Justice)

The DOJ said Chen allegedly spoke with Chinese government officials about how China could “influence” local American politicians, especially on the topic of Taiwan.

Shortly after Individual 1 was elected to office in November 2022, Chen allegedly told Sun to prepare a report on the election. The report was sent to Chinese government officials, who the complaint says responded positively and expressed thanks.

Nearly a month after the individual was elected, Chen also set up a lunch with Sun and others at a Rowland Heights restaurant. The gathering was described to a PRC official by Chen as a “core member lunch,” the DOJ said. Individual 1 was not reportedly at the luncheon, though Chen told the Chinese government officials the individual was part of the “basic team dedicated for us.”

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CALIFORNIA MAN SENTENCED FOR ‘BIRTH TOURISM’ SCHEME FOR AFFLUENT CHINESE WOMEN

Chen told the PRC official the lunch was “successful,” adding that attendees agreed to create a “US-China Friendship Promotional Association.”

In early 2023, Chen allegedly instructed Sun to compose another report for PRC officials about the two of them “cultivating and assisting” with Individual 1’s success.

As the second report was being finalized in February 2023, Sun sent Chen a proposal to combat “anti-China forces” by marching in a U.S. Independence Day parade in Washington, D.C., the complaint noted.

MAN ACCUSED OF RUNNING SECRET CHINESE GOV POLICE STATION IN NYC MAKES PLEA: US ATTORNEY

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Chinese President Xi Jinping

China’s President Xi Jinping talks after joining a group photo during the G20 Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Monday, Nov. 18, 2024. (AP Photo/Eraldo Peres)

While the two men continued their efforts in the U.S., Sun allegedly asked the PRC to provide them with a budget of $80,000.

The complaint alleges that Chen and Sun spoke about a planned trip to China to meet with “leadership.” It also claims Sun was directed by Chen to set up a meeting with the Chinese consul general in Los Angeles. In August 2023, Sun and Individual 1 eventually traveled to China, the complaint alleges.

Sun could face up to 10 years in prison for acting as an illegal agent of a foreign government if he is convicted.

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He also faces a maximum penalty of five years behind bars for conspiring to commit an offense against the U.S.

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Whistleblower Seeks To Determine If Hunter Biden Paid California Taxes

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Whistleblower Seeks To Determine If Hunter Biden Paid California Taxes


Thanks to the presidential pardon from his father, Hunter Biden will no longer have to worry about the federal charges he was facing for failure to pay federal income tax on millions of dollars in earnings. President Joe Biden’s December 1 pardon does not, however, immunize his son from prosecution for failure to pay state income tax. Whether or not Hunter Biden fulfilled his state tax obligations to California is a question now being pursued by a public whistleblower.

Hunter Biden was a resident of California, home to the highest top marginal income tax rate in the country at 13.3%, during the years for which he has pled guilty to federal tax evasion. While media coverage has focused on unmet obligations to the IRS, the prospect of unpaid state tax liabilities is a topic that has never received much attention. In early December, James Lacy, president of the United States Justice Foundation, filed a public complaint (Case Number 12024-14638) with the California State Auditor calling for an investigation of the California Franchise Tax Board in order to determine whether Hunter Biden filed and paid state taxes for the years he has pled guilty to federal tax evasion.

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Given the amount of income on which Hunter Biden failed to pay federal taxes, it’s a potentially large sum of money that he also might have neglected to pay to the government of California, a Democrat-run state where taxpayers are on the hook for an estimated trillion dollars-worth of unfunded public pension liabilities and where employers were recently hit with a payroll tax hike triggered by Governor Gavin Newsom’s (D-Calif.) decision to not repay unemployment insurance loans taken out from the federal government during the pandemic.

“Californians who file their tax returns and timely pay their taxes deserve to know whether or not Hunter Biden has received any special treatment from the Franchise Tax Board regarding his tax liability,” said Lacy. “I am hoping my Whistleblower Complaint will draw attention to this issue and bring some transparency to whether our state tax system has acted fairly.”

“If Hunter Biden failed to pay federal taxes, it’s reasonable to suspect he also failed to pay applicable state income taxes for those years,” says Ryan Ellis, an IRS-enrolled agent. Lacy also called on the Governor to act, saying “Newsom should also reveal to California taxpayers whether or not Hunter Biden was secretly ‘pardoned’ from state tax liability and enforcement as well.”

California Combines High Tax Rates With Muscular Collection

Aside from the nation’s highest state income tax rate, California has long been considered the most aggressive state in the nation when it comes to taxing foreign-sourced income. “Unfortunately for the President’s son, not only did he face the highest state income tax rate, he was also dealing with a state whose tax law has the longest and most aggressive arm,” Ellis said. “Comparatively speaking, California is the most litigious state I have seen in terms of chasing people down for money. Only New York rivals them.”

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“It doesn’t matter if the income was coming from the former Mayor of Moscow, a Chinese private equity firm, or a Ukrainian gas company, California tax obligations are global and would’ve applied for the years in which Hunter Biden was a Golden State resident,” added Ellis, who runs his own tax preparation business and is president of the Center for a Free Economy.

The Department of Justice noted in a September 5 press release that “Hunter Biden engaged in a four-year scheme in which he chose not to pay at least $1.4 million in self-assessed federal taxes he owed for tax years 2016 through 2019 and to evade the assessment of taxes for tax year 2018 when he filed false returns.” While Hunter Biden won’t face repercussions for skipping out on those federal tax obligations thanks to the pardon from his father, that doesn’t shield him from state level prosecution for failure to pay taxes to California.

Why would a person pay state taxes on income for which it’s known they did not pay federal taxes owed? That question and the desire to answer it is behind the complaint recently filed with the State Auditor. Fortunately for Hunter Biden, California tax authorities and the California press corps have thus far demonstrated little interest in answering that question.

Hunter Biden also doesn’t have to worry about the most recent state wealth tax proposal introduced Sacramento. That’s because Governor Newsom confirmed earlier this year that he opposes the latest wealth tax bill introduced by California legislators. That should be welcomed news for Hunter Biden, who purchased a $142,000 sports car with funds provided by a Kazakh businessman, and who received a 3.16 carat diamond from a Chinese businessman, both of which would be prime targets of the sort of wealth tax sought by some California lawmakers.

In his 2023 State of the Union Address, President Biden promoted his effort to make “the wealthiest and the biggest corporations begin to pay their fair share. That message was echoed throughout 2024 by Vice President Kamala Harris (D), Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), and other prominent Democrats. Any politician who wants to continue calling for stricter gun control and higher tax burdens on the rich, however, will have a hard time doing so in the future if they declined to comment when the President’s son was let off the hook for failing to pay taxes on millions in income and violating of gun laws.

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