Connect with us

West Virginia

West Virginia vs. UCF Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 10-28-2023

Published

on


Free Daily NCAAF Lock Pick, Friday October 27th: Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte 7:30pmET

CLICK TO SEE PICK NOW

The UCF Golden Knights play host to the West Virginia Mountaineers in a Big 12 showdown on Saturday afternoon from FBC Mortgage Stadium. The Mountaineers started the season hot but have lost two in a row as they hit the road for this one. For the Knights, they bring in a lengthy losing streak themselves, with theirs sitting at four games. These two haven’t met recently and both will need a win to jump-start this new Big 12 series. Expect this to be an exciting showdown and one that could end up going either way.

Struggling to pick winners in college football? We have the best NCAAF Predictions available.

Mountaineers Hitting The Road

Just a few weeks ago, West Virginia had hopes of making the Big 12 title game, especially with how their schedule looked to be playing out. With two losses since, now they are simply looking to get back on the right track. The schedule doesn’t get a lot easier after this, especially with a trip to Oklahoma coming in a few weeks, and they find themselves underdogs in this one. They’ve only played three road games this season, having lost two of those, with a trip to Florida potentially being a challenge as well. UCF’s ability to run the ball and control the clock will be like looking in the mirror, which is likely to pose trouble for a team that usually has the ability to lean on winning in the trenches themselves. If they can limit scoring, that’ll be a great place to start, as the high-scoring games of the last few weeks has proven to be a struggle for them.

Advertisement

The Mountaineers have five players listed on their current injury report, with the secondary being most impacted, with a pair of safeties having been ruled out. Hudson Clement is doubtful, which is likely to be a blow to the passing attack as the team’s second-leading receiver. Injuries on both sides of the ball could prove to be trouble in this one.

The Mountaineers will be facing a troubled run defense and will be looking to continue to control the clock in this one. Given West Virginia is sitting 99th in the nation in passing and will be down a receiver, the run game seems like their best path to success. Garrett Greene (8 touchdowns, 2 interceptions) is efficient but it’ll fall on his legs and CJ Donaldson Jr. to control things. On the defensive side, Lee Kpogba (51 tackles) leads the way but will need plenty of help in the trenches to keep UCF off the field.

Free Daily NCAAF Lock Pick, Friday October 27th: Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte 7:30pmET

CLICK TO SEE PICK NOW

Advertisement

Knights Coming Off Heartbreak

UCF remains winless in the Big 12 and last week saw them come closer than ever to taking down a big-time opponent. They gave Oklahoma all that they can handle, with a missed two-point conversion being the difference in this one. After back-to-back road games, as well as in three of the last four weeks, they’ll be thrilled to be back at home, where they’ve won two of three games on the season. They are touchdown favorites in this one, while having Cincinnati and Houston next on the schedule gives them a prime opportunity to get some wins and momentum going to close out the season. Bowl eligibility is still within reach but it’ll take a home win on Saturday to set that tone.

It helps that UCF only has one injury to worry about heading into this one, as their depth could come in handy in this one. Jordan Davis has been ruled out but given he has yet to make a catch this season, the offense should be able to move on successfully without him.

Much like their opponent, UCF will have a run-first focus in this one. They rank sixth in total offense and fifth in rushing nationally, showing last week against Oklahoma that they can find success even against some of the top teams. The passing game has even found success of late, ranked 39th nationally in passing. Having John Rhys Plumlee back in the fold certainly helps, while RJ Harvey and Johnny Richardson have combined for over 1,000 yards on the ground. This offense only continues to grow in balance, which will allow them to dominate and find success in this one on their way toward a win.

Get our top College Football Picks and increase your bankroll!

Advertisement

Best Bets for this Game


Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:


West Virginia might not have enough to grab the win and come out on top but they have the gameplan to keep this one close. To start, both teams lean heavily on the ground game, which should limit the possessions and give the Mountaineers plenty of options at staying within striking distance in this one. The Knights continue to be without a Big 12 win and the physical nature of these games seems to be catching up with them. Given UCF’s struggles to stop the run, it gives the perfect opportunity for West Virginia to lean back on their own running game that helped propel them to success over the first few weeks of the season. The Knights are only 1-3 in their last four games ATS and while going back home should help them get the win, it won’t be enough for the Knight to cover the spread.

Advertisement

Prediction: West Virginia (+7)

FREE AI Picks – NEW

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:


Advertisement

The tendencies of both these games is likely to cause possessions to be limited and this one being lower-scoring than expected. West Virginia has struggled in shootouts over the last few weeks and know that against a struggling run defense, will lean heavily on the ground game that led them to success to open the season. For UCF, it was clear against Oklahoma that this team can find success on the ground too. With two teams looking to control the clock, there are likely to be drawn out drives and struggles in the trenches by the offensive lines to set the tone. Prior to the last two weeks and getting drawn into passing games, the under was 3-0. For UCF, the under hit in their last game too. Expect points to be at a premium when these two square off.

Prediction: Under 58

Advertisement

Written By
Eric Ploch , “Eric P.”

Eric grew up surrounded by sports, whether it was spending the weekend catching games in person or on tv, or heading out to the fields to play whatever sport was in season. What started as a hobby, soon became a passion, as he became the sports editor of his high school newspaper, then wrote for his university newspaper during his undergrad years. After obtaining a degree in Sports Operations and Promotions, and spending 8 years deeply immersed in the sports world, Eric decided to take his love for analytics and predictions, and his experience, to online sports fans everywhere. James is now an integral part of our team here at StatSalt and has also been a very successful sports bettor over the years. Be sure and follow him daily.

Advertisement



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

West Virginia

Which Five Transfers Will Make the Biggest Impact at West Virginia?

Published

on

Which Five Transfers Will Make the Biggest Impact at West Virginia?


West Virginia head coach Rich Rodriguez is far from being done in the transfer portal, but with nearly two dozen pickups thus far, I figured we could start taking a closer look at the stars of the group.

We will revisit this before spring practice and then prior to the start of fall camp, as more players will be added, so we’ll adjust the list. For now, here are the five transfers who I believe will make the biggest impact.

Jahiem White is clearly RB1, but in this day and age, you need two or three capable running backs, especially in a Rich Rodriguez offense. Edwards brings a different dynamic to the table with his 6-foot-4, 240-pound frame. He can hammer it in between the tackles to give WVU a nice lightning-and-thunder combo, similar to what they had with White and CJ Donaldson. He rushed for over 1,000 yards and six scores this season.

Perry brings a level of physicality that has been pretty much non-existent in the Mountaineer secondary over the last handful of years. He does have some versatility to him as well, being able to play deep safety, up in the box, and even in the slot if needed. Assuming he makes the transition to the Power Four level smoothly, he’ll have a chance to play on Sundays.

Advertisement

West Virginia’s wide receiver room underwent a near-complete makeover, but with the addition of Cam Vaughn, they have a dynamic playmaker they can build with for the next three seasons. In his redshirt freshman season at Jax State, Vaughn caught 48 passes for 803 yards and five touchdowns. Not too shabby for someone who just made the switch from quarterback a year ago.

After losing Josiah Trotter (Missouri) and Trey Lathan (Kansas) to the transfer portal, the Mountaineers desperately needed to add a veteran linebacker who could come right in and make a difference. Over his last two seasons at Colorado State, Wilson tallied 205 tackles, 11.5 tackles for loss, seven passes defended, 3.5 sacks, and two picks. A tough, hard-nosed kid who fits this defense like a glove.

West Virginia beat out Ole Miss to land one of the best cover corners in the transfer portal in Michael Coats Jr. This past season with the Wolfpack, he notched 41 tackles, 14 passes defended, and four interceptions, finishing in the top five nationally in the last two categories. Barring some crazy get in the portal, I expect Coats to be the top acquisition out of the portal this offseason for the Mountaineers.

QB Jaylen Henderson (Texas A&M), RB Tye Edwards (Northern Iowa), RB LJ Turner (Catawba College), WR Cyrus Traugh (Youngstown State), WR Cam Vaughn (Jacksonville State), WR Daveon Walker (Butler C.C.), WR Jarod Bowie (Jacksonville State), WR Oran Singleton Jr. (Eastern Michigan), TE Jacob Barrick (Jacksonville State), TE Johnny Pascuzzi (Iowa), OL Walter Young Bear (Tulsa), OL Robby Martin (NC State), OL Wyatt Minor (Youngstown State), OL Kimo Makane’ole (LSU), DE Braden Siders (Wyoming), LB Chase Wilson (Colorado State), LB Ashton Woods (North Carolina), CB Derek Carter (Jacksonville State), CB Jordan Scruggs (South Alabama), CB Devonte Golden-Nelson (Akron), CB Michael Coats Jr. (Nevada), S Justin Harrington (Washington), S Will Davis (Virginia Union), S Fred Perry (Jacksonville State), S Jordan Walker (Chattanooga), and K Ethan Head (Tulane).

MORE STORIES FROM WEST VIRGINIA ON SI

WVU QB Transfer Ryder Burton Chooses Transfer Destination

Advertisement

MAILBAG: Strength of Transfer Class, Portal Strategy, GM Dynamic, Future Departures + More

Mountaineer Postgame Show: WVU 78, Colorado 70

Initial Thoughts on West Virginia’s Win Over Colorado



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

West Virginia

West Virginia holds off Colorado 78-70 for important road victory – WV MetroNews

Published

on

West Virginia holds off Colorado 78-70 for important road victory – WV MetroNews


No. 21 West Virginia continues to rightfully battle fatigue throughout the second half of games as it regularly plays with what is in essence a seven-man rotation.

That was again the case Sunday at Colorado.

Fortunately for the Mountaineers, reserve guard Joseph Yesufu played a major part in ensuring the visitors didn’t squander a 14-point second-half lead.

Yesufu scored 13 of his 18 points after halftime, including eight over the final 4:44 to help West Virginia overcome the Buffaloes’ second-half comeback attempt in a 78-70 victory at CU Events Center.

Advertisement

“Joe Yesufu really gave us a good spark when we needed it the most,” first-year WVU head coach Darian DeVries said. “Our offense had gotten a little stagnant and we were settling for jumpers off of some of their switching and things. Joe was able to give us that spark we needed.”

By claiming a win in the first meeting between the two teams, WVU improved to 12-3 overall, 3-1 in Big 12 play and won a second conference road game this season to match the program’s Big 12 road win total of the previous three seasons combined. Colorado (9-6, 0-4) remains one of two winless teams in league play.

The Mountaineers never trailed outside of the game’s opening basket, and they put together a strong opening half to lead 40-29 through 20 minutes — West Virginia’s third double-figure halftime advantage in four Big 12 contests.

Center Eduardo Andre made all four of his field-goal attempts and scored 10 points in the opening half, while freshman wing Jonathan Powell added 10 on 4-of-7 shooting with a pair of three-pointers. Add in nine points from point guard Javon Small, and the Mountaineers’ top scoring trio combined to equal Colorado’s point total at halftime.

WVU went to halftime with five turnovers to Colorado’s 11, and the Mountaineers had all 12 points off turnovers in the game to that point.

Advertisement

“Creating some of those turnovers was huge for us to get a little separation in the first half,” DeVries said. 

When Small hit three threes over a stretch of 1:15 early into the second half, it gave the visitors their largest lead of the contest at 49-35.

Yesufu added a triple moments later for a 52-39 advantage, but CU increased its aggressiveness offensively and was to within seven at 54-47 when Dangot Bak made two free throws with 13:22 remaining.

That was a theme throughout the second half as the Buffaloes made 24-of-28 foul shots after not producing a point from the free-throw line on two attempts in the first half.

Bak’s two free throws came early into a stretch of 12 straight Colorado points scored from the charity stripe. It ended with Trevor Baskin making the second of two attempts with 8:20 to play, at which point the Mountaineer lead was 57-55.

Advertisement

“Defensively, we put ourselves in some tough positions with some reaching fouls and not staying disciplined and allowed Colorado to get to the line and deservedly so,” DeVries said. “We have to learn how to still be able to be physical, but also be discipline in the way we’re doing that. That game shifted pretty quickly in the second half and Colorado did a nice job with some adjustments.” 

Andre and Sencire Harris accounted for dunks on consecutive WVU possessions, and Harris scored from close range again with 5:41 left for a 63-59 advantage.

After Baskin scored on a second-chance opportunity with 2:28 left to bring the Buffaloes to within 66-63, Yesufu scored on a drive to the basket.

With WVU’s lead again back to three on its next possession, Yesufu produced the game’s most important basket, scoring with his left hand on a drive that amounted to a conventional three-point play and a 71-65 advantage with 1:23 remaining.

That was the end of eight straight WVU points produced by Yesufu, who entered averaging 4.1 and had scored more than seven once over his first appearances in a Mountaineer uniform.

Advertisement

“They were doing a nice job on Javon in the second half, so we wanted to put the ball in Joe’s hands a little bit more,” DeVries said. “He has great speed and at that point in the game, that’s what we needed was somebody that could get downhill and be able to get to the rim a little bit more.”

Small made 3-of-4 free throws to help the visitors up their lead to nine, and the Buffaloes never got the deficit inside of six over the final minute.

Yesufu made 6-of-9 shots in his season-high scoring output.

Small led all players with 26 points and seven assists.

Andre added 12 points and shot 5 for 5 before fouling out, while Powell finished with 10 after a scoreless second half.

Advertisement

WVU was without Tucker DeVries for a seventh straight game and freshman KJ Tenner for a second straight contest.

“We’re a little shorthanded, so we do get fatigued sometimes in the second half,” DeVries said. “[Colorado head coach Tad Boyle] did a really good job. He played a lot of guys and they had fresh bodies that kept coming at us. We just don’t have the amount of bodies we need to sub and we got in a little foul trouble on top of it. We got worn out a little bit, but we had just enough. Joe, being a little more fresh than the other guys, was able to kind of will us to the last finish line.”

Julian Hammond III led Colorado with 23 points and was 8 for 8 on free throws.

Assane Diop added 13 points and was 6 for 6 from the free-throw line.

Colorado out-rebounded the Mountaineers 35-30, but scored only two points off seven WVU turnovers. The Mountaineers also had a 32-26 edge in paint points.

Advertisement

The Buffaloes made only 8-of-23 field-goal attempts after halftime and finished 20 of 48 for the game.

“It was critical that we didn’t let them get a lot of space,” DeVries said. “They have multiple guys that when they get some room have the ability to get it off and they shoot it at a high percentage. We wanted to try to get into some of those ball screens and actions as much as we could to try to make it difficult. The counter to it is that’s where a lot of our fouls started coming. We have to figure out a way to be able to do both.”



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

West Virginia

No. 21 West Virginia vs. Colorado Computer Predictions

Published

on

No. 21 West Virginia vs. Colorado Computer Predictions


No. 21 West Virginia and Colorado face off in Boulder on Sunday at 3:0 p.m. EST. The Mountaineers are 2-1 in Big 12 play, while the Buffaloes are 0-3 in league play.

Computer models such as BartTorvik, BPI, and KenPom predict the matchup between both teams.

BPI — ESPN BPI gives West Virginia a 59.3 percent chance to win on Sunday. The Mountaineers are expected to win by 2.4 points. The Mountaineers are No. 44 in the BPI rankings while Colorado is No. 86.

BartTorvik — BartTorvik gives the Mountaineers a 65 percent chance to win the game. The projected final score is 67-63 in favor of West Virginia. WVU is No. 25 in the T-Rankings, and Colorado is No. 84.

Advertisement

KenPom — KenPom gives West Virginia a slight edge at a 51 percent chance to win the game. The projected final score is 67-66 in favor of the Mountaineers. WVU is ranked No. 47 by KenPom, while Colorado is ranked No. 81.

Tip-off is set for 3:00 p.m. on Sunday and the game will be televised on ESPN+.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending