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Opinion | Gentrification is a problem for cities — especially when it ends

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Opinion | Gentrification is a problem for cities — especially when it ends


For most of my professional career, one consistent societal issue has been gentrification. Even in the depths of the Great Recession, when housing prices were collapsing, gentrification seemed unstoppable. And while there has been a lot to like about the urban renaissance that has occurred as affluent young professionals have poured into urban centers, there has been nothing good about the displacement, the very visible inequalities between old-timers and newcomers, or the racial and ethnic tensions this has exacerbated.

So politicians, policy wonks and pundits have all spent a lot of time agonizing over what to do about gentrification. They have called for reforms to permitting and zoning rules to make it easier for developers to build new housing, or for subsidies to the people being priced out, or both. In hindsight, we spent surprisingly little time worrying about what would happen to cities without gentrification.

Yet here we are in 2024, and I’m much less worried about gentrification than I am about what you might call gentrification whiplash: the uncomfortable conditions that result when a headlong rush into urban real estate suddenly stops, or even goes into reverse.

This now seems like a real possibility in many places, including my own beloved D.C., which is beset with three major issues at once. Demand for office space has cratered thanks to remote work. Demand for residential real estate has shifted outward to the suburbs, as proximity to the office has become less valuable. And crime keeps soaring to new heights; in 2023, homicide hit 20-year highs in D.C., while car theft reached levels not seen since 2007.

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If this trend continues, people who have money and options will do what they did in the middle of the 20th century: decamp for places where they don’t have to spend so much time worrying about being robbed or shot.

Yet the response of my local officials has been curiously lackadaisical. Although violence has been a growing problem since 2020, arrests in 2022 were down by almost half from 2019, prosecutions had fallen even further, the D.C. police’s operating budget shrank by almost 13 percent and the number of officers was falling toward its lowest in about 50 years. Only this past fall did Mayor Muriel E. Bowser finally push through a package of reforms aimed at reducing crime.

So let us add a fourth problem to my city’s woes: city officials who have for years been collecting a sort of hidden subsidy from gentrification, which made their jobs easier in many ways — and stands to make the whiplash worse. We are facing the biggest urban crisis in 50 years with politicians who are used to playing on Easy Mode, which is the policy equivalent of driving without a seat belt.

For the past two decades, if you were overseeing a reasonably successful city like Washington, your tax base kept improving no matter what you did, as richer people replaced poorer ones. In 2006, when I moved to D.C., total tax revenue, net of dedicated taxes, was $4.2 billion (about $6.3 billion in today’s dollars). In 2022, the city collected approximately $8.6 billion ($8.8 billion in 2023 dollars). Of course, the population has increased since 2006 — but not by 40 percent.

Meanwhile, the people who were moving in needed less from the government than the people who were being forced out. The newcomers didn’t need subsidized health care or child care, or the city to arrange a tutor for their kid struggling with math. They were also much less likely to suffer from difficulties associated with poverty, including substance abuse and untreated mental illness — or to generate associated problems such as crime and child abuse.

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We frequently talk about the government learning to do more with less, but gentrifying cities got to do less with more: It doesn’t take as much money and ingenuity to educate or police the prosperous middle class as it does to provide those services to a marginalized community, so government didn’t have to be nearly as good at many of its jobs. Yet because the population was less needy, it actually looked as if those services were improving rapidly, if you scanned crime statistics or test scores.

Of course, gentrification didn’t actually solve many of those problems; it just displaced them, while tipping some of the most vulnerable onto the streets. But politicians appeared to be solving them, creating an illusion of competence that might have fooled even the politicians themselves.

This went on for so long that people took it for granted, voters and politicians alike. We got progressive mayors, progressive district attorneys and progressive council members who pursued their laudable goals on the assumption that no matter what they did, crime would keep falling and public coffers would keep overflowing.

Now this illusion is punctured. Ever-increasing urban housing demand cannot be taken for granted, nor can any of the benefits that come with it. City officials can no longer count on gentrification to export their problems to another Zip code; they will have to get better at actually solving them.



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Philadelphia, New Jersey winter weather checklist: How to prepare for snow and ice this weekend

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Philadelphia, New Jersey winter weather checklist: How to prepare for snow and ice this weekend


With snow and a surge of Arctic air expected to bring winter weather to the Washington, D.C. region and surrounding areas this weekend, forecasters and emergency officials are urging residents to prepare now, from stocking up on essentials to making a plan for travel, school and work disruptions.

What we know:

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Weather models show a significant winter storm could impact the D.C., Maryland and Virginia area late Saturday into Sunday, with snow likely falling across the region and very cold temperatures building in behind the system.

This Arctic blast may usher in bitter cold and frigid wind chills, making it feel much colder than the actual air temperature once snow begins and after it ends.

What is the polar vortex? Why it matters as snow and Arctic cold threaten the Northeast

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What to stock at home

Officials recommend having enough supplies to last at least several days in case travel becomes difficult, according to the CDC.

That includes:

  • Food that does not require refrigeration or cooking
  • Drinking water
  • Prescription medications and basic first-aid supplies
  • Flashlights, batteries and phone chargers
  • Blankets, warm clothing and extra layers
  • Baby supplies or pet food if needed

It’s also a good idea to make sure you have rock salt or ice melt and a working snow shovel.

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20 November 2024, Lower Saxony, Garbsen: An excavator loads road salt onto its shovel. Photo: Alicia Windzio/dpa (Photo by Alicia Windzio/picture alliance via Getty Images)

Travel prep before snow begins

If you need to drive during or after the storm, preparation is critical.

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Before snow arrives:

  • Fill up your gas tank
  • Check windshield wipers, tires and antifreeze
  • Keep an emergency kit in your car with blankets, snacks, water and a flashlight
  • Monitor road conditions and weather alerts

Once snow begins, travel can become treacherous quickly, especially on major routes like I-95 and local roads. Officials urge residents to avoid unnecessary travel during and immediately after snowfall.

School and work planning

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Snow and icy conditions can lead to delays, early dismissals or closures for schools and some workplaces.

Families are encouraged to:

  • Review remote learning or work-from-home plans
  • Make childcare arrangements in advance
  • Keep an eye on district announcements and employer updates

Planning ahead can help reduce stress if schedules change quickly, according to FEMA.

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FILE – A young woman scratches snow and ice from the windscreen of her car. (Carmen Jaspersen/picture alliance via Getty Images)

Stay safe during extreme cold and possible power outages

In addition to snow, dangerously cold temperatures can pose serious health risks, especially if power outages occur.

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According to FEMA, extreme cold can increase the risk of hypothermia, frostbite, carbon monoxide poisoning and house fires, particularly when people rely on alternative heating sources. 

Officials recommend:

  • Installing and testing smoke and carbon monoxide detectors on every level of your home
  • Keeping anything that can burn at least three feet away from space heaters and fireplaces
  • Never using an oven, grill or generator to heat your home
  • Using generators only outdoors and at least 20 feet away from doors and windows

If the power goes out and indoor temperatures become unsafe, FEMA advises relocating to a heated community space if one is available.

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What we don’t know:

The exact total of snow and the duration of impacts depend on the storm’s track and strength. Some models show more snow farther northwest, while others keep totals closer to the I-95 corridor.

Forecasts may change leading up to the event, and officials say conditions can vary widely across the region.

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Why you should care:

Even a few inches of snow combined with bitter cold and icy conditions can halt travel, disrupt routines and create hazardous conditions, especially during peak travel times.

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Preparing now, before stores become crowded and roads become slick, can help you avoid last-minute stress and stay safe through the storm.

What’s next:

Residents are encouraged to:

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  • Monitor updated forecasts from the National Weather Service and FOX 5 DC.
  • Sign up for weather and emergency alerts
  • Follow guidance from local officials as the storm approaches

The Source: This article was written using information from emergency preparedness guidance issued by the CDC, FEMA and local officials.

WeatherNewsWashington, D.C.VirginiaMaryland



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Hundreds of DC-area students walk out of class to protest ICE

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Hundreds of DC-area students walk out of class to protest ICE


During fifth period at Walt Whitman high school in Bethesda, Maryland, dozens of students chose to walk out of class for about an hour of Tuesday’s school day.

“This is the world we’re growing up in, and it’s really important that we are politically active,” said Dalia Rees, a junior at the school.

Similar scenes played out at Montgomery Blair High and Dominion High in Sterling, Virginia.

Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS) and Loudoun County Public Schools have policies that allow students to peacefully demonstrate — and on Tuesday, hundreds of students exercised their rights, joining other walkouts at schools across the country.

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Those thousands of students nationwide protested the Trump administration, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and immigration enforcement that in recent weeks has turned violent.

At Walt Whitman, Rees and her fellow junior Evan Schwartz told News4 they planned the demonstration to protest ICE specifically, after the shooting that killed a Minnesota mother in Minneapolis earlier this month.

The students have demands for their school district.

“One demand is that MCPS promises a policy of non-cooperation with ICE, and we’re hoping for Whitman to educate students about civil liberties.

News4 reached out to MCPS, and a spokesperson shared a statement.

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“Our Board of Education and Superintendent have reaffirmed that our schools are safe spaces for every student, regardless of immigration status,” the statement reads in part.

The statement goes on to say that the district has a step-by-step protocol if ICE should come onto campus, including verifying the visitors’ identity and obtaining any official documentation, including warrants and subpoenas.

Still, students News4 spoke with on Tuesday are worried — especially those in the Latino community.

“I have to have conversations with my parents, how are we going to make sure that something doesn’t happen?” said Mariana Spensley-Aguirre, a freshman at Walt Whitman High. “Do I have to carry an ID around that says that I’m a citizen?”

The students at the Walt Whitman walkout told News4 that they will receive an unexcused absence for the walkout, and added that they got permission from their parents before participating.

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News4 has also reached out to ICE about the walkouts that took place in the D.C. area on Tuesday. We are waiting to hear back.



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White House Fumes at Giant Epstein Birthday Card in D.C.

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White House Fumes at Giant Epstein Birthday Card in D.C.


A towering protest piece on the National Mall recreating President Donald Trump’s alleged birthday letter to Jeffrey Epstein has the White House fizzing—and tourists lining up to sign it.

The 10-foot-tall by 12-foot-wide replica card appeared early Monday on Third Street NW between Jefferson and Madison drives, with a National Park Service permit allowing it to remain through Friday, according to The Washington Post.

WASHINGTON, UNITED STATES – JANUARY 19: New protest art referencing the Epstein files and President Trump was installed on 3rd Street SW along the National Mall. People look at and sign the artwork on Monday, January 19, 2025. (Photo by Sarah L. Voisin/The Washington Post) Sarah L. Voisin/The Washington Post via Getty Images
New protest art referencing the Epstein files and President Trump was installed on 3rd Street SW along the National Mall.
A printed warning says that promotional, violent, or hateful messages will be removed. Sarah L. Voisin/The Washington Post via Getty Images

“We have certain things in common, Jeffrey,” the message reads. “Enigmas never age, have you noticed that?… Happy birthday — and may every day be another wonderful secret.”

Trump, 79, has denied writing or drawing any part of the original note and insists the “Donald” scrawl is not his signature. He has already sued The Wall Street Journal and its parent companies over their report revealing the card.

Epstein, who died in prison as he awaited trial in 2019, would have been 73 on Wednesday.

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In front of the placard on the National Mall, a stack of marble-look blocks mimics a filing cabinet labeled “The Files,” with drawers spilling hundreds of paper strips, a nod to the heavily redacted and still-unreleased Epstein files that the Justice Department has so far failed to release in full under the Epstein Files Transparency Act.

A box of Sharpies invites visitors to sign the “card to the administration,” and the messages have generally not been positive.

Inside the West Wing, the mood was less playful. “Kudos to these Trump Deranged Liberals for constantly inventing new ways to light Democrat donor money on fire by spreading fake news,” deputy White House press secretary Abigail Jackson wrote in an email to the Post on Monday, questioning when statues would appear of Democrats she said had Epstein ties.

“I’ve known Jeff for 15 years. Terrific guy,” Trump told New York magazine in 2002. “He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.”
Trump’s legal action against the Journal, which could shed light on his previous closeness to Epstein, whom he once described as a “great guy,” is pending in federal court in Miami. Davidoff Studios Photography/Getty Images

The blown-up birthday note is the latest clash between Trump and the Secret Handshake. The same group was behind a 12-foot bronze-painted statue on the Mall depicting Trump and Epstein holding hands and skipping.

It was installed with a permit but was pulled early by U.S. Park Police, prompting censorship complaints.

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On their permit application for the birthday-card piece, the artists wrote that they wanted “to highlight the conversation about President Donald Trump’s friendship and relationship with Jeffrey Epstein using his own reported language and correspondence,” and to draw attention to Epstein files that remain redacted or unreleased.

A statue of Trump and Epstein was installed near the Capitol in September, but the U.S. Park Service removed it shortly thereafter.
A statue of Trump and Epstein was installed near the Capitol in September, but the U.S. Park Service removed it shortly thereafter. Kent Nishimura/Getty Images

Under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, signed into law on Nov. 19, the Justice Department had 30 days to release all its Epstein records. But it missed the Dec. 19 deadline, has disclosed only a fraction of the trove, and now faces bipartisan accusations of flouting Congress’ mandate.

By midmorning on Martin Luther King Jr. Day, the Mall was quiet and only a handful of messages dotted the card—most of them hostile to Trump. “Looking forward to your jail sentence, DJT!” one read. “The people will rise. We already are,” said another, according to the Post.

D.C. resident Susan Fritz, 61, told the paper she liked that the artists “didn’t have to make anything up,” adding, “They just had to blow it up and put it out here.”

New protest art referencing the Epstein files and President Trump was installed on 3rd Street SW along the National Mall.
The comments on the blown-up birthday note were not generally positive. Sarah L. Voisin/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Others treated it as a strange civics lesson. “It shows that someone lived in a very different world from the rest of us at some point,” Anders Williams, 45, said. “It’s just weird.”

Another visitor, Ying Yong, 33, called it “great” and “hilarious.” A federal worker, declining to give her name, chose to reply in black Sharpie with a Martin Luther King Jr. quote: “Darkness cannot drive out darkness, only light can do that.”

The Daily Beast has contacted the White House for comment.

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